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Best Bets: F1 Brazilian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: F1 Brazilian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

We are down to the business end of the 2025 Formula 1 campaign, and this weekend we meet our penultimate sprint race on the calendar. Teams are jetting into São Paulo this weekend with the Drivers’ Championship well alive, a battle that Lando Norris currently leads from his teammate Oscar Piastri. The duo, along with Max Verstappen, are the favorites for glory in the F1 Brazil pre-event odds, with the Red Bull star in the driver’s seat. Keep an eye out for George Russell, a former Champion at Interlagos, as his team has produced the winning vehicle in this race in five out of the previous nine editions.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 São Paulo Grand Prix

A full complement of festivities greets us in São Paulo this weekend, with the penultimate sprint race and the 21st Grand Prix of the year coming our way. Teams have no time to ease into proceedings with only one practice session scheduled on opening day, Friday, November 7. Drivers must immediately up the ante come Saturday, when the fifth sprint lines up at Interlagos, and this race is vital for Max Verstappen to maximize his collection of units in his hunt for a fifth consecutive title. The curtain closes on the Brazilian stop on Sunday, November 9, after the Grand Prix, which is set for a 12 pm EDT start. Follow the sprint and Grand Prix live from Brazil on ESPN.

F1 Brazilian Grand Prix Odds

Event Winner Odds

Leading into Mexico, Max Verstappen dominated the conversation after mounting a sensational comeback that started at Monza. However, one of his title rivals, Lando Norris, showed his resilience, pulling away from the field for a 30.324-second victory in the Mexican capital to pull one point clear in the title race. The result marked Norris’ sixth trip inside Victory Lane this year, and he now carries a triumph and two runner-ups in his previous five outings.

Returning to Verstappen, the Dutchman is the in-form driver coming into Interlagos, with a 1.60 average in his past five races. He also delivered one of the drives of his life on his last visit to this track, bagging the checkered flag after starting in 17th place on the grid. The third piece to the title race triad is Oscar Piastri, who is now second in the Championship, last prevailing in the Netherlands. The Aussie has battled since Baku, missing the top three in four consecutive appearances.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+165
$53.00
Lando Norris
+190
$58.00
Oscar Piastri
+327
$85.40
George Russell
+1463
$312.60
Charles Leclerc
+1793
$378.60
Lewis Hamilton
+2340
$488.00
Kimi Antonelli
+6215
$1,263.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+17826
$3,585.20
Carlos Sainz
+17826
$3,585.20
Alexander Albon
+17826
$3,585.20
Esteban Ocon
+17826
$3,585.20
Fernando Alonso
+17826
$3,585.20
Franco Colapinto
+17826
$3,585.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17826
$3,585.20
Isack Hadjar
+17826
$3,585.20
Lance Stroll
+17826
$3,585.20
Liam Lawson
+17826
$3,585.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+17826
$3,585.20
Oliver Bearman
+17826
$3,585.20
Pierre Gasly
+17826
$3,585.20
Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri has missed the podium in his last four starts and now finds himself second in the Drivers’ Championship.

Expert Pick

The consistency of Mercedes at this track did cause us to consider George Russell, and we think he’ll do well here. However, Max Verstappen is a back-to-back victor on this asphalt and a three-time winner since 2019. He’s also ended on the podium in his last six races, grabbing the spoils in three Grands Prix in that period. Sportsbooks have “Mad Max” at +165 for a trip inside Victory Lane, possibly paying $53.00 when you wager $20.00.

Podium Odds

Ferrari has endured a season they’ll want to forget, after coming dangerously close to Constructors’ glory in 2024. However, one shining light for them is their Monegasque darling Charles Leclerc, who takes off at Interlagos after top threes in Austin and Mexico City. He’s formed part of the post-race champagne celebrations on seven occasions. A regular rival of  Leclerc’s is George Russell, who has struggled to keep up with the front-runners since his triumph in Singapore, but he returns to happy hunting ground this week. The Briton took first prize here in 2022, and his team has produced the victorious vehicle three times in São Paulo since 2019.

Pierre Gasly is a double rostrum finisher in Brazil in his last five visits. Last year, he navigated his way from 13th on the grid to claim a place on the platform. However, the Frenchman’s car is not up to par this season, and he’ll need a miracle to finish inside the top three this time. Over in the rookie corner, Kimi Antonelli is exhibiting glimpses of the form he delivered earlier in the campaign. He only has the one podium to his name from Canada, but he’s crossed the line inside the top six in three of his past four races.

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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-343
$25.83
Lando Norris
-295
$26.78
Oscar Piastri
-174
$31.49
George Russell
+192
$58.40
Charles Leclerc
+280
$76.00
Lewis Hamilton
+295
$79.00
Kimi Antonelli
+618
$143.60
Yuki Tsunoda
+5140
$1,048.00
Alexander Albon
+9440
$1,908.00
Isack Hadjar
+9440
$1,908.00
Carlos Sainz
+9440
$1,908.00
Fernando Alonso
+9440
$1,908.00
Liam Lawson
+9440
$1,908.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+9440
$1,908.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9440
$1,908.00
Esteban Ocon
+9440
$1,908.00
Lance Stroll
+9440
$1,908.00
Pierre Gasly
+9440
$1,908.00
Franco Colapinto
+9440
$1,908.00
Oliver Bearman
+9440
$1,908.00
Lando Norris

Lando Norris starts in South America as the Drivers’ Championship leader after registering his sixth triumph of the year in Mexico.

Odds for the Top 6

We continue to heap praise on the youngsters in our Brazilian Grand Prix preview, this time sending it Oliver Bearman’s way. The Haas pilot has only two top-six finishes behind him this year, and both of them have arrived in the last six rounds. He posted a career-best fourth place last time out. On the opposite end of the experience spectrum, we find Lewis Hamilton quietly plotting his next move, after a dismal season that has yielded no podiums and nine top sixes.

Williams driver Alexander Albon leads the midfield teams in top-six finishes with five under his belt in 2025. He last mingled with the top six at Zandvoort, and lines up in Brazil with four consecutive returns outside of the top 10. Double World Champion, Fernando Alonso, is blowing hot and cold this term, finishing one race inside the first six spots. That was in Belgium, and since then, he’s registered three top 10s and two DNFs. Sticking with experienced drivers, Nico Hulkenberg also carries two top sixes with him into Brazil, but the last one came back at Silverstone.

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Driver
Event Top 6
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-721
$22.77
Lando Norris
-653
$23.06
Oscar Piastri
-495
$24.04
George Russell
-228
$28.77
Charles Leclerc
-177
$31.29
Lewis Hamilton
-174
$31.49
Kimi Antonelli
-105
$39.05
Yuki Tsunoda
+377
$95.40
Alexander Albon
+540
$128.00
Isack Hadjar
+602
$140.40
Carlos Sainz
+705
$161.00
Fernando Alonso
+943
$208.60
Liam Lawson
+1133
$246.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+3076
$635.20
Lance Stroll
+4158
$851.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+4318
$883.60
Oliver Bearman
+5910
$1,202.00
Esteban Ocon
+7627
$1,545.40
Pierre Gasly
+8915
$1,803.00
Franco Colapinto
+10107
$2,041.40

Odds for a Top 10 Finish

Hometown hero this weekend, Gabriel Bortoleto offers value for a top 10 return, earning his fifth of the year in Mexico. The local averages 12.80 in his last five races, claiming two top 10s, and his best performance this year came in Hungary, when he ended sixth. Another youthful navigator, Isack Hadjar, finds himself with eight top 10 drives this year, his last one arriving in Azerbaijan.

On the other side of the Racing Bulls garage, we encounter Liam Lawson, who has struggled for consistency this season. The Kiwi produced a career-best fifth-place drive in Baku, but has since failed to finish inside the top 10, and he didn’t complete the Grand Prix in the previous round. Red Bull number two, Yuki Tsunoda, is starting to find his groove at the death. He’s found the top 10 in 50% of his past six races, and averages 9.80 in the ultimate five appearances. Finally, Carlos Sainz departs the pits at Interlagos with eight top 10s behind him, but he’s registered consecutive DNFs coming into this race.

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Driver
Event Top 10
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-1217
$21.64
Lando Norris
-1132
$21.77
Oscar Piastri
-965
$22.07
George Russell
-628
$23.18
Charles Leclerc
-534
$23.75
Lewis Hamilton
-527
$23.79
Kimi Antonelli
-353
$25.68
Yuki Tsunoda
-124
$36.13
Alexander Albon
+102
$40.40
Isack Hadjar
+106
$41.20
Carlos Sainz
+119
$43.80
Fernando Alonso
+141
$48.20
Liam Lawson
+166
$53.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+338
$87.60
Lance Stroll
+394
$98.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+427
$105.40
Oliver Bearman
+474
$114.80
Esteban Ocon
+556
$131.20
Pierre Gasly
+629
$145.80
Franco Colapinto
+1602
$340.40
Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc has never stood on the podium in Brazil, but he’s secured consecutive top threes during the tour of the Americas so far.

H2H of Interest

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
+112
$42.40
Max Verstappen
-112
$37.86
Nico Hulkenberg
+167
$53.40
Fernando Alonso
-167
$31.98
Isack Hadjar
+123
$44.60
Yuki Tsunoda
-123
$36.26
Kimi Antonelli
+142
$48.40
Lewis Hamilton
-142
$34.08
Franco Colapinto
+149
$49.80
Pierre Gasly
-149
$33.42

Fastest Qualifier Odds

McLaren found their car in a familiar position at the end of Saturday in Mexico, when Lando Norris came out in pole position. It was the fifth time “Last Lap Lando” stopped the clock the fastest this season, and it was the first time achieving the feat since Belgium. Norris returns to the track where he claimed the front row grid position 12 months prior, but it didn’t help as he ended the race in sixth.

Triple Brazilian Grand Prix Champion, Max Verstappen, enters São Paulo as the leading fastest qualifier on the grid, notching up seven triumphs in 2025. The four-time World Champion has found himself starting the Grand Prix in first place twice at this venue. Oscar Piastri starts with five qualifying victories in the trunk this season; his last success arrived in the Netherlands. He’s fallen outside of the top six qualifying spots in three of his last four outings and is looking sluggish after a dominant early and middle sector of the season.

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Driver
Fastest Qualifier
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
+261
$72.20
Max Verstappen
+272
$74.40
Oscar Piastri
+335
$87.00
George Russell
+1612
$342.40
Charles Leclerc
+1617
$343.40
Lewis Hamilton
+3299
$679.80
Kimi Antonelli
+5168
$1,053.60
Fernando Alonso
+21398
$4,301.60
Carlos Sainz
+21398
$4,301.60
Isack Hadjar
+21398
$4,301.60
Alexander Albon
+21398
$4,301.60
Yuki Tsunoda
+21398
$4,301.60
Esteban Ocon
+21398
$4,301.60
Franco Colapinto
+21398
$4,301.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21398
$4,301.60
Lance Stroll
+21398
$4,301.60
Liam Lawson
+21398
$4,301.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+21398
$4,301.60
Oliver Bearman
+21398
$4,301.60
Pierre Gasly
+21398
$4,301.60

Odds for the Constructors' Winner

Mercedes touches down in South America with an exceptional record in the last 10 editions. The German-owned team has claimed 60% of the constructors’ titles since 2014. George Russell provided the team with their last taste of success here in 2022, and since then, they’ve handed over the reins to their Austrian-owned counterparts, Red Bull. Max Verstappen has powered the Milton-Keynes run team to consecutive constructors titles at Interlagos, and their recent form suggests a hat trick is a strong possibility.

Woking outfit McLaren is hunting their maiden victory in São Paulo since 2012, when Sir Lewis Hamilton was still on their payroll. The closest they’ve come since was when Lando Norris finished runner-up to Verstappen in the 2023 edition. What McLaren lacks in recent success in Brazil is made up for with their hefty win tally this term. Norris’ success in Mexico City gifted the papayas their 13th constructors’ win this year. Ferrari enjoyed a successful visit to this circuit in 2017 thanks to Sebastian Vettel, but the Italian outfit has failed to replicate the success since.

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Team
Constructor Winner Odds
$20 Payout
McLaren
+106
$41.20
Red Bull
+216
$63.20
Ferrari
+1172
$254.40
Mercedes
+1396
$299.20
Williams
+10707
$2,161.40
Alpine
+10707
$2,161.40
Aston Martin
+10707
$2,161.40
Haas
+10707
$2,161.40
Racing Bulls
+10707
$2,161.40
Sauber
+10707
$2,161.40

Odds for the Midfield Winner Race

Oliver Bearman lines up in his first Grand Prix after bagging his maiden midfield success a fortnight ago. The youthful Brit missed out on the honor by two spots in Singapore, one place in Austin, before finally coming right in Mexico City to finish fourth and beat his midfield rivals. He holds the best finishing average in this contest across the last five races at 9.20.

Alex Albon is the leading midfield driver this campaign, notching up five, including four top sixes. He’s closely followed by Fernando Alonso, who has greeted the stewards ahead of his midfield rivals on four occasions, all of them arriving in his last 11 starts. Keeping inside veteran lane, we find Nico Hulkenberg, who is a three-time midfield winner this year, most recently in Austin two rounds ago.

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Driver
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Alexander Albon
+394
$98.80
Isack Hadjar
+415
$103.00
Carlos Sainz
+500
$120.00
Fernando Alonso
+635
$147.00
Liam Lawson
+756
$171.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+2131
$446.20
Lance Stroll
+2661
$552.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+2979
$615.80
Oliver Bearman
+3656
$751.20
Esteban Ocon
+4502
$920.40
Pierre Gasly
+5492
$1,118.40
Franco Colapinto
+20123
$4,044.60

Odds for the Sprint Winner

The penultimate sprint race on the calendar takes shape on Saturday, and Max Verstappen is the clear frontrunner. He’s snatched the first prize in the last two sprint races and found himself on the podium in three out of four contests so far. A familiar rival to the Red Bull top dog is Oscar Piastri, who secured three runner-ups in the first three sprints before failing to finish last time out at the Circuit of the Americas.

The Australian’s colleague, Lando Norris, fared well in Miami and Belgium, where he won and finished third, respectively. However, he ended eighth in China and failed to get his car across the line in the United States sprint. Lewis Hamilton is the only other sprint winner this season, donning the crown in Shanghai. He backed it up with a third-place finish in Miami before settling for 15th in Belgium.

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Driver
Sprint Winner
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+223
$64.60
Lando Norris
+259
$71.80
Oscar Piastri
+476
$115.20
George Russell
+1447
$309.40
Charles Leclerc
+1918
$403.60
Lewis Hamilton
+1995
$419.00
Kimi Antonelli
+5762
$1,172.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+21338
$4,287.60
Alexander Albon
+21338
$4,287.60
Carlos Sainz
+21338
$4,287.60
Isack Hadjar
+21338
$4,287.60
Fernando Alonso
+21338
$4,287.60
Esteban Ocon
+21338
$4,287.60
Franco Colapinto
+21338
$4,287.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21338
$4,287.60
Lance Stroll
+21338
$4,287.60
Liam Lawson
+21338
$4,287.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+21338
$4,287.60
Oliver Bearman
+21338
$4,287.60
Pierre Gasly
+21338
$4,287.60

Where to Bet on the Brazil Grand Prix

Four weekends remain in the 2025 F1 season, and the Drivers’ Championship is going down to the wire. Can Lando Norris maximize his points intake at Interlagos to pull clear of the chasers? Or will we see another sensational drive from Max Verstappen to close the gap on the leaders as the curtain falls on the tour of Latin America?

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 MSC Cruises Grandê  Prêmio De São Paulo. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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