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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Philadelphia Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Philadelphia Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Three races remain in the 2026 Supercross season before we can crown the Champion. Eli Tomac steals the headline as he sits out this weekend, while a single point separates Hunter Lawrence and Ken Roczen at the top. The Philadelphia pre-event odds suggest the winner will be one of the two leaders, and Cooper Webb offers value for a podium bet. Discover the top picks ahead of the trip to Pennsylvania in our preview below.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Philadelphia

The race to the 2026 450SX title is heating up with only three rounds left. Riders pull into Philadelphia on Saturday, April 25 to take over the Lincoln Financial Field for one night only. The mission is simple. Delay the title celebrations for Roczen and Lawrence. Can anyone in the field rein in the leaders? Tune into Peacock TV for the main race at 7:00 pm ET to see how the checkered flag drops, and catch the latest schedule, news, and results on the dedicated SX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SX Philadelphia 2026

Odds for Main Race Holeshot

Jorge Prado has dominated the holeshot competition this season, racking up five across all races. He arrives in round 15 as a joint-leader in this contest, last earning the feat in Detroit. The Spaniard is the overwhelming favorite at +226, but it’s Hunter Lawrence who has our attention at +534. The Australian registered his fifth holeshot last weekend to tie Prado, yet punters have relegated him to third favorite. This, despite exiting the first corner ahead in three of his last eight starts. Ken Roczen enters this battle on a high, after carding his second holeshot of 2026 in the previous outing.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Jorge Prado
+226
$65.20
Ken Roczen
+488
$117.60
Hunter Lawrence
+534
$126.80
Chase Sexton
+692
$158.40
Cooper Webb
+755
$171.00
Justin Cooper
+849
$189.80
Shane McElrath
+1331
$286.20
Joey Savatgy
+1496
$319.20
Malcolm Stewart
+1512
$322.40
Vince Friese
+1696
$359.20
Justin Hill
+1837
$387.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+2346
$489.20
Dean Wilson
+3153
$650.60
Christian Craig
+5049
$1,029.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+6801
$1,380.20
Colt Nichols
+8980
$1,816.00
Jordon Smith
+10048
$2,029.60
Mitchell Harrison
+13702
$2,760.40
Grant Harlan
+18062
$3,632.40
Tristan Lane
+20743
$4,168.60
Kevin Moranz
+20743
$4,168.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+20743
$4,168.60
Josh Cartwright
+20743
$4,168.60
Cade Clason
+20743
$4,168.60
Kyle Bitterman
+20743
$4,168.60
Vinny Luhovey
+20743
$4,168.60
Zack Williams
+20743
$4,168.60
Bobby Piazza
+20743
$4,168.60
Cory Carsten
+20743
$4,168.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+20743
$4,168.60
Joan Cros
+20743
$4,168.60
Josh Greco
+20743
$4,168.60
Logan Karnow
+20743
$4,168.60
Preston Taylor
+20743
$4,168.60
Ricci Randanella
+20743
$4,168.60
Freddie Noren
+20743
$4,168.60

Odds for Fastest Qualifier

The man of the hour, Hunter Lawrence, steals the show in the fastest qualifier race. He’s stopped the clock fastest on three occasions this term, all coming in the last seven rounds. Jorge Prado and Chase Sexton follow the Honda rider with two quickest qualifier awards between them. The latter last earned the achievement at Anaheim 2, while Prado’s arrived in Seattle. The KTM racer enters at +700 to top the qualifying sheet. Roczen completes the list with one to his name, which he delivered in St. Louis, three rounds ago.

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Rider
Fastest Qualifier
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+205
$61.00
Ken Roczen
+325
$85.00
Chase Sexton
+325
$85.00
Justin Cooper
+556
$131.20
Cooper Webb
+600
$140.00
Jorge Prado
+700
$160.00
Malcolm Stewart
+1200
$260.00
Joey Savatgy
+4000
$820.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+6000
$1,220.00
Justin Hill
+8000
$1,620.00
Jordon Smith
+8000
$1,620.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+12501
$2,520.20
Dean Wilson
+12501
$2,520.20
Shane McElrath
+13845
$2,789.00
Colt Nichols
+13845
$2,789.00
Christian Craig
+13845
$2,789.00
Vince Friese
+13845
$2,789.00
Kevin Moranz
+20000
$4,020.00
Mitchell Harrison
+20000
$4,020.00
Grant Harlan
+20000
$4,020.00
Cade Clason
+20000
$4,020.00
Tristan Lane
+20000
$4,020.00
Freddie Noren
+20000
$4,020.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+20000
$4,020.00
Josh Cartwright
+20000
$4,020.00
Zack Williams
+20000
$4,020.00
Logan Karnow
+20000
$4,020.00
Vinny Luhovey
+20000
$4,020.00
Joan Cros
+20000
$4,020.00
Kyle Bitterman
+20000
$4,020.00
Cory Carsten
+20000
$4,020.00
Bobby Piazza
+20000
$4,020.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+20000
$4,020.00
Josh Greco
+20000
$4,020.00
Ricci Randanella
+20000
$4,020.00
Preston Taylor
+20000
$4,020.00

Odds for Event Winner

The name Hunter Lawrence continues to overshadow the best bets, given his sublime form in 2026. He struggled last weekend in wet conditions in Cleveland, settling for sixth place. The result marked only the fourth time that he’s missed the podium this year. Lawrence is one of three riders to have entered Victory Lane four times across the season, tying him for the winningest rider on the grid. The other two are Eli Tomac, who is out this weekend, and the sizzling-hot Ken Roczen.

Roczen is on a five-podium run, which includes three triumphs. The momentum is on his side, and he’s fresh off another top performance in Cleveland, which narrowed the gap to Hunter Lawrence to a single point. Cooper Webb and Chase Sexton are the only remaining riders on the start hill to have bagged top honors this campaign. Sexton hasn’t won since Anaheim 2, and has only managed one second-place performance since returning from injury. Webb has endured better fortunes of late and starts off the back of consecutive runner-ups.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+175
$55.00
Ken Roczen
+200
$60.00
Cooper Webb
+375
$95.00
Chase Sexton
+483
$116.60
Justin Cooper
+700
$160.00
Jorge Prado
+1301
$280.20
Malcolm Stewart
+1869
$393.80
Joey Savatgy
+5002
$1,020.40
Shane McElrath
+8164
$1,652.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+8596
$1,739.20
Justin Hill
+10001
$2,020.20
Colt Nichols
+18082
$3,636.40
Jordon Smith
+18419
$3,703.80
Christian Craig
+18419
$3,703.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+18419
$3,703.80
Vince Friese
+18768
$3,773.60
Dean Wilson
+18768
$3,773.60
Logan Karnow
+19508
$3,921.60
Kyle Bitterman
+19508
$3,921.60
Bobby Piazza
+19508
$3,921.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+19508
$3,921.60
Josh Cartwright
+19508
$3,921.60
Zack Williams
+19900
$4,000.00
Vinny Luhovey
+19900
$4,000.00
Joan Cros
+19900
$4,000.00
Cory Carsten
+19900
$4,000.00
Josh Greco
+19900
$4,000.00
Preston Taylor
+19900
$4,000.00
Ricci Randanella
+19900
$4,000.00
Kevin Moranz
+19900
$4,000.00
Mitchell Harrison
+19900
$4,000.00
Grant Harlan
+19900
$4,000.00
Cade Clason
+19900
$4,000.00
Tristan Lane
+19900
$4,000.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+19900
$4,000.00
Freddie Noren
+19900
$4,000.00
Expert Pick

It’s a tough choice between Ken Roczen and Hunter Lawrence at the moment, but the German beats the Aussie for our expert pick. It’s difficult to argue with Roczen’s current form, averaging 1.6 in the ultimate five rounds. He lines up in Philly at +200 for the victory, potentially paying out $60.00 on a $20.00 bet.

Odds for a Podium

Cooper Webb is the pick of the riders for a top three at -132. He’s placed second in the consecutive rounds and averages 3.6 across the past 10 meetings. Then there is Chase Sexton, who has the potential, but has battled this season with form and injuries. He’s only stood on the podium twice, with the last one arriving in “Motor City.” However, he has displayed consistency in the last two rounds, crossing the line in fourth. Just below Sexton, we see Justin Cooper, who has blown us away in 2026. He’s collected three podiums along the way, two of them arriving in the past three weeks.

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-400
$25.00
Ken Roczen
-303
$26.60
Cooper Webb
-132
$35.15
Chase Sexton
+113
$42.60
Justin Cooper
+120
$44.00
Joey Savatgy
+328
$85.60
Malcolm Stewart
+469
$113.80
Jorge Prado
+634
$146.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+800
$180.00
Shane McElrath
+1200
$260.00
Justin Hill
+1200
$260.00
Christian Craig
+2949
$609.80
Dean Wilson
+3035
$627.00
Jordon Smith
+7713
$1,562.60
Kevin Moranz
+7713
$1,562.60
Mitchell Harrison
+7713
$1,562.60
Tristan Lane
+7713
$1,562.60
Josh Cartwright
+7713
$1,562.60
Zack Williams
+7713
$1,562.60
Vinny Luhovey
+7713
$1,562.60
Bobby Piazza
+7713
$1,562.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+7713
$1,562.60
Josh Greco
+7713
$1,562.60
Ricci Randanella
+7713
$1,562.60
Colt Nichols
+7774
$1,574.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+7774
$1,574.80
Vince Friese
+7774
$1,574.80
Grant Harlan
+7774
$1,574.80
Cade Clason
+7774
$1,574.80
Kyle Bitterman
+7774
$1,574.80
Anthony Rodriguez
+7774
$1,574.80
Logan Karnow
+7774
$1,574.80
Joan Cros
+7774
$1,574.80
Cory Carsten
+7774
$1,574.80
Preston Taylor
+7774
$1,574.80
Freddie Noren
+7774
$1,574.80

Top 5 Odds

The top five have remained largely static this year, with Lawrence, Roczen, Webb, Sexton, Cooper, and Tomac often challenging for those spots. Looking ahead to this weekend, Justin Cooper piques our interest at -150, carrying a 4.8 finishing average across the last 10 rounds. Joey Savatgy earned his third top five of the term in Cleveland, but consistency has proved challenging. He averages 8.46 after 13 rounds (he missed Birmingham due to injury). Completing the top five hopefuls list are Malcolm Stewart and Jorge Prado, each with a podium a piece and priced at +175 in this market.

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Rider
Top 5 Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-800
$22.50
Ken Roczen
-700
$22.86
Cooper Webb
-225
$28.89
Chase Sexton
-175
$31.43
Justin Cooper
-150
$33.33
Joey Savatgy
+150
$50.00
Malcolm Stewart
+175
$55.00
Jorge Prado
+175
$55.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+500
$120.00
Shane Mcelrath
+599
$139.80
Justin Hill
+599
$139.80
Christian Craig
+682
$156.40
Dean Wilson
+1500
$320.00
Jordon Smith
+1500
$320.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+1770
$374.00
Colt Nichols
+2100
$440.00
Vince Friese
+4469
$913.80
Kevin Moranz
+5532
$1,126.40
Grant Harlan
+5532
$1,126.40
Mitchell Harrison
+5532
$1,126.40
Cade Clason
+5532
$1,126.40
Tristan Lane
+5532
$1,126.40
Vinny Luhovey
+5532
$1,126.40
Josh Cartwright
+5532
$1,126.40
Kyle Bitterman
+5532
$1,126.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+5532
$1,126.40
Bobby Piazza
+5532
$1,126.40
Zack Williams
+5532
$1,126.40
Logan Karnow
+5532
$1,126.40
Joan Cros
+5532
$1,126.40
Cory Carsten
+5532
$1,126.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+5532
$1,126.40
Josh Greco
+5532
$1,126.40
Preston Taylor
+5532
$1,126.40
Ricci Randanella
+5532
$1,126.40
Freddie Noren
+5532
$1,126.40

H2H Odds

A mouthwatering matchup pits one versus two on the Championship Standings, with Ken Roczen entering as the underdog. Roczen has finished behind Lawrence in 64.3% of the rounds, but the Suzuki competitor has prevailed in three of the last five rounds. Roczen’s average obliterates his opponent during that period at 1.6 to 5.8.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-139
$34.39
Ken Roczen
+105
$41.00
Jorge Prado
+159
$51.80
Justin Cooper
-216
$29.26
Chase Sexton
+108
$41.60
Cooper Webb
-144
$33.89
Joey Savatgy
-147
$33.61
Malcolm Stewart
+110
$42.00

Winning Manufacturer

Suzuki’s victory in final Triple Crown leg propelled them into a tie for winningest manufacturer with Honda and KTM. The three teams have each collected four victories this term. Suzuki are the inform manufacturer with three scalps in their past four races, all courtesy of Ken Roczen. Honda delivered 40% of the triumphs in the last 10 rounds, thanks to Hunter Lawrence. With Eli Tomac on the sidelines, one might expect to see KTM struggling, which explains why their odds have lengthened to +1200.

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Manufacturer
Winning Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
+150
$50.00
Suzuki
+190
$58.00
Yamaha
+225
$65.00
Kawasaki
+483
$116.60
KTM
+1200
$260.00
Husqvarna
+1869
$393.80
Ducati
+8596
$1,739.20
Triumph
+18419
$3,703.80

Winning W.O Lawrence or Roczen

Besides Roczen and Lawrence, no other rider has entered Victory Lane in the last six rounds. The duo is dominating the regular competition, but there is still a chance to pick a winner outside of the leaders. Cooper Webb starts at +154, after ending second in the previous two rounds. He also boasts more podiums in this market than his peers, with seven in total. One can never write Chase Sexton off, but 2026 hasn’t been his year. However, he does boast a 63.6% top five return. Finally, Justin Cooper is worth a mention at +328, after two podiums in the past three rounds and a 4.0 average in the ultimate five events.

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Rider
Midfield Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Cooper Webb
+154
$50.80
Chase Sexton
+212
$62.40
Justin Cooper
+328
$85.60
Jorge Prado
+649
$149.80
Malcolm Stewart
+953
$210.60
Joey Savatgy
+2628
$545.60
Shane McElrath
+4319
$883.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+4550
$930.00
Justin Hill
+5302
$1,080.40
Colt Nichols
+9623
$1,944.60
Jordon Smith
+9803
$1,980.60
Christian Craig
+9803
$1,980.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+9803
$1,980.60
Vince Friese
+9990
$2,018.00
Dean Wilson
+9990
$2,018.00
Logan Karnow
+10385
$2,097.00
Kyle Bitterman
+10385
$2,097.00
Bobby Piazza
+10385
$2,097.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+10385
$2,097.00
Josh Cartwright
+10385
$2,097.00
Zack Williams
+10595
$2,139.00
Vinny Luhovey
+10595
$2,139.00
Joan Cros
+10595
$2,139.00
Cory Carsten
+10595
$2,139.00
Josh Greco
+10595
$2,139.00
Preston Taylor
+10595
$2,139.00
Ricci Randanella
+10595
$2,139.00
Kevin Moranz
+10595
$2,139.00
Mitchell Harrison
+10595
$2,139.00
Grant Harlan
+10595
$2,139.00
Cade Clason
+10595
$2,139.00
Tristan Lane
+10595
$2,139.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+10595
$2,139.00

2026 SX Futures Odds

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-130
$35.38
Ken Roczen
-109
$38.35
Cooper Webb
+11665
$2,353.00
Justin Cooper
+38362
$7,692.40
Eli Tomac
+39900
$8,000.00

SX Philadelphia DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Ken Roczen
2.5
Cooper Webb
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Justin Cooper
3.5
Malcolm Stewart
5.5
Jorge Prado
5.5
Joey Savatgy
5.5
Dylan Ferrandis
10.5
Shane McElrath
12.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Philadelphia event of 2026 can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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