After an exhilarating Indonesian GP where Jorge Martin secured his first Sunday win since Le Mans, MotoGP shifts to Japan for the highly anticipated Grand Prix at Motegi. Martin’s dominant performance in Indonesia, where he extended his championship lead to 21 points, sets the stage for a thrilling continuation of his battle with Francesco Bagnaia. As we head to Japan, the fight for the championship intensifies, with both title contenders pushing the limits. This preview will dive into key rider analysis, focusing on betting picks and insights for the Japanese GP.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the Japan GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
The 2024 MotoGP Japanese Grand Prix takes place from October 4-6, 2024, at Mobility Resort Motegi. The race will unfold on Sunday, October 6, on this demanding 4.8 km circuit, famous for its mix of fast straights and tight corners that challenge even the most skilled riders. For a detailed schedule, including practice and qualifying times, visit the official MotoGP website.
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the Japan Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP Japan GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+175
$55.00
Jorge Martin
+190
$58.00
Marc Marquez
+330
$86.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+175) Bagnaia enters Japan with something to prove after a solid third-place finish in Indonesia. While he couldn’t match Martin’s pace last weekend, Bagnaia’s ability to recover positions and maintain consistency makes him a formidable contender at Motegi. His tire management and technical precision will be crucial on this circuit, where strategic overtakes and conserving tire life often make the difference. Bagnaia will be looking to close the 21-point gap in the championship standings, and his experience in high-pressure scenarios could give him the edge.
Jorge Martin (+190) Martin’s dominant performance in Indonesia, where he controlled the race from start to finish, demonstrates why he’s a top pick for Japan. His aggressive style and ability to lead from the front make him dangerous on circuits like Motegi, where maintaining momentum through fast sections is key. However, consistency will be crucial. While Martin has the pace to win, he’ll need to avoid the errors that have occasionally cost him this season. If he stays composed, he is a strong candidate for another victory.
Marc Marquez (+330) Marquez had a disappointing end to the Indonesian GP due to technical issues, but he remains a wildcard at Motegi. Known for his mastery of tricky conditions, Marquez could benefit if the race takes an unpredictable turn. His experience and ability to push the limits on demanding circuits make him a rider to watch, especially if Martin or Bagnaia falter. While not in the title fight, Marquez has the potential to disrupt the top contenders and even claim a surprise victory.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Brad Binder
+800
$180.00
Enea Bastianini
+900
$200.00
Pedro Acosta
+1100
$240.00
Brad Binder (+800) Binder’s eighth-place finish in Indonesia doesn’t reflect his true potential. Known for his ability to charge through the pack, Binder could surprise at Motegi, a track that rewards aggressive riders. If he manages to stay out of trouble in the early stages, Binder has the skill and determination to challenge for a podium spot.
Enea Bastianini (+900) Bastianini’s crash in Indonesia was a major blow, but his speed before the incident shows that he’s capable of competing with the top riders. His aggressive, late-race pace makes him a podium threat at Motegi, especially if he can avoid mistakes. As an outsider, Bastianini offers value, given his ability to capitalize on chaotic races.
Pedro Acosta (+1100) Acosta’s second-place finish in Indonesia was a breakout performance for the rookie, and he’s quickly proving he belongs in MotoGP’s elite. While Motegi will be a new challenge for him, Acosta’s fearless approach and rapid adaptation make him an intriguing outsider pick. If he can maintain his form, another podium isn’t out of reach.
Expert Pick for MotoGP Japan
For the Japanese GP, Jorge Martin is the expert pick. His recent victory and ability to control the race from the front give him a strong advantage. Martin’s confidence and form suggest he’s the rider to beat at Motegi.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Visit our partner sportsbooksto access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Japan GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
As the MotoGP season moves to Japan, the championship battle intensifies. With Martin and Bagnaia both pushing for the title, the Japanese GP promises thrilling action. Motegi’s challenging layout will test the riders’ abilities, and with so much on the line, fans and bettors should brace for an exciting weekend of racing.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
The town of Cervera in Spain holds under 10,000 inhabitants, yet it’s produced the current leader and second-placed rider in the Championship. Marc and Alex Marquez are owning the circuit this year and lead the MotoGP Netherlands 2025 pre-event odds. Meanwhile, Francesco Bagania is hunting his fourth straight victory at Assen, after setting the all …
In Zaragoza, MotoGP named MotorLand Aragón will host a MotoGP round in 2027 and designated the circuit as its official first-reserve venue for 2028–2031. The agreement, presented by Aragón regional president Jorge Azcón and MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta, secures a one-year active Grand Prix in 2027 rather than a long-term multi-year race contract.
As first reserve for 2028–2031, MotorLand Aragón will step in if a scheduled round cannot go ahead, formalising its role within MotoGP’s approach to rotating Spanish rounds. The limited one-year hosting commitment, together with teams’ reluctance to expand the calendar beyond the current 22 rounds, casts doubt on the planned return of the Argentine round at the upgraded Autódromo Oscar y Juan Gálvez in Buenos Aires for 2027. Separately, Adelaide has been confirmed to replace Phillip Island as the Australian Grand Prix venue from 2027.
Organizers say the 2027 Grand Prix will cost about €12 million to stage. MotorLand Aragón, which first hosted MotoGP in 2010, typically draws more than 110,000 spectators and generates roughly €50 million a year for the region, with nearly half that annual impact tied to MotoGP activity.
MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta described the renewal as reflecting an almost two-decade partnership and stressed the event’s importance to the Aragón region, while regional president Jorge Azcón confirmed the circuit will remain linked to the championship through 2031 as a reserve venue.
Maverick Viñales withdrew from the US MotoGP at COTA after Free Practice 1 when track medical checks found a surgical screw in his previously operated left shoulder had come loose. Tech3 said the displaced screw and ongoing pain forced his withdrawal; Viñales will return to Europe for a minor procedure, and AS reported the operation was scheduled for the week after the Austin round. He was 13th in FP1, nearly a second down on team‑mate Acosta, and had planned to use Friday practice to judge whether he could continue before deciding to withdraw.
The left‑shoulder problem dates to July 2025 and has been linked in reports to Sachsenring qualifying and to a crash at the Italian Grand Prix; Viñales underwent surgery in Italy after that summer injury. Since then he has reported loss of strength and difficulty changing direction, especially when turning left, and his performance has suffered — he completed only five of the final 13 grands prix in 2025, missed eight rounds between the summer incident and the Portuguese round, and has scored just three world championship points since the injury. He entered the season without points from the first two rounds amid reported KTM specification problems, and has been running a different KTM RC16 configuration while managing the shoulder. Over the winter he worked with coach Jorge Lorenzo and took part in a February Sepang test when he believed the shoulder had healed.
Tech3 says Viñales is targeting a return at Jerez (April 24–26). The postponement of the Qatar race gives him an additional recovery window before that weekend. Viñales said he is “worried about my future,” has not ruled out further surgery, and has previously avoided publicly detailing the injury for fear it could lead to being sidelined by KTM and affect his salary.
Fabio Quartararo crashed at Turn 5 on the opening day of the Sepang MotoGP test, falling on his third lap and being taken to the circuit medical centre. Initial checks ruled out fractures but found abrasions to his left arm. But a later assessment revealed a broken finger on his right hand and a sore arm. He returned in the afternoon, added laps, and posted the ninth-fastest time on Yamaha’s much-changed V4 M1, but Yamaha and Quartararo ended his Sepang program after a total of 24 laps (eight in the morning, 16 in the afternoon) so the finger could heal.
The early exit cost Yamaha valuable test time at a session dedicated to assessing the new V4 package. Other V4-related problems emerged during the test, including Andrea Dovizioso stopping with a problem, and team principal Massimo Meregalli even suggested the team might consider benching a rider if necessary. Quartararo himself said the new V4 remained “very, very far” from where it needed to be for one-lap pace and race performance. Yamaha therefore lost on-track data and setup time that had been earmarked for refining handling, electronics, and race pace ahead of the season.
Yamaha and Quartararo prioritised recovery with the Thailand GP opener and a Buriram test (Feb 21–22) in mind. The rider confirmed he planned to skip the rest of Sepang to be fit for those next outings. The withdrawal underlined the preseason trade-off between protecting rider health and securing development mileage on radically updated machinery.
Separately, reports linking Quartararo to a Honda deal for 2027–28 were noted during the test, raising the prospect that 2026 might be his final season with Yamaha.
Best Bets: MotoGP Japan GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
After an exhilarating Indonesian GP where Jorge Martin secured his first Sunday win since Le Mans, MotoGP shifts to Japan for the highly anticipated Grand Prix at Motegi. Martin’s dominant performance in Indonesia, where he extended his championship lead to 21 points, sets the stage for a thrilling continuation of his battle with Francesco Bagnaia. As we head to Japan, the fight for the championship intensifies, with both title contenders pushing the limits. This preview will dive into key rider analysis, focusing on betting picks and insights for the Japanese GP.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the Japan GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
Schedule and How to Watch the MotoGP Japan GP
The 2024 MotoGP Japanese Grand Prix takes place from October 4-6, 2024, at Mobility Resort Motegi. The race will unfold on Sunday, October 6, on this demanding 4.8 km circuit, famous for its mix of fast straights and tight corners that challenge even the most skilled riders. For a detailed schedule, including practice and qualifying times, visit the official MotoGP website.
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the Japan Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP Japan GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+175
$55.00
Jorge Martin
+190
$58.00
Marc Marquez
+330
$86.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+175)
Bagnaia enters Japan with something to prove after a solid third-place finish in Indonesia. While he couldn’t match Martin’s pace last weekend, Bagnaia’s ability to recover positions and maintain consistency makes him a formidable contender at Motegi. His tire management and technical precision will be crucial on this circuit, where strategic overtakes and conserving tire life often make the difference. Bagnaia will be looking to close the 21-point gap in the championship standings, and his experience in high-pressure scenarios could give him the edge.
Jorge Martin (+190)
Martin’s dominant performance in Indonesia, where he controlled the race from start to finish, demonstrates why he’s a top pick for Japan. His aggressive style and ability to lead from the front make him dangerous on circuits like Motegi, where maintaining momentum through fast sections is key. However, consistency will be crucial. While Martin has the pace to win, he’ll need to avoid the errors that have occasionally cost him this season. If he stays composed, he is a strong candidate for another victory.
Marc Marquez (+330)
Marquez had a disappointing end to the Indonesian GP due to technical issues, but he remains a wildcard at Motegi. Known for his mastery of tricky conditions, Marquez could benefit if the race takes an unpredictable turn. His experience and ability to push the limits on demanding circuits make him a rider to watch, especially if Martin or Bagnaia falter. While not in the title fight, Marquez has the potential to disrupt the top contenders and even claim a surprise victory.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Brad Binder
+800
$180.00
Enea Bastianini
+900
$200.00
Pedro Acosta
+1100
$240.00
Brad Binder (+800)
Binder’s eighth-place finish in Indonesia doesn’t reflect his true potential. Known for his ability to charge through the pack, Binder could surprise at Motegi, a track that rewards aggressive riders. If he manages to stay out of trouble in the early stages, Binder has the skill and determination to challenge for a podium spot.
Enea Bastianini (+900)
Bastianini’s crash in Indonesia was a major blow, but his speed before the incident shows that he’s capable of competing with the top riders. His aggressive, late-race pace makes him a podium threat at Motegi, especially if he can avoid mistakes. As an outsider, Bastianini offers value, given his ability to capitalize on chaotic races.
Pedro Acosta (+1100)
Acosta’s second-place finish in Indonesia was a breakout performance for the rookie, and he’s quickly proving he belongs in MotoGP’s elite. While Motegi will be a new challenge for him, Acosta’s fearless approach and rapid adaptation make him an intriguing outsider pick. If he can maintain his form, another podium isn’t out of reach.
Expert Pick for MotoGP Japan
For the Japanese GP, Jorge Martin is the expert pick. His recent victory and ability to control the race from the front give him a strong advantage. Martin’s confidence and form suggest he’s the rider to beat at Motegi.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Japan GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
As the MotoGP season moves to Japan, the championship battle intensifies. With Martin and Bagnaia both pushing for the title, the Japanese GP promises thrilling action. Motegi’s challenging layout will test the riders’ abilities, and with so much on the line, fans and bettors should brace for an exciting weekend of racing.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related Posts
Best Bets: MotoGP Netherlands 2025 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The town of Cervera in Spain holds under 10,000 inhabitants, yet it’s produced the current leader and second-placed rider in the Championship. Marc and Alex Marquez are owning the circuit this year and lead the MotoGP Netherlands 2025 pre-event odds. Meanwhile, Francesco Bagania is hunting his fourth straight victory at Assen, after setting the all …
MotoGP confirms MotorLand Aragón for 2027, reserve 2028–31
In Zaragoza, MotoGP named MotorLand Aragón will host a MotoGP round in 2027 and designated the circuit as its official first-reserve venue for 2028–2031. The agreement, presented by Aragón regional president Jorge Azcón and MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta, secures a one-year active Grand Prix in 2027 rather than a long-term multi-year race contract.
As first reserve for 2028–2031, MotorLand Aragón will step in if a scheduled round cannot go ahead, formalising its role within MotoGP’s approach to rotating Spanish rounds. The limited one-year hosting commitment, together with teams’ reluctance to expand the calendar beyond the current 22 rounds, casts doubt on the planned return of the Argentine round at the upgraded Autódromo Oscar y Juan Gálvez in Buenos Aires for 2027. Separately, Adelaide has been confirmed to replace Phillip Island as the Australian Grand Prix venue from 2027.
Organizers say the 2027 Grand Prix will cost about €12 million to stage. MotorLand Aragón, which first hosted MotoGP in 2010, typically draws more than 110,000 spectators and generates roughly €50 million a year for the region, with nearly half that annual impact tied to MotoGP activity.
MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta described the renewal as reflecting an almost two-decade partnership and stressed the event’s importance to the Aragón region, while regional president Jorge Azcón confirmed the circuit will remain linked to the championship through 2031 as a reserve venue.
Viñales withdraws at COTA after shoulder screw dislodges
Maverick Viñales withdrew from the US MotoGP at COTA after Free Practice 1 when track medical checks found a surgical screw in his previously operated left shoulder had come loose. Tech3 said the displaced screw and ongoing pain forced his withdrawal; Viñales will return to Europe for a minor procedure, and AS reported the operation was scheduled for the week after the Austin round. He was 13th in FP1, nearly a second down on team‑mate Acosta, and had planned to use Friday practice to judge whether he could continue before deciding to withdraw.
The left‑shoulder problem dates to July 2025 and has been linked in reports to Sachsenring qualifying and to a crash at the Italian Grand Prix; Viñales underwent surgery in Italy after that summer injury. Since then he has reported loss of strength and difficulty changing direction, especially when turning left, and his performance has suffered — he completed only five of the final 13 grands prix in 2025, missed eight rounds between the summer incident and the Portuguese round, and has scored just three world championship points since the injury. He entered the season without points from the first two rounds amid reported KTM specification problems, and has been running a different KTM RC16 configuration while managing the shoulder. Over the winter he worked with coach Jorge Lorenzo and took part in a February Sepang test when he believed the shoulder had healed.
Tech3 says Viñales is targeting a return at Jerez (April 24–26). The postponement of the Qatar race gives him an additional recovery window before that weekend. Viñales said he is “worried about my future,” has not ruled out further surgery, and has previously avoided publicly detailing the injury for fear it could lead to being sidelined by KTM and affect his salary.
Quartararo Breaks Finger, Ending Yamaha Sepang Test
Fabio Quartararo crashed at Turn 5 on the opening day of the Sepang MotoGP test, falling on his third lap and being taken to the circuit medical centre. Initial checks ruled out fractures but found abrasions to his left arm. But a later assessment revealed a broken finger on his right hand and a sore arm. He returned in the afternoon, added laps, and posted the ninth-fastest time on Yamaha’s much-changed V4 M1, but Yamaha and Quartararo ended his Sepang program after a total of 24 laps (eight in the morning, 16 in the afternoon) so the finger could heal.
The early exit cost Yamaha valuable test time at a session dedicated to assessing the new V4 package. Other V4-related problems emerged during the test, including Andrea Dovizioso stopping with a problem, and team principal Massimo Meregalli even suggested the team might consider benching a rider if necessary. Quartararo himself said the new V4 remained “very, very far” from where it needed to be for one-lap pace and race performance. Yamaha therefore lost on-track data and setup time that had been earmarked for refining handling, electronics, and race pace ahead of the season.
Yamaha and Quartararo prioritised recovery with the Thailand GP opener and a Buriram test (Feb 21–22) in mind. The rider confirmed he planned to skip the rest of Sepang to be fit for those next outings. The withdrawal underlined the preseason trade-off between protecting rider health and securing development mileage on radically updated machinery.
Separately, reports linking Quartararo to a Honda deal for 2027–28 were noted during the test, raising the prospect that 2026 might be his final season with Yamaha.