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Best Bets: F1 Qatar Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: F1 Qatar Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

We are into our penultimate race week on the 2025 Formula 1 calendar, bringing the Middle East into the spotlight. Max Verstappen is the driver front of everyone’s mind , arriving as the defending champion, and fresh off a triumph in Las Vegas. The Dutchman leapfrogs Lando Norris in the F1 Watar Grand Prix pre-event odds to enter Lusail as the pre-race favorite. Oscar Piastri is still in with a title shot and returns to the venue where he’s clinched the last two sprint races.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Qatar Grand Prix

After a weekend of late nights last weekend in Las Vegas, we return to normal scheduling for the Qatar Grand Prix. Teams will have the cars assembled and ready for the first practice session at the Lusail International Circuit on Friday, November 28. There is only one practice session on the cards this weekend, as the lineup accounts for the final sprint race of the campaign, taking off on Saturday, November 29, at 9:00 am EST. After that, drivers switch gears ahead of the penultimate grand prix of 2025, slated for an 11:00 am start time on Sunday, November 30. Embrace the final sprint weekend on the calendar by following the race from Qatar, live on ESPN.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

F1 Qatar Prix Odds

Event Winner Odds

Max Verstappen has endured his toughest campaign this year since he won his maiden Driver’s Championship. However, for a difficult year, his record looks alright. The Dutchman is fresh off his sixth triumph and has put himself very much into the title hunt, with two weekends to go. He enters Qatar as the most in-form driver on the grid across the last 10 races, with an average of 2.70 and an 80% top-three return in that period. Adding to his prestige are four wins in his last seven outings.

Moving down the odds sheet this week is Lando Norris, after an unlucky visit to the States. He and his teammate, Oscar Piastri, were victims of their car’s performance and were ultimately both disqualified post-race last weekend. However, if you erase the DQ next to his name, you see that Norris holds a respectable record leading into the penultimate weekend of 2025. He lines up with four rostrums in his previous five starts, including victories in Mexico and Brazil. On the opposite end of the performance spectrum, we encounter Piastri, who last stood on the podium in Monza. But the Australian is the joint-winningest driver this year, with seven victories, and he’s crossed the line inside the first three places on his last two visits to Lusail.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+126
$45.20
Lando Norris
+214
$62.80
Oscar Piastri
+634
$146.80
George Russell
+1166
$253.20
Charles Leclerc
+1215
$263.00
Kimi Antonelli
+2126
$445.20
Lewis Hamilton
+2898
$599.60
Carlos Sainz
+17831
$3,586.20
Alexander Albon
+17831
$3,586.20
Fernando Alonso
+17831
$3,586.20
Liam Lawson
+17831
$3,586.20
Yuki Tsunoda
+17831
$3,586.20
Esteban Ocon
+17831
$3,586.20
Franco Colapinto
+17831
$3,586.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17831
$3,586.20
Isack Hadjar
+17831
$3,586.20
Lance Stroll
+17831
$3,586.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+17831
$3,586.20
Oliver Bearman
+17831
$3,586.20
Pierre Gasly
+17831
$3,586.20

Expert Pick

After an impressive drive in “Sin City,” we are liking Max Verstappen’s chances of snatching the Drivers’ Championship at the death. However, he’ll first need to prevail in Qatar this weekend, a venue where he’s won the last two Grand Prix, and is chasing a hat-trick.

Lando Norris

Lando Norris arrives in Qatar as the Championship leader, but he’s never entered Victory Lane at this venue.

Podium Odds

We expected more from George Russell in the previous round, but he had to settle for second place. The result delivered the Briton his ninth top 10 of the year, to reduce his overall finishing average to 4.45 across 22 races. Russell has the talent and the speed to finish on the rostrum, but his historical record here shows that he’s failed to end inside the top three in his last two visits. Sticking with Mercedes, we must congratulate the teenager, Kimi Antonelli, for registering his third podium of the Championship, which is his first back-to-back return. The Italian has registered four top sixes in the past five, including two rostrums.

Spare a thought for Charles Leclerc, who missed the rostrum by one spot in the previous round. However, it was a solid effort to bounce back after his DNF in Brazil. The Monegasque pilot has racked up seven finishes among the first three racers. He crossed the line in second place on this asphalt 12 months ago and will be desperate to go one better this time around. However, neither Ferrari driver has managed to snatch a checkered flag this season.

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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-413
$24.84
Lando Norris
-223
$28.98
Oscar Piastri
+106
$41.20
George Russell
+164
$52.80
Charles Leclerc
+210
$62.00
Kimi Antonelli
+260
$72.00
Lewis Hamilton
+385
$97.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+7023
$1,424.60
Alexander Albon
+9456
$1,911.20
Carlos Sainz
+9456
$1,911.20
Liam Lawson
+9456
$1,911.20
Isack Hadjar
+9456
$1,911.20
Fernando Alonso
+9456
$1,911.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+9456
$1,911.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9456
$1,911.20
Oliver Bearman
+9456
$1,911.20
Lance Stroll
+9456
$1,911.20
Esteban Ocon
+9456
$1,911.20
Pierre Gasly
+9456
$1,911.20
Franco Colapinto
+9456
$1,911.20
Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri returns to the circuit where he’s never finished off the podium.

Odds for the Top 6

Carlos “Chilli” Sainz spiced up his performance in the last round to bag his second top six of the campaign. The Spaniard looked like a class act all weekend, which culminated in a fifth-place return. His issue is consistency. He’s failed to cross the line on three occasions and has fallen outside of the top 10 in nine out of 22 rounds. Credit is due to Sir Lewis Hamilton, who gained 11 places in Nevada to finish eighth. It’s been a tough season for the seven-time world champion, but he showed his class in the previous outing, after starting from 19th on the grid. He lines up at the Lusail International Circuit with nine top sixes under his belt.

Rookie Isack Hadjar finished inside the first six for the third time this year in the 22nd round. It was the first time that the Racing Bulls driver had achieved the milestone since his maiden F1 podium in the Netherlands. Sticking with the youngsters, Oliver Bearman ended a two-race top-six streak a week ago, settling for 10th. He’s one to watch in this bracket as he’s posted three top sixes in the past eight events. From youth to experience, Fernando Alonso returns to a circuit where he’s never finished outside of the top 10. His worst outing was a seventh-place finish in 2024, but he podiumed here in 2021 and took sixth spot two years later.

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Driver
Event Top 6
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-776
$22.57
Lando Norris
-551
$23.63
Oscar Piastri
-322
$26.21
George Russell
-247
$28.10
Charles Leclerc
-204
$29.80
Kimi Antonelli
-190
$30.53
Lewis Hamilton
-139
$34.39
Yuki Tsunoda
+491
$118.20
Alexander Albon
+651
$150.20
Carlos Sainz
+760
$172.00
Liam Lawson
+811
$182.20
Isack Hadjar
+900
$200.00
Fernando Alonso
+1016
$223.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+2535
$527.00
Oliver Bearman
+3331
$686.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3925
$805.00
Esteban Ocon
+4248
$869.60
Lance Stroll
+4446
$909.20
Pierre Gasly
+6074
$1,234.80
Franco Colapinto
+10103
$2,040.60

Odds for a Top 10 Finish

Another experienced hand on the grid is Nico Hulkenberg, who has his tail up leading into the penultimate weekend on the calendar. The German has posted three top 10s in his past four starts, accumulating eight in total across the year. Over at Williams, Alex Albon was one of our shining lights in the midfield earlier in the season, but he’s battled at the backend, last earning a top 10 at Monza. However, when “Mr. Round The Outside” hits his straps, he’s a force to be reckoned with, evidenced by his 11 returns inside of the first 10 places in 2025. 

Haas senior, Esteban Ocon, has fought valiantly in the past three rounds to cross the line in ninth place twice. The Frenchman has mingled with the first 10 finishers on eight occasions this series, delivering a best of fifth in China. Yuki Tsunoda remains a prospect for a top 10, but has just missed the grade in recent attempts, with a 12th place in Mexico and 11th last weekend. He’s crossed the line as one of the first 10 cars in six Grands Prix this year, the last one arriving in Austin. 

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Driver
Event Top 10
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-1222
$21.64
Lando Norris
-1028
$21.94
Oscar Piastri
-767
$22.60
George Russell
-671
$22.98
Charles Leclerc
-580
$23.45
Kimi Antonelli
-546
$23.66
Lewis Hamilton
-440
$24.55
Yuki Tsunoda
-100
$40.00
Alexander Albon
+122
$44.40
Liam Lawson
+130
$46.00
Carlos Sainz
+135
$47.00
Isack Hadjar
+146
$49.20
Fernando Alonso
+150
$50.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+302
$80.40
Oliver Bearman
+357
$91.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+371
$94.20
Esteban Ocon
+420
$104.00
Lance Stroll
+434
$106.80
Pierre Gasly
+555
$131.00
Franco Colapinto
+1423
$304.60
Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc recorded a runner-up on his last visit to Qatar, but can he go one better this weekend?

H2H of Interest

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-139
$34.39
Lando Norris
+139
$47.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+153
$50.60
Fernando Alonso
-153
$33.07
Oliver Bearman
+163
$52.60
Isack Hadjar
-163
$32.27
Charles Leclerc
-110
$38.18
Kimi Antonelli
+110
$42.00
Pierre Gasly
+112
$42.40
Esteban Ocon
-112
$37.86

Fastest Qualifier Odds

Leading into the previous round, Max Verstappen had the edge in the 2025 Pirelli Pole Position award with seven scalps to his name. Moving on to Qatar, Lando Norris has now joined the club after he clocked the fastest time in qualifying in Las Vegas. However, the picture looks darker for Norris at Lusail, where he’s never started a race from the front row. Verstappen, on the other hand, took pole in 2023 and second place on his last trip.

Five-time front row starter this year, Oscar Piastri, remains a possibility, but the papaya cars have typically struggled to tame Red Bull and Mercedes’ drivers in qualifying in Qatar. The German-owned team boasts two fastest qualifiers at Lusail in the three editions. Lewis Hamilton stopped the clock the fastest in 2021, while George Russell replicated the achievement 12 months ago. Russell has topped qualifying twice and gone on to win on Sunday on both occasions this term.

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Driver
Fastest Qualifier
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+239
$67.80
Lando Norris
+240
$68.00
Oscar Piastri
+705
$161.00
George Russell
+1212
$262.40
Charles Leclerc
+1268
$273.60
Kimi Antonelli
+2073
$434.60
Lewis Hamilton
+3030
$626.00
Carlos Sainz
+21398
$4,299.60
Fernando Alonso
+21398
$4,299.60
Alexander Albon
+21398
$4,299.60
Esteban Ocon
+21398
$4,299.60
Franco Colapinto
+21398
$4,299.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21398
$4,299.60
Isack Hadjar
+21398
$4,299.60
Lance Stroll
+21398
$4,299.60
Liam Lawson
+21398
$4,299.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+21398
$4,299.60
Oliver Bearman
+21398
$4,299.60
Pierre Gasly
+21398
$4,299.60
Yuki Tsunoda
+21398
$4,299.60

Odds for the Constructors' Winner

Red Bull has spread their wings and is soaring into the Middle East after their sixth constructors’ scalp of the Championship. They’ve now produced the winning vehicle in four out of the last seven races, and the news gets better for the Milton-Keynes garage. They clock in at Lusail International Circuit seeking a hat trick of victories at this track. Mercedes owns the only other triumph in Qatar, which came courtesy of Lewis Hamilton in the inaugural edition of this race.

The 2025 Constructors’ Champions, McLaren, have never collected the team trophy here. They came close in 2023, when Oscar Piastri ended runner-up, but they haven’t looked like a prevailing force at this track. While fans would love to see Ferrari break the duck and win at least one race this year, the odds are stacked against them, arriving at a venue where they’re yet to take top honors.

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Team
Constructor Winner Odds
$20 Payout
Mclaren
+162
$52.40
Red Bull
+171
$54.20
Mercedes
+863
$192.60
Ferrari
+991
$218.20
Williams
+10709
$2,161.80
Aston Martin
+10709
$2,161.80
Racing Bulls
+10709
$2,161.80
Alpine
+10709
$2,161.80
Haas
+10709
$2,161.80
Sauber
+10709
$2,161.80

Odds for the Midfield Winner Race

If the Drivers’ Championship wasn’t exciting enough, the midfield race has brought endless entertainment this year, with multiple racers capturing the spoils. Alex Albon wears the crown in this division, after beating his peers to the line in five races this year. But we’ve already touched on his lack of consistency in recent races, and whether he can regain his form at the death remains to be seen. From one Williams pilot to the next, Carlos Sainz showed his skill last time out to earn his third midfield win of the year. Like his teammate, consistency isn’t his strong suit, but he’s beaten his midfield rivals twice in the last six Grand Prix.

Continuing with our list of experienced navigators, Fernando Alonso trails Albon with four midfield triumphs this season. His last one arrived in Singapore, and this weekend he returns to a venue where he’s never finished outside of the top 10. Another veteran, Nico Hulkenberg, has topped the midfield tussle on three occasions this year. His most recent was in Austin, and he’s lining up after consecutive finishes inside the first ten. From experience, we turn to youth where Isack Hadjar stands out with three midfield successes to his name. He closed out the previous race in sixth, and averages 10.80 in the ultimate five races, only bettered by Oliver Bearman in this class. The Haas rookie is on a roll with five consecutive returns inside the top 10, and two midfield victories in three weekends.

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Driver
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Alexander Albon
+466
$113.20
Liam Lawson
+542
$128.40
Carlos Sainz
+544
$128.80
Isack Hadjar
+611
$142.20
Fernando Alonso
+672
$154.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+1714
$362.80
Oliver Bearman
+2101
$440.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+2505
$521.00
Esteban Ocon
+2663
$552.60
Lance Stroll
+2733
$566.60
Pierre Gasly
+3740
$768.00
Franco Colapinto
+16170
$3,254.00

Odds for the Sprint Winner

We have arrived at the start line of the final sprint race on the calendar, and every point is vital for the Drivers’ Championship contenders. Two of those drivers in the hunt, Verstappen and Norris, have stood on the rostrum in three out of five sprints, twice as victors. The latter collected the eight points on offer in Brazil, while Kimi Antonelli bagged his maiden F1 sprint podium.

The rookie’s teammate, George Russell, has found his rhythm in the short format recently, collecting consecutive podiums in Austin and São Paulo, this after he failed to enter the top three in the first three sprint weekends. Lewis Hamilton is the only other driver to bathe in glory after a sprint race in 2025, capturing the opening one of the campaign. However, Ferrari’s latest recruit has fallen outside of the top six places in two out of the previous three sprint races. Finally, Oscar Piastri settled for second place in Shanghai, Miami, and Spa, but has failed to finish the previous two spectacles.

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Driver
Sprint Winner
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+172
$54.40
Lando Norris
+327
$85.40
Oscar Piastri
+771
$174.20
George Russell
+1278
$275.60
Charles Leclerc
+1335
$287.00
Kimi Antonelli
+2130
$446.00
Lewis Hamilton
+2657
$551.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+21374
$4,294.80
Carlos Sainz
+21374
$4,294.80
Alexander Albon
+21374
$4,294.80
Fernando Alonso
+21374
$4,294.80
Liam Lawson
+21374
$4,294.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21374
$4,294.80
Isack Hadjar
+21374
$4,294.80
Esteban Ocon
+21374
$4,294.80
Franco Colapinto
+21374
$4,294.80
Lance Stroll
+21374
$4,294.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+21374
$4,294.80
Oliver Bearman
+21374
$4,294.80
Pierre Gasly
+21374
$4,294.80

Where to Bet on the Qatar Grand Prix

We couldn’t have asked for a better way to finish the season than with a nail-biting title fight. Lando Norris leads by 24 points, with a total of 33 points on offer in Qatar. Can the McLaren driver put the title to bed before the show reaches Abu Dhabi, or will Max Verstappen take the fight to the final round?

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Qatar Airways Qatar Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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