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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Detroit Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Detroit Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2026 Supercross Championship moves north this Saturday for round 11 of proceedings. Riders lineup in Detroit, hoping to reel in an in-form Australian by the name of Hunter Lawrence. He’s only missed the podium twice this year and is now only one triumph shy of the winningest rider this season, Eli Tomac. His current run explains why he tops the pre-event odds sheet. In other markets, Jorge Pradio leads the holeshot count, while KTM has the most manufacturer wins this season. Discover the best bets and picks for round 11 in Michigan.

Bets for the SX Detroit can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 33 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Detroit

Riders saddle up for round 11 of the 2026 SX Championship on Saturday, March 28, at Ford Field in Detroit. The contingent lines up on the start hill after 12:00 pm ET for qualifiers. and returns to the dirt in the early evening to contest the main event. You can follow the qualifying and main races live on Peacock TV and check the latest news on the dedicated event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SX Detroit 2026

Odds for Holeshot

Out of 14 races in 2026 (including two Triple Crown rounds), two riders account for 50% of the holeshots. Jorge Prado leads the way with four, after grabbing his latest in Birmingham. Despite his lead, the markets still favor Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence. The latter sits second in this contest, with three holeshots to his name, while Tomac only has two. Prado is an interesting option to secure the holeshot in Michigan as he’s priced at +600, where a $20.00 wager could payout $140.00.

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Rider
Holeshot
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+324
$84.80
Hunter Lawrence
+356
$91.20
Ken Roczen
+377
$95.40
Cooper Webb
+516
$123.20
Jorge Prado
+600
$140.00
Justin Cooper
+1092
$238.40
Malcolm Stewart
+1211
$262.20
Aaron Plessinger
+1458
$311.60
Shane Mcelrath
+1933
$406.60
Justin Hill
+2150
$450.00
Jordon Smith
+2804
$580.80
Christian Craig
+2880
$596.00
Colt Nichols
+3806
$781.20
Vince Friese
+5380
$1,096.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+5861
$1,192.20
Mitchell Harrison
+7287
$1,477.40
Grant Harlan
+7991
$1,618.20
Freddie Noren
+8189
$1,657.80
Justin Bogle
+8189
$1,657.80
Kevin Moranz
+9609
$1,941.80
Cade Clason
+12037
$2,427.40
Scott Meshey
+12037
$2,427.40
Tristan Lane
+13493
$2,718.60
Zack Williams
+13630
$2,746.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+13630
$2,746.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+13630
$2,746.00
Cory Carsten
+13630
$2,746.00
Preston Taylor
+13630
$2,746.00
David Pulley
+13630
$2,746.00
Vinny Luhovey
+13630
$2,746.00

Odds for Event Winner

The Championship is fast becoming a two-rider race between Hunter Lawrence and Eli Tomac. Lawrence arrives in Detroit with a nine-point buffer at the head of the table, and Tomac is 31 points clear of the next closest rider, Ken Roczen. Tomac registered a 50% win rate in the first eight rounds of the year and hasn’t missed a podium since Seattle. His Aussie rival took seven rounds to enter Victory Lane this year and has captured three checkered flags in his last four starts. Cooper Webb and Ken Roczen are the only other riders to have won a race in 2026. The latter came close last weekend, finishing second to the Championship leader.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+150
$50.00
Eli Tomac
+200
$60.00
Ken Roczen
+247
$69.40
Cooper Webb
+508
$121.60
Jorge Prado
+1325
$285.00
Justin Cooper
+2010
$422.00
Malcolm Stewart
+2215
$463.00
Aaron Plessinger
+3484
$716.80
Shane McElrath
+6992
$1,418.40
Justin Hill
+7307
$1,481.40
Jordon Smith
+17444
$3,508.80
Colt Nichols
+18419
$3,703.80
Christian Craig
+18419
$3,703.80
Justin Bogle
+19900
$4,000.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+19900
$4,000.00
Vince Friese
+19900
$4,000.00
Grant Harlan
+19900
$4,000.00
Vinny Luhovey
+21177
$4,255.40
Mitchell Harrison
+21177
$4,255.40
Cade Clason
+21177
$4,255.40
Freddie Noren
+21177
$4,255.40
Tristan Lane
+21177
$4,255.40
Scott Meshey
+21177
$4,255.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+21177
$4,255.40
Zack Williams
+21177
$4,255.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+21177
$4,255.40
Cory Carsten
+21177
$4,255.40
Preston Taylor
+21177
$4,255.40
David Pulley
+21177
$4,255.40
Kevin Moranz
+21177
$4,255.40
Expert Pick

Hunter Lawrence is in sublime form, and we can’t bring ourselves to go against him when he’s hunting a hat-trick of victories and his ninth podium of the campaign. His odds are relatively short at +150, but one can’t argue when he averages 1.8 in his last five outings. A $20.00 wager on Lawrence this Saturday could payout $50.00.

Odds for a Podium

It’s tough pickings for value bets in the podium department on Saturday, but Cooper Webb stands out as the shining light. He enters at -103 for a top-three performance, with five rostrums in the trunk this year. Webb is also seeking to defend the title he bagged on his last visit to “Motor City.” Justin Cooper presents an outside opportunity, stringing together three fourth-place returns and one podium in his last six races. If the trends of this season continue, we should see Ken Roczen challenging for a top three, with a 60% podium success rate after 10 rounds.

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-683
$22.93
Eli Tomac
-355
$25.63
Ken Roczen
-235
$28.51
Cooper Webb
-103
$39.42
Jorge Prado
+299
$79.80
Justin Cooper
+425
$105.00
Malcolm Stewart
+546
$129.20
Aaron Plessinger
+706
$161.20
Shane McElrath
+1329
$285.80
Justin Hill
+1776
$375.20
Christian Craig
+2640
$548.00
Jordon Smith
+3065
$633.00
Colt Nichols
+7199
$1,459.80
Preston Taylor
+7837
$1,587.40
Vinny Luhovey
+7837
$1,587.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+7900
$1,600.00
Vince Friese
+7900
$1,600.00
Grant Harlan
+7900
$1,600.00
Justin Bogle
+7900
$1,600.00
Mitchell Harrison
+7900
$1,600.00
Kevin Moranz
+7900
$1,600.00
Freddie Noren
+7900
$1,600.00
Cade Clason
+7900
$1,600.00
David Pulley
+7900
$1,600.00
Tristan Lane
+7900
$1,600.00
Scott Meshey
+7900
$1,600.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+7900
$1,600.00
Zack Williams
+7900
$1,600.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+7900
$1,600.00
Cory Carsten
+7900
$1,600.00

H2H Odds

Eli Tomac takes on Championship leader Hunter Lawrence in our pick of the matchups in Detroit. Tomac enters as the underdog, but has four victories over the Aussie’s three, and both riders average 1.8 in the past five events. However, Lawrence has crossed the line ahead of Tomac in three out of those five races. Bargain hunters might consider Cooper Webb in his clash with Ken Roczen. Webb has beaten the German-American to the line in three out of the past five rounds, and averages 3.6 in that period, compared to Roczen’s 4.8.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+107
$41.40
Hunter Lawrence
-141
$34.18
Cooper Webb
+132
$46.40
Ken Roczen
-177
$31.30
Aaron Plessinger
-101
$39.80
Malcolm Stewart
-131
$35.27
Jorge Prado
-130
$35.38
Justin Cooper
-102
$39.61

Winning Manufacturer

KTM and Honda enter round 11 as the dominant manufacturers this campaign. Honda has come good in recent weeks, courtesy of Hunter Lawrence, racking up three out of the last four races. However, KTM has the edge with four victories in the garage, thanks to an explosive start by Eli Tomac. Suzuki, Yamaha and Kawasaki each have a triumph to their name, but seem to be far off the pace of the leading two manufacturers.

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Manufacturer
Winning Odds
Payout on $20
KTM
+143
$48.60
Honda
+163
$52.60
Suzuki
+273
$74.60
Yamaha
+413
$102.60
Husqvarna
+2425
$505.00
Triumph
+19232
$3,866.40
Kawasaki
+21712
$4,362.40

Winning W.O Tomac & Lawrence

Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence have contributed 70% of the wins to the Championship in 2026. To keep matters interesting, sportsbooks now offer bets on midfield winners, where the leading riders are excluded from the equation. The odds below are led by Ken Roczen, who has won a race this year, but isn’t as consistent at the front as Lawrence and Tomac. Roczen is followed by Cooper Webb, who has five podiums, including a victory under the bike this term

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Rider
Midfield Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
+109
$41.80
Cooper Webb
+238
$67.60
Jorge Prado
+653
$150.60
Justin Cooper
+962
$212.40
Malcolm Stewart
+1218
$263.60
Aaron Plessinger
+1530
$326.00
Shane McElrath
+3257
$671.40
Justin Hill
+3593
$738.60
Jordon Smith
+6786
$1,377.20
Christian Craig
+9348
$1,889.60
Colt Nichols
+17566
$3,533.20
Justin Bogle
+19730
$3,966.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+19730
$3,966.00
Vince Friese
+21274
$4,274.80
Grant Harlan
+21274
$4,274.80
Kevin Moranz
+21274
$4,274.80
Freddie Noren
+21274
$4,274.80
Mitchell Harrison
+22817
$4,583.40
Cade Clason
+22817
$4,583.40
Tristan Lane
+22817
$4,583.40
Scott Meshey
+22817
$4,583.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+22817
$4,583.40
Zack Williams
+22817
$4,583.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+22817
$4,583.40
Cory Carsten
+22817
$4,583.40
Preston Taylor
+22817
$4,583.40
David Pulley
+22817
$4,583.40
Vinny Luhovey
+22817
$4,583.40

2026 SX Futures Odds

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-263
$27.60
Eli Tomac
+113
$42.60
Ken Roczen
+2275
$475.00
Cooper Webb
+5191
$1,058.20
Chase Sexton
+27678
$5,555.60
Justin Cooper
+27678
$5,555.60
Joey Savatgy
+27678
$5,555.60
Jorge Prado
+27678
$5,555.60
Malcolm Stewart
+29312
$5,882.40
Jason Anderson
+29312
$5,882.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+29312
$5,882.40
Aaron Plessinger
+29312
$5,882.40
Christian Craig
+29312
$5,882.40
Justin Hill
+29312
$5,882.40
Colt Nichols
+30203
$6,060.60
Shane McElrath
+30203
$6,060.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+30203
$6,060.60

SX Detroit DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Eli Tomac
2.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Cooper Webb
4.5
Jorge Prado
6.5
Justin Cooper
7.5
Malcolm Stewart
8.5
Aaron Plessinger
9.5
Shane McElrath
10.5
Justin Hill
11.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Detroit round can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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