The return from the summer break didn’t disappoint last weekend, as we witnessed young Isack Hadjar securing his maiden podium in the premier class. He obliterated the midfield, but wasn’t the only youngster to impress, with fellow rookie Oliver Bearman snatching a top six after starting from the pits. There is little time to celebrate as drivers are back into training for this weekend’s return to the boot of Europe. Oscar Piastri takes pole position in the F1 Italian Grand Prix pre-event odds, ahead of his teammate, Lando Norris, after clinching his seventh triumph of the campaign in the last round.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the 2025 Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio D’Italia offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and Real Money Gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.
Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Italian Grand Prix
“The Temple of Speed” is set for racing, as Formula 1 drivers push the speed limits in the quest for Italian Grand Prix glory. Drivers assemble at Monza on Friday, September 5, for the first two practice sessions to ease into the weekend. They return to the Northern Italian circuit on Saturday, September 6, for qualifying, but their efforts come down to the Grand Prix on Sunday, September 7. Cars assume their position on the grid in anticipation of the 9:00 am EDT start. Follow every session throughout the weekend live on ESPN, and check back with NXTbets for the latest odds and analysis.
F1 Italian Grand Prix Odds
Event Winner Odds
Oscar Piastri is back in the land of his ancestors this weekend with the pedal to the metal. The Australian cashed in on his teammates’ misfortune at Zandvoort to go 34 points clear in the Championship, collecting his seventh trophy of the campaign. Piastri averages 2.33 this year across every Grand Prix, and he’s even better in his last five starts, at 1.60.
His colleague, Lando Norris, suffered issues with the chassis in the previous round and was forced to retire when smoke was seen billowing from his single seater on the 64th lap. It’s the second time the Briton has failed to cross the line this season, but we have to acknowledge that his pace was rapid in the Netherlands, and he looked good across the three days. He’s never taken top honors at Monza, but finished third last time out, and grabbed a runner-up in 2021.
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Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
+109
$41.80
Lando Norris
+186
$57.20
Max Verstappen
+740
$168.00
Charles Leclerc
+1234
$266.80
George Russell
+1460
$312.00
Lewis Hamilton
+3066
$633.20
Kimi Antonelli
+8315
$1,683.00
Fernando Alonso
+17749
$3,569.80
Carlos Sainz
+17749
$3,569.80
Alexander Albon
+17749
$3,569.80
Isack Hadjar
+17749
$3,569.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+17749
$3,569.80
Liam Lawson
+17749
$3,569.80
Yuki Tsunoda
+17749
$3,569.80
Esteban Ocon
+17749
$3,569.80
Franco Colapinto
+17749
$3,569.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17749
$3,569.80
Lance Stroll
+17749
$3,569.80
Oliver Bearman
+17749
$3,569.80
Pierre Gasly
+17749
$3,569.80
Oscar Piastri finished runner-up at Monza in 2024. Can the Australian go one better this weekend to win his eighth race of the season?
Podium Odds
Charles Leclerc sets off to defend his Italian Grand Prix title, joining Max Verstappen as one of two double victors on the grid. The Monegasque has collected five top threes this season, but was unluckily clipped by Kimi Antonelli on the 52nd lap at Zandvoort, the third time he’s returned no points this year. Verstappen produced a far better performance in his homeland, greeting the stewards in second, for his sixth rostrum of the term. Verstappen has only failed to complete one Grand Prix in 2025, averaging 4.00 across the 14 rounds where he’s passed the checkered flag.
George Russell was surprised to find himself in fourth place last Sunday afternoon, lamenting his and the car’s overall performance in the Low Countries. “Mr. Saturday” has endured some power unit issues with his vehicle this campaign, but has still captured six podiums, including a triumph, averaging 4.73 across the season.
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Driver
Event Podium
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-646
$23.10
Lando Norris
-303
$26.60
Max Verstappen
+138
$47.60
Charles Leclerc
+183
$56.60
George Russell
+190
$58.00
Lewis Hamilton
+378
$95.60
Kimi Antonelli
+805
$181.00
Fernando Alonso
+1293
$278.60
Isack Hadjar
+2970
$614.00
Alexander Albon
+3322
$684.40
Carlos Sainz
+5420
$1,104.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+9175
$1,855.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+9360
$1,892.00
Liam Lawson
+9360
$1,892.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9360
$1,892.00
Lance Stroll
+9360
$1,892.00
Pierre Gasly
+9360
$1,892.00
Esteban Ocon
+9360
$1,892.00
Oliver Bearman
+9360
$1,892.00
Franco Colapinto
+9360
$1,892.00
Lando Norris has stood on the podium twice at the Italian Grand Prix since 2021, but has yet to take the checkered flag.
Odds for the Top 6
Like his Ferrari teammate, SirLewis Hamilton entered the pits early in the previous round. The seven-time Driver’s Champion lost control of his vehicle on lap 22, his second race in a row without contributing any points. Despite his struggles, he’s prevailed at Monza on five occasions, and averages 6.54 across the 13 races he’s finished this year.
A young man who idolizes Hamilton is Isack Hadjar, and he’s quickly making a name for himself. The Racing Bulls driver navigated like a seasoned veteran in the last round, earning his first F1 podium and becoming the second rookie this year to achieve the feat. Consistency has proven a challenge for the Frenchman, but he’s exhibited what we can do on his day. Alex Albon clinched his fifth top-six on the Netherlands leg, and lines up on a track where he’s entered the top 10 on his last two visits.
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Driver
Event Top 6
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-812
$22.46
Lando Norris
-571
$23.50
Max Verstappen
-219
$29.13
Charles Leclerc
-186
$30.75
George Russell
-180
$31.11
Lewis Hamilton
-106
$38.87
Kimi Antonelli
+158
$51.60
Fernando Alonso
+205
$61.00
Isack Hadjar
+340
$88.00
Alexander Albon
+407
$101.40
Carlos Sainz
+576
$135.20
Yuki Tsunoda
+748
$169.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+890
$198.00
Liam Lawson
+1556
$331.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+2084
$436.80
Oliver Bearman
+2322
$484.40
Esteban Ocon
+2640
$548.00
Lance Stroll
+3045
$629.00
Pierre Gasly
+3398
$699.60
Franco Colapinto
+10106
$2,041.20
Odds for a Top 10 Finish
The battle for the minor points is a bun fight that Haas and Aston Martin won in the Netherlands. Haas adopted a bold strategy that paid dividends, with both drivers only boxing once during the Grand Prix. OliverBearman eventually finished sixth, contributing points for the fourth time this year, while his senior accomplice, EstebanOcon, took the final scalp on offer. The result improves Bearman’s average to 11.62 across the 13 races he’s completed, while Ocon is at 11.86 after 14 finishes.
Aston Martin’s duo crossed the line in seventh and eighth, respectively, in the previous meeting. The results marked Fernando Alonso’s sixth top 10 in seven starts, and Lance Stroll’s third in four races. Adrian Newey’s impact is starting to be felt at the Silverstone base, and Alonso and Stroll are starting to find their rhythm. Argentine, Franco Colapinto, produced his best race to date in Holland, finishing 11th. However, he had the pace to catch Ocon at the death, but his teammate made it difficult for him to pass at the opportune moment, and Alpine squandered a point.
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Driver
Event Top 10
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-1182
$21.69
Lando Norris
-984
$22.03
Max Verstappen
-507
$23.94
Charles Leclerc
-453
$24.41
George Russell
-450
$24.44
Lewis Hamilton
-298
$26.71
Kimi Antonelli
-197
$30.15
Fernando Alonso
-159
$32.58
Isack Hadjar
-113
$37.70
Alexander Albon
-100
$40.00
Carlos Sainz
+133
$46.60
Yuki Tsunoda
+162
$52.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+173
$54.60
Liam Lawson
+253
$70.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+303
$80.60
Oliver Bearman
+327
$85.40
Esteban Ocon
+363
$92.60
Lance Stroll
+375
$95.00
Pierre Gasly
+440
$108.00
Franco Colapinto
+1185
$257.00
Charles Leclerc is a two-time Italian Grand Prix victor and returns to Monza this year as the defending Champion.
H2H of Interest
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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-117
$37.09
George Russell
+117
$43.40
Lando Norris
+137
$47.40
Oscar Piastri
-137
$34.60
Oliver Bearman
-105
$39.05
Esteban Ocon
+105
$41.00
Isack Hadjar
+129
$45.80
Fernando Alonso
-129
$35.50
Fastest Qualifier Odds
Before we look at the contenders for the fastest qualifier, it’s interesting to note that it often has little bearing on the result at Monza. Only 30% of the drivers in pole position on Sunday have prevailed in the past editions of this event. Lewis Hamilton produced the goods in 2015 and 2017, while Charles Leclerc brought it home in 2019. Oscar Piastri leads the grid for most pole positions this campaign, accumulating five between Melbourne and Zandvoort. The Aussie has only qualified outside of the first three spots once this season, and has parked on the front row of the grid five times.
Lando Norris is one fastest qualifier award shy of his counterpart, and has also started four Grands Prix in second position. The reality is, it’s tough to overcome the papayas in 2025, but Max Verstappen has clocked the fastest Saturday time on four weekends. His car has speed, and he’s always a threat to the front row. Charles Leclerc and George Russell have found themselves on pole once each, but don’t appear to be regular threats after an erratic term.
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Driver
Fastest Qualifier
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
+190
$58.00
Lando Norris
+265
$73.00
Max Verstappen
+592
$138.40
Charles Leclerc
+1099
$239.80
George Russell
+1974
$414.80
Lewis Hamilton
+3112
$642.40
Kimi Antonelli
+6740
$1,368.00
Fernando Alonso
+21319
$4,283.80
Carlos Sainz
+21319
$4,283.80
Alexander Albon
+21319
$4,283.80
Yuki Tsunoda
+21319
$4,283.80
Lance Stroll
+21319
$4,283.80
Pierre Gasly
+21319
$4,283.80
Isack Hadjar
+21319
$4,283.80
Esteban Ocon
+21319
$4,283.80
Franco Colapinto
+21319
$4,283.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21319
$4,283.80
Liam Lawson
+21319
$4,283.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+21319
$4,283.80
Oliver Bearman
+21319
$4,283.80
Odds for the Constructors' Winner
McLaren reports for duty in Northern Italy with an 80% constructor winning percentage. The Woking establishment has only missed out on three trophies this year in 15 rounds, and set up at Monza on a five Grand Prix streak, with three from Norris and two from Piastri. Red Bull took the spoils in two races earlier in the season, but recurring issues with downforce, balance, and braking have made it tough for the RB21 to hold against a ferocious MCL39 for an entire race. The Milton Keynes operation has prevailed in two out of the last three editions of this race, but they aren’t at the level they were in 2022 or 2023.
Mercedes is responsible for 40% of the Italian Grand Prix titles since 2015, but they haven’t tasted glory for seven years. The German-owned team has suffered with power unit challenges this campaign, and has still managed to earn one title, the Canadian Grand Prix. Ferrari are the reigning champs in this event, and although Charles Leclerc looked fast in the Netherlands, their strategy seems to be failing the team this season, posting a best return in Monaco of runner-up.
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Team
Constructor Winner Odds
$20 Payout
McLaren
-223
$28.96
Red Bull
+900
$200.00
Ferrari
+1018
$223.60
Mercedes
+1468
$313.60
Aston Martin
+10639
$2,147.80
Williams
+10639
$2,147.80
Racing Bulls
+10639
$2,147.80
Sauber
+10639
$2,147.80
Alpine
+10639
$2,147.80
Haas
+10639
$2,147.80
Odds for the Midfield Winner Race
On most weekends, a fifth or sixth-place finish would be good enough to defeat the midfield, but not in round 15. Alex Albon passed the checkered flag in sixth, while Oliver Bearman earned his maiden F1 top six, but their spotlight was stolen by Isack Hadjar on the podium. The top three finish marked the third time that the Frenchman has crossed the line, ahead of his midfield rivals. Lance Stroll put on a strong showing in the last round, registering his third seventh-place finish in four starts.
The veteran, Fernando Alonso, entered last weekend as the favorite to prevail in the midfield, and produced a strong showing to finish eighth. But, he wasn’t completely satisfied with the result, and suggested that the Aston Martin’s overall performance was faster and could’ve done better. “El Nano” starts the Italian Grand Prix after winning the midfield tussle in 50% of the past six rounds.
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Driver
Midfield Winner
$20 Payout
Fernando Alonso
+255
$71.00
Isack Hadjar
+433
$106.60
Alexander Albon
+522
$124.40
Carlos Sainz
+786
$177.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+1245
$269.00
Liam Lawson
+2088
$437.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3033
$626.60
Oliver Bearman
+3357
$691.40
Esteban Ocon
+3545
$729.00
Lance Stroll
+4026
$825.20
Pierre Gasly
+4719
$963.80
Franco Colapinto
+20154
$4,050.80
Where to Bet on the Italian Grand Prix
Oscar Piastri touches down in Lombardy with daylight between him and Lando Norris in the Drivers’ Championship. Can the second-placed driver bounce back after car troubles in the last round, or is Piastri’s teammate poised for victory number eight of the campaign?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio D’Italia. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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The aftermath of the F1 Qatar Grand Prix is still reverberating through the racing world. Max Verstappen triumphed once more, deftly navigating through a race infused with pitstop pandemonium due to a three-stop strategy, instigated by tyre safety concerns. Oscar Piastri showcased his burgeoning talent, claiming the second spot while George Russell’s impressive recovery highlighted …
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As the bright lights of Las Vegas dim, the Formula One season gears towards its grand finale with the Abu Dhabi Grand Prix. The Las Vegas GP was nothing short of a high-octane spectacle, with Max Verstappen clinching yet another victory in an action-packed race. He skillfully navigated through the vibrant streets, outpacing Ferrari’s Charles …
Best Bets: F1 Italian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Table of Contents
The return from the summer break didn’t disappoint last weekend, as we witnessed young Isack Hadjar securing his maiden podium in the premier class. He obliterated the midfield, but wasn’t the only youngster to impress, with fellow rookie Oliver Bearman snatching a top six after starting from the pits. There is little time to celebrate as drivers are back into training for this weekend’s return to the boot of Europe. Oscar Piastri takes pole position in the F1 Italian Grand Prix pre-event odds, ahead of his teammate, Lando Norris, after clinching his seventh triumph of the campaign in the last round.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the 2025 Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio D’Italia offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and Real Money Gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.
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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Italian Grand Prix
“The Temple of Speed” is set for racing, as Formula 1 drivers push the speed limits in the quest for Italian Grand Prix glory. Drivers assemble at Monza on Friday, September 5, for the first two practice sessions to ease into the weekend. They return to the Northern Italian circuit on Saturday, September 6, for qualifying, but their efforts come down to the Grand Prix on Sunday, September 7. Cars assume their position on the grid in anticipation of the 9:00 am EDT start. Follow every session throughout the weekend live on ESPN, and check back with NXTbets for the latest odds and analysis.
F1 Italian Grand Prix Odds
Event Winner Odds
Oscar Piastri is back in the land of his ancestors this weekend with the pedal to the metal. The Australian cashed in on his teammates’ misfortune at Zandvoort to go 34 points clear in the Championship, collecting his seventh trophy of the campaign. Piastri averages 2.33 this year across every Grand Prix, and he’s even better in his last five starts, at 1.60.
His colleague, Lando Norris, suffered issues with the chassis in the previous round and was forced to retire when smoke was seen billowing from his single seater on the 64th lap. It’s the second time the Briton has failed to cross the line this season, but we have to acknowledge that his pace was rapid in the Netherlands, and he looked good across the three days. He’s never taken top honors at Monza, but finished third last time out, and grabbed a runner-up in 2021.
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Oscar Piastri finished runner-up at Monza in 2024. Can the Australian go one better this weekend to win his eighth race of the season?
Podium Odds
Charles Leclerc sets off to defend his Italian Grand Prix title, joining Max Verstappen as one of two double victors on the grid. The Monegasque has collected five top threes this season, but was unluckily clipped by Kimi Antonelli on the 52nd lap at Zandvoort, the third time he’s returned no points this year. Verstappen produced a far better performance in his homeland, greeting the stewards in second, for his sixth rostrum of the term. Verstappen has only failed to complete one Grand Prix in 2025, averaging 4.00 across the 14 rounds where he’s passed the checkered flag.
George Russell was surprised to find himself in fourth place last Sunday afternoon, lamenting his and the car’s overall performance in the Low Countries. “Mr. Saturday” has endured some power unit issues with his vehicle this campaign, but has still captured six podiums, including a triumph, averaging 4.73 across the season.
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Lando Norris has stood on the podium twice at the Italian Grand Prix since 2021, but has yet to take the checkered flag.
Odds for the Top 6
Like his Ferrari teammate, Sir Lewis Hamilton entered the pits early in the previous round. The seven-time Driver’s Champion lost control of his vehicle on lap 22, his second race in a row without contributing any points. Despite his struggles, he’s prevailed at Monza on five occasions, and averages 6.54 across the 13 races he’s finished this year.
A young man who idolizes Hamilton is Isack Hadjar, and he’s quickly making a name for himself. The Racing Bulls driver navigated like a seasoned veteran in the last round, earning his first F1 podium and becoming the second rookie this year to achieve the feat. Consistency has proven a challenge for the Frenchman, but he’s exhibited what we can do on his day. Alex Albon clinched his fifth top-six on the Netherlands leg, and lines up on a track where he’s entered the top 10 on his last two visits.
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Odds for a Top 10 Finish
The battle for the minor points is a bun fight that Haas and Aston Martin won in the Netherlands. Haas adopted a bold strategy that paid dividends, with both drivers only boxing once during the Grand Prix. Oliver Bearman eventually finished sixth, contributing points for the fourth time this year, while his senior accomplice, Esteban Ocon, took the final scalp on offer. The result improves Bearman’s average to 11.62 across the 13 races he’s completed, while Ocon is at 11.86 after 14 finishes.
Aston Martin’s duo crossed the line in seventh and eighth, respectively, in the previous meeting. The results marked Fernando Alonso’s sixth top 10 in seven starts, and Lance Stroll’s third in four races. Adrian Newey’s impact is starting to be felt at the Silverstone base, and Alonso and Stroll are starting to find their rhythm. Argentine, Franco Colapinto, produced his best race to date in Holland, finishing 11th. However, he had the pace to catch Ocon at the death, but his teammate made it difficult for him to pass at the opportune moment, and Alpine squandered a point.
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Charles Leclerc is a two-time Italian Grand Prix victor and returns to Monza this year as the defending Champion.
H2H of Interest
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Fastest Qualifier Odds
Before we look at the contenders for the fastest qualifier, it’s interesting to note that it often has little bearing on the result at Monza. Only 30% of the drivers in pole position on Sunday have prevailed in the past editions of this event. Lewis Hamilton produced the goods in 2015 and 2017, while Charles Leclerc brought it home in 2019. Oscar Piastri leads the grid for most pole positions this campaign, accumulating five between Melbourne and Zandvoort. The Aussie has only qualified outside of the first three spots once this season, and has parked on the front row of the grid five times.
Lando Norris is one fastest qualifier award shy of his counterpart, and has also started four Grands Prix in second position. The reality is, it’s tough to overcome the papayas in 2025, but Max Verstappen has clocked the fastest Saturday time on four weekends. His car has speed, and he’s always a threat to the front row. Charles Leclerc and George Russell have found themselves on pole once each, but don’t appear to be regular threats after an erratic term.
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Odds for the Constructors' Winner
McLaren reports for duty in Northern Italy with an 80% constructor winning percentage. The Woking establishment has only missed out on three trophies this year in 15 rounds, and set up at Monza on a five Grand Prix streak, with three from Norris and two from Piastri. Red Bull took the spoils in two races earlier in the season, but recurring issues with downforce, balance, and braking have made it tough for the RB21 to hold against a ferocious MCL39 for an entire race. The Milton Keynes operation has prevailed in two out of the last three editions of this race, but they aren’t at the level they were in 2022 or 2023.
Mercedes is responsible for 40% of the Italian Grand Prix titles since 2015, but they haven’t tasted glory for seven years. The German-owned team has suffered with power unit challenges this campaign, and has still managed to earn one title, the Canadian Grand Prix. Ferrari are the reigning champs in this event, and although Charles Leclerc looked fast in the Netherlands, their strategy seems to be failing the team this season, posting a best return in Monaco of runner-up.
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Odds for the Midfield Winner Race
On most weekends, a fifth or sixth-place finish would be good enough to defeat the midfield, but not in round 15. Alex Albon passed the checkered flag in sixth, while Oliver Bearman earned his maiden F1 top six, but their spotlight was stolen by Isack Hadjar on the podium. The top three finish marked the third time that the Frenchman has crossed the line, ahead of his midfield rivals. Lance Stroll put on a strong showing in the last round, registering his third seventh-place finish in four starts.
The veteran, Fernando Alonso, entered last weekend as the favorite to prevail in the midfield, and produced a strong showing to finish eighth. But, he wasn’t completely satisfied with the result, and suggested that the Aston Martin’s overall performance was faster and could’ve done better. “El Nano” starts the Italian Grand Prix after winning the midfield tussle in 50% of the past six rounds.
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Where to Bet on the Italian Grand Prix
Oscar Piastri touches down in Lombardy with daylight between him and Lando Norris in the Drivers’ Championship. Can the second-placed driver bounce back after car troubles in the last round, or is Piastri’s teammate poised for victory number eight of the campaign?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Pirelli Gran Premio D’Italia. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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