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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross St. Louis Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Six rounds remain in the 2026 Supercross Championship, and we have a new leader heading into St. Louis. Eli Tomac reclaims the lead in the standings after Hunter Lawrence endured a crash-filled round 11 to knock him off the top. Despite the result, the Australian is the favorite for top honors in the St. Louis pre-event odds, and last weekend’s winner, Ken Roczen, offers bang for buck at +400.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross St. Louis

The SX series wraps up its tour of the Midwest this weekend with a stop in St. Louis, Missouri. Riders take over The Dome at America’s Center on Saturday, April 4, 2026, for round 12 of the series. The bikes take to the dirt for qualifying during lunchtime, and the man event is penciled in for 8:29 pm CDT. Follow the action on Peacock TV as Hunter Lawrence looks to close the gap on Eli Tomac in the standings. Check the latest schedule, news, and results on the dedicated SX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SX St. Louis 2026

Odds for the Fastest Qualifier

We have a new offering on the cards this week, allowing punters to wager on the fastest qualifier. Eli Tomac dominates this contest, qualifying fastest in 45.5% of all rounds this season, the latest coming in Birmingham. His arch-rival this season, Hunter Lawrence, has stopped the clock quickest in two of the past four rounds. Lawrence is tied with two fastest qualifications accolades this year alongside Jorge Prado and Chase Sexton.

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Rider
Fastest Qualifier Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+150
$50.00
Chase Sexton
+200
$60.00
Hunter Lawrence
+300
$80.00
Justin Cooper
+1141
$248.20
Ken Roczen
+1183
$256.60
Jorge Prado
+1252
$270.40
Cooper Webb
+1513
$322.60
Malcolm Stewart
+2557
$531.40
Joey Savatgy
+11976
$2,415.20
Justin Hill
+13320
$2,684.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+13320
$2,684.00
Jordon Smith
+13320
$2,684.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+13320
$2,684.00
Shane Mcelrath
+14663
$2,952.60
Aaron Plessinger
+14663
$2,952.60
Christian Craig
+14663
$2,952.60
Colt Nichols
+14663
$2,952.60
Vince Friese
+30000
$6,020.00
Jeremy Hand
+30000
$6,020.00
Cole Thompson
+30000
$6,020.00
Cade Clason
+30000
$6,020.00
Mitchell Harrison
+30000
$6,020.00
Grant Harlan
+30000
$6,020.00
Justin Bogle
+30000
$6,020.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+30000
$6,020.00
Justin Starling
+30000
$6,020.00
Tristan Lane
+30000
$6,020.00
Kevin Moranz
+30000
$6,020.00
John Short IV
+30000
$6,020.00
Scott Meshey
+30000
$6,020.00
Dayton Briggs
+30000
$6,020.00
Josh Cartwright
+30000
$6,020.00
Zack Williams
+30000
$6,020.00
Jared Lesher
+30000
$6,020.00
Joan Cros
+30000
$6,020.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+30000
$6,020.00
Logan Leitzel
+30000
$6,020.00
Lane Shaw
+30000
$6,020.00
Cory Carsten
+30000
$6,020.00
Josh Greco
+30000
$6,020.00
Carter Biese
+30000
$6,020.00
Ronnie Orres
+30000
$6,020.00
Carter Stephenson
+30000
$6,020.00
Scotty Wennerstrom
+30000
$6,020.00
Mason Morris
+30000
$6,020.00
Preston Taylor
+30000
$6,020.00
Collin Allen
+30000
$6,020.00
David Pulley
+30000
$6,020.00

Odds for Holeshot

Jorge Prado is undoubtedly the best starter in the field this term, recording a holeshot in five out of 11 rounds. The Spaniard enters St. Louis after securing the accolade in three of his past five outings, and he’s seeking a third consecutive holeshot this Saturday. The older Lawrence brother has led through the first corner in three main events this campaign, the second most in the lineup. Eli Tomac and Cooper Webb complete our list of potentials, entering round 12 with two holeshots apiece.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Jorge Prado
+210
$62.00
Eli Tomac
+546
$129.20
Ken Roczen
+623
$144.60
Hunter Lawrence
+632
$146.40
Chase Sexton
+764
$172.80
Cooper Webb
+976
$215.20
Aaron Plessinger
+1121
$244.20
Justin Cooper
+1629
$345.80
Joey Savatgy
+1779
$375.80
Vince Friese
+1900
$400.00
Malcolm Stewart
+2116
$443.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+3536
$727.20
Shane Mcelrath
+4241
$868.20
Justin Hill
+5326
$1,085.20
Christian Craig
+7064
$1,432.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+9990
$2,018.00
Jordon Smith
+10134
$2,046.80
Colt Nichols
+10282
$2,076.40
Cole Thompson
+19264
$3,872.80
Jeremy Hand
+21537
$4,327.40
Cade Clason
+21537
$4,327.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+21537
$4,327.40
Grant Harlan
+21537
$4,327.40
Mitchell Harrison
+21537
$4,327.40
John Short IV
+21537
$4,327.40
Justin Starling
+21537
$4,327.40
Justin Bogle
+21537
$4,327.40
Kevin Moranz
+21537
$4,327.40
Dayton Briggs
+21537
$4,327.40
Josh Cartwright
+21537
$4,327.40
Lane Shaw
+21537
$4,327.40
Tristan Lane
+21537
$4,327.40
Zack Williams
+21537
$4,327.40
Scott Meshey
+21537
$4,327.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+21537
$4,327.40
Cory Carsten
+21537
$4,327.40
Jared Lesher
+21537
$4,327.40
Logan Leitzel
+21537
$4,327.40
Carter Biese
+21537
$4,327.40
Joan Cros
+21537
$4,327.40
Ronnie Orres
+21537
$4,327.40
Josh Greco
+21537
$4,327.40
Carter Stephenson
+21537
$4,327.40
Collin Allen
+21537
$4,327.40
David Pulley
+21537
$4,327.40
Mason Morris
+21537
$4,327.40
Preston Taylor
+21537
$4,327.40
Scotty Wennerstrom
+21537
$4,327.40

Odds for Event Winner

Hunter Lawrence lost the Championship lead after Detroit, but not the faith of bettors. There is a sense that the Aussie was seriously unlucky last weekend, crashing and settling for 18th, his first finish outside of the top five this year. Despite the previous rodeo, Lawrence still boasts three trips inside Victory Lane in his last five appearances.

Eli Tomac returns to a venue where he tasted glory last time out. That was two years ago in a Triple Crown event, where he won all three races. He has a habit of triumphing, entering this round as the winningest rider in the Championship in 2026, with four. Ken Roczen built on his consistent form last weekend, standing on the top step of the podium in Michigan, for his second success of the campaign. Also in the running is Chase Sexton, who was outstanding on his return from injury. He notched up a runner-up performance after missing the past three rounds.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+175
$55.00
Eli Tomac
+275
$75.00
Chase Sexton
+300
$80.00
Ken Roczen
+400
$100.00
Cooper Webb
+650
$150.00
Jorge Prado
+1801
$380.20
Justin Cooper
+1801
$380.20
Joey Savatgy
+3998
$819.60
Malcolm Stewart
+6992
$1,418.40
Aaron Plessinger
+7476
$1,515.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+15052
$3,030.40
Shane McElrath
+19131
$3,846.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+19900
$4,000.00
Vince Friese
+19900
$4,000.00
Justin Hill
+27678
$5,555.60
Christian Craig
+28471
$5,714.20
Justin Bogle
+28471
$5,714.20
Jordon Smith
+28471
$5,714.20
Colt Nichols
+29312
$5,882.40
Ronnie Orres
+30203
$6,060.60
Josh Greco
+31150
$6,250.00
David Pulley
+31150
$6,250.00
Mitchell Harrison
+32158
$6,451.60
Grant Harlan
+32158
$6,451.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+32158
$6,451.60
Justin Starling
+32158
$6,451.60
Tristan Lane
+32158
$6,451.60
Kevin Moranz
+32158
$6,451.60
John Short IV
+32158
$6,451.60
Scott Meshey
+32158
$6,451.60
Carter Biese
+32158
$6,451.60
Carter Stephenson
+32158
$6,451.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+32158
$6,451.60
Mason Morris
+32158
$6,451.60
Preston Taylor
+32158
$6,451.60
Collin Allen
+32158
$6,451.60
Lane Shaw
+32158
$6,451.60
Cole Thompson
+32158
$6,451.60
Cade Clason
+32158
$6,451.60
Dayton Briggs
+32158
$6,451.60
Josh Cartwright
+32158
$6,451.60
Zack Williams
+32158
$6,451.60
Jared Lesher
+32158
$6,451.60
Joan Cros
+32158
$6,451.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+32158
$6,451.60
Logan Leitzel
+32158
$6,451.60
Cory Carsten
+32158
$6,451.60
Jeremy Hand
+33233
$6,666.60
Expert Pick

Detroit was tough on Hunter Lawrence, but we still back him as the expert pick heading into St. Louis. Yes, he finished 18th, but he was in the hunt for a podium prior to wiping out, and he was the fastest qualifier. Sportsbooks have the Queenslander at +175 for victory, potentially paying out $55.00 on a $20.00 wager.

Odds for a Podium

Chase Sexton enters Missouri with two podiums under the bike this season. He rode to victory at Anaheim 2 and clinched second a week ago. He sits at +100 for a top-three performance, offering the market value for money. Tomac and Lawrence are more obvious choices for a rostrum, but they’re expensive. The German-American, Roczen, has fought his way into the top three places in three of the last five rounds, averaging 3.0 in that period. However, his odds are short at -175.

Cooper Webb lines up at +150 for a podium, after securing a 50% hit rate in the previous 10 rounds. His last podium came in Indianapolis, when he completed the podium in the second Triple Crown round of the year. Justin Cooper continues to narrowly miss out on a rostrum, bagging three consecutive fourth-place returns. Beyond the near misses, he did grab one podium earlier in the year, in Seattle. Malcolm Stewart deserves a special mention after securing Husqvarna’s first top three of 2026 over in “Motor City.” 

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-399
$25.01
Eli Tomac
-325
$26.15
Ken Roczen
-175
$31.43
Chase Sexton
+100
$40.00
Cooper Webb
+150
$50.00
Jorge Prado
+400
$100.00
Justin Cooper
+600
$140.00
Malcolm Stewart
+750
$170.00
Joey Savatgy
+800
$180.00
Aaron Plessinger
+1927
$405.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+2500
$520.00
Shane Mcelrath
+4141
$848.20
Justin Hill
+6944
$1,408.80
Christian Craig
+8323
$1,684.60
Jordon Smith
+8323
$1,684.60
Colt Nichols
+8323
$1,684.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+8323
$1,684.60
Justin Bogle
+8323
$1,684.60
Vince Friese
+8323
$1,684.60
Grant Harlan
+8323
$1,684.60
Jeremy Hand
+8323
$1,684.60
Cole Thompson
+8323
$1,684.60
Cade Clason
+8323
$1,684.60
Mitchell Harrison
+8323
$1,684.60
Tristan Lane
+8323
$1,684.60
Kevin Moranz
+8323
$1,684.60
John Short IV
+8323
$1,684.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+8323
$1,684.60
Justin Starling
+8323
$1,684.60
Scott Meshey
+8323
$1,684.60
Dayton Briggs
+8323
$1,684.60
Josh Cartwright
+8323
$1,684.60
Zack Williams
+8323
$1,684.60
Jared Lesher
+8323
$1,684.60
Joan Cros
+8323
$1,684.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+8323
$1,684.60
Logan Leitzel
+8323
$1,684.60
Lane Shaw
+8323
$1,684.60
Cory Carsten
+8323
$1,684.60
Josh Greco
+8323
$1,684.60
Carter Biese
+8323
$1,684.60
Ronnie Orres
+8323
$1,684.60
Carter Stephenson
+8323
$1,684.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+8323
$1,684.60
Mason Morris
+8323
$1,684.60
Preston Taylor
+8323
$1,684.60
Collin Allen
+8323
$1,684.60
David Pulley
+8323
$1,684.60

Top 5 Odds

Cooper Webb is looking to break a string of performances outside of the top five. He was a regular top fiver between Anaheim 2 and Indianapolis, with seven consecutive returns inside the cut line. His odds are shorter at -151, despite his recent form, but he still provides some value to punters.

We touched on Justin Cooper’s search for his second podium, but we have to acknowledge his consistency. He’s finished inside the top five in six of the past seven rounds, averaging 5.8 in the ultimate five events. Just below him in the top five odds is Malcolm Stewart, who, until Birmingham, didn’t have a top five to his name all year. Now, he enters St. Louis with consecutive returns inside the first five. It appears the momentum is turning in Stewart’s favor.

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Rider
Top 5 Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-808
$22.48
Eli Tomac
-590
$23.39
Ken Roczen
-300
$26.67
Chase Sexton
-225
$28.89
Cooper Webb
-151
$33.25
Joey Savatgy
+175
$55.00
Jorge Prado
+175
$55.00
Justin Cooper
+225
$65.00
Malcolm Stewart
+390
$98.00
Aaron Plessinger
+592
$138.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+938
$207.60
Shane Mcelrath
+1325
$285.00
Christian Craig
+1573
$334.60
Justin Hill
+1930
$406.00
Jordon Smith
+4035
$827.00
Colt Nichols
+5493
$1,118.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+5493
$1,118.60
Vince Friese
+5493
$1,118.60
Justin Bogle
+5493
$1,118.60
Cole Thompson
+5493
$1,118.60
Grant Harlan
+5493
$1,118.60
Jeremy Hand
+5493
$1,118.60
Cade Clason
+5493
$1,118.60
Mitchell Harrison
+5493
$1,118.60
John Short IV
+5493
$1,118.60
Tristan Lane
+5493
$1,118.60
Justin Starling
+5493
$1,118.60
Kevin Moranz
+5493
$1,118.60
Dayton Briggs
+5493
$1,118.60
Josh Cartwright
+5493
$1,118.60
Scott Meshey
+5493
$1,118.60
Lane Shaw
+5493
$1,118.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+5493
$1,118.60
Joan Cros
+5493
$1,118.60
Zack Williams
+5493
$1,118.60
Jared Lesher
+5493
$1,118.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+5493
$1,118.60
Logan Leitzel
+5493
$1,118.60
Cory Carsten
+5493
$1,118.60
Josh Greco
+5493
$1,118.60
Carter Biese
+5493
$1,118.60
Ronnie Orres
+5493
$1,118.60
Carter Stephenson
+5493
$1,118.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+5493
$1,118.60
Mason Morris
+5493
$1,118.60
Preston Taylor
+5493
$1,118.60
Collin Allen
+5493
$1,118.60
David Pulley
+5493
$1,118.60

H2H Odds

Another week, and another showdown between Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence. The former enters the matchup as the underdog, but crossed the line ahead of the Australian last time out. Lawrence leads Tomac by six to five in this year’s encounters, but the underdog boasts a 2.6 finishing average across the last five rounds. The other matchup that caught our eye is Ken Roczen versus Chase Sexton. Roczen has longer odds, but he’s beaten Sexton in six of the eight races they’ve met in this term.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+109
$41.80
Hunter Lawrence
-145
$33.79
Joey Savatgy
-102
$39.61
Justin Cooper
-130
$35.38
Cooper Webb
-190
$30.53
Jorge Prado
+141
$48.20
Chase Sexton
-140
$34.29
Ken Roczen
+105
$41.00

Winning Manufacturer

Honda sets up shop in St. Louis as the favorite to come out on top in the manufacturer tussle. They’ve racked up three triumphs this year, courtesy of Hunter Lawrence, and all of them have arrived in the last five rounds. KTM starts the weekend as the second favorite and is the winningest manufacturer on the start hill in 2026. However, they last lifted silverware at Daytona Beach, four rounds ago. Suzuki clinched their second victory of the campaign in Detroit, elevating them to third favorite this weekend. Yamaha finds themselves down the odds list, but they left St. Louis as winners the last time Supercross was in town.

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Manufacturer
Winning Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
+180
$56.00
KTM
+240
$68.00
Suzuki
+270
$74.00
Kawasaki
+290
$78.00
Yamaha
+750
$170.00
Husqvarna
+5245
$1,069.00
Ducati
+21769
$4,373.80
Triumph
+21769
$4,373.80

Winning W.O Tomac & Lawrence

The competition is fierce when we look beyond the Championship leaders. Chase Sexton lines up in St. Louis, tipped to top the midfield fight, after his outstanding runner-up ride last weekend. While he impressed on his return from injury, it wasn’t enough to unseat Ken Roczen, who captured this competition and the overall race. Cooper Webb is always in with a shot, bringing five rostrums, including a victory, with him, into Missouri. Finally, Justin Cooper has impressed lately, but we’re not sure if he has enough to defeat Sexton, Roczen, or Webb this Saturday.

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Rider
Midfield Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+140
$48.00
Ken Roczen
+200
$60.00
Cooper Webb
+350
$90.00
Jorge Prado
+900
$200.00
Justin Cooper
+900
$200.00
Joey Savatgy
+1100
$240.00
Malcolm Stewart
+2000
$420.00
Aaron Plessinger
+4442
$908.40
Shane Mcelrath
+9282
$1,876.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+9822
$1,984.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+15000
$3,020.00
Vince Friese
+15000
$3,020.00
Justin Hill
+15315
$3,083.00
Christian Craig
+21160
$4,252.00
Jordon Smith
+21160
$4,252.00
Colt Nichols
+22703
$4,560.60
Justin Bogle
+22703
$4,560.60
John Short IV
+22703
$4,560.60
Jeremy Hand
+24245
$4,869.00
Cole Thompson
+24245
$4,869.00
Cade Clason
+24245
$4,869.00
Mitchell Harrison
+24245
$4,869.00
Grant Harlan
+24245
$4,869.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+24245
$4,869.00
Justin Starling
+24245
$4,869.00
Tristan Lane
+24245
$4,869.00
Kevin Moranz
+24245
$4,869.00
Scott Meshey
+24245
$4,869.00
Dayton Briggs
+24245
$4,869.00
Josh Cartwright
+24245
$4,869.00
Zack Williams
+24245
$4,869.00
Jared Lesher
+24245
$4,869.00
Joan Cros
+24245
$4,869.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+24245
$4,869.00
Logan Leitzel
+24245
$4,869.00
Lane Shaw
+24245
$4,869.00
Cory Carsten
+24245
$4,869.00
Josh Greco
+24245
$4,869.00
Carter Biese
+24245
$4,869.00
Ronnie Orres
+24245
$4,869.00
Carter Stephenson
+24245
$4,869.00
Scotty Wennerstrom
+24245
$4,869.00
Mason Morris
+24245
$4,869.00
Preston Taylor
+24245
$4,869.00
Collin Allen
+24245
$4,869.00
David Pulley
+24245
$4,869.00

2026 SX Futures Odds

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-188
$30.64
Hunter Lawrence
+116
$43.20
Ken Roczen
+801
$180.20
Cooper Webb
+2464
$512.80
Justin Cooper
+14186
$2,857.20
Malcolm Stewart
+27678
$5,555.60
Chase Sexton
+27678
$5,555.60
Joey Savatgy
+27678
$5,555.60
Jorge Prado
+27678
$5,555.60
Dylan Ferrandis
+29312
$5,882.40
Aaron Plessinger
+29312
$5,882.40
Justin Hill
+29312
$5,882.40
Christian Craig
+30203
$6,060.60

SX St. Louis DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Eli Tomac
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Cooper Webb
5.5
Joey Savatgy
7.5
Jorge Prado
7.5
Justin Cooper
7.5
Aaron Plessinger
10.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross St. Louis showdown can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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