Consecutive weekends of premier motorbike racing is a welcome sight for petrolheads, and we come bearing exciting news. Somebody has finally ended Marc Marquez’s outrageous win streak, and it was none other than his younger brother Alex, last weekend in Catalonia. Despite the loss, the markets still fancy Marc, who heads the MotoGP San Marino pre-event odds ahead of his sibling and his teammate. Learn about prospects for this weekend as riders touch down on the Adriatic for round 16 of the Championship.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Contestants congregate at the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli on Friday, September 12 for opening day of San Marino GP weekend. Riders will battle the clock on Friday in the practice sessions, before shifting gears for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. All eyes are on the grand prize which is up for grabs on September 14, starting at 8:00 am EDT. Follow all the qualifying and racing action throughout the event on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP San Marino
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Ducati star Marc Marquez touches down in Italy with a 182-point buffer at the top of the Riders’ Championship. “The Ant of Cervera” lines up as the defending champion at this circuit and is fresh off his 13th podium of the campaign. Marquez is the winningest rider this season and holds the all-time win record at this venue, with five titles. He ended a seven-race win streak last weekend, after being toppled by his younger brother. Alex Marquez earned his second MotoGP career victory, ending a shaky run that included a DNF, a 10th, and a 14th-place return. Alex has typically struggled on this asphalt, producing a best return of sixth on his last visit.
Ducati has enjoyed its trips to the Adriatic in recent years, prevailing in three of the last seven. Francesco Bagnaia has contributed two victories to the cause in the last four years and finished second last time out. It looks like a long shot, as Pecco hasn’t stood on the rostrum since Germany. Consistency seems to be an issue for Maco Bezzecchi, who has three top-three finishes to his name in the last five starts and two DNFs. The KTM’s have started to find their rhythm late in the season, courtesy of Pedro Acosta, who’s posted four consecutive top fives, including two podiums.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-250
$28.00
Alex Marquez
+400
$100.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+900
$200.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+1100
$240.00
Enea Bastianini
+1400
$300.00
Fabio Quartararo
+1600
$340.00
Pedro Acosta
+1600
$340.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+2900
$600.00
Franco Morbidelli
+3900
$800.00
Brad Binder
+4900
$1,000.00
Johann Zarco
+4900
$1,000.00
Jorge Martin
+5900
$1,200.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+5900
$1,200.00
Pol Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Joan Mir
+9900
$2,000.00
Maverick Vinales
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+9900
$2,000.00
Luca Marini
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+9900
$2,000.00
Raul Fernandez
+9900
$2,000.00
Ai Ogura
+9900
$2,000.00
Alex Rins
+24900
$5,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+49900
$10,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+74900
$15,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+74900
$15,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+74900
$15,000.00
Michele Pirro
+74900
$15,000.00
Expert Pick
We’re sticking with the tried and tested for MotoGP San Marino. Marc Marquez has barely put a foot wrong this season, and while he did lose out to his brother last weekend, he’s entered Victory Lane seven times in the previous eight races. His dominance translates into short odds of -250, which potentially pays $28.00 on a $20 bet.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Francesco Bagnaia finished second to Marc Marquez here last year. This time around, they’re on the same team. Can Ducati produce the winning bike, and will Pecco exact his revenge against the Riders’ Championship leader? Or does Alex Marquez have other plans for his older rivals? See how the checkered flag drops on Sunday in Italy.
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Red Bull Grand Prix of San Marino. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Reports before the first official 2026 pre-season test at Sepang claimed Fabio Quartararo had signed a two-year deal to join Honda from 2027. However, the rider publicly denied a completed agreement, while confirming HRC remained one of the options he was considering. The Sepang test itself was disruptive. Quartararo crashed on day one, broke a finger, and missed the remainder of that session, then encountered an engine problem Yamaha could not fix during the test. Yamaha also missed running after an unexpected engine issue described by team management as something they had “never had” before, as Alex Rins posted Yamaha’s best finish (12th). Team sporting director Massimo Meregalli said the Sepang incident did not change decisions on Quartararo’s future and characterized the interruption as a delay that pushed parts of the negotiation and testing program toward the next test.
Yamaha acknowledged it had reduced engine revs as a protective measure while continuing the development of its new V4, and planned to complete unfinished work during the upcoming Buriram test. The manufacturer emphasized continuity of its V4 program and insisted contract talks over 2027 were proceeding despite the Sepang interruption. Quartararo himself denied reports he had already signed for Honda even as questions about Yamaha’s pace of development and testing reliability intensified. Media reports and team comments linked the technical setbacks at Yamaha with increased speculation over the rider market, rather than presenting any confirmed move.
Honda presented a contrasting picture of forward momentum at Sepang. Team manager Alberto Puig praised Quartararo as “fantastic,” highlighted steady technical progress at HRC, including a lighter bike and improved engine response. The former rider cautioned that immediate wins could not be guaranteed. Joan Mir set the fastest time on day two, in what was reported as the quickest Honda lap around Sepang, and described the current RC213V as the best bike he had ridden, adding weight to Honda’s on-track gains. Puig repeatedly denied that anything for 2027 had been decided, and said Honda would prioritize its current roster while seeking riders who were both fast and intelligent. He noted that Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira were already locked in with LCR through 2027, leaving factory-team seats contested between Mir and Luca Marini. Puig framed the 2026 contract season as chaotic and said on-track results and the evolving rule environment would shape final decisions once the season got underway.
Fabio Quartararo crashed at Turn 5 on the opening day of the Sepang MotoGP test, falling on his third lap and being taken to the circuit medical centre. Initial checks ruled out fractures but found abrasions to his left arm. But a later assessment revealed a broken finger on his right hand and a sore arm. He returned in the afternoon, added laps, and posted the ninth-fastest time on Yamaha’s much-changed V4 M1, but Yamaha and Quartararo ended his Sepang program after a total of 24 laps (eight in the morning, 16 in the afternoon) so the finger could heal.
The early exit cost Yamaha valuable test time at a session dedicated to assessing the new V4 package. Other V4-related problems emerged during the test, including Andrea Dovizioso stopping with a problem, and team principal Massimo Meregalli even suggested the team might consider benching a rider if necessary. Quartararo himself said the new V4 remained “very, very far” from where it needed to be for one-lap pace and race performance. Yamaha therefore lost on-track data and setup time that had been earmarked for refining handling, electronics, and race pace ahead of the season.
Yamaha and Quartararo prioritised recovery with the Thailand GP opener and a Buriram test (Feb 21–22) in mind. The rider confirmed he planned to skip the rest of Sepang to be fit for those next outings. The withdrawal underlined the preseason trade-off between protecting rider health and securing development mileage on radically updated machinery.
Separately, reports linking Quartararo to a Honda deal for 2027–28 were noted during the test, raising the prospect that 2026 might be his final season with Yamaha.
Aprilia has made a commanding start to the 2026 MotoGP season, emerging as the biggest improver and shifting the championship balance away from Ducati. The RS-GP26’s race pace, Aprilia Racing’s three consecutive grand prix victories — all by Marco Bezzecchi — and the team leading the riders’, constructors’ and teams’ standings have underlined the turnaround; Aprilia CEO Massimo Rivola even declared the marque has “the best bike.” Sprint races and qualifying have remained tighter, but Aprilia’s race pace and consistency have quickly made the team a serious championship threat.
Marco Bezzecchi has been the standout performer, leading every lap of the three grands prix he contested and scoring 81 of a possible 111 points through the first three rounds — a 57-point increase on his 2025 tally. That total places him four points clear of Jorge Martin (81 to 77) heading into the Spanish GP at Jerez (April 24–26), although some reports listed Martin as the points leader on 77 after three rounds. Jorge Martin has nonetheless shown strong race form, collecting 59 points across the last two rounds, recording one Sprint win and two second-place finishes. KTM’s Pedro Acosta sits an early third with 60 points, up 44 on 2025, while Trackhouse Aprilia’s Raul Fernandez produced a double rostrum at Buriram and is +35 year‑on‑year; Ai Ogura is +12 despite a mechanical retirement in Austin and a technical problem at COTA that denied what would have been an Aprilia one‑two‑three. Aprilia have taken four of the six races so far when sprints are included.
The early surge has coincided with a notable downturn for Ducati and several established riders. Sources describe Ducati as struggling to mount an immediate response despite recent championship success (Francesco Bagnaia 2022–23, Jorge Martin 2024 and Marc Marquez 2025). Fabio Di Giannantonio is the best-placed Ducati after three rounds in fourth and is +6 on his 2025 tally, while Bagnaia is roughly 50 points down year-on-year. Reigning champion Marc Marquez has lost about 41–42 points after a technical non-score in Thailand and a crash in the COTA Sprint; Alex Marquez’s decline is reported at roughly 58–59 points. With 19 races still to run, the standings can evolve, but Aprilia’s early consistency, the RS-GP26’s rideability and riders’ growing confidence have already reshaped the championship picture.
The 2026 MotoGP season is set to begin this weekend with the Thailand Grand Prix at Buriram International Circuit, running Friday–Sunday, Feb. 27–March 1. Organizers have published a local “your time” session timetable to help fans tune in from their time zones, and preview and guide pieces consolidate the season-opening schedule along with broadcast/how-to-watch details, viewing channels, and logistical information as a single reference for attendees and remote viewers.
The published three-day timetable lays out practice, qualifying, the Tissot Sprint, and the full Grand Prix. Friday includes Free Practice No. 1 at 03:45 local time and an additional practice at 08:00. Saturday lists Free Practice No. 2 at 03:10, Qualifying 1 at 03:50, Qualifying 2 at 04:15, and the Tissot Sprint at 08:00. Sunday shows a Warm Up at 03:40 and the main Grand Prix. The organizers’ timetable lists the main race at 08:00 local time, while another report specifies the 26-lap MotoGP main race at 3:00 p.m. local time on March 1.
Buriram will host the season opener for the second consecutive year, and previews revisit memorable moments from past Thai Grands Prix while framing the round as both the season kickoff and an early focal point. The weekend also serves as an early fitness test for riders returning from recent injuries. The list includes Marc Márquez, who won 11 races from 18 grands prix in 2025 but missed the final four rounds after shoulder surgery following an injury in Indonesia. Marquez said after a testing crash in Buriram that he “hasn’t recovered” as expected.
The championship grid is largely unchanged for 2026, though Toprak Razgatlıoğlu joins Prima Pramac and Diogo Moreira replaces Somkiat Chantra at LCR Honda, as organizers and fans count down to lights out.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP San Marino Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Consecutive weekends of premier motorbike racing is a welcome sight for petrolheads, and we come bearing exciting news. Somebody has finally ended Marc Marquez’s outrageous win streak, and it was none other than his younger brother Alex, last weekend in Catalonia. Despite the loss, the markets still fancy Marc, who heads the MotoGP San Marino pre-event odds ahead of his sibling and his teammate. Learn about prospects for this weekend as riders touch down on the Adriatic for round 16 of the Championship.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the San Marino MotoGP
Contestants congregate at the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli on Friday, September 12 for opening day of San Marino GP weekend. Riders will battle the clock on Friday in the practice sessions, before shifting gears for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. All eyes are on the grand prize which is up for grabs on September 14, starting at 8:00 am EDT. Follow all the qualifying and racing action throughout the event on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP San Marino
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Ducati star Marc Marquez touches down in Italy with a 182-point buffer at the top of the Riders’ Championship. “The Ant of Cervera” lines up as the defending champion at this circuit and is fresh off his 13th podium of the campaign. Marquez is the winningest rider this season and holds the all-time win record at this venue, with five titles. He ended a seven-race win streak last weekend, after being toppled by his younger brother. Alex Marquez earned his second MotoGP career victory, ending a shaky run that included a DNF, a 10th, and a 14th-place return. Alex has typically struggled on this asphalt, producing a best return of sixth on his last visit.
Ducati has enjoyed its trips to the Adriatic in recent years, prevailing in three of the last seven. Francesco Bagnaia has contributed two victories to the cause in the last four years and finished second last time out. It looks like a long shot, as Pecco hasn’t stood on the rostrum since Germany. Consistency seems to be an issue for Maco Bezzecchi, who has three top-three finishes to his name in the last five starts and two DNFs. The KTM’s have started to find their rhythm late in the season, courtesy of Pedro Acosta, who’s posted four consecutive top fives, including two podiums.
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Expert Pick
We’re sticking with the tried and tested for MotoGP San Marino. Marc Marquez has barely put a foot wrong this season, and while he did lose out to his brother last weekend, he’s entered Victory Lane seven times in the previous eight races. His dominance translates into short odds of -250, which potentially pays $28.00 on a $20 bet.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Francesco Bagnaia finished second to Marc Marquez here last year. This time around, they’re on the same team. Can Ducati produce the winning bike, and will Pecco exact his revenge against the Riders’ Championship leader? Or does Alex Marquez have other plans for his older rivals? See how the checkered flag drops on Sunday in Italy.
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Red Bull Grand Prix of San Marino. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Related Posts
Quartararo Denies Honda Deal After Sepang Setbacks
Reports before the first official 2026 pre-season test at Sepang claimed Fabio Quartararo had signed a two-year deal to join Honda from 2027. However, the rider publicly denied a completed agreement, while confirming HRC remained one of the options he was considering. The Sepang test itself was disruptive. Quartararo crashed on day one, broke a finger, and missed the remainder of that session, then encountered an engine problem Yamaha could not fix during the test. Yamaha also missed running after an unexpected engine issue described by team management as something they had “never had” before, as Alex Rins posted Yamaha’s best finish (12th). Team sporting director Massimo Meregalli said the Sepang incident did not change decisions on Quartararo’s future and characterized the interruption as a delay that pushed parts of the negotiation and testing program toward the next test.
Yamaha acknowledged it had reduced engine revs as a protective measure while continuing the development of its new V4, and planned to complete unfinished work during the upcoming Buriram test. The manufacturer emphasized continuity of its V4 program and insisted contract talks over 2027 were proceeding despite the Sepang interruption. Quartararo himself denied reports he had already signed for Honda even as questions about Yamaha’s pace of development and testing reliability intensified. Media reports and team comments linked the technical setbacks at Yamaha with increased speculation over the rider market, rather than presenting any confirmed move.
Honda presented a contrasting picture of forward momentum at Sepang. Team manager Alberto Puig praised Quartararo as “fantastic,” highlighted steady technical progress at HRC, including a lighter bike and improved engine response. The former rider cautioned that immediate wins could not be guaranteed. Joan Mir set the fastest time on day two, in what was reported as the quickest Honda lap around Sepang, and described the current RC213V as the best bike he had ridden, adding weight to Honda’s on-track gains. Puig repeatedly denied that anything for 2027 had been decided, and said Honda would prioritize its current roster while seeking riders who were both fast and intelligent. He noted that Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira were already locked in with LCR through 2027, leaving factory-team seats contested between Mir and Luca Marini. Puig framed the 2026 contract season as chaotic and said on-track results and the evolving rule environment would shape final decisions once the season got underway.
Quartararo Breaks Finger, Ending Yamaha Sepang Test
Fabio Quartararo crashed at Turn 5 on the opening day of the Sepang MotoGP test, falling on his third lap and being taken to the circuit medical centre. Initial checks ruled out fractures but found abrasions to his left arm. But a later assessment revealed a broken finger on his right hand and a sore arm. He returned in the afternoon, added laps, and posted the ninth-fastest time on Yamaha’s much-changed V4 M1, but Yamaha and Quartararo ended his Sepang program after a total of 24 laps (eight in the morning, 16 in the afternoon) so the finger could heal.
The early exit cost Yamaha valuable test time at a session dedicated to assessing the new V4 package. Other V4-related problems emerged during the test, including Andrea Dovizioso stopping with a problem, and team principal Massimo Meregalli even suggested the team might consider benching a rider if necessary. Quartararo himself said the new V4 remained “very, very far” from where it needed to be for one-lap pace and race performance. Yamaha therefore lost on-track data and setup time that had been earmarked for refining handling, electronics, and race pace ahead of the season.
Yamaha and Quartararo prioritised recovery with the Thailand GP opener and a Buriram test (Feb 21–22) in mind. The rider confirmed he planned to skip the rest of Sepang to be fit for those next outings. The withdrawal underlined the preseason trade-off between protecting rider health and securing development mileage on radically updated machinery.
Separately, reports linking Quartararo to a Honda deal for 2027–28 were noted during the test, raising the prospect that 2026 might be his final season with Yamaha.
Aprilia leads riders, constructors & teams after three wins
Aprilia has made a commanding start to the 2026 MotoGP season, emerging as the biggest improver and shifting the championship balance away from Ducati. The RS-GP26’s race pace, Aprilia Racing’s three consecutive grand prix victories — all by Marco Bezzecchi — and the team leading the riders’, constructors’ and teams’ standings have underlined the turnaround; Aprilia CEO Massimo Rivola even declared the marque has “the best bike.” Sprint races and qualifying have remained tighter, but Aprilia’s race pace and consistency have quickly made the team a serious championship threat.
Marco Bezzecchi has been the standout performer, leading every lap of the three grands prix he contested and scoring 81 of a possible 111 points through the first three rounds — a 57-point increase on his 2025 tally. That total places him four points clear of Jorge Martin (81 to 77) heading into the Spanish GP at Jerez (April 24–26), although some reports listed Martin as the points leader on 77 after three rounds. Jorge Martin has nonetheless shown strong race form, collecting 59 points across the last two rounds, recording one Sprint win and two second-place finishes. KTM’s Pedro Acosta sits an early third with 60 points, up 44 on 2025, while Trackhouse Aprilia’s Raul Fernandez produced a double rostrum at Buriram and is +35 year‑on‑year; Ai Ogura is +12 despite a mechanical retirement in Austin and a technical problem at COTA that denied what would have been an Aprilia one‑two‑three. Aprilia have taken four of the six races so far when sprints are included.
The early surge has coincided with a notable downturn for Ducati and several established riders. Sources describe Ducati as struggling to mount an immediate response despite recent championship success (Francesco Bagnaia 2022–23, Jorge Martin 2024 and Marc Marquez 2025). Fabio Di Giannantonio is the best-placed Ducati after three rounds in fourth and is +6 on his 2025 tally, while Bagnaia is roughly 50 points down year-on-year. Reigning champion Marc Marquez has lost about 41–42 points after a technical non-score in Thailand and a crash in the COTA Sprint; Alex Marquez’s decline is reported at roughly 58–59 points. With 19 races still to run, the standings can evolve, but Aprilia’s early consistency, the RS-GP26’s rideability and riders’ growing confidence have already reshaped the championship picture.
Thailand GP Reveals Buriram Schedule and Viewing Guide
The 2026 MotoGP season is set to begin this weekend with the Thailand Grand Prix at Buriram International Circuit, running Friday–Sunday, Feb. 27–March 1. Organizers have published a local “your time” session timetable to help fans tune in from their time zones, and preview and guide pieces consolidate the season-opening schedule along with broadcast/how-to-watch details, viewing channels, and logistical information as a single reference for attendees and remote viewers.
The published three-day timetable lays out practice, qualifying, the Tissot Sprint, and the full Grand Prix. Friday includes Free Practice No. 1 at 03:45 local time and an additional practice at 08:00. Saturday lists Free Practice No. 2 at 03:10, Qualifying 1 at 03:50, Qualifying 2 at 04:15, and the Tissot Sprint at 08:00. Sunday shows a Warm Up at 03:40 and the main Grand Prix. The organizers’ timetable lists the main race at 08:00 local time, while another report specifies the 26-lap MotoGP main race at 3:00 p.m. local time on March 1.
Buriram will host the season opener for the second consecutive year, and previews revisit memorable moments from past Thai Grands Prix while framing the round as both the season kickoff and an early focal point. The weekend also serves as an early fitness test for riders returning from recent injuries. The list includes Marc Márquez, who won 11 races from 18 grands prix in 2025 but missed the final four rounds after shoulder surgery following an injury in Indonesia. Marquez said after a testing crash in Buriram that he “hasn’t recovered” as expected.
The championship grid is largely unchanged for 2026, though Toprak Razgatlıoğlu joins Prima Pramac and Diogo Moreira replaces Somkiat Chantra at LCR Honda, as organizers and fans count down to lights out.