The 2026 Supercross Championship continues to entertain with one point separating Hunter Lawrence and Eli Tomac at the head of the standings. Tomac is fresh off his third victory of the season and arrives in Arlington as the pre-event odds favorite ahead of Lawrence. The Australian ceded points in the title race after ending a four-race podium streak last weekend in Seattle. Find your best bets and picks for the win, podium, and matchups ahead of round seven this weekend.
In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX World Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively onUnderdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 33 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.
It’s the offseason for football, so the Cowboys are loaning the AT&T Stadium to the world’s best riders for one night only. On Saturday, February 21, the 450SX riders undertake qualifying just before lunch, starting at 11:00 am CT. Racers return to the arena for the main event later that day, set for a 6:00 pm start. Find out if Eli Tomac can win his fourth event of the year live on Peacock TV, and stay updated on times and line-ups on the dedicated event page.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets & Odds for Supercross Arlington
Odds for the Event Winner
El Tomac hit a rocky road between Houston and Glendale, falling off the podium in those two rounds, but he bounced back with vengeance out west last weekend. The KTM rider beat the field to the line in Seattle for his third trip inside Victory Lane this year. He now finds himself in second on the standings, one point adrift of the leader.
Cooper Webb grabbed the holeshot in round six, but settled for runner-up, providing his third consecutive top three. He returns to Arlington looking for his fourth consecutive triumph on this track, and starts with the second-best finish over the previous five rounds at 3.8. Hunter Lawrence presents the best average in the competition at 2.67, but he’s yet to win a race, with four runner-ups to his name.
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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+120
$44.00
Hunter Lawrence
+210
$62.00
Chase Sexton
+272
$74.40
Ken Roczen
+400
$100.00
Cooper Webb
+778
$175.60
Justin Cooper
+2497
$519.40
Aaron Plessinger
+4155
$851.00
Jason Anderson
+4325
$885.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+5782
$1,176.40
Malcolm Stewart
+5998
$1,219.60
Joey Savatgy
+9246
$1,869.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+16567
$3,333.40
Vince Friese
+16567
$3,333.40
Anton Nordstrom
+17757
$3,571.40
Christian Craig
+17757
$3,571.40
Josh Greco
+17757
$3,571.40
Shane McElrath
+17757
$3,571.40
Zack Williams
+18768
$3,773.60
Justin Hill
+18768
$3,773.60
Ty Masterpool
+18768
$3,773.60
Preston Taylor
+18768
$3,773.60
Robbie Wageman
+18768
$3,773.60
Jordon Smith
+18768
$3,773.60
Brandon Pederson
+18768
$3,773.60
Luke Dickey
+18768
$3,773.60
Bobby Piazza
+19131
$3,846.20
Logan Leitzel
+19131
$3,846.20
Josh Cartwright
+19131
$3,846.20
Cheyenne Harmon
+19131
$3,846.20
Colt Nichols
+19131
$3,846.20
Mitchell Harrison
+19131
$3,846.20
Freddie Noren
+19131
$3,846.20
Kevin Moranz
+19131
$3,846.20
Tristan Lane
+19131
$3,846.20
Grant Harlan
+19131
$3,846.20
Cole Thompson
+19131
$3,846.20
Logan Karnow
+19131
$3,846.20
Justin Starling
+19131
$3,846.20
Addison Emory IV
+19131
$3,846.20
Scotty Wennerstrom
+19131
$3,846.20
Ronnie Orres
+19131
$3,846.20
Austin Cozadd
+19131
$3,846.20
John Short IV
+19131
$3,846.20
Charles Tolleson IV
+19131
$3,846.20
Cory Carsten
+19131
$3,846.20
Expert Pick
Eli Tomac looked strong in Seattle, and the winningest rider in the field earns our support as the expert pick for round seven. He enters Arlington with four podiums under the bike this campaign, including three victories, and he’s riding with a 3.67 average. Tomac is the overwhelming favorite at +120, potentially paying out $44.00 ona $20.00 wager.
Odds for a Podium
We spoke about Hunter Lawrence as a contender for top honors, but he’s more likely to end inside the top three. His worst finish is fourth in 2026, a feat he’s achieved twice, on top of his four runner-ups. The Aussie isn’t offering as much value as he did in the previous weeks, starting at -278. Chase Sexton snuck into the top five last weekend and now averages 4.4 across his previous five starts. He grabbed the final spot on the rostrum in 2025 and crossed the line in second in the 2023 edition at this venue.
German-American Ken Roczen fell back to third in the standings after a disastrous outing in Washington state. He ended in 10th, for only his second return off the podium this campaign. He has the goods to deliver a podium, averaging 4.50 across the year. However, he is slightly expensive at -154 this week for a top three. Moving down the odds sheet, we find Cooper Webb, who continues to provide value this year. He’s on a three-rostrum streak arriving in Arlington, but he’s oozing value for money at +200.
Rider
Finishing Position
Eli Tomac
2.5
Hunter Lawrence
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Cooper Webb
5.5
Dylan Ferrandis
6.5
Justin Cooper
7.5
Joey Savatgy
8.5
Jason Anderson
9.5
Aaron Plessinger
9.5
Malcolm Stewart
10.5
Garrett Marchbanks
14.5
H2H Odds
Ken Roczen faces Chase Sexton in the pick of the matchups in Arlington, with the Suzuki rider starting as the underdog. Despite his longshot status, he’s crossed the line ahead of Chase Sexton in four races this year, and boasts a superior finishing average of 4.50. Roczen also boasts more top threes in 2026 than Sexton, but the favorite has entered Victory Lane on one occassion.
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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
-130
$35.38
Ken Roczen
-102
$39.61
Eli Tomac
-150
$33.33
Hunter Lawrence
+113
$42.60
Joey Savatgy
-165
$32.12
Malcolm Stewart
+123
$44.60
Cooper Webb
-189
$30.58
Justin Cooper
+140
$48.00
Aaron Plessinger
+130
$46.00
Dylan Ferrandis
-174
$31.49
2026 SMX Futures
Six rounds have passed, and Eli Tomac has prevailed in 50% of them, making him the frontrunner early on in the season. His odds for Championship glory have shortened this week to -115, from +150 seven days prior. The Aussie, Lawrence, remains the second favorite for the overall title, sitting on +200, while Cooper Webb’s odds have now shortened to +429 from +1630 prior to round six.
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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-115
$37.39
Hunter Lawrence
+200
$60.00
Cooper Webb
+429
$105.80
Ken Roczen
+455
$111.00
Chase Sexton
+542
$128.40
Justin Cooper
+1983
$416.60
Jorge Prado
+17141
$3,448.20
Jason Anderson
+18082
$3,636.40
Colt Nichols
+25541
$5,128.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+25541
$5,128.20
Aaron Plessinger
+25541
$5,128.20
Christian Craig
+25541
$5,128.20
Joey Savatgy
+25541
$5,128.20
Malcolm Stewart
+26216
$5,263.20
Justin Hill
+26216
$5,263.20
RJ Hampshire
+26216
$5,263.20
Vince Friese
+27678
$5,555.60
Austin Forkner
+28471
$5,714.20
Mitchell Harrison
+28471
$5,714.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+28471
$5,714.20
Shane Mcelrath
+28471
$5,714.20
SX Arlington DFS
Rider
Finishing Position
Eli Tomac
2.5
Hunter Lawrence
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Cooper Webb
5.5
Dylan Ferrandis
6.5
Justin Cooper
7.5
Joey Savatgy
8.5
Jason Anderson
9.5
Aaron Plessinger
9.5
Malcolm Stewart
10.5
Garrett Marchbanks
14.5
Where to Bet on Supercross
Bets for the Supercross Arlington can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Arlington Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Table of Contents
The 2026 Supercross Championship continues to entertain with one point separating Hunter Lawrence and Eli Tomac at the head of the standings. Tomac is fresh off his third victory of the season and arrives in Arlington as the pre-event odds favorite ahead of Lawrence. The Australian ceded points in the title race after ending a four-race podium streak last weekend in Seattle. Find your best bets and picks for the win, podium, and matchups ahead of round seven this weekend.
Bets for the SX Arlington can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.
In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX World Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 33 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.
Offer Score
Offer Score
Offer Score
Offer Score
Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Arlington
It’s the offseason for football, so the Cowboys are loaning the AT&T Stadium to the world’s best riders for one night only. On Saturday, February 21, the 450SX riders undertake qualifying just before lunch, starting at 11:00 am CT. Racers return to the arena for the main event later that day, set for a 6:00 pm start. Find out if Eli Tomac can win his fourth event of the year live on Peacock TV, and stay updated on times and line-ups on the dedicated event page.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets & Odds for Supercross Arlington
Odds for the Event Winner
El Tomac hit a rocky road between Houston and Glendale, falling off the podium in those two rounds, but he bounced back with vengeance out west last weekend. The KTM rider beat the field to the line in Seattle for his third trip inside Victory Lane this year. He now finds himself in second on the standings, one point adrift of the leader.
Cooper Webb grabbed the holeshot in round six, but settled for runner-up, providing his third consecutive top three. He returns to Arlington looking for his fourth consecutive triumph on this track, and starts with the second-best finish over the previous five rounds at 3.8. Hunter Lawrence presents the best average in the competition at 2.67, but he’s yet to win a race, with four runner-ups to his name.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
Eli Tomac looked strong in Seattle, and the winningest rider in the field earns our support as the expert pick for round seven. He enters Arlington with four podiums under the bike this campaign, including three victories, and he’s riding with a 3.67 average. Tomac is the overwhelming favorite at +120, potentially paying out $44.00 ona $20.00 wager.
Odds for a Podium
We spoke about Hunter Lawrence as a contender for top honors, but he’s more likely to end inside the top three. His worst finish is fourth in 2026, a feat he’s achieved twice, on top of his four runner-ups. The Aussie isn’t offering as much value as he did in the previous weeks, starting at -278. Chase Sexton snuck into the top five last weekend and now averages 4.4 across his previous five starts. He grabbed the final spot on the rostrum in 2025 and crossed the line in second in the 2023 edition at this venue.
German-American Ken Roczen fell back to third in the standings after a disastrous outing in Washington state. He ended in 10th, for only his second return off the podium this campaign. He has the goods to deliver a podium, averaging 4.50 across the year. However, he is slightly expensive at -154 this week for a top three. Moving down the odds sheet, we find Cooper Webb, who continues to provide value this year. He’s on a three-rostrum streak arriving in Arlington, but he’s oozing value for money at +200.
H2H Odds
Ken Roczen faces Chase Sexton in the pick of the matchups in Arlington, with the Suzuki rider starting as the underdog. Despite his longshot status, he’s crossed the line ahead of Chase Sexton in four races this year, and boasts a superior finishing average of 4.50. Roczen also boasts more top threes in 2026 than Sexton, but the favorite has entered Victory Lane on one occassion.
swipe to see more
2026 SMX Futures
Six rounds have passed, and Eli Tomac has prevailed in 50% of them, making him the frontrunner early on in the season. His odds for Championship glory have shortened this week to -115, from +150 seven days prior. The Aussie, Lawrence, remains the second favorite for the overall title, sitting on +200, while Cooper Webb’s odds have now shortened to +429 from +1630 prior to round six.
swipe to see more
SX Arlington DFS
Where to Bet on Supercross
Bets for the Supercross Arlington can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Offer Score
Offer Score
Offer Score
Offer Score
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