The 2026 Formula 1 season gets back on track this weekend, as drivers touch down in Southern Florida for the Miami Grand Prix. George Russell leads the pre-event odds ahead of his junior teammate Kimi Antonelli, despite the latter leading the Driver’s Championship after three rounds. Dive into the Polymarket odds for round four to find the best bets for the sprint and main race on Sunday. Here they are.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and Real Money Gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.
Four weeks have passed since we got our last taste of Formula 1 racing, but the wait is over. Engines are revved up, and drivers are rested ahead of the fourth Grand Prix weekend in 2026. The Miami International Autodrome sets up shop for the fourth edition of this race, which runs from Friday, May 1, to Sunday, May 3. This round presents the second sprint race on the calendar, which lines up at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday. However, racers will have their eyes on the bigger points potential in the Grand Prix. The main event is set to line up at 16:00 on Sunday, and you can follow the action live on Apple TV.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Live Formula 1 Odds
F1 Miami Prix Odds
Event Winner Odds
Leading into round four, the Mercedes boys have the upper hand, with a clean sweep of victories so far in 2026. The pre-race favorite, George Russell, took top honors in the season opener “Down Under,” but has since had to settle for runner-up behind his teammate. Teenager, Kimi Antonelli, lines up as the second favorite, despite leading the Drivers Championship. The Italian is the youngest pilot to hold the honor on top of his other record, the youngest to clinch consecutive race wins. Antonelli is hunting a hat-trick of Grands Prix heading into Miami, a venue where he set another record in 2025. Last year, he bagged the sprint pole, becoming the most youthful driver to achieve the feat in the shorter race format.
Beyond the dominant constructors’ team, the Ferrari duo have looked next best this season. il Cavallino Rampante has delivered a podium in every race this season. Charles Leclerc has contributed two to his team’s cause, while Lewis Hamilton has one in the trunk in 2026. Oscar Piastri produced his race of the year at Suzuka, highlighting his threat when McLaren can get a car onto the start line. The Australian crossed the line in second behind Antonelli last time out, and returns to a circuit where he prevailed last time out.
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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
George Russell
+160
$52.00
Kimi Antonelli
+208
$61.60
Oscar Piastri
+1076
$235.20
Lando Norris
+1076
$235.20
Charles Leclerc
+1076
$235.20
Lewis Hamilton
+1718
$363.60
Max Verstappen
+2757
$571.40
Oliver Bearman
+22122
$4,444.40
Liam Lawson
+24900
$5,000.00
Esteban Ocon
+28471
$5,714.20
Carlos Sainz
+28471
$5,714.20
Fernando Alonso
+28471
$5,714.20
Sergio Perez
+28471
$5,714.20
Alexander Albon
+28471
$5,714.20
Valtteri Bottas
+28471
$5,714.20
Arvid Lindblad
+33233
$6,666.60
Franco Colapinto
+33233
$6,666.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+33233
$6,666.60
Pierre Gasly
+39900
$8,000.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+39900
$8,000.00
Lance Stroll
+39900
$8,000.00
Isack Hadjar
+66567
$13,333.40
Expert Pick
Kimi Antonelli appears to have adapted to the 2026 setup changes faster than his peers. He also looks to have a far superior vehicle to the rest of the field. After a sensational debut season, including a sprint pole in Miami, we’re putting our faith in the youthful Italian. Antoneeli is currently priced at +208 or 32.5% on Polymarket, offering a potential payout of $61.60 on a $20.00 wager.
Lando Norris is searching for his third consecutive podium in Miami.
Podium Odds
Regular podium finishers this term, George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, line up in Miami at -500 for a podium. They’re a little expensive for our liking, but their current form gives them a strong chance of bagging a first three finish. Charles Leclerc enters with two top threes in three races this year, and is worth a look at +200. The Monagasque’s teammate Lewis Hamilton is next on the odds sheet, and has one rostrum in the bag, already better than last season. Fresh off a top-two performance in Japan is Oscar Piastri. Punters suggest there is a high chance of him grabbing a podium, but remember that he failed to make it to the start line in two out of three races in 2026.
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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
-500
$24.00
George Russell
-500
$24.00
Oscar Piastri
-125
$36.00
Lando Norris
-110
$38.18
Charles Leclerc
+200
$60.00
Lewis Hamilton
+225
$65.00
Max Verstappen
+1200
$260.00
Isack Hadjar
+6500
$1,320.00
Arvid Lindblad
+13000
$2,620.00
Esteban Ocon
+13000
$2,620.00
Liam Lawson
+13000
$2,620.00
Oliver Bearman
+13000
$2,620.00
Pierre Gasly
+13000
$2,620.00
Franco Colapinto
+20000
$4,020.00
Alex Albon
+25000
$5,020.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+25000
$5,020.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+25000
$5,020.00
Sergio Perez
+25000
$5,020.00
Carlos Sainz
+25000
$5,020.00
Valtteri Bottas
+30000
$6,020.00
Fernando Alonso
+40000
$8,020.00
Lance Stroll
+40000
$8,020.00
Oscar Piastri has endured a tough start to his 2026 campaign, but is back to defend the title he won 12 months ago.
Fastest Lap
The youngest driver on the grid continues to steal the headlines. He arrives in Miami with consecutive fastest laps to his name. Kimi Antonelli stopped the clock at 1:35.275 in Shanghai and 1:32.432 in the last round. Max Verstappen is the only other driver to bag a Fastest Lap prize this term, which came in the opening race in Melbourne. However, the “Flying Dutchman” has since battled to compete in this contest. Lando Norris produced the second fastest lap time in Australia, but that was the last time he was a nuisance for the leaders. The only other drivers that appear to consistently challenge Antonelli are George Russell and the two Ferraris.
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Driver
Fastest Lap
Payout on $20
George Russell
+200
$60.00
Kimi Antonelli
+200
$60.00
Lando Norris
+850
$190.00
Oscar Piastri
+850
$190.00
Lewis Hamilton
+900
$200.00
Charles Leclerc
+900
$200.00
Max Verstappen
+1100
$240.00
Isack Hadjar
+3500
$720.00
Arvid Lindblad
+8000
$1,620.00
Oliver Bearman
+8000
$1,620.00
Pierre Gasly
+8000
$1,620.00
Liam Lawson
+8000
$1,620.00
Esteban Ocon
+8000
$1,620.00
Alex Albon
+10000
$2,020.00
Carlos Sainz
+10000
$2,020.00
Franco Colapinto
+10000
$2,020.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+10000
$2,020.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+10000
$2,020.00
Valtteri Bottas
+13000
$2,620.00
Fernando Alonso
+13000
$2,620.00
Lance Stroll
+13000
$2,620.00
Sergio Perez
+13000
$2,620.00
Pole Position Odds
The pride of German engineering, Mercedes appear unstoppanble this season, and the odds suggest it. Russell and Antonelli are joint favorites to start on the front row of the grid, as the duo account for all pole positions this term. Antonelli has qualified quickest over the last two race weekends, while his senior partner took the opening pole of 2026. The duo hasn’t started further back than second this year, highlighting their superiority. Oscar Piastri,Lewis Hamilton, and Isack Hadjar have all qualified third fastest on one occasion. Bettors suggest Piastri is the driver who is closest to challenging the German-owned team.
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Driver
Pole Position
Payout on $20
George Russell
+130
$46.00
Kimi Antonelli
+130
$46.00
Oscar Piastri
+850
$190.00
Lando Norris
+1000
$220.00
Charles Leclerc
+1400
$300.00
Lewis Hamilton
+1400
$300.00
Max Verstappen
+3500
$720.00
Isack Hadjar
+10000
$2,020.00
Arvid Lindblad
+30000
$6,020.00
Liam Lawson
+30000
$6,020.00
Oliver Bearman
+30000
$6,020.00
Esteban Ocon
+30000
$6,020.00
Pierre Gasly
+30000
$6,020.00
Franco Colapinto
+40000
$8,020.00
Carlos Sainz
+40000
$8,020.00
Alex Albon
+50000
$10,020.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+50000
$10,020.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+50000
$10,020.00
Fernando Alonso
+70000
$14,020.00
Sergio Perez
+70000
$14,020.00
Valtteri Bottas
+70000
$14,020.00
Lance Stroll
+70000
$14,020.00
Sprint Winner
The second of six sprint races this term hits the asphalt in Miami on Saturday. George Russell is the unsurprising favorite after entering Victory Lane in Shanghai. Charles Leclerc showed his ability in the opening sprint race, rising from sixth to second place. Ferrari delivers superior acceleration off the line, which can give drivers an advantage into the first corner. However, the stamina of the car in a full race remains questionable compared to a so-far flawless Mercedes. Sticking with the Italian outfit, Lewis Hamilton is well priced for a sprint win and arrives after a third-place return in the Far East. Our last pick in the sprint is the reigning champion in this event, Lando Norris. The Briton finished fourth in the first sprint but enjoyed a successful run in 2025, capturing two short races.
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Driver
Sprint Winner
Payout on $20
George Russell
+175
$55.00
Kimi Antonelli
+200
$60.00
Oscar Piastri
+550
$130.00
Lando Norris
+700
$160.00
Charles Leclerc
+850
$190.00
Lewis Hamilton
+1200
$260.00
Max Verstappen
+2500
$520.00
Isack Hadjar
+8000
$1,620.00
Oliver Bearman
+13000
$2,620.00
Pierre Gasly
+13000
$2,620.00
Arvid Lindblad
+15000
$3,020.00
Esteban Ocon
+15000
$3,020.00
Liam Lawson
+15000
$3,020.00
Franco Colapinto
+25000
$5,020.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+30000
$6,020.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+30000
$6,020.00
Alex Albon
+40000
$8,020.00
Carlos Sainz
+40000
$8,020.00
Fernando Alonso
+50000
$10,020.00
Lance Stroll
+50000
$10,020.00
Sergio Perez
+50000
$10,020.00
Valtteri Bottas
+50000
$10,020.00
Fastest Sprint Qualifier
Mercedes top dog, George Russell, set the fastest time over one lap in the Chinese GP sprint qualifying. If we combine that with the three standard qualifying sessions, Russell and Antonelli are tied on two apiece. It shows that their cars are better over one lap and have the stamina to take sprint races and Grands Prix. The junior on the team, Antonelli, finished sprint qualifying in second in Shanghai, but has taken pole in the most recent sessions. Lando Norris qualified third-fastest for the Chinese sprint, and adds to the narrative that McLaren is putting up their hands as a serious challenger. His teammate Piastri started in third in Japan, four weeks ago.
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Driver
Fastest Sprint Qualifier
Payout on $20
George Russell
+155
$51.00
Kimi Antonelli
+155
$51.00
Oscar Piastri
+650
$150.00
Lando Norris
+850
$190.00
Charles Leclerc
+1000
$220.00
Lewis Hamilton
+1400
$300.00
Max Verstappen
+3500
$720.00
Isack Hadjar
+10000
$2,020.00
Oliver Bearman
+15000
$3,020.00
Pierre Gasly
+15000
$3,020.00
Arvid Lindblad
+20000
$4,020.00
Esteban Ocon
+20000
$4,020.00
Liam Lawson
+20000
$4,020.00
Franco Colapinto
+25000
$5,020.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+30000
$6,020.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+30000
$6,020.00
Alex Albon
+40000
$8,020.00
Carlos Sainz
+40000
$8,020.00
Fernando Alonso
+50000
$10,020.00
Lance Stroll
+50000
$10,020.00
Sergio Perez
+50000
$10,020.00
Valtteri Bottas
+50000
$10,020.00
2026 F1 Futures
Three rounds into the 2026 season, and it’s Kimi Antonelli who holds a nine-point advantage at the top of the World Championship standings. The Italian is ahead of his colleague Russell, after building a 66.7% win rate in the opening rounds. There is a long season ahead, but Antonelli is favorably priced at +221, despite his exceptional form. Outside of the Mercedes garage, Charles Leclerc has consistently challenged for podiums this year. But he needs to start winning races if he wants his name thrown into the Championship conversation. He lines up in Miami 23 units adrift of Antonelli, which explains his longer odds.
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Driver
World Championship Odds
Payout on $20
George Russell
+138
$47.60
Kimi Antonelli
+221
$64.20
Charles Leclerc
+1438
$307.60
Oscar Piastri
+1941
$408.20
Lewis Hamilton
+1983
$416.60
Lando Norris
+2757
$571.40
Max Verstappen
+3233
$666.60
Alexander Albon
+19900
$4,000.00
Fernando Alonso
+24900
$5,000.00
Carlos Sainz Jr.
+24900
$5,000.00
Sergio Pérez
+24900
$5,000.00
Franco Colapinto
+24900
$5,000.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+24900
$5,000.00
Nico Hülkenberg
+24900
$5,000.00
Esteban Ocon
+24900
$5,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+24900
$5,000.00
Isack Hadjar
+24900
$5,000.00
Valtteri Bottas
+24900
$5,000.00
Pierre Gasly
+33233
$6,666.60
Liam Lawson
+33233
$6,666.60
Lance Stroll
+33233
$6,666.60
Oliver Bearman
+33233
$6,666.60
Where to Bet on the Miami Grand Prix
The lights are ready to go out at the Miami International Autodrome in the second sprint weekend of the year. Can Kimi Antonelli win his third consecutive Grand Prix to extend his lead in the Drivers’ Championship? Or will his senior partner, George Russell, show the value of experience, to win his second GP race of the season?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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Best Bets: 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The 2026 Formula 1 season gets back on track this weekend, as drivers touch down in Southern Florida for the Miami Grand Prix. George Russell leads the pre-event odds ahead of his junior teammate Kimi Antonelli, despite the latter leading the Driver’s Championship after three rounds. Dive into the Polymarket odds for round four to find the best bets for the sprint and main race on Sunday. Here they are.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and Real Money Gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.
Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Miami Grand Prix
Four weeks have passed since we got our last taste of Formula 1 racing, but the wait is over. Engines are revved up, and drivers are rested ahead of the fourth Grand Prix weekend in 2026. The Miami International Autodrome sets up shop for the fourth edition of this race, which runs from Friday, May 1, to Sunday, May 3. This round presents the second sprint race on the calendar, which lines up at 12:00 pm ET on Saturday. However, racers will have their eyes on the bigger points potential in the Grand Prix. The main event is set to line up at 16:00 on Sunday, and you can follow the action live on Apple TV.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Live Formula 1 Odds
F1 Miami Prix Odds
Event Winner Odds
Leading into round four, the Mercedes boys have the upper hand, with a clean sweep of victories so far in 2026. The pre-race favorite, George Russell, took top honors in the season opener “Down Under,” but has since had to settle for runner-up behind his teammate. Teenager, Kimi Antonelli, lines up as the second favorite, despite leading the Drivers Championship. The Italian is the youngest pilot to hold the honor on top of his other record, the youngest to clinch consecutive race wins. Antonelli is hunting a hat-trick of Grands Prix heading into Miami, a venue where he set another record in 2025. Last year, he bagged the sprint pole, becoming the most youthful driver to achieve the feat in the shorter race format.
Beyond the dominant constructors’ team, the Ferrari duo have looked next best this season. il Cavallino Rampante has delivered a podium in every race this season. Charles Leclerc has contributed two to his team’s cause, while Lewis Hamilton has one in the trunk in 2026. Oscar Piastri produced his race of the year at Suzuka, highlighting his threat when McLaren can get a car onto the start line. The Australian crossed the line in second behind Antonelli last time out, and returns to a circuit where he prevailed last time out.
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Expert Pick
Kimi Antonelli appears to have adapted to the 2026 setup changes faster than his peers. He also looks to have a far superior vehicle to the rest of the field. After a sensational debut season, including a sprint pole in Miami, we’re putting our faith in the youthful Italian. Antoneeli is currently priced at +208 or 32.5% on Polymarket, offering a potential payout of $61.60 on a $20.00 wager.
Lando Norris is searching for his third consecutive podium in Miami.
Podium Odds
Regular podium finishers this term, George Russell and Kimi Antonelli, line up in Miami at -500 for a podium. They’re a little expensive for our liking, but their current form gives them a strong chance of bagging a first three finish. Charles Leclerc enters with two top threes in three races this year, and is worth a look at +200. The Monagasque’s teammate Lewis Hamilton is next on the odds sheet, and has one rostrum in the bag, already better than last season. Fresh off a top-two performance in Japan is Oscar Piastri. Punters suggest there is a high chance of him grabbing a podium, but remember that he failed to make it to the start line in two out of three races in 2026.
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Oscar Piastri has endured a tough start to his 2026 campaign, but is back to defend the title he won 12 months ago.
Fastest Lap
The youngest driver on the grid continues to steal the headlines. He arrives in Miami with consecutive fastest laps to his name. Kimi Antonelli stopped the clock at 1:35.275 in Shanghai and 1:32.432 in the last round. Max Verstappen is the only other driver to bag a Fastest Lap prize this term, which came in the opening race in Melbourne. However, the “Flying Dutchman” has since battled to compete in this contest. Lando Norris produced the second fastest lap time in Australia, but that was the last time he was a nuisance for the leaders. The only other drivers that appear to consistently challenge Antonelli are George Russell and the two Ferraris.
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Pole Position Odds
The pride of German engineering, Mercedes appear unstoppanble this season, and the odds suggest it. Russell and Antonelli are joint favorites to start on the front row of the grid, as the duo account for all pole positions this term. Antonelli has qualified quickest over the last two race weekends, while his senior partner took the opening pole of 2026. The duo hasn’t started further back than second this year, highlighting their superiority. Oscar Piastri, Lewis Hamilton, and Isack Hadjar have all qualified third fastest on one occasion. Bettors suggest Piastri is the driver who is closest to challenging the German-owned team.
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Sprint Winner
The second of six sprint races this term hits the asphalt in Miami on Saturday. George Russell is the unsurprising favorite after entering Victory Lane in Shanghai. Charles Leclerc showed his ability in the opening sprint race, rising from sixth to second place. Ferrari delivers superior acceleration off the line, which can give drivers an advantage into the first corner. However, the stamina of the car in a full race remains questionable compared to a so-far flawless Mercedes. Sticking with the Italian outfit, Lewis Hamilton is well priced for a sprint win and arrives after a third-place return in the Far East. Our last pick in the sprint is the reigning champion in this event, Lando Norris. The Briton finished fourth in the first sprint but enjoyed a successful run in 2025, capturing two short races.
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Fastest Sprint Qualifier
Mercedes top dog, George Russell, set the fastest time over one lap in the Chinese GP sprint qualifying. If we combine that with the three standard qualifying sessions, Russell and Antonelli are tied on two apiece. It shows that their cars are better over one lap and have the stamina to take sprint races and Grands Prix. The junior on the team, Antonelli, finished sprint qualifying in second in Shanghai, but has taken pole in the most recent sessions. Lando Norris qualified third-fastest for the Chinese sprint, and adds to the narrative that McLaren is putting up their hands as a serious challenger. His teammate Piastri started in third in Japan, four weeks ago.
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2026 F1 Futures
Three rounds into the 2026 season, and it’s Kimi Antonelli who holds a nine-point advantage at the top of the World Championship standings. The Italian is ahead of his colleague Russell, after building a 66.7% win rate in the opening rounds. There is a long season ahead, but Antonelli is favorably priced at +221, despite his exceptional form. Outside of the Mercedes garage, Charles Leclerc has consistently challenged for podiums this year. But he needs to start winning races if he wants his name thrown into the Championship conversation. He lines up in Miami 23 units adrift of Antonelli, which explains his longer odds.
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Where to Bet on the Miami Grand Prix
The lights are ready to go out at the Miami International Autodrome in the second sprint weekend of the year. Can Kimi Antonelli win his third consecutive Grand Prix to extend his lead in the Drivers’ Championship? Or will his senior partner, George Russell, show the value of experience, to win his second GP race of the season?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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