Best Bets: MotoAmerica Permco Superbikes at Mid-Ohio 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Odds Subject to Change

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Best Bets and Picks for MotoAm Superbikes at Mid-Ohio

Superbike

Top Picks and Bets

Josh Herrin (+339) comes into Mid-Ohio as the championship leader, eager to add to his four-race podium streak. The 2013 AMA Superbike Champion has reinvented himself this season, utilizing the Ducati Panigale V4 R’s sheer power to great effect. Herrin knows what it takes to win at Mid-Ohio, having stood atop the podium here back in 2013. Expect the veteran to come out swinging, looking to establish an early advantage over his rivals.

Jake Gagne (+404) arrives at Mid-Ohio on the back foot after a season plagued by arm pump issues. The three-time defending champion has shown flashes of his trademark speed, but consistency has proven elusive. A recent surgery during the summer break could be the key to unlocking Gagne’s full potential. If the Californian can recapture his dominant form, the flowing nature of Mid-Ohio could play right into the Yamaha YZF-R1’s strengths.

Cameron Beaubier (+425) has momentum on his side after a commanding victory at Laguna Seca. The five-time MotoAmerica Superbike Champion is on the comeback trail after injury, and Mid-Ohio presents the perfect opportunity to further close the gap. Beaubier’s smooth riding style should mesh well with the BMW M 1000 RR’s nimble chassis. If he can carry his Laguna Seca form into this weekend, victory number four could be on the cards.

Outsider Picks

Bobby Fong (+571) arrives at Mid-Ohio with something to prove after a costly error at Laguna Seca. The Californian has shown race-winning pace this season aboard the Yamaha YZF-R1, but costly errors have hindered his title charge. Fong’s aggressive riding style could pay dividends at Mid-Ohio, particularly in the hard-braking zones. If he can keep it on two wheels, a third victory of the season isn’t out of the question.

Cameron Petersen (+593) has endured rotten luck in recent rounds, with mechanical gremlins robbing him of certain podiums. The South African’s never-say-die attitude has kept him in the title hunt, and he’ll be looking to get his championship challenge back on track in Ohio. Petersen’s ninja-like reflexes could be a key asset through Mid-Ohio’s off-camber corners and elevation changes. A trouble-free weekend could see him back on the box.

Loris Baz (+966) left Laguna Seca frustrated after struggling to sixth-place finishes. The flying Frenchman is overdue a return to the podium, and Mid-Ohio could be just the place to do it. Baz’s world-class experience could prove vital at this challenging, technical circuit. Keep an eye on his sector times through Thunder Valley – if he’s hooked up there, a rostrum charge could be on the cards.

Expert Pick for Superbike

For the Mid-Ohio round, our expert pick is Cameron Beaubier. The Californian has the bit between his teeth after injury, and looks to be returning to his imperious best. Mid-Ohio’s technical layout should play to the strengths of both Beaubier and the BMW M 1000 RR. With the title leaders looking nervously over their shoulders, expect Beaubier to stamp his authority on proceedings. If he can carry his Laguna pace into the weekend, a fifth victory of the season could be on the cards, propelling him right back into title contention.

Superbike H2H

Supersport

Top Picks and Bets

Mathew Scholtz (-107) comes to Mid-Ohio with a handy 18-point championship lead after his Laguna Seca double. The South African has been a revelation since stepping down from Superbike, with his smooth riding style and intelligent racecraft reaping dividends. Scholtz’s extensive Superbike experience gives him a unique perspective on how to approach Mid-Ohio’s challenging layout. Barring disasters, it’s hard to look past the Yamaha rider for victory.

PJ Jacobsen (+179) will be desperate to keep clawing back points on Scholtz after sweeping Laguna Seca with two wins. The Ducati-mounted New Yorker has the outright speed to run at the front, and will likely aggressively attack the hard braking zones in search of victory. The Panigale V2 should be well-suited to Mid-Ohio’s fast, flowing corners. If Jacobsen can qualify well and make early progress, he has the race craft to push Scholtz all the way.

Tyler Scott (+831) has endured a character-building season thus far, but the young American’s talent is undeniable. Scott’s aggressive riding style and unwavering commitment could pay dividends at Mid-Ohio, particularly if conditions are tricky. The Pennsylvania native will likely need to rely on his outright speed rather than racecraft at this stage in his career, but if he can string a clean weekend together, a maiden Supersport podium could beckon.

Outsider Picks

Blake Davis (+2168) has shown flashes of speed this season, but has struggled to string a complete weekend together. The Yamaha-mounted rider’s greatest strength is his outright pace, which could prove vital in Mid-Ohio’s fast, flowing sections. If Davis can keep his head and avoid errors, a podium charge isn’t out of the question. The key will be stringing clean laps together from the outset.

Corey Alexander (+2413) comes to Mid-Ohio with a point to prove sitting 5th in the standings aboard the Ducati Panigale V2. The New Yorker’s wealth of experience could prove vital at this technical, challenging circuit. Alexander will need to rely on his racecraft and machine preparation to bridge the gap to the pacesetters, but if everything falls into place, a return to the rostrum isn’t impossible.

Jake Lewis (+2525) has been a model of consistency this season, if perhaps lacking the ultimate pace of the frontrunners. The Suzuki GSX-R750  rider’s smooth, methodical riding style could pay dividends at Mid-Ohio, where mistakes are heavily punished. Lewis has a habit of being in the right place at the right time, and a rostrum could beckon if the cards fall his way.

Expert Pick for Supersport

In the Supersport category, our expert pick is PJ Jacobsen. The Ducati-mounted New Yorker looks to lessen the 18 point gap from 1st place Mathew Scholtz after gaining 10 points on him at Laguna Seca. We expect Jacobsen to continue this new momentum at Mid-Ohio and add on to his 5 wins this season. The Panigale V2’s horsepower advantage could prove pivotal at this fast, flowing circuit. If Jacobsen can make a fast start and control the race from the front, he has every chance of clawing back crucial points on Scholtz in the title race.

Supersport H2H

King of the Baggers

Top Picks and Bets

Troy Herfoss (+170) has been the surprise package of the King of the Baggers series thus far. The three-time Australian Superbike Champion has taken to the big V-twin like a duck to water, with a controlled, precise riding style that seems tailor-made for the Indian Challenger’s unique demands. Herfoss’ metronomic consistency could prove decisive at Mid-Ohio, where mistakes are punished mercilessly.

Kyle Wyman (+190) comes into Mid-Ohio coming off a 1st place in race 1 and 2nd race runner-up at Laguna Seca. The Harley-Davidson factory rider’s aggressive style and never-say-die attitude have reaped dividends this season, and he’ll be eager to reassert his authority in Ohio. Wyman’s outright speed and hard-braking prowess could prove pivotal at this fast, flowing circuit.

Hayden Gillim (+398) has endured an up-and-down season by his lofty standards, but the reigning champion can never be discounted. Gillim’s unique blend of aggression and finesse seems perfectly suited to Mid-Ohio’s challenging layout. The Harley-Davidson rider’s key focus will be stringing a complete weekend together – if he can couple outright pace with mistake-free riding, a return to the top step seems inevitable.

Outsider Picks

Tyler O’Hara (+1012) arrives at Mid-Ohio with redemption on his mind after a bruising weekend at Laguna Seca. The Indian-mounted Californian’s greatest strength is his aggressive, all-action riding style, which could pay dividends if conditions are tricky. O’Hara will need to dig deep to bridge the gap to the pacesetters, but his never-say-die attitude means a podium charge can’t be discounted.

James Rispoli (+1735) has shown glimpses of speed aboard the Harley-Davidson Road Glide this season but has lacked the consistency to mount a sustained challenge. The Florida native’s wealth of experience could prove vital at Mid-Ohio, where a cool head and intelligent racecraft are key. If Rispoli can string a mistake-free weekend together, a season’s first win isn’t out of the question.

Cory West (+2394) comes into Mid-Ohio riding after a disappointing 0 points earned in Laguna Seca. The Harley-Davidson pilot’s controlled, methodical riding style should be well-suited to the flowing Mid-Ohio layout. West will need to rely on his experience and racecraft to bridge the gap to the pacesetters, but if he can avoid errors, a surprise podium could be in the cards.

Expert Pick for Baggers

In the Mission King of the Baggers category, our expert pick is Kyle Wyman. After a momentum building weekend at Laguna Seca, the Harley-Davidson factory rider will be ready to reassert his authority in Ohio. Mid-Ohio’s fast, flowing layout should play to the strengths of both Wyman and the Road Glide. With his chief title rival Troy Herfoss still learning the track, Wyman has a golden opportunity to reestablish his championship lead. Expect the Harley rider to come out swinging from the outset in search of a decisive victory.

Baggers H2H

MotoAm Futures Update

Superbike Championship Futures Update

The Superbike championship landscape has shifted dramatically, with Josh Herrin emerging as the clear favorite following his strong performances at Laguna Seca. Jake Gagne’s odds have lengthened, reflecting his ongoing struggles with arm pump. Cameron Petersen and Bobby Fong remain in contention, but their championship hopes are fading. The most notable change is Cameron Beaubier’s odds, which have ballooned despite his recent victory. This suggests bookmakers view his mid-season absence as too big a hurdle to overcome in the title chase, despite his undeniable speed.

Supersport Championship Futures Update

In the Supersport class, Mathew Scholtz has cemented his position as the overwhelming favorite, his odds shortening significantly after his consistent performances. PJ Jacobsen remains the clear second choice, but the gap to Scholtz in the odds reflects the growing perception of a one-horse race for the title. The long odds for Corey Alexander and Jake Lewis indicate that bookmakers view the championship as a two-rider battle, with the rest of the field having only an outside chance of mounting a late-season charge for the title.

Baggers Championship Futures Update

The Baggers championship futures have seen a significant shift, with Kyle Wyman now installed as the clear favorite after taking the points lead at Laguna Seca. Troy Herfoss remains within striking distance, but his crash at Laguna has dented his championship prospects in the eyes of the bookmakers. The identical long odds for Hayden Gillim, James Rispoli, and Tyler O’Hara suggest that the title is now viewed as a two-horse race between Wyman and Herfoss, with the others needing a remarkable turnaround to challenge for the championship.

Where to Bet on MotoAm Superbikes at Mid-Ohio

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As MotoAmerica makes its long-awaited return to Mid-Ohio, the stage is set for a weekend of high-stakes racing that could reshape the championship landscape across all classes. With battles raging from Superbike to Supersport to Baggers, don’t miss a moment of the action. Stay tuned for expert analysis throughout this pivotal round of the 2024 season.

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