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Best Bets: Formula Drift Seattle Throw Down Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: Formula Drift Seattle Throw Down Pre-Event Odds Analysis

James Deane extended his commanding lead in the 2024 Formula Drift Pro Championship with his third win of the season at World Wide Technology Raceway in St. Louis. The Irish driver delivered a near-flawless performance, overcoming fierce challenges from Matt Field, Conor Shanahan and 14-year-old sensation Hiroya Minowa on his way to victory. Minowa made history by becoming the youngest driver ever to stand on a Formula Drift podium, finishing second after defeating three-time champion Fredric Aasbo in the semifinals.

As the series heads to Evergreen Speedway in Monroe, Washington for Round 6, all eyes will be on Deane as he looks to further solidify his grip on the championship. But with a hungry pack of rivals determined to knock him off the top step, and the unpredictable “Throwdown” course ready to punish any mistakes, the stage is set for an epic battle in the Pacific Northwest. Let’s break down the odds and analyze the key contenders.

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Schedule and How to Watch Formula Drift Seattle

Formula Drift Round 6: Throwdown will take place on August 9-10 at Evergreen Speedway in Monroe, Washington. The action begins with open practice sessions on Friday, followed by the all-important qualifying runs in the evening. On Saturday, the Top 32 competition heats up with main event battles under the floodlights.

To catch all the action, tune in to the official Formula Drift live stream on their website or follow the event on social media for real-time updates. To stay up to date on odds and results, be sure to check NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Formula Drift Seattle

Top Picks for FD Seattle

Driver

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

James Deane

+188

$57.60

Fredric Aasbo

+878

$195.60

Aurimas Bakchis

+1306

$281.20

James Deane (+188): It’s hard to bet against the three-time champion and current points leader, especially when he’s in the form of his life. Deane’s aggressive yet precise driving style is perfectly suited to the high-speed, high-risk nature of the Evergreen Speedway layout. His mental toughness and ability to consistently lay down high-scoring qualifying runs give him a distinct advantage. With multiple podium finishes and a 2018 win at the Throwdown course in the past, Deane is the odds-on favorite to claim the top prize in his AutoZone Ford Mustang RTR Spec 5-FD.

Fredric Aasbo (+878): Despite an inconsistent start to the 2024 season, Aasbo’s third-place finish in St. Louis served notice that the 2022 champion is still a force to be reckoned with. His smooth and precise driving style could pay dividends on the unforgiving Evergreen Speedway course. With two victories and five podium finishes at the Washington venue, Aasbo’s experience and big-game mentality make him a serious contender for the win in his Rockstar Energy Toyota GR Supra.

Aurimas Bakchis (+1306): Currently sitting second in the standings, Bakchis has been a model of consistency with two podium finishes so far. However, he’s still chasing that elusive first win of 2024. The Lithuanian’s aggressive style leaves little room for error, but when he puts together a mistake-free run, the Feal Suspension Nissan S15 is a serious threat. If Bakchis can find the right balance of speed and precision, he could challenge Deane’s dominance in Washington.

Outsider Bets for FD Seattle

Driver

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

Ryan Tuerck

+1320

$284.00

Matt Field

+1331

$286.20

Conor Shanahan

+1834

$386.80

Ryan Tuerck (+1320): Tuerck has pieced together a solid campaign, recording four Top 16 finishes and sitting 15th in the championship standings. While he may not have the outright speed to consistently challenge the top drivers, Tuerck’s experience and adaptability could serve him well on the tricky Evergreen Speedway surface. If he can put together a clean qualifying run and secure a favorable bracket spot, Tuerck has the skills to play spoiler and make a deep run in his Rain-X / Nitto Tire / Mobil 1 Toyota Corolla Hatchback.

Matt Field (+1331): After a lackluster start to the season, Field’s fourth-place finish in St. Louis showed he’s still a serious threat. Field’s aggressive style is tailor-made for the high-commitment Throwdown layout, and his Borla Performance GT Radial Heat Wave Visual Leen Customs C6 Corvette has the speed and grip to run with the top cars. If he can string together consistent qualifying laps and avoid early matchups against the favorites, Field could be poised for a breakout performance.

Conor Shanahan (+1834): The rookie winner in Round 3: Orlanda has shown flashes of brilliance mixed with inconsistency in his rookie season. However, a hard-charging run to the Top 8 in St. Louis, including a thrilling battle with James Deane, highlighted Shanahan’s raw potential. The demanding Evergreen Speedway course should suit his aggressive style, but he’ll need to focus on precision to challenge the veterans. If Shanahan can keep his Red Bull Garagistic E36 BMW out of trouble and pull off some upsets, a podium finish isn’t out of the question.

Expert Pick for FD Seattle

If you’re looking for the trifecta of outright speed, mistake-free consistency and betting value, look no further than Fredric Aasbo at +878. The Norwegian veteran has the perfect combination of experience, guile and balls-out bravery to conquer the Throwdown gauntlet, and he tends to peak in the second half of the season. Jump on those generous odds before the rest of the pack catches wise and the line moves.

Heat Picks – Top 32

As the field narrows to 32 drivers, the intensity ratchets up and every run becomes crucial. Here are our picks for the most compelling matchups in the opening round of elimination battles.


Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Jeff Jones

+177

$55.40

Simen Olsen

-243

$28.23

Jhonnattan Castro

+185

$57.00

Chris Forsberg

-256

$27.81

Ryan Litteral

+262

$72.40

Ryan Tuerck

-384

$25.21

Branden Sorensen

-258

$27.75

Diego Higa

+186

$57.20

Nick Noback

+156

$51.20

Jonathan Hurst

-212

$29.43

Kazuya Taguchi

-174

$31.49

Taylor Hull

+130

$46.00

Trenton Beechum

+241

$68.20

Rome Charpentier

-348

$25.75

Dan Burkett

+151

$50.20

Ken Gushi

-205

$29.76

Heat Picks – Top 16

With the wheat separated from the chaff, the Sweet 16 is where championship mettle is truly tested. These are the can’t-miss heats that could shape the outcome of the entire Seattle weekend.

Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Rudy Hansen

-136

$34.71

Alec Robbins

+103

$40.60

Mike Power

+272

$74.40

Dmitriy Brutskiy

-403

$24.96

Andy Hateley

-170

$31.76

Kyle Mohan

+127

$45.40

Dean Kearney

-148

$33.51

Robert Thorne

+111

$42.20

Federico Sceriffo

+118

$43.60

Joao Barion

-157

$32.74

Head-to-Head Picks

For those looking to dive deeper into the betting action, we’ve identified the most intriguing driver-vs-driver matchups of the weekend. These head-to-head battles offer savvy bettors the chance to capitalize on their Formula Drift knowledge and potentially uncover hidden value.

Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Simen Olsen

-141

$34.18

Adam Lz

+106

$41.20

Dylan Hughes

-136

$34.71

Chris Forsberg

+103

$40.60

Matt Field

-191

$30.47

Conor Shanahan

+142

$48.40

Ryan Tuerck

-102

$39.61

Aurimas Bakchis

-129

$35.50

James Deane

-213

$29.39

Fredric Aasbo

+156

$51.20

Where to Bet on Formula Drift Seattle

Looking to lay down some action on Formula Drift Seattle? Place your bets with ease and confidence using our partnered sportsbooks. For detailed insights, strategies, and tips to maximize your betting experience, make sure to check out the official NXTbets Formula Drift Betting Guide. With real-time odds and expert insights at your fingertips, making informed bets on the action-packed event has never been simpler. 

As the 2024 Formula Drift season kicks into high gear, the stage is set for an unforgettable showdown at Evergreen Speedway. With a mix of seasoned veterans, rising stars, and hungry outsiders all vying for the top step of the podium, Round 6 promises to be a thrilling spectacle that will keep fans on the edge of their seats from the first tandem battle to the final checkered flag.

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