Best Bets: 2024 WSL Corona Fiji Pro – Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets and Picks for 2024 WSL Fiji Pro – Men’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Men’s Division

John John Florence (+427) enters Fiji as the men’s favorite, riding a wave of momentum that extends far beyond his third round loss to Jack Robinson in the Paris Olympics. Florence has been the model of consistency on the 2024 WSL Tour, amassing an impressive 46,210 points to lead the rankings. He’s racked up three runner-up finishes and a win at the El Salvador Pro, consistently dismantling the competition with a surgical blend of power and innovation. At the Olympics, Florence unleashed a blistering 17.33 heat total in the opening round before a searing-hot Jack Robinson derailed his medal hopes. That Olympic setback might just ignite Florence’s competitive fire as he eyes Cloudbreak’s long, dynamic walls – a canvas perfectly suited to his artistry.

Jack Robinson (+546) arrives in Fiji with an Olympic silver medal in his luggage and renewed confidence in big moments. Currently third in the WSL rankings with 34,045 points, Robinson’s 2024 campaign has been a series of highs and lows. A win at Margaret River was followed by a 17th place finish in the Tahiti Pro, but his Olympic performance proves he can deliver when the stakes are highest. Robinson’s backhand tube riding was particularly impressive in Tahiti, a skill that should translate well to Cloudbreak’s barreling left. The question now is whether he can maintain that Olympic form and make a push up the WSL leaderboard.

Gabriel Medina (+611) may be languishing in eighth on the WSL rankings, but his Olympic bronze serves as a potent reminder of his competitive fire. Medina’s 2024 WSL season has been uncharacteristically rocky, with three Round of 32 exits in the first four events, though he’s recently hit a streak of strong performances. Tahiti saw the return of vintage Medina, culminating in a near-perfect 9.90 ride that set the internet ablaze. If he can harness that Olympic magic and keep his momentum going, Medina could be poised to light up Cloudbreak and make a late-season surge.

Outsider Picks – Men’s Division

Griffin Colapinto (+911) finds himself cast as an outsider despite occupying second place in the WSL rankings with 36,600 points. Though he’s struggled to string together great performances, Colapinto’s 2024 tour has been solid overall, with a statement win in Portugal and a couple podiums under his belt. His Olympic journey ended with a thrilling Round of 16 battle and, ultimately, exit to eventual gold medalist Kauli Vaast, a stinging defeat that could fuel a ferocious comeback in Fiji. Colapinto’s versatile approach meshes perfectly with Cloudbreak’s multifaceted challenge, making him a potential goldmine at these odds.

Ethan Ewing (+1182) holds the fifth spot in the WSL rankings but hasn’t quite hit his stride in 2024. A runner-up finish in Portugal represents his season’s peak, while a trio of 9th place finishes in Margaret River, Tahiti, and El Salvador have sandbagged his title aspirations. Likewise, Ewing’s Olympic dream crumbled in the quarterfinals, where Jack Robinson outmaneuvered him in deteriorating conditions. This string of mixed results has left Ewing in need of a big performance as he enters Fiji. Cloudbreak’s powerful walls align with his stylish rail game, but Ewing must overcome his tendency to falter in crucial heats. His long odds reflect both his raw talent and his unpredictability – Ewing could just as easily flame out early or surge to a breakthrough victory.

Italo Ferreira (+1240) arrives as a surprising outsider given his fourth-place WSL ranking. Ferreira’s 2024 has been a study in extremes – two dominant wins in Tahiti and Rio contrast sharply with three 17th place finishes. His explosive style and aerial prowess could electrify Cloudbreak if he finds consistency. Missing the Olympics might fuel Ferreira’s competitive fire in Fiji. While his season has been unpredictable, Ferreira’s potential for brilliance makes these long odds tempting for those betting on his resurgence.

Expert Pick for Fiji Pro – Men’s Division

Jack Robinson is our Expert Pick for the Corona Fiji Pro. His recent Olympic silver medal run showcased his ability to perform under immense pressure, and his backhand tube riding at Teahupo’o was truly astonishing. While he’s had ups and downs on the WSL tour this season, a win in Fiji could catapult him into serious title contention. Look for Robinson to parlay his Olympic momentum into a breakthrough WSL performance.

Head-to-Head Picks – Men’s Division

Dive into the thrilling matchups as we break down the odds for key head-to-head battles in the men’s division at the Corona Fiji Pro.

Opening Round Heats – Men’s Division

Explore the odds for potential heat winners in the men’s opening round, where early momentum could shape the entire event.

Best Bets and Picks for the 2024 WSL Fiji Pro – Women’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Women’s Division

Caroline Marks (+494) paddles into Fiji as the reigning Olympic champion, her gold medal performance in Tahiti a career-defining triumph. Marks’ Olympic journey was masterful – from a clutch 9.43 in the opening round to a thrilling 10.50 to 10.33 victory over Tatiana Weston-Webb in the final. This success cements her status as surfing’s premier pressure performer. Currently second in the WSL rankings with 42,490 points, Marks’ 2024 tour has been equally impressive, highlighted by a win at the El Salvador Pro and three strong 3rd place finishes. As she faces Cloudbreak’s powerful left, Marks carries the momentum and confidence of an Olympic champion. Her golden glow could be the catalyst that propels her to the top of the WSL rankings and potentially a world title. Marks’ performance in Fiji will likely set the tone for what could be a historic season domination.

Current world No. 1 Caitlin Simmers (+535) arrives at Cloudbreak with a point to prove after a disappointing early exit from the Olympics. The 18-year-old phenom’s explosive style and progressive approach make her a true threat in any conditions. At Cloudbreak, her ability to seamlessly blend powerful rail work with above-the-lip maneuvers could be the key to unlocking high scores. In her last CT appearance at the VIVO Rio Pro, Simmers claimed victory with a combination of technical barrel riding and innovative airs – a skill set tailor-made for Cloudbreak’s long, rippable walls. If Simmers can quickly shake off her Olympic setback and harness her freakish natural talent, she has a very real chance of extending her lead in the world title race and reasserting her dominance on the CT stage.

Don’t let Brisa Hennessy’s (+566) heartbreaking fourth-place finish in Tahiti fool you – the Costa Rican star is primed for a big result in Fiji. Currently sitting third in the WSL rankings, Hennessy has been a model of consistency throughout the 2024 season, notching one podium and 4x third-place finishes in eight events. Her smooth, powerful style is perfectly suited to Cloudbreak’s long walls, allowing her to showcase her impeccable rail game. What truly sets Hennessy apart at this venue is her intimate knowledge of Cloudbreak. Having spent significant time in Fiji during her formative years, she possesses a deep understanding of the wave’s intricacies. This local knowledge could prove invaluable, especially if the forecast calls for tricky conditions or a wider swell window. Look for Hennessy to channel her Olympic frustration into motivation, potentially leading to an inspired performance in Fiji.

Outsider Picks – Women’s Division

Bettylou Sakura Johnson’s (+589) raw talent could spell trouble for the favorites at Cloudbreak. The young Hawaiian’s recent runner-up finish in El Salvador hints at a surfer on the verge of a breakthrough. Johnson’s powerful approach, cultivated in the heavy waves of the North Shore, meshes perfectly with Fiji’s legendary left. While her WSL ranking (9th) belies her potential, savvy bettors might see value in Johnson’s odds. Keep an eye on her wave selection – if she can secure the right opportunities, we could witness a coming-of-age performance.

Cloudbreak’s canvas awaits Johanne Defay’s (+666) artistic touch. Fresh from Olympic bronze, the Reunion Island native brings momentum and a lethal backhand attack to Fiji. Defay’s versatility shines in variable conditions, a crucial asset given Cloudbreak’s moody nature. Currently 6th in the rankings, she’s within striking distance of the leaders. Defay’s competitive experience and recent big-stage success make her a tempting dark horse. A strong result here could catapult her into the world title conversation.

Olympic heartbreak or motivational fuel? That’s the question surrounding Tatiana Weston-Webb (+719) as she paddles out at Cloudbreak. The Brazilian’s razor-thin silver medal loss showcased her competitive fire. Weston-Webb’s goofy-foot stance could be her secret weapon on Fiji’s left-handers. Though her 7th place WSL ranking seems middling, it masks her recent form. If she harnesses the intensity from Tahiti, Weston-Webb might just surf circles around her long-shot odds.

Expert Pick for the 2024 WSL Fiji Pro – Women’s Division

Caroline Marks is poised to dominate the Corona Fiji Pro. Her Olympic triumph wasn’t just a victory, but a masterclass in pressure surfing that will serve her well at Cloudbreak. Marks’ lethal backhand attack, honed on similar powerful left-handers, gives her a distinct advantage in Fiji. More than just physical skills, it’s her newfound mental edge that sets her apart. Fresh off her golden moment and free from the burden of Olympic expectations, Marks can now surf with a potent mix of confidence and liberation. Expect her to parlay this momentum into a WSL rankings assault, starting with a statement win in Fiji.

Head-to-Head Picks – Women’s Division

Analyze the crucial face-offs in the women’s division as we examine the odds for pivotal head-to-head clashes at Cloudbreak.

Opening Round Heats – Women’s Division

Get a head start on the action with our breakdown of the odds for women’s opening round heat victories, where early success could set the tone for a deep run in Fiji.

Where to Bet on the Surf City Fiji Pro 2024

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The Corona Fiji Pro arrives at a fascinating intersection of Olympic afterglow and white-hot WSL title races. Cloudbreak’s powerful left-hander stands ready to separate pretenders from contenders as the 2024 season enters its most crucial phase. Whether you’re a die-hard surf purist or a sharp-eyed bettor looking for an edge, this event promises to be nothing short of epic. Buckle up for comprehensive coverage and razor-sharp analysis as we ride this tsunami of excitement all the way to Fiji and beyond.

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