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Best Bets: NHRA Midwest Nationals 2025 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: NHRA Midwest Nationals 2025 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The drag racers close out three consecutive weekends of racing at the Worldwide Technology Racing. Three events remain until the finals in Pomona, and there is everything to race for in the Top Fuel and Pro Stock Motorcycle categories, where only a couple of units separate the pack. Gaige Herrera arrives with the shortest NHRA Midwest Nationals pre-event odds this weekend, despite exiting early in the last two events. Find the best bets and tips for the TF, FC, PS and PSM categories as they visit Illinois.

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Schedule and How to Watch NHRA Midwest Nationals

NHRA wraps up the month of September with a visit to Madison, Illinois this weekend. Racers hit the strip from Friday to Sunday, looking to maximize their points count late in the season. Qualifiers commence on Friday, September 26, in the evening, with drivers returning to the track the following day for more preliminary races. The action heats up on Sunday, September 28, as drivers line up for the Elimination rounds starting at 11:00 am CDT. Catch the final day of racing live from the World Wide Technology Raceway on FS1.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. 

For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Odds for NHRA Midwest Nationals

Top Fuel

Event Winner Odds

Justin Ashley pulls up to the line this weekend as the favorite, fresh off his fourth triumph in 2025. Winning form aside, Ashley is a yardstick for consistency in the Top Fuel class, entering eight finals in the last 13 rounds. Another consistent competitor is series leader Doug Kalitta, who has featured in four finals in the previous five rounds, winning twice.

One time winner this term, Steve Torrence has struggled to find his form, but he returns to familiar asphalt this week. Torrence has progressed to three finals on this strip in the previous four seasons, prevailing twice. The third favorite in this bracket, Shawn Langdon arrives after a third place return in North Carolina, marking his third final in eight rounds.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Justin Ashley
+521
$124.20
Doug Kalitta
+637
$147.40
Shawn Langdon
+646
$149.20
Brittany Force
+646
$149.20
Tony Stewart
+723
$164.60
Shawn Reed
+753
$170.60
Steve Torrence
+815
$183.00
Antron Brown
+856
$191.20
Clay Millican
+892
$198.40
TJ Zizzo
+1395
$299.00
Tony Schumacher
+1402
$300.40
Josh Hart
+1572
$334.40
Ida Zetterstrom
+2055
$431.00
Cameron Ferre
+7043
$1,428.60
Kyle Wurtzel
+7043
$1,428.60
Will Smith
+7043
$1,428.60
Expert Pick – Top Fuel

Separating the front runners in the Top Fuel class has proven challenging all season with nine different drivers claiming top honors. However, Justin Ashley is emerging as a reliable pick with a 50% win rate is his previous eight events. His odds are favorable at +521 despite his expert pick status, offering a potential payout of $124.20 for a $20 bet.

Fastest ET Odds

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Driver
Fastest ET
Payout on $20
Brittany Force
+281
$76.20
Tony Stewart
+568
$133.60
Antron Brown
+615
$143.00
Justin Ashley
+624
$144.80
Doug Kalitta
+703
$160.60
TJ Zizzo
+881
$196.20
Clay Millican
+1086
$237.20
Shawn Langdon
+1187
$257.40
Shawn Reed
+1287
$277.40
Steve Torrence
+1388
$297.60
Josh Hart
+1645
$349.00
Tony Schumacher
+2132
$446.40
Kyle Wurtzel
+3233
$666.60
Ida Zetterstrom
+5852
$1,190.40
Will Smith
+5852
$1,190.40
Cameron Ferre
+5852
$1,190.40

H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Antron Brown
-116
$37.24
Steve Torrence
-114
$37.54
Shawn Reed
-110
$38.18
Tony Stewart
-120
$36.67
Justin Ashley
-121
$36.53
Doug Kalitta
-109
$38.35
Brittany Force
-134
$34.93
Shawn Langdon
+101
$40.20

Funny Car

Event Winner Odds

Order was restored in North Carolina, after Cruz Pedregon shocked the class at the Reading Nationals. Austin Prock returned to Victory Lane last weekend, marking his eighth checkered flag of the term. The FC Championship leader now boasts a 50% win record across the year and has entered 10 finals in 16 appearances.

Prock’s nearest challenger in the series is Matt Hagan who starts with longer odds of +1012. Hagan delivered a strong performance a week ago, ending runner-up in his fifth final appearance on the calendar. He also enjoys a successful record at this venue, prevailing twice in the last four editions. The second favorite, Jack Beckman is the only driver besides Prock to win multiple events in 2025. Last weekend didn’t go according to plan for Beckman as he exited in E2, and he last appeared in a final back at the U.S. Nationals.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Austin Prock
+185
$57.00
Jack Beckman
+523
$124.60
Spencer Hyde
+780
$176.00
Paul Lee
+891
$198.20
Matt Hagan
+1012
$222.40
Chad Green
+1090
$238.00
JR Todd
+1147
$249.40
Ron Capps
+1153
$250.60
Bob Tasca III
+1276
$275.20
Cruz Pedregon
+1285
$277.00
Blake Alexander
+1601
$340.20
Alexis DeJoria
+1708
$361.60
Daniel Wilkerson
+3336
$687.20
Bobby Bode III
+4119
$843.80
Dave Richards
+6893
$1,398.60
Alex Laughlin
+6893
$1,398.60
Expert Pick

If ain’t broke, don’t fix it, which is why we’re sticking with Austin Prock for our expert pick. His odds are shorter at +185, but he’s potentially paying out $57.00 on a $20 wager. Not bad for a driver who has appeared in 62.5% of all finals this year.

Fastest ET Odds

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Driver
Fastest ET
Payout on $20
Austin Prock
+166
$53.20
Paul Lee
+450
$110.00
JR Todd
+502
$120.40
Jack Beckman
+620
$144.00
Matt Hagan
+882
$196.40
Spencer Hyde
+1057
$231.40
Bob Tasca III
+1200
$260.00
Cruz Pedregon
+1248
$269.60
Chad Green
+1769
$373.80
Ron Capps
+3065
$633.00
Alexis DeJoria
+3776
$775.20
Daniel Wilkerson
+5219
$1,063.80
Bobby Bode III
+5219
$1,063.80
Blake Alexander
+5961
$1,212.20
Dave Richards
+5961
$1,212.20
Alex Laughlin
+5961
$1,212.20

Funny Car H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Spencer Hyde
-116
$37.24
Paul Lee
-114
$37.54
Jack Beckman
+147
$49.40
Austin Prock
-198
$30.10
Chad Green
-124
$36.13
Matt Hagan
-107
$38.69
Ron Capps
-103
$39.42
JR Todd
-129
$35.50

Pro Stock

Event Winner Odds

The question for the Pro Stock brigade coming into the Midwest Nationals, is can anyone stop Dallas Glenn. He’s stood on the top of the podium in last two races, and is the winningest driver in the category with six in the trunk. His perennial rival Greg Anderson arrives in Madison as the second favorite with five titles to his name in 2025. The issue for Anderson is consistency in recent events, where he’s only made two finals in seven events. That’s not the worst return around, but compared to Glenn it’s not pretty.

Erica Enders returns to the track where she bathed in glory in 2022. She’s finding some form at the back end of the campaign, arriving with two final appearances under the hood in three events. Enders entered Victory Lane for her maiden triumph of 2025 at the U.S. Nationals.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Dallas Glenn
+265
$73.00
Greg Anderson
+301
$80.20
Erica Enders
+677
$155.40
Matt Hartford
+940
$208.00
Aaron Stanfield
+972
$214.40
Jeg Coughlin Jr
+1246
$269.20
Cory Reed
+1349
$289.80
Cody Coughlin
+1497
$319.40
Greg Stanfield
+1569
$333.80
Troy Coughlin Jr
+1584
$336.80
Eric Latino
+1945
$409.00
Deric Kramer
+1949
$409.80
Mason McGaha
+2152
$450.40
Cristian Cuadra
+2183
$456.60
Matthew Latino
+2518
$523.60
Chris McGaha
+3459
$711.80
Fernando Cuadra Jr
+4344
$888.80
Stephen Bell
+6703
$1,360.60
Shane Tucker
+6703
$1,360.60
Kenny Delco
+6703
$1,360.60
Chris Vang
+6703
$1,360.60
Expert Pick 

Dallas Glenn produced the goods for us last weekend at the zMax Dragway, and given his current form he can do it again. He arrives as the reigning champ at this event and has raced in 78.57% of all PS finals this year. The favorite takes off at World Wide Technology Raceway at +265 for the win. That means a $20 wager stands to payout approximately $73.00.

Fastest ET Odds

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Driver
Fastest ET
Payout on $20
Dallas Glenn
-105
$39.05
Greg Anderson
+170
$54.00
Aaron Stanfield
+834
$186.80
Erica Enders
+950
$210.00
Cody Coughlin
+1908
$401.60
Matthew Latino
+1945
$409.00
Cory Reed
+2236
$467.20
Matt Hartford
+2733
$566.60
Jeg Coughlin Jr
+2986
$617.20
Deric Kramer
+4875
$995.00
Greg Stanfield
+5680
$1,156.00
Troy Coughlin Jr
+5680
$1,156.00
Mason McGaha
+5680
$1,156.00
Kenny Delco
+5782
$1,176.40
Eric Latino
+5817
$1,183.40
Cristian Cuadra
+5817
$1,183.40
Chris McGaha
+5817
$1,183.40
Fernando Cuadra Jr
+5817
$1,183.40
Stephen Bell
+5817
$1,183.40
Shane Tucker
+5817
$1,183.40
Chris Vang
+5817
$1,183.40

Pro Stock H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Greg Anderson
-110
$38.18
Dallas Glenn
-120
$36.67
Jeg Coughlin Jr
+101
$40.20
Aaron Stanfield
-134
$34.93
Erica Enders
-141
$34.18
Matt Hartford
+107
$41.40
Cody Coughlin
-109
$38.35
Cory Reed
-121
$36.53

Pro Stock Motorcycle

Event Winner Odds

Gaige Herrera has started every NHRA event this season with the shortest odds of any competitor, and the tend continues in Illinois. While his short odds would suggest he’s on a different level to his peers, recent results paint another picture. Herrera has exited the competition early in three out of his last six appearances, proving that he is beatable. His recent form has dropped him down the standings into fourth, 71 points behind the leader, Richard Gadson. Besides his dip in form, it doesn’t detract from that fact that he’s a five time victor this year, the winningest in the category.

The standings leader enters after bagging his third victory of the campaign in North Carolina. Gadson has now featured in five finals in the last eight events. He’s the most consistent driver in the category during that period. Former Midwest Nationals Champion, Matt Smith is a one time winner this season, but is finding some rhythm after appearing in consecutive finals in September.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Gaige Herrera
-127
$35.75
Richard Gadson
+297
$79.40
Matt Smith
+385
$97.00
John Hall
+1082
$236.40
Brayden Davis
+1503
$320.60
Angie Smith
+2242
$468.40
Marc Ingwersen
+2504
$520.80
Chase Van Sant
+2603
$540.60
Jianna Evaristo
+4305
$881.00
Steve Johnson
+5395
$1,099.00
Kelly Clontz
+6436
$1,307.20
Chris Bostick
+6436
$1,307.20
Ryan Oehler
+6436
$1,307.20
Lance Bonham
+6567
$1,333.40
Wesley Wells
+6567
$1,333.40
Expert Pick 

We’re not used to seeing Gaige Herrera so unpredictable, but we’re sticking with him this weekend. He’s snatched the previous two Midwest Nationals and raced in 63.63% of all finals this term. Herrera starts at -127, potentially paying out $35.75 on a $20 wager.

Fastest ET Odds

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Rider
Fastest ET
Payout on $20
Gaige Herrera
+141
$48.20
Matt Smith
+348
$89.60
Richard Gadson
+435
$107.00
Brayden Davis
+623
$144.60
John Hall
+654
$150.80
Marc Ingwersen
+1320
$284.00
Angie Smith
+1941
$408.20
Chase Van Sant
+1941
$408.20
Jianna Evaristo
+4364
$892.80
Steve Johnson
+4364
$892.80
Kelly Clontz
+5108
$1,041.60
Ryan Oehler
+5108
$1,041.60
Chris Bostick
+5108
$1,041.60
Lance Bonham
+5817
$1,183.40
Wesley Wells
+5817
$1,183.40

Pro Stock Motorcycle H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Richard Gadson
+164
$52.80
Gaige Herrera
-223
$28.97
John Hall
+155
$51.00
Matt Smith
-211
$29.48

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