Best Bets: 2024 WSL Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The MEO Rip Curl Pro Portugal wrapped up with Griffin Colapinto and Johanne Defay clinching wins, ramping up excitement for the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach. Colapinto, overcoming hip surgery, delivered a barrel-riding spectacle for his second Supertubos title, highlighted by a near-perfect 9.67 in the finals. Meanwhile, Defay’s victory, her first CT win in Europe, signaled her strong return post-injury, dominating with her precise backhand turns.

These victories shake up the rankings and amplify the buzz as we head to the iconic Bells Beach. With its legendary waves and competitive history, Bells Beach is the perfect stage for the next chapter in the 2024 WSL Championship Tour. Surfers like Tyler Wright and Ethan Ewing, showing strong form, add to the anticipation, making the upcoming event a crucible of surfing excellence.

As we gear up for Bells Beach, the focus sharpens on the surfers to watch and the strategies that could dictate success or failure. With the leaderboard poised for potential shifts, the event promises to be a compelling blend of drama, skill, and surfing brilliance. Stay locked in for our odds analysis and insights into what could unfold at the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach.

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Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2024 – Men’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Men’s Division

Jack Robinson‘s odds of +553 reflect not just his raw talent but his affinity for the kind of powerful, challenging waves Bells Beach is notorious for. His win at Sunset Beach earlier this season wasn’t a fluke; it was a showcase of his ability to adapt and excel in heavy conditions. However, Robinson’s performance took a dip in Portugal, an outcome that seems more like a temporary setback rather than a trend. His aggressive style, combined with a deep understanding of wave mechanics, positions him as a formidable competitor at Bells. Robinson’s knack for finding and exploiting critical sections on the wave could see him turn the competition on its head, especially if Bells delivers its trademark powerful swells.

Gabriel Medina, coming in at +706, is a wildcard here. His performances earlier in the season haven’t matched his world champion caliber, but Medina is known for his dramatic comebacks and ability to perform under pressure. His semifinal appearance in Portugal is a clear signal that he’s finding his rhythm again. Medina’s competitive edge lies in his dynamic approach to surfing; his aerial maneuvers and strategic wave selection could dominate Bells Beach, especially in varied conditions. Medina’s reputation for rising to the occasion makes him a high-value pick for those looking to bet on potential rather than past performance.

Ethan Ewing, sharing the second spot on the leaderboard with John John Florence and carrying odds of +712, is a model of surfing finesse and strategic sophistication. His impressive performance in Portugal, culminating in a runner-up finish, has solidified his status as a top-tier competitor this season. Ewing’s calculated approach and impeccable execution, especially notable on his backhand, make him a formidable contender for Bells Beach. His consistent rise and ability to adapt his smooth, powerful surfing to the demanding conditions of Bells could very well tip the scales in his favor. Positioned at the forefront of the rankings, Ewing represents a calculated bet for those eyeing a surfer whose trajectory is marked by steady ascension and who possesses the skill set to excel in the varied conditions Bells is known for.

Outsider Picks – Men’s Division

Griffin Colapinto, with odds of +733 for the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach, rides the momentum of his recent victory in Portugal. This ranking might surprise some, given his leadership in the overall standings and formidable form. Colapinto’s technical prowess and adaptability are a perfect match for Bells Beach’s demanding waves. His ability to excel in various conditions, coupled with a psychological edge as the current tour leader, makes him a compelling pick. Colapinto’s recent performances suggest he’s well-equipped to navigate Bells’ challenges, offering bettors a blend of reliability and potential high reward.

John John Florence, at odds of +976, is an intriguing prospect. Despite a season of solid performances, including a standout performance at Pipeline, these odds reflect a unique opportunity. Florence’s mastery in challenging conditions and strategic heat approach could make him a dark horse at Bells. This event could very well play to his strengths, offering bettors the chance to back a surfer with a proven ability to turn challenging conditions to his advantage. Florence represents a valuable pick, potentially undervalued given his skill set and historical performance at similar venues.

Kanoa Igarashi, with longer odds of +1448, stands out as an underdog with a proven track record. His second place finish at Sunset exemplifies his competitive caliber. Igarashi’s technical surfing and strategic acumen align well with Bells Beach’s complexities. These odds position him as a high-value, speculative bet, ideal for those seeking an outsider capable of upsetting the field. Igarashi’s knack for strategic surfing under pressure makes him an enticing option for bettors looking for a substantial payoff from a surfer with the potential to excel in Bells Beach’s unique conditions.

Head-to-Head Picks – Men’s Division

Expert Pick for Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2024 – Men’s Division

For the men’s division at the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach, our Expert Pick is Griffin Colapinto. Leading the overall standings and coming off a commanding win in Portugal, Colapinto enters Bells with odds of +733 – stellar value for a surfer of his caliber. His dynamic surfing style, particularly his exceptional barrel riding and adeptness in powerful conditions, aligns perfectly with the challenges of Bells Beach. Colapinto’s current form, combined with his momentum and confidence, positions him as the top contender to clinch the title, making him an astute choice for those looking to back a surfer with a proven track record and peak performance level.

2024 WSL Futures Update – Men’s Division

The post-Portugal futures reveal significant shifts in the championship odds, most notably for Griffin Colapinto, whose odds for champion tightened dramatically from +964 to +304, reflecting his victory in Portugal and his ascent to the top of the overall standings. This marked improvement also saw his odds for finishing in the top 5 improve sharply, from +146 to -522, indicating increased confidence in his season-long consistency. Conversely, John John Florence experienced a notable drop in his championship odds, from +382 to +583, and a softening in his top 5 odds, despite maintaining a strong overall position.

Best Bets and Picks for Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2024 – Women’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Women’s Division

Caroline Marks, entering with odds of +296, stands as a formidable contender. Positioned fifth in the overall standings, her season has been marked by consistent high-level performances. Marks is particularly dangerous in conditions like those at Bells Beach, where her powerful backhand and precision in critical wave sections can truly shine. Known for her aggressive style and competitive tenacity, Marks has the tools and talent to navigate Bells’ challenging lineup, making her odds a strong reflection of her potential to top the podium here.

Tyler Wright, at +297, is nearly neck-and-neck with Marks in terms of odds, underscoring her status as a significant threat to take the win. Wright’s recent surge to a podium finish in Portugal has propelled her up the rankings, demonstrating her return to form. With two back-to-back event wins at Bells in her career, Wright’s familiarity and success at this venue cannot be underestimated. Her powerful surfing and tactical intelligence in heat management make her a prime candidate for victory, offering bettors a compelling option rooted in both current form and historical success at Bells Beach.

Molly Picklum, carrying odds of +489, leads the overall standings, a testament to her stellar season start. Despite a lower finish in Portugal, her runner-up performance at Pipe and triumph at Sunset Beach underscore her dominance on the waves. Picklum’s odds offer value to those betting on a bounce-back, considering her dynamic surfing style and competitive grit. As the current rankings leader, she presents an intriguing bet, especially for an athlete showcasing her ability to dominate under varying conditions. With a blend of youthful exuberance and skill, Picklum emerges as a threat at Bells, where her adaptability could shine.

Outsider Picks – Women’s Division

Caitlin Simmers, with odds of +575, is an intriguing selection. Despite not being at the very top of the overall standings, her win at the Pipe Pro and solid performance at Sunset Beach have showcased her exceptional talent and fearless approach. Simmers’ surfing style, marked by aggressive maneuvers and an ability to adapt quickly to changing conditions, makes her a formidable competitor at Bells Beach. Her relatively high odds reflect the potential for a significant upset, banking on her dynamic approach and youthful resilience to navigate the challenging conditions Bells is known for.

Johanne Defay, with odds set at +701, combines experience with momentum following her recent victory in Portugal, propelling her to second place in the standings. Defay’s technical proficiency and strategic heat management have been her trademarks, qualities that could serve her well in the variable conditions of Bells Beach. Her odds suggest a sleeper pick; a surfer with a proven track record and the capability to leverage her strengths in powerful, long waves. Defay’s ability to maintain composure under pressure and execute critical maneuvers could see her outperforming these odds.

Lakey Peterson, with odds of +1112, represents a high-value bet. Her performance history at Bells Beach, combined with her powerful surfing style, makes her an attractive option for those seeking a dark horse. Peterson’s knowledge of the venue and ability to score highly on its long right-handers could make her a surprise package in the event. Her current odds reflect an opportunity for bettors to capitalize on a seasoned competitor who has the skills to make a deep run, potentially delivering a substantial payoff.

Head-to-Head Picks – Women’s Division

Expert Pick for Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2024 – Women’s Division

Our Expert Pick for the women’s division at the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach is Caroline Marks. With odds of +296, Marks combines a powerful backhand with an aggressive competitive approach, making her a formidable force in the variable conditions of Bells. Her consistency this season, combined with her technical prowess in powerful waves, positions her as a prime candidate for victory. Marks’ ability to execute under pressure and her adaptability to Bells’ demanding conditions make her the standout choice for the event win.

2024 WSL Futures Update – Women’s Division

The post-Portugal futures in the women’s division reflect a market recalibration based on recent performances. Molly Picklum‘s championship odds have softened from +158 to +221, with her dominant early season form slightly tempered by the results in Portugal, though she remains a favorite. Caroline Marks and Tyler Wright saw their odds tighten, reflecting solid performances and perceived threats to the top spot. Johanne Defay‘s victory in Portugal significantly improved her odds, from +1174 to +556 for the championship, highlighting her return to form and impact on the title race. Caitlin Simmers remains a contender with slight adjustments in her odds, while Lakey Peterson‘s and new entrant Bettylou Sakura Johnson’s long odds indicate they are considered outsiders, despite potential for upsets.

Where to Bet on the Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach 2024

The Rip Curl Pro Bells Beach is shaping up to be a pivotal battleground in the 2024 WSL Championship Tour, with dramatic shifts in futures odds reflecting the unpredictability and excitement that lie ahead. As surfers like Griffin Colapinto and Johanne Defay ride their momentum into Bells, the event promises not only high-stakes surfing action but also enticing betting landscapes for those keen to wager on the outcomes. With every wave and heat potentially reshaping the title races, the opportunities for strategic bets and thrilling victories are as abundant and varied as the legendary swells of Bells Beach itself.

If you’re looking to get in on the action, NXTbets is here to elevate your betting experience with exclusive offers from our partnered sportsbooks. Dive into our detailed analyses and expert tips with the WSL Championship Tour Betting Guide, tailored to arm you with all the insights needed for informed betting decisions.

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