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Best Bets: F1 British Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: F1 British Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Aston Martin might have a Spaniard and a Canadian in the cockpit, but this weekend, the team is home at Silverstone. Lewis Hamilton returns to defend his title and is hunting a 10th scalp at the West Northamptonshire circuit. Oscar Piastri takes the top spot in the F1 British Grand Prix pre-event odds, just ahead of his teammate and local lad Lando Norris, fresh off a triumph on Red Bull’s turf. Mercedes has conquered the British treasure since 2013, but can they bounce back after a horrendous weekend in Austria to retain their constructors’ trophy here?

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 British Grand Prix

Trust the British to follow tradition, with no sprints scheduled, and a traditional itinerary on the cards. It begins on Friday, July 4, when drivers depart the pits for the first two practice sessions at 7:30 am and 11 am ET. It’s an early start for racing fans stateside on Saturday, with the final practice session taking off at 6:30 am on the East Coast. Drivers then shift gears in preparation for qualifying, with the Q1 on track from 10 am.

Practice and qualifying are a sideshow for the main event on Sunday, July 6. The lights go out on the Grand Prix at 10 am as drivers navigate the 52 laps between them and the checkered flag. You can watch all the sessions this Independence Day weekend on ESPN, and check out NXTbets for the latest odds and analysis to prepare for the weekend.

F1 British Grand Prix Odds

Event Winner Odds

The McLaren drivers are back on top of the podium. Lando Norris redeemed himself after his mishap in Montreal to take the checkered flag at the Red Bull Ring and close the gap on his teammate in the Championship. “Last Lap Lando” is yet to stand on top of the podium in his home Grand Prix, but he’s come close in the last two editions, with a runner-up and top-three return. Championship leader Oscar Piastri finished fourth on this surface on his last visit, but has matured significantly over the past 12 months, registering nine podiums this campaign, including five victories.

Red Bull’s Max Verstappen suffered his first DNF of the season in Austria, and is back at a venue where he’s only taken the spoils on two occasions. Mercedes drivers are always worth considering at Silverstone, considering their impressive record of nine victories in the last 13 races in England. However, their top dog, George Russell, has battled at this venue, producing a best return of sixth, despite growing up only two hours from the track.

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Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
+159
$51.80
Lando Norris
+175
$55.00
Max Verstappen
+433
$106.60
George Russell
+1233
$266.60
Charles Leclerc
+1605
$341.00
Lewis Hamilton
+2394
$498.80
Kimi Antonelli
+5079
$1035.80
Carlos Sainz
+17792
$3,578.40
Alexander Albon
+17792
$3,578.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+17792
$3,578.40
Fernando Alonso
+17792
$3,578.40
Isack Hadjar
+17792
$3,578.40
Esteban Ocon
+17792
$3,578.40
Franco Colapinto
+17792
$3,578.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17792
$3,578.40
Lance Stroll
+17792
$3,578.40
Liam Lawson
+17792
$3,578.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+17792
$3,578.40
Oliver Bearman
+17792
$3,578.40
Pierre Gasly
+17792
$3,578.40
Oscar Piastri

Can Oscar Piastri earn his maiden podium at Silverstone after finishing 4th in his prior two attempts?

Podium Odds

The top three drivers in the standings are heavily favored to snatch a podium this weekend. These individuals have accumulated 23 podiums between them this campaign, but Verstappen lines up after registering his maiden DNF of 2025. Charles Leclerc is spraying Champagne regularly at the moment, entering the top three in three of his previous four starts. The Monagasque’s recent consistency results in an average finish of 3.8, highlighting his threat to the rostrum. 

Lewis Hamilton returns home with an astounding record of 12 consecutive podiums at this track. The seven-time World Champion is the defending Champion in the United Kingdom, and despite his wobbly form this year, remains a contender. Sir Lewis is still hunting his maiden Sunday podium with Ferrari, and he has his best chance to do it here.

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Driver
Event Podium
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-402
$24.98
Lando Norris
-336
$25.95
Max Verstappen
-115
$37.39
George Russell
+194
$58.80
Charles Leclerc
+243
$68.60
Lewis Hamilton
+325
$85.00
Kimi Antonelli
+545
$129.00
Carlos Sainz
+3895
$799.00
Alexander Albon
+4056
$831.20
Isack Hadjar
+5755
$1171.00
Fernando Alonso
+7562
$1532.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+9164
$1852.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+9397
$1899.40
Pierre Gasly
+9397
$1899.40
Liam Lawson
+9397
$1899.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9397
$1899.40
Esteban Ocon
+9397
$1899.40
Lance Stroll
+9397
$1899.40
Oliver Bearman
+9397
$1899.40
Franco Colapinto
+9397
$1899.40
Lando Norris

Can Lando Norris improve on his previous two podium appearances and finally take top honors on home soil?

Odds for the Top 6

The Papaya duo boast the most top sixes in the Championship, with ten apiece. Piastri has greeted the stewards inside the threshold in every start since Shanghai, while a DNF in Montreal is Norris’s only blemish. Rookie Kimi Antonelli is a six-time top-six finisher this term, including a maiden F1 top three in Canada. However, he’s proven erratic in recent rounds, failing to finish three of his last five starts on Sunday and ending 18th in Monaco.

Alex Albon blasted into 2025 with three top-six outings in his first seven starts, before his campaign was doused and brought back to reality. The Thai driver has earned a DNF next to his name in the previous three races, but he was only culpable in Spain, when he collided with Liam Lawson. His vehicle let him down in Montreal and Austria, and brought about a bigger discussion about what’s going on at Williams? Albon’s teammate Carlos Sainz couldn’t even start the showdown at Spielberg after his brakes overheated and burst into flames after the formation lap.

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Driver
Event Top 6
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-748
$22.67
Lando Norris
-659
$23.03
Max Verstappen
-334
$25.99
George Russell
-208
$29.62
Charles Leclerc
-167
$31.98
Lewis Hamilton
-139
$34.39
Kimi Antonelli
+104
$40.80
Alexander Albon
+370
$94.00
Carlos Sainz
+413
$102.60
Isack Hadjar
+436
$107.20
Fernando Alonso
+559
$131.80
Yuki Tsunoda
+772
$174.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+1322
$284.40
Liam Lawson
+2160
$452.00
Pierre Gasly
+2389
$497.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3309
$681.80
Esteban Ocon
+4770
$974.00
Lance Stroll
+6419
$1303.80
Oliver Bearman
+6462
$1312.40
Franco Colapinto
+10108
$2041.60

Odds for a Top 10 Finish

Besides the aforementioned event winner, podium, and top six favorites, we turn our focus to two veterans to lead the charge for a top 10. Fernando Alonso is starting to develop consistency in his Aston Martin, with three consecutive top 10s, including back-to-back seventh places in Canada and Austria. The other seasoned campaigner is Nico Hulkenberg, who is also on a run of three races inside the top 10.

Haas senior driver Esteban Ocon continues to compete for a spot in the first 10. The Frenchman has registered the feat five times in 2025, three in his previous four races. Racing Bulls pilot Liam Lawson appears to have set aside the drama from earlier in the season, claiming top 10s in 50% of his last four races. The New Zealander starts after a career-best sixth place at the Red Bull Ring. Credit must also go to another rookie, Gabriel Bortoleto, who fought hard for his maiden F1 top 10 in the last round.

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Driver
Event Top 10
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-1193
$21.68
Lando Norris
-1126
$21.78
Max Verstappen
-715
$22.80
George Russell
-531
$23.77
Charles Leclerc
-457
$24.38
Lewis Hamilton
-399
$25.01
Kimi Antonelli
-299
$26.69
Alexander Albon
-121
$36.53
Carlos Sainz
-107
$38.69
Isack Hadjar
-106
$38.87
Fernando Alonso
+110
$42.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+146
$49.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+211
$62.20
Liam Lawson
+280
$76.00
Pierre Gasly
+299
$79.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+363
$92.60
Esteban Ocon
+453
$110.60
Oliver Bearman
+508
$121.60
Lance Stroll
+548
$129.60
Franco Colapinto
+1431
$306.20
Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc arives in England with three podiums under the belt in his previous four starts.

H2H of Interest

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
George Russell
-112
$37.86
Charles Leclerc
+112
$42.40
Lando Norris
+107
$41.40
Oscar Piastri
-107
$38.69
Isack Hadjar
-202
$29.90
Pierre Gasly
+202
$60.40
Franco Colapinto
+160
$52.00
Oliver Bearman
-160
$32.50
Nico Hulkenberg
+151
$50.20
Fernando Alonso
-151
$33.25

Fastest Qualifier Odds

The MCL39 continues to outclass its rivals over one lap this season. Lando Norris recorded the team’s seventh pole position in the previous round, taking his tally to three. “Last Lap Lando” has started at the front of the grid in two of his past four races, while his Aussie teammate has qualified fastest in four rounds this year. Verstappen is a three-time fastest qualifier after 11 rounds, but enters after lining up in seventh in the Styrian Alps.

The Netherlanders’ fierce rival Russell is the only other driver to start on pole this season, proving consistent by qualifying among the three fastest in five rounds. The Britons’ starting grid average sits at 4.45 this year, slightly below Verstappen’s at 3.18. Charles Leclerc started in second in Austria, the third such grid position for the Monagasque this season. The previous round also marked the best qualifying for Ferrari this year, with both drivers ending inside the top five for the first time.

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Driver
Fastest Qualifier
$20 Payout
Lando Norris
+232
$66.40
Oscar Piastri
+242
$68.40
Max Verstappen
+518
$123.60
George Russell
+1149
$249.80
Charles Leclerc
+2125
$445.00
Lewis Hamilton
+2372
$494.40
Kimi Antonelli
+5112
$1042.40
Carlos Sainz
+21327
$4,285.40
Alexander Albon
+21327
$4,285.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+21327
$4,285.40
Fernando Alonso
+21327
$4,285.40
Pierre Gasly
+21327
$4,285.40
Oliver Bearman
+21327
$4,285.40
Franco Colapinto
+21327
$4,285.40
Isack Hadjar
+21327
$4,285.40
Liam Lawson
+21327
$4,285.40
Esteban Ocon
+21327
$4,285.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21327
$4,285.40
Lance Stroll
+21327
$4,285.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+21327
$4,285.40

Odds for the Constructors’ Winner

The Germans have conquered the United Kingdom in nine of the last 13 Silverstone Grands Prix. Lewis Hamilton was the latest victor for Mercedes, but will now defend his title in a red Italian car. Verstappen, Carlos Sainz, and Sebastian Vettel are the only non-Merc drivers to prevail in England since 2013. That leaves Red Bull and Ferrari with two triumphs apiece in the last 12 years.

McLaren last won the Silverstone showcase in 2008, when a young Lewis Hamilton was still on their payroll. The Surrey outfit may have struggled on home soil for 16 years, but they’re the team to beat this time around. After 11 rounds, the Papayas have won  72.73% of the constructors’ trophies on offer, including three in their last four outings.

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Constructor
Constructor Winner
$20 Payout
McLaren
-166
$32.05
Red Bull
+534
$126.80
Ferrari
+1108
$241.60
Mercedes
+1164
$252.80
Williams
+10671
$2,154.20
Aston Martin
+10671
$2,154.20
Racing Bulls
+10671
$2,154.20
Alpine
+10671
$2,154.20
Haas
+10671
$2,154.20
Sauber
+10671
$2,154.20

Odds for the Midfield Winner Race

Liam Lawson had a weekend to remember at his team’s home Grand Prix, taking his maiden midfield victory. The Kiwi’s sixth-place finish was good enough to take down Alonso, Bortoleto, and Hulkenberg. Double World Champion Alonso took the spoils in Austria, while fellow senior Hulkenberg finished ahead in Montreal.

Albon returns to his Country of birth with the most midfield successes this season. The Williams pilot has prevailed three times, just beating out Isack Hadjar on two. Racing Bulls and Williams are the two dominant teams in these races, prevailing seven times between them. Williams leads with four triumphs ahead of the Austrian outfit on three, including last weekend’s brilliance by Lawson.

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Driver
Midfield Winner
$20 Payout
Alexander Albon
+362
$92.40
Carlos Sainz
+411
$102.20
Isack Hadjar
+430
$106.00
Fernando Alonso
+545
$129.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+1401
$300.20
Liam Lawson
+2163
$452.60
Pierre Gasly
+2266
$473.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3173
$654.60
Esteban Ocon
+4517
$923.40
Lance Stroll
+5435
$1107.00
Oliver Bearman
+5954
$1210.80
Franco Colapinto
+20143
$4,048.60

Where to Bet on the British Grand Prix

McLaren and Aston Martin are on home turf, fighting for very different achievements this weekend. Aston will hope to prevail in the midfield race, courtesy of Fernando Alonso, while the Woking team looks for a first constructors’ win in 16 years. Will this weekend belong to the locals, or will we see Mercedes add to their dominant record in Britain?

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the F1 British Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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