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Best Bets: MotoAmerica Road America Wisconsin Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: MotoAmerica Road America Wisconsin Pre-Event Odds Analysis

 

The MotoAmerica Championship is set to write another thrilling chapter as the series heads to the legendary Road America circuit in Elkhart Lake, Wisconsin, from May 31 to June 2, 2024. Coming off a dramatic round at Barber Motorsports Park, where Cameron Beaubier staged a remarkable comeback with two dominant victories on Sunday, the anticipation for the upcoming battles is reaching a fever pitch. As the paddock descends upon America’s National Park of Speed, fans are eagerly awaiting a weekend filled with intense competition, strategic maneuvers, and awe-inspiring displays of skill.

In this comprehensive preview, we dive deep into the top contenders and potential dark horses across the Superbike, Supersport, and Baggers divisions. With expert analysis backed by insights into rider strengths, track dynamics, and historical performances, we provide a holistic view of what to expect from each competitor. Whether you’re a passionate MotoAmerica fan or an enthusiast looking to understand the nuances of the sport, this is your ultimate guide to the Road America round.

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Schedule and How to Watch MotoAmerica Road America 2024

The 4.048-mile, 14-turn Road America circuit in Elkhart Lake, Wisconsin, will host round four of the 2024 MotoAmerica Championship from May 31 to June 2. Event details and schedule can be found on the official event page. Both will be aired live on FS1 as part of MotoAmerica’s comprehensive broadcast package, so you can catch every pulse-pounding moment from the comfort of home.

If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for MotoAmerica Road America 2024

Top Picks and Bets – Superbike

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Jake Gagne

+119

$43.80

-500

$24.00

Cameron Beaubier

+148

$49.60

-400

$25.00

Cameron Petersen

+480

$116.00

+110

$42.00

In the Superbike division, all eyes will be on the fierce rivalry between Jake Gagne and Cameron Beaubier. Gagne, the three-time defending champion and current leader in the standings, has proven time and again that he has the mental fortitude to overcome adversity. Despite struggling with arm pump issues at Barber, Gagne’s deep understanding of his machine and his ability to maintain a relentless pace make him a formidable force at Road America. Expect Gagne to come out swinging, determined to reassert his dominance and extend his championship lead.

However, one can never count out Cameron Beaubier, the five-time MotoAmerica Superbike Champion. Beaubier’s stunning comeback at Barber, where he bounced back from a disappointing crash to win both races on Sunday, showcased his unmatched determination and raw speed. With a record-breaking 11 Superbike victories at Road America, Beaubier’s confidence will be at an all-time high. Look for him to leverage his aggressive riding style and intimate knowledge of the track to put pressure on Gagne and aim for the top step of the podium.

Cameron Petersen, Gagne’s teammate at Attack Performance/Progressive Yamaha, is another rider to keep a close eye on. Petersen’s maiden Superbike victory at Barber was a testament to his growing maturity and racecraft. The South African’s smooth and precise riding style is well-suited to Road America’s flowing nature, and his ability to maintain a consistent pace throughout the race could be crucial in the battle for podium positions. If Petersen can qualify well and avoid getting caught up in the early-race chaos, he has the potential to challenge his more experienced teammates and shake up the podium.

Outsider Picks – Superbike

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Josh Herrin

+4731

$966.20

+1080

$236.00

Bobby Fong

+5028

$1025.60

+1140

$248.00

Sean Dylan Kelly

+7652

$1550.40

+1580

$336.00


When it comes to outsiders in the Superbike field, Josh Herrin is a rider to watch. The Warhorse HSBK Racing Ducati rider currently sits sixth in the standings, 35 points behind Gagne, but his aggressive riding style and the sheer power of the Ducati Panigale V4 R could be a potent combination at Road America. Herrin took pole position and victory at the track in 2023, and if he can recapture that form, he could be a serious threat to the factory Yamaha duo.

Bobby Fong is another rider who could spring a surprise. The Wrench Motorcycles Yamaha rider has been a model of consistency this season, finishing in the top five in three of the five races so far. Fong’s third-place finish at Barber showed that he has the pace to run with the leaders, and if he can qualify well and make a strong start, he could be in the mix for a podium finish.

Keep an eye on Sean Dylan Kelly, too. The Superbike rookie has been a revelation this season, securing two podium finishes and currently sitting third in the standings, just 22 points behind Gagne. Kelly’s fearless riding style and natural talent have already marked him out as a future star, and if he can continue his rapid progression at Road America, he could be a dark horse contender for a shock result.

Top Picks and Bets – Supersport

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

PJ Jacobsen

+227

$65.40

-300

$26.67

Mathew Scholtz

+251

$70.20

-250

$28.00

Tyler Scott

+1347

$289.40

+667

$153.40

In the Supersport category, PJ Jacobsen enters Road America as the rider to beat. Jacobsen’s dominant performance at Road Atlanta, where he secured his first win for the Rahal Ducati Moto team, was a testament to his raw speed and race craft. The Ducati Panigale V2 has proven to be a formidable package in Jacobsen’s hands, and his ability to maintain a blistering pace while managing tire wear will be crucial at Road America’s high-speed layout.

Mathew Scholtz, the reigning Supersport Champion, is another top contender to watch. Despite transitioning to the Supersport class this season, Scholtz has quickly adapted and consistently challenged for victories. The South African’s smooth riding style and technical prowess have been evident, and his experience at Road America could give him a slight edge in setup and race strategy.

Tyler Scott is another rider to watch. The Supersport rookie has been impressive in his debut season, securing three podium finishes and currently sitting fourth in the standings, just 20 points behind Jacobsen. Scott’s natural talent and aggressive riding style could be well-suited to Road America’s fast and flowing layout, and if he can maintain his consistency, a maiden Supersport victory could be on the cards.

Outsider Picks – Supersport

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Jake Lewis

+1745

$369.00

+822

$184.40

Teagg Hobbs

+1759

$371.80

+829

$185.00

Stefano Mesa

+2209

$461.80

+994

$218.80

Looking at the outsiders in the Supersport field, Jake Lewis is a rider who could cause an upset. The Vision Wheel M4 ECSTAR Suzuki rider has shown flashes of brilliance this season, securing a podium finish at Road Atlanta and consistently running in the top six. Lewis’ experience and ability to adapt to changing conditions could be key factors at Road America, and if he can qualify well and make a strong start, a surprise podium finish could be within reach.

Teagg Hobbs is another rider to keep an eye on. The Altus Motorsports Suzuki rider has been quietly consistent this season, finishing in the top 10 in all five races so far and currently sitting seventh in the standings, just 27 points behind Jacobsen. Hobbs’ aggressive riding style and determination could be well-suited to Road America’s layout, and if he can find the right setup, he could be a dark horse contender for a top-five finish.

Rounding out the outsider picks is Stefano Mesa. The MESA37 Racing Kawasaki rider has shown flashes of speed this season, securing a top-five finish at Road Atlanta and consistently running in the top 10. Mesa’s experience and consistency could be key factors at Road America, and if he can qualify well and stay out of trouble in the early laps, a surprise podium finish could be within reach.

Top Picks and Bets – Baggers

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Kyle Wyman

+137

$47.40

-857

$22.33

Troy Herfoss

+184

$56.80

-318

$26.29

Hayden Gillim

+1314

$282.80

+387

$97.40

The Baggers class has been dominated by two riders this season: Kyle Wyman and Troy Herfoss. Wyman, the current points leader, has been a model of consistency, rarely finishing off the podium. His intimate knowledge of the Road America circuit and his ability to extract the maximum from his Harley-Davidson Factory Racing Road Glide make him a top pick for both the event win and a podium finish. Wyman’s smooth and precise riding style is well-suited to the flowing nature of the track, and his racecraft and tire management skills could prove decisive in the closing stages of the races.

Troy Herfoss, the multi-time Australian Superbike Champion, has taken the Baggers class by storm in his debut season. Herfoss’ natural talent and quick adaptation to the unique demands of the class have seen him secure multiple victories. The S&S Indian Challenger rider’s aggressive riding style and ability to exploit the Indian’s prodigious power have been key weapons in his arsenal. At Road America, Herfoss will be looking to qualify well and make a strong start to avoid getting caught up in the mid-pack battles where the Indian’s size could be a disadvantage.

Hayden Gillim, the defending Baggers Champion, cannot be overlooked. Despite a somewhat subdued start to the season, Gillim’s experience and proven track record at Road America make him a serious contender. The Vance & Hines Harley-Davidson rider’s smooth and precise style is well-suited to the flowing nature of the circuit, and his racecraft and tactical acumen could prove crucial in the heat of battle. If Gillim can find the setup sweet spot and regain his championship-winning form, he could be the man to beat.

Outsider Picks – Baggers

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Tyler O’Hara

+1438

$307.60

+419

$103.80

James Rispoli

+1654

$350.80

+474

$114.80

Bobby Fong

+1780

$376.00

+504

$120.80

Among the outsiders in the Baggers field, Tyler O’Hara stands out as a potential surprise package. O’Hara’s aggressive riding style and his ability to extract the maximum from his S&S Indian Challenger make him a genuine threat. The Indian’s prodigious power and O’Hara’s fearless approach could be a potent combination, especially on Road America’s long straights. If O’Hara can qualify well and avoid getting caught up in early-race skirmishes, he has the potential to challenge for a surprise victory or a podium finish.

James Rispoli, Wyman’s teammate at Harley-Davidson Factory Racing, is another rider to watch closely. Rispoli’s consistent performances and his ability to work in tandem with Wyman make him a potential spoiler. The Harley-Davidson Road Glide’s agility and stability could play to Rispoli’s strengths, especially in the flowing sections of the track. If Rispoli can find a setup that allows him to maintain a strong pace throughout the race, he could be in the mix for a surprise podium finish.

Bobby Fong rounds out the outsider picks in the Baggers division. Fong’s transition to the class has been impressive, with the Wrench Motorcycles rider consistently challenging for top-five finishes. Fong’s experience in the Superbike class and his ability to adapt quickly to new machinery could be key assets at Road America. If Fong can find a setup that allows him to exploit the Indian’s strengths while minimizing its weaknesses, he could emerge as a dark horse contender for a surprise result.

Expert Pick for MotoAmerica Road America 2024

After careful analysis of recent performances, rider strengths, and the unique challenges posed by the Road America circuit, our expert pick for the MotoAmerica round is Cameron Beaubier. The five-time Superbike Champion’s stunning comeback at Barber Motorsports Park, coupled with his unparalleled success at Road America, make him the rider to beat. Beaubier’s ability to find an extra gear when it matters most, his aggressive riding style, and his intimate knowledge of the circuit give him a slight edge over his rivals. Expect Beaubier to be the man to beat, with Gagne and Petersen as his closest challengers.

Superbike Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

Jake Gagne

-126

$35.87

Cameron Beaubier

+118

$43.60

Bobby Fong

+1505

$321.00

Sean Dylan Kelly

+1805

$381.00

Josh Herrin

+3115

$643.00

In the Superbike division, the championship futures have seen a significant shift following the events at Barber Motorsports Park. Jake Gagne, who entered the weekend as the favorite at -192, has seen his odds lengthen to -126 after a challenging Sunday. The three-time defending champion’s struggles with arm pump and his subsequent seventh and eighth-place finishes have raised questions about his ability to maintain his dominance. However, Gagne’s talent and resilience should never be underestimated, and he will be determined to bounce back strongly at Road America.

On the other hand, Cameron Beaubier’s dominant performance has seen his odds shorten dramatically from +249 to +118, making him the new favorite for the title. The five-time Superbike Champion’s stunning comeback from a disappointing Saturday crash showcased his mental strength and his ability to find an extra gear when it matters most. With a 13-point lead over Gagne and a wealth of experience at Road America, Beaubier will be brimming with confidence heading into the next round.

Supersport Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

PJ Jacobsen

-207

$29.66

Mathew Scholtz

+196

$59.20

Maximiliano Gerardo

+2162

$452.40

Jake Lewis

+2859

$591.80

Corey Alexander

+4229

$865.80


In the Supersport category, PJ Jacobsen has tightened his grip on the championship lead following his consistent performances and his victory at Road Atlanta. Jacobsen’s odds have shortened significantly from -114 to -207, reflecting his status as the clear favorite for the title. The Rahal Ducati Moto rider’s raw speed and race craft have been evident, and his ability to maintain a blistering pace while managing tire wear will be crucial in the upcoming rounds.

Mathew Scholtz, the reigning Supersport Champion, has also seen his odds shorten from +685 to +196, indicating a growing belief in his ability to defend his title. Despite transitioning to the Supersport class this season, Scholtz has quickly adapted and consistently challenged for victories. The South African’s experience and technical prowess will be key assets as he looks to close the gap to Jacobsen.

Maximiliano Gerardo, Jake Lewis, and Corey Alexander have all seen their odds drift, suggesting an uphill battle in their quest for the championship. However, the Supersport class is known for its unpredictability, and a couple of strong results could quickly change the complexion of the title fight. All three riders will be looking to make their mark at Road America and build momentum as the season progresses.

Where to Bet on MotoAm Road America 2024

Elevate your MotoAmerica viewing experience by placing bets on your favorite riders and teams. We’re excited to announce our new partnership with Underdog Fantasy, a leading daily fantasy sports platform that offers unique betting opportunities in 30 states. With Underdog Fantasy, you can place real money better/worse picks on rider performances, adding an extra layer of excitement to the racing action.

Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoAmerica Betting Guide for comprehensive insights and tips. 

As the MotoAmerica paddock descends upon Road America for another thrilling weekend of action, fans are in for a treat. With intense battles expected across all classes, the iconic Wisconsin circuit promises to deliver high-stakes drama and the potential for surprise results. From the fierce rivalry between Gagne and Beaubier in Superbike, to the emerging talents challenging the established order in Supersport, and the bar-banging action of the Baggers class, Road America has all the ingredients for a weekend to remember. 

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