Best Bets: 2024 SuperMotocross Playoffs Round 2 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

After a jaw-dropping performance in Concord, Jett Lawrence (+119) has reclaimed his spot as the odds-on favorite. The defending champ showcased his trademark speed and racecraft, overcoming Tomac’s early lead to snatch the overall win. Lawrence’s ability to quickly find his rhythm after a lengthy injury layoff was nothing short of remarkable. With one round under his belt, expect the 19-year-old phenom to come out swinging in Fort Worth as he looks to extend his lead and tighten his grip on a second straight SMX crown.

Hot on Lawrence’s heels is the ever-consistent Chase Sexton (+164). The newly-minted Pro Motocross Champion may have had to settle for third overall in Concord, but his 4-3 moto scores proved he’s not far off the pace. Sexton admitted to struggling with the track early on but expect the KTM ace to come into Round 2 with renewed focus and determination. His unparalleled fitness and smooth, calculated style could pay dividends on the high-speed Texas layout. Don’t be surprised to see Sexton leading the charge as he looks to make up ground in the title chase.

Rounding out the top picks is the resurgent Eli Tomac (+796). The multi-time champ turned back the clock in Concord, dominating the opening moto and pushing Lawrence to the limit in the second. Tomac’s aggressive style and veteran savvy were on full display as he reminded the field that he’s far from done. The Yamaha star is no stranger to the Texas venue, having won here in both Supercross and SMX. If Tomac can maintain that same intensity and dial in his setup, he could be the rider to beat under the lights in Fort Worth.

Outsider Picks

Leading the outsider charge is Hunter Lawrence (+1335). The elder Lawrence brother put in a solid ride in Concord, going 3-6 for fourth overall. While he may not possess the same raw speed as his younger sibling, Hunter’s consistency and race craft make him a constant podium threat. The Honda rider has shown flashes of brilliance this season and seems poised for a breakout ride. If he can find that little extra spark and avoid any costly mistakes, Hunter could play spoiler in Fort Worth.

Another rider to keep an eye on is the enigmatic Ken Roczen (+2458). The German veteran had a quiet but consistent night in Concord, notching 5-5 moto scores for fifth overall. Roczen’s talent has never been in question, but his ability to put together a complete SMX campaign has proven elusive in recent years. However, the Suzuki pilot tends to shine when the lights are brightest. If Roczen can tap into that extra gear and find his flow on the Texas track, he has the speed to run at the front and shake up the podium.

Rounding out the dark horse picks is Justin Cooper (+3563). The Yamaha up-and-comer turned heads by setting the fastest qualifying time in Concord before putting together a solid 7-4 performance for sixth overall. Cooper’s smooth, effortless style seems well-suited to the wide-open Texas layout. The 2021 250MX Champion has been knocking on the door of a breakthrough 450 ride, and Round 2 could be his coming-out party. If Cooper can nail his starts and maintain that qualifying speed for the full race distance, he has the potential to challenge for a spot on the box.

Expert Pick for SMX Playoff 2

While Jett Lawrence’s comeback win in Concord was undeniably impressive, our expert pick for Round 2 is Chase Sexton. The Pro Motocross champ may have started slow in Concord, but his 4-3 moto scores showed he has the speed to run at the front. Sexton’s unmatched fitness and precise riding style should be well-suited to the fast, flowing Texas layout. The KTM star is known for his relentless work ethic and ability to adapt to new challenges. Expect Sexton to come into Fort Worth with a point to prove, determined to reassert himself in the title fight. If he can get off to a strong start and find his rhythm early, Sexton has the tools to take the overall win and close the gap on Lawrence in the championship chase.

Head-to-Head Picks

These head-to-head matchups offer intriguing betting opportunities for Round 2. Eli Tomac (-193) is favored over Hunter Lawrence (+143), reflecting Tomac’s resurgent form and past success at the Texas venue. Similarly, Ken Roczen (-170) gets the nod over Justin Cooper (+127), with oddsmakers banking on the German veteran’s big-race pedigree. Aaron Plessinger (-141) is a slim favorite over Jason Anderson (+106), suggesting a tight battle between two riders looking to break into the top five. Perhaps the most compelling matchup pits Chase Sexton (+106) against Jett Lawrence (-140), with the Pro Motocross champ a slight underdog despite his impressive speed and consistency. These head-to-head battles add an extra layer of excitement to an already stacked Round 2 lineup.

Where to Bet on SMX Playoff 2

Bets for SMX Playoff 2 can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide. 

With one round down and two to go, the 2024 SuperMotocross Playoff is shaping up to be a championship for the ages. The doubleheader in Fort Worth will be crucial, as the contenders look to gain a foothold before heading to the pressure cooker of the Las Vegas finale. Will Lawrence continue his march towards a second straight title, or will Sexton and Tomac find another gear to close the gap? Can an outsider like Hunter Lawrence or Cooper break through and upset the applecart? One thing is certain: every point will be precious, and every mistake could be costly. So buckle up, motocross fans – the road to SMX glory is about to take a wild turn in the Lone Star State!

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