Consecutive weekends of premier motorbike racing is a welcome sight for petrolheads, and we come bearing exciting news. Somebody has finally ended Marc Marquez’s outrageous win streak, and it was none other than his younger brother Alex, last weekend in Catalonia. Despite the loss, the markets still fancy Marc, who heads the MotoGP San Marino pre-event odds ahead of his sibling and his teammate. Learn about prospects for this weekend as riders touch down on the Adriatic for round 16 of the Championship.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Contestants congregate at the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli on Friday, September 12 for opening day of San Marino GP weekend. Riders will battle the clock on Friday in the practice sessions, before shifting gears for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. All eyes are on the grand prize which is up for grabs on September 14, starting at 8:00 am EDT. Follow all the qualifying and racing action throughout the event on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP San Marino
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Ducati star Marc Marquez touches down in Italy with a 182-point buffer at the top of the Riders’ Championship. “The Ant of Cervera” lines up as the defending champion at this circuit and is fresh off his 13th podium of the campaign. Marquez is the winningest rider this season and holds the all-time win record at this venue, with five titles. He ended a seven-race win streak last weekend, after being toppled by his younger brother. Alex Marquez earned his second MotoGP career victory, ending a shaky run that included a DNF, a 10th, and a 14th-place return. Alex has typically struggled on this asphalt, producing a best return of sixth on his last visit.
Ducati has enjoyed its trips to the Adriatic in recent years, prevailing in three of the last seven. Francesco Bagnaia has contributed two victories to the cause in the last four years and finished second last time out. It looks like a long shot, as Pecco hasn’t stood on the rostrum since Germany. Consistency seems to be an issue for Maco Bezzecchi, who has three top-three finishes to his name in the last five starts and two DNFs. The KTM’s have started to find their rhythm late in the season, courtesy of Pedro Acosta, who’s posted four consecutive top fives, including two podiums.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-250
$28.00
Alex Marquez
+400
$100.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+900
$200.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+1100
$240.00
Enea Bastianini
+1400
$300.00
Fabio Quartararo
+1600
$340.00
Pedro Acosta
+1600
$340.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+2900
$600.00
Franco Morbidelli
+3900
$800.00
Brad Binder
+4900
$1,000.00
Johann Zarco
+4900
$1,000.00
Jorge Martin
+5900
$1,200.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+5900
$1,200.00
Pol Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Joan Mir
+9900
$2,000.00
Maverick Vinales
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+9900
$2,000.00
Luca Marini
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+9900
$2,000.00
Raul Fernandez
+9900
$2,000.00
Ai Ogura
+9900
$2,000.00
Alex Rins
+24900
$5,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+49900
$10,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+74900
$15,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+74900
$15,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+74900
$15,000.00
Michele Pirro
+74900
$15,000.00
Expert Pick
We’re sticking with the tried and tested for MotoGP San Marino. Marc Marquez has barely put a foot wrong this season, and while he did lose out to his brother last weekend, he’s entered Victory Lane seven times in the previous eight races. His dominance translates into short odds of -250, which potentially pays $28.00 on a $20 bet.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Francesco Bagnaia finished second to Marc Marquez here last year. This time around, they’re on the same team. Can Ducati produce the winning bike, and will Pecco exact his revenge against the Riders’ Championship leader? Or does Alex Marquez have other plans for his older rivals? See how the checkered flag drops on Sunday in Italy.
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Red Bull Grand Prix of San Marino. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The 2023 MotoGP season finale at the Grand Prix Valencia will be remembered as a defining moment in the annals of motorcycle racing. Francesco Bagnaia’s triumphant defense of his title was nothing short of a motorsport masterpiece, an exemplar of skill and nerve under pressure. The riveting twist came with Jorge Martin’s crash on Lap …
Fermín Aldeguer suffered a broken femur while training at the Aspar circuit in Valencia and has been ruled out of the Sepang preseason test (Feb 3–5). He joined Gresini’s Kuala Lumpur launch by video call to give a recovery update, saying his condition is improving “day by day” but that he must remain at home for rehabilitation and further medical checks. He will miss the Thailand season opener and does not expect to be back on the bike before the Brazil or Austin rounds in March, declining to set a firm comeback date until examinations show how his leg responds.
The injury has cost Aldeguer valuable preseason track time and disrupted his preparation for a second full MotoGP season after he won the 2025 Indonesian Grand Prix and was named Rookie of the Year. Gresini will lose the development and race miles he would have gained in Sepang and the early rounds, while Ducati test rider Michele Pirro is his likely substitute while medical clearance is pending. Aldeguer’s timeline also contrasts with an earlier, more optimistic comment from Ducati chief Davide Tardozzi that a return for the opener was realistic, highlighting uncertainty about his readiness for the early rounds.
The setback also affects Aldeguer’s longer-term Ducati pathway. He signed a four‑year deal with Ducati in 2025 and helped Gresini to second place in the teams’ championship, positioning the satellite outfit as a near‑factory development route. Media reports linking Ducati to Pedro Acosta as a potential 2027 target have been framed as relevant to Aldeguer’s prospects for a future factory seat. For now, Gresini and Aldeguer are treating any return as conditional on ongoing rehabilitation and the results of further medical examinations. His recovery pace will determine his availability in the early rounds and how his Ducati trajectory evolves.
Dunlop has been named the official tire supplier and technical partner for the inaugural 2026 Harley‑Davidson Bagger World Cup, a new MotoGP support series. The appointment marks Dunlop’s return to the MotoGP paddock after supplying Moto2 and Moto3 until 2024, and builds on the company’s bagger‑racing work with the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet program in MotoAmerica, which secured the 2025 riders’ and teams’ titles. Dunlop will supply dedicated racing tires and provide full technical and trackside support across the series.
The World Cup will run six double‑header rounds (12 races) on selected MotoGP weekends: Circuit of the Americas (Mar 27–29), Mugello (May 29–31), Assen (Jun 26–28), Silverstone (Aug 7–9), MotorLand Aragón (Aug 28–30) and the Red Bull Ring (Sep 18–20). Dorna confirmed the championship in mid‑2025 following a strategic partnership between MotoGP and Harley‑Davidson in late 2024. The new series takes the calendar slot of the MotoE World Championship, which is shelved for 2026. No teams or riders have been named yet.
Competitors will race identical Harley‑Davidson Road Glide machines prepared by the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet Factory Race Team, powered by Screamin’ Eagle Milwaukee‑Eight 131 crate engines. The bikes are specified at roughly 280 kg, produce more than 200 hp, and can exceed 300 km/h. Dunlop will supply specific tire sizes (front 120/75 R17 and rear 200/65 R17), provide full on‑track tire service at each round, and administer a US$250,000 contingency prize fund with progressive payouts to the top ten finishers of each race plus a US$25,000 end‑of‑season champion bonus. Together, the factory‑prepared spec machines, integrated tire support, and substantial contingency program position the Bagger World Cup as a factory‑backed, high‑performance spec‑bike championship designed to showcase bagger racing on major international race weekends.
Yamaha’s switch to a V4-powered M1 was tested under a difficult spotlight at the Sepang pre-season test, where engine failures, handling peculiarities, and a rider injury disrupted the program. The factory team sat out the second day on safety grounds after unspecified engine problems affected Fabio Quartararo and Toprak Razgatlioglu. Quartararo crashed on the opening day, fracturing a finger that required surgery and was ruled out of the remaining days. Reports from the test said both Quartararo and Razgatlioglu destroyed engines during the outing, while Alex Rins added that an unnamed rookie also broke an engine during the program. Yamaha paused running to investigate overnight in Japan and Italy, then resumed later with reduced mileage, using D-concession status to preserve options for further engine work and private tests.
On pace, the new V4 left Yamaha more than a second off the outright lap times and last among the five manufacturers. Sporting manager Maio Meregalli singled out power as the primary shortfall, even as he described the chassis and balance as satisfactory. Jack Miller, who began the official test 14th and finished the final day 17th, downplayed the fault while also saying he needed more consistent track time. He recorded an average top speed of 327.8 km/h, roughly 10 km/h down on Fabio di Giannantonio’s Ducati. The Australian was the only Yamaha rider to complete a ten-lap race simulation, leaving him 13.957 seconds shy of Alex Marquez’s best Sprint benchmark that afternoon. Alex Rins was the quickest Yamaha on pace in 12th, but limited running across the squad made it difficult to assess the package conclusively.
Beyond outright power, riders reported handling disturbances. Razgatlioglu experienced a recurring Michelin rear-tire behavior when lifting the bike to about 25 degrees that only calmed when the gearbox was shifted into fifth or sixth. Jack Miller declined to elaborate on the technical causes when questioned, and other riders gave similarly guarded responses, underscoring unresolved reliability and safety questions heading into the rest of the pre-season. Yamaha now shifts focus to the final pre-season test at Buriram on February 21–22, where early development work will concentrate on extracting more engine performance and resolving the issues uncovered at Sepang.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP San Marino Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Table of Contents
Consecutive weekends of premier motorbike racing is a welcome sight for petrolheads, and we come bearing exciting news. Somebody has finally ended Marc Marquez’s outrageous win streak, and it was none other than his younger brother Alex, last weekend in Catalonia. Despite the loss, the markets still fancy Marc, who heads the MotoGP San Marino pre-event odds ahead of his sibling and his teammate. Learn about prospects for this weekend as riders touch down on the Adriatic for round 16 of the Championship.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
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Schedule and How to Watch the San Marino MotoGP
Contestants congregate at the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli on Friday, September 12 for opening day of San Marino GP weekend. Riders will battle the clock on Friday in the practice sessions, before shifting gears for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. All eyes are on the grand prize which is up for grabs on September 14, starting at 8:00 am EDT. Follow all the qualifying and racing action throughout the event on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP San Marino
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Ducati star Marc Marquez touches down in Italy with a 182-point buffer at the top of the Riders’ Championship. “The Ant of Cervera” lines up as the defending champion at this circuit and is fresh off his 13th podium of the campaign. Marquez is the winningest rider this season and holds the all-time win record at this venue, with five titles. He ended a seven-race win streak last weekend, after being toppled by his younger brother. Alex Marquez earned his second MotoGP career victory, ending a shaky run that included a DNF, a 10th, and a 14th-place return. Alex has typically struggled on this asphalt, producing a best return of sixth on his last visit.
Ducati has enjoyed its trips to the Adriatic in recent years, prevailing in three of the last seven. Francesco Bagnaia has contributed two victories to the cause in the last four years and finished second last time out. It looks like a long shot, as Pecco hasn’t stood on the rostrum since Germany. Consistency seems to be an issue for Maco Bezzecchi, who has three top-three finishes to his name in the last five starts and two DNFs. The KTM’s have started to find their rhythm late in the season, courtesy of Pedro Acosta, who’s posted four consecutive top fives, including two podiums.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
We’re sticking with the tried and tested for MotoGP San Marino. Marc Marquez has barely put a foot wrong this season, and while he did lose out to his brother last weekend, he’s entered Victory Lane seven times in the previous eight races. His dominance translates into short odds of -250, which potentially pays $28.00 on a $20 bet.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Francesco Bagnaia finished second to Marc Marquez here last year. This time around, they’re on the same team. Can Ducati produce the winning bike, and will Pecco exact his revenge against the Riders’ Championship leader? Or does Alex Marquez have other plans for his older rivals? See how the checkered flag drops on Sunday in Italy.
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Red Bull Grand Prix of San Marino. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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Best Bets: 2024 MotoGP Championship Futures Odds Analysis
The 2023 MotoGP season finale at the Grand Prix Valencia will be remembered as a defining moment in the annals of motorcycle racing. Francesco Bagnaia’s triumphant defense of his title was nothing short of a motorsport masterpiece, an exemplar of skill and nerve under pressure. The riveting twist came with Jorge Martin’s crash on Lap …
Aldeguer’s Broken Femur Rules Him Out of Sepang Test
Fermín Aldeguer suffered a broken femur while training at the Aspar circuit in Valencia and has been ruled out of the Sepang preseason test (Feb 3–5). He joined Gresini’s Kuala Lumpur launch by video call to give a recovery update, saying his condition is improving “day by day” but that he must remain at home for rehabilitation and further medical checks. He will miss the Thailand season opener and does not expect to be back on the bike before the Brazil or Austin rounds in March, declining to set a firm comeback date until examinations show how his leg responds.
The injury has cost Aldeguer valuable preseason track time and disrupted his preparation for a second full MotoGP season after he won the 2025 Indonesian Grand Prix and was named Rookie of the Year. Gresini will lose the development and race miles he would have gained in Sepang and the early rounds, while Ducati test rider Michele Pirro is his likely substitute while medical clearance is pending. Aldeguer’s timeline also contrasts with an earlier, more optimistic comment from Ducati chief Davide Tardozzi that a return for the opener was realistic, highlighting uncertainty about his readiness for the early rounds.
The setback also affects Aldeguer’s longer-term Ducati pathway. He signed a four‑year deal with Ducati in 2025 and helped Gresini to second place in the teams’ championship, positioning the satellite outfit as a near‑factory development route. Media reports linking Ducati to Pedro Acosta as a potential 2027 target have been framed as relevant to Aldeguer’s prospects for a future factory seat. For now, Gresini and Aldeguer are treating any return as conditional on ongoing rehabilitation and the results of further medical examinations. His recovery pace will determine his availability in the early rounds and how his Ducati trajectory evolves.
Dunlop Named Official Tire Partner for 2026 Bagger World Cup
Dunlop has been named the official tire supplier and technical partner for the inaugural 2026 Harley‑Davidson Bagger World Cup, a new MotoGP support series. The appointment marks Dunlop’s return to the MotoGP paddock after supplying Moto2 and Moto3 until 2024, and builds on the company’s bagger‑racing work with the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet program in MotoAmerica, which secured the 2025 riders’ and teams’ titles. Dunlop will supply dedicated racing tires and provide full technical and trackside support across the series.
The World Cup will run six double‑header rounds (12 races) on selected MotoGP weekends: Circuit of the Americas (Mar 27–29), Mugello (May 29–31), Assen (Jun 26–28), Silverstone (Aug 7–9), MotorLand Aragón (Aug 28–30) and the Red Bull Ring (Sep 18–20). Dorna confirmed the championship in mid‑2025 following a strategic partnership between MotoGP and Harley‑Davidson in late 2024. The new series takes the calendar slot of the MotoE World Championship, which is shelved for 2026. No teams or riders have been named yet.
Competitors will race identical Harley‑Davidson Road Glide machines prepared by the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet Factory Race Team, powered by Screamin’ Eagle Milwaukee‑Eight 131 crate engines. The bikes are specified at roughly 280 kg, produce more than 200 hp, and can exceed 300 km/h. Dunlop will supply specific tire sizes (front 120/75 R17 and rear 200/65 R17), provide full on‑track tire service at each round, and administer a US$250,000 contingency prize fund with progressive payouts to the top ten finishers of each race plus a US$25,000 end‑of‑season champion bonus. Together, the factory‑prepared spec machines, integrated tire support, and substantial contingency program position the Bagger World Cup as a factory‑backed, high‑performance spec‑bike championship designed to showcase bagger racing on major international race weekends.
Engine Failures Force Yamaha to Pause Sepang Running
Yamaha’s switch to a V4-powered M1 was tested under a difficult spotlight at the Sepang pre-season test, where engine failures, handling peculiarities, and a rider injury disrupted the program. The factory team sat out the second day on safety grounds after unspecified engine problems affected Fabio Quartararo and Toprak Razgatlioglu. Quartararo crashed on the opening day, fracturing a finger that required surgery and was ruled out of the remaining days. Reports from the test said both Quartararo and Razgatlioglu destroyed engines during the outing, while Alex Rins added that an unnamed rookie also broke an engine during the program. Yamaha paused running to investigate overnight in Japan and Italy, then resumed later with reduced mileage, using D-concession status to preserve options for further engine work and private tests.
On pace, the new V4 left Yamaha more than a second off the outright lap times and last among the five manufacturers. Sporting manager Maio Meregalli singled out power as the primary shortfall, even as he described the chassis and balance as satisfactory. Jack Miller, who began the official test 14th and finished the final day 17th, downplayed the fault while also saying he needed more consistent track time. He recorded an average top speed of 327.8 km/h, roughly 10 km/h down on Fabio di Giannantonio’s Ducati. The Australian was the only Yamaha rider to complete a ten-lap race simulation, leaving him 13.957 seconds shy of Alex Marquez’s best Sprint benchmark that afternoon. Alex Rins was the quickest Yamaha on pace in 12th, but limited running across the squad made it difficult to assess the package conclusively.
Beyond outright power, riders reported handling disturbances. Razgatlioglu experienced a recurring Michelin rear-tire behavior when lifting the bike to about 25 degrees that only calmed when the gearbox was shifted into fifth or sixth. Jack Miller declined to elaborate on the technical causes when questioned, and other riders gave similarly guarded responses, underscoring unresolved reliability and safety questions heading into the rest of the pre-season. Yamaha now shifts focus to the final pre-season test at Buriram on February 21–22, where early development work will concentrate on extracting more engine performance and resolving the issues uncovered at Sepang.