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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Seattle Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Seattle Pre-Event Odds Analysis

After five rounds in the 2026 SX Championship, there is still no clear favorite in the title race, with four different riders taking top honors this year. Ken Roczen was the latest to enter Victory Lane, a move that elevated him to second in the Championship. Despite the German-American’s form, it’s Eli Tomac who leads the Supercross Seattle pre-event odds, while series top dog Hunter Lawrence offers serious value for money at +368 this weekend.

Bets for the SX Seattle can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX World Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action. 

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Seattle

The Monster Energy Supercross Championship is back out west this weekend for a date with Seattle. Riders enter the Lumen Field early on Valentine’s Day for qualifying, which wraps up around lunchtime. The 22 fastest qualifiers return to the start hill at 6:29 pm PT for the main event, which Eli Tomac is tipped to snatch. Find out if a different rider will enter Victory Lane for the fifth consecutive round, live on Peacock TV, and stay informed about the schedule on the dedicated event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for Supercross Seattle

Odds for the Event Winner

Eli Tomac retains the faith of punters arriving in Washington State as the favorite for victory. He started the year hot, winning twice and securing a podium at Anaheim 2, but has battled in the past two rounds. Tomac just missed the podium on the Houston Triple Crown leg, and a first-turn crash left him settling for 12th a week ago.

Chase Sexton arrives in Seattle as the second favorite, despite failing to string together a meaningful run of results. He took the checkered flag at Anaheim 2 for his only podium of the campaign so far, and returns to a venue where he finished runner-up in 2025. On the opposite end of the form spectrum, we find Ken Roczen and Hunter Lawrence both holding four rostrums from five rounds. Roczen is fresh off his maiden triumph of the series, while Lawrence is on a run of four consecutive runner-ups.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+184
$56.80
Chase Sexton
+192
$58.40
Ken Roczen
+363
$92.60
Hunter Lawrence
+368
$93.60
Cooper Webb
+775
$175.00
Jorge Prado
+1888
$397.60
Justin Cooper
+2867
$593.40
Jason Anderson
+5055
$1,031.00
Aaron Plessinger
+5782
$1,176.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+7837
$1,587.40
RJ Hampshire
+8233
$1,666.60
Malcolm Stewart
+8909
$1,801.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+19508
$3,921.60
Vince Friese
+19900
$4,000.00
Josh Greco
+19900
$4,000.00
Zack Williams
+20308
$4,081.60
Joey Savatgy
+20733
$4,166.60
Justin Hill
+21177
$4,255.40
Stephen Rubini
+21177
$4,255.40
Shane McElrath
+21639
$4,347.80
Bobby Piazza
+21639
$4,347.80
Colt Nichols
+21639
$4,347.80
Kevin Moranz
+21639
$4,347.80
Grant Harlan
+21639
$4,347.80
Rider Fisher
+21639
$4,347.80
David Pulley
+21639
$4,347.80
Ty Masterpool
+21639
$4,347.80
Christian Craig
+22122
$4,444.40
Josh Cartwright
+22122
$4,444.40
Freddie Noren
+22122
$4,444.40
Mitchell Harrison
+22122
$4,444.40
Tristan Lane
+22122
$4,444.40
Austin Cozadd
+22122
$4,444.40
Chance Blackburn
+22122
$4,444.40
Mason Wharton
+22122
$4,444.40
Expert Pick

Cooper Webb is starting to show glimpses of why he is the defending SX Champion. He’s ridden his way onto the podium in his last two races, clinching the Triple Crown in Houston and ending third last weekend. He’s also back at a venue where he’s taken top honors on his last two visits, and starts with insane value at +775, potentially paying out $175.00 on a $20.00 wager.

Odds for a Podium

If you’re looking to take a more cautious approach, Cooper Webb is worth considering for a top-three performance. He’s priced at +198 to stand on the platform in the pre-event odds, despite achieving the feat in the last two rounds. While their odds are shorter, Hunter Lawrence and Ken Roczen still provide value for money in the podium department. The Australian, Lawrence, reports for duty with the best finishing average in the competition at 2.40, while Roczen follows on 3.40.

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Rider
Podium Finish
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-364
$25.49
Chase Sexton
-328
$26.10
Ken Roczen
-130
$35.38
Hunter Lawrence
-106
$38.87
Cooper Webb
+198
$59.60
Dylan Ferrandis
+480
$116.00
Jorge Prado
+529
$125.80
Justin Cooper
+623
$144.60
Aaron Plessinger
+1147
$249.40
Jason Anderson
+1205
$261.00
Joey Savatgy
+1861
$392.20
Malcolm Stewart
+1958
$411.60
RJ Hampshire
+2471
$514.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+6269
$1,273.80
Rider Fisher
+8097
$1,639.40
Mitchell Harrison
+8097
$1,639.40
Grant Harlan
+8097
$1,639.40
Austin Cozadd
+8097
$1,639.40
Ty Masterpool
+8097
$1,639.40
Vince Friese
+8164
$1,652.80
Josh Greco
+8164
$1,652.80
Christian Craig
+8164
$1,652.80
Shane McElrath
+8164
$1,652.80
Zack Williams
+8164
$1,652.80
Bobby Piazza
+8164
$1,652.80
Justin Hill
+8164
$1,652.80
Josh Cartwright
+8164
$1,652.80
Colt Nichols
+8164
$1,652.80
Kevin Moranz
+8164
$1,652.80
Stephen Rubini
+8164
$1,652.80
Freddie Noren
+8164
$1,652.80
Tristan Lane
+8164
$1,652.80
Chance Blackburn
+8164
$1,652.80
David Pulley
+8164
$1,652.80
Mason Wharton
+8164
$1,652.80

H2H Odds

The matchups for round six present one stellar opportunity for punters in the form of Dylan Ferrandis. He’s taking on Aaron Plessinger, who has endured a tough start to the year, posting a 12.0 finishing average. However, Ferrandis is priced as the underdog at +116, despite averaging 9.60 across the opening five rounds. The longshot has also reached the finish line ahead of Plessinger in three events this year.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
-110
$38.18
Eli Tomac
-120
$36.67
Hunter Lawrence
-112
$37.86
Ken Roczen
-118
$36.95
Cooper Webb
-176
$31.36
Jorge Prado
+131
$46.20
Jason Anderson
+125
$45.00
Justin Cooper
-167
$31.98
Aaron Plessinger
-155
$32.90
Dylan Ferrandis
+116
$43.20

Holeshot Odds

When we include all three races from the Houston Triple Crown leg, Jorge Prado is the leading holeshot rider in 2026. The Spaniard took the holeshot in Anaheim 1 and in the second race in Houston to take his tally to two. Vince Friese grabbed the holeshot last weekend in Glendale, while Jason Anderson, Ken Roczen, Eli Tomac, and Hunter Lawrence each have one apiece as we commence round six of the Championship.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+523
$124.60
Eli Tomac
+535
$127.00
Ken Roczen
+651
$150.20
Hunter Lawrence
+676
$155.20
Cooper Webb
+806
$181.20
Justin Cooper
+1439
$307.80
Jorge Prado
+1454
$310.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+1833
$386.60
Jason Anderson
+1991
$418.20
Aaron Plessinger
+2052
$430.40
Malcolm Stewart
+2424
$504.80
Joey Savatgy
+2463
$512.60
RJ Hampshire
+2546
$529.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+4602
$940.40
Vince Friese
+4981
$1,016.20
Christian Craig
+6662
$1,352.40
Shane McElrath
+8513
$1,722.60
Kevin Moranz
+16429
$3,305.80
Ty Masterpool
+16429
$3,305.80

2026 SMX Futures

After five rounds, we have some slight movements in the 2026 SX futures odds. Eli Tomac retains the top spot, but his price has lengthened from +124 a week ago to +150 today. On the contrary, Hunter Lawrence and Chase Sexton have seen their odds strengthen to +200 for the title, while Ken Roczen now sits on +266. Finally, Cooper Webb is another casualty of lengthening odds, as he moved from +731 before round five to +1630.

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+150
$50.00
Hunter Lawrence
+200
$60.00
Chase Sexton
+200
$60.00
Ken Roczen
+266
$73.20
Cooper Webb
+1630
$346.00
Jorge Prado
+1983
$416.60
Jason Anderson
+3233
$666.60
Justin Cooper
+26216
$5,263.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+55456
$11,111.20
Joey Savatgy
+55456
$11,111.20
Colt Nichols
+58724
$11,764.80
Malcolm Stewart
+58724
$11,764.80
Aaron Plessinger
+58724
$11,764.80
Christian Craig
+58724
$11,764.80
Justin Hill
+58724
$11,764.80
RJ Hampshire
+58724
$11,764.80
Vince Friese
+66567
$13,333.40
Austin Forkner
+66567
$13,333.40
Mitchell Harrison
+66567
$13,333.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+66567
$13,333.40
Shane Mcelrath
+99900
$20,000.00

SX Seattle DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Chase Sexton
2.5
Eli Tomac
2.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Hunter Lawrence
4.5
Cooper Webb
5.5
Dylan Ferrandis
6.5
Jorge Prado
8.5
Justin Cooper
8.5
Aaron Plessinger
10.5
Jason Anderson
10.5
Malcolm Stewart
11.5
RJ Hampshire
13.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Seattle can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

1
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $100
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
2
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
3
Fan Favorite
Use Code SUPERMOTO20X and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
4
Fan Favorite
Bet and Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bets
New Player Offer
4920 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
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