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Best Bets: NHRA Pep Boys Nationals Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The roar of nitromethane-fueled engines is set to shake Maple Grove Raceway as the 39th annual Pep Boys NHRA Nationals kicks off the Countdown to the Championship. Fresh off an electrifying U.S. Nationals that saw Austin Prock, Clay Millican, Aaron Stanfield, and Gaige Herrera claim victory in their respective classes, the stage is set for an intense battle as drivers vie for crucial points in the championship chase. With the regular season concluded and points reset, every pass down the track at “The Grove” carries immense weight. As we dive into this pivotal event, we’ll break down the top contenders, potential dark horses, and offer expert betting insights to keep you ahead of the curve in what promises to be a thrilling start to the NHRA playoffs.

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In addition to traditional sports betting on NHRA, the Pep Boys Nationals have Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. NHRA fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal. 

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Schedule and How to Watch NHRA Pep Boys Nationals 2024

The 39th annual Pep Boys NHRA Nationals will ignite the quarter-mile at Maple Grove Raceway in Reading, Pennsylvania, from September 12-15, 2024. Qualifying kicks off on Friday, September 13, with two sessions at 2:30 PM and 5:00 PM ET. Saturday features two more qualifying rounds at 12:00 PM and 2:30 PM ET, setting the stage for Sunday’s elimination rounds beginning at 10:30 AM ET. Event details and the full schedule can be found on the official event page. Check out NHRA.TV to catch every pulse-pounding moment live and from the comfort of home.

If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for NHRA Pep Boys Nationals 2024

Top Fuel

Top Picks and Bets – Top Fuel

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Doug Kalitta

+774

$174.80

+489

$117.80

Steve Torrence

+812

$182.40

+666

$153.20

Justin Ashley

+837

$187.40

+1390

$298.00

Doug Kalitta (+774 Event Winner, +489 Quickest ET)

The reigning Top Fuel world champion enters the Countdown as the points leader and a clear favorite to defend his title. Kalitta’s 2024 campaign has been a masterclass in consistency, with three wins and an impressive 25-10 record in elimination rounds. His Mac Tools dragster has been a model of reliability all season, regularly clocking runs in the low 3.7-second range. Kalitta’s experience at Maple Grove is unparalleled – he’s a five-time winner at this track, including last year’s crucial victory that sparked his championship run. His calm demeanor and ability to perform under pressure make him ideally suited for the intensity of the Countdown. Kalitta’s team, led by crew chief Alan Johnson, has shown a remarkable ability to adapt to changing track conditions throughout the season, a crucial skill at the often-tricky Grove.

Steve Torrence (+812 Event Winner, +666 Quickest ET)

The four-time world champion enters the Countdown looking to reclaim his place atop the Top Fuel mountain. Torrence’s Capco Contractors dragster has been one of the quickest cars in the field when dialed in, capable of running in the low 3.6-second range. His runner-up finish at the U.S. Nationals demonstrates that the team is finding its form at the right time. Torrence’s aggressive driving style and ability to perform in high-pressure situations make him a serious contender at The Grove. With a victory at Maple Grove in 2018, Torrence has proven he can conquer this challenging track. His championship experience and hunger to return to the top could make him a formidable force as the playoffs begin.

Justin Ashley (+837 Event Winner, +1390 Quickest ET)

Ashley enters the Countdown looking to build on his strong regular season performance. His Phillips Connect dragster has been one of the most consistent performers in Top Fuel, regularly running in the low 3.7-second range. Ashley’s driving has been equally impressive, with quick reaction times and clutch performances in elimination rounds. While he hasn’t claimed victory at Maple Grove yet, Ashley’s ability to perform under pressure and his team’s consistency make him a serious threat. As a young driver still hungry for his first championship, Ashley could use the Pep Boys Nationals as a springboard to launch a serious title run.

Outsider Picks – Top Fuel

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Antron Brown

+838

$187.60

+1485

$317.00

Jasmine Salinas

+906

$201.20

+1205

$261.00

Shawn Langdon

+919

$203.80

+745

$169.00

Antron Brown (+838 Event Winner, +1485 Quickest ET)

The three-time world champion has had an up-and-down season, but his AB Motorsports team has shown flashes of their championship-winning form. Brown’s experience and ability to rise to the occasion in big moments make him a dangerous dark horse. With three career victories at Maple Grove, including a win in 2015, Brown knows how to get it done at The Grove.

Jasmine Salinas (+906 Event Winner, +1205 Quickest ET)

In her sophomore Top Fuel season, Salinas has shown impressive growth and potential. Her Scrappers Racing dragster has been capable of quick runs when dialed in, and Salinas’ improving driving skills make her a potential spoiler. The pressure-free environment of being an outsider could allow Salinas to swing for the fences and surprise the favorites.

Shawn Langdon (+919 Event Winner, +745 Quickest ET)

A former Top Fuel world champion, Langdon brings a wealth of experience to the Countdown. His Kalitta Motorsports dragster has shown impressive speed this season, often challenging for low ET honors in qualifying sessions. Langdon’s smooth driving style and ability to perform under pressure make him well-suited for the challenges of the playoffs. If his team can find consistency over the weekend, Langdon could be a serious threat to the top contenders.

Expert Pick – Top Fuel

Steve Torrence‘s combination of championship experience, recent strong performances, and hunger to reclaim the title make him the smart choice to kick off the Countdown. Torrence’s ability to elevate his game when the stakes are highest, coupled with his team’s knack for adapting quickly to changing conditions, gives him an edge in the pressure-cooker environment of the playoffs. Look for Torrence to leverage his championship pedigree and aggressive driving style to claim a crucial early victory in the title chase, potentially reshaping the Top Fuel landscape as the Countdown begins.

Head-to-Head Picks – Top Fuel

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Antron Brown

-116

$37.24

Justin Ashley

-114

$37.54

Jasmine Salinas

-120

$36.67

Shawn Langdon

-110

$38.18

Steve Torrence

-110

$38.18

Doug Kalitta

-120

$36.67

Clay Millican

-119

$36.81

Brittany Force

-111

$38.02

Billy Torrence

-107

$38.69

Tony Stewart

-124

$36.13

Funny Car

Top Picks and Bets – Funny Car

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Austin Prock

+415

$103.00

+340

$88.00

Matt Hagan

+596

$139.20

+500

$120.00

Bob Tasca III

+685

$157.00

+361

$92.20

Austin Prock (+415 Event Winner, +340 Quickest ET)

Fresh off his U.S. Nationals victory, Austin Prock enters the Countdown to the Championship as the man to beat in Funny Car. His dominant regular season, featuring five wins and a staggering 30-9 elimination round record, has established him as the clear favorite. Prock’s John Force Racing Chevrolet Camaro has consistently been one of the quickest cars in the field, often setting the pace in qualifying sessions. His +340 odds for quickest ET reflect the team’s ability to dial in a fast race car in varying conditions. However, Prock has yet to prove himself at Maple Grove Raceway as a Funny Car driver, adding an element of uncertainty to his otherwise stellar resume.

Matt Hagan (+596 Event Winner, +500 Quickest ET)

The three-time world champion brings a wealth of experience and a proven track record of success to the Pep Boys Nationals. Hagan’s Tony Stewart Racing Dodge Charger has shown incredible consistency this season, regularly clocking runs in the low 3.8-second range. His aggressive driving style and team’s ability to tune for varying conditions make him a serious threat at The Grove. Hagan has tasted victory at Maple Grove before, winning in 2014, and his championship pedigree could prove crucial as the pressure intensifies in the Countdown.

Bob Tasca III (+685 Event Winner, +361 Quickest ET)

Tasca enters the Countdown in second place, riding a wave of momentum from his strong regular season performance. His Ford Mustang has been one of the most consistent performers in the Funny Car class, regularly challenging for low ET of the round. Tasca’s aggressive driving style and willingness to push the envelope make him a constant threat, especially as the championship race heats up. His team’s ability to adapt to changing track conditions could be the key to success at Maple Grove, a track known for its challenging and often unpredictable surface.

Outsider Picks – Funny Car

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Ron Capps

+756

$171.20

+1190

$258.00

JR Todd

+870

$194.00

+895

$199.00

Jack Beckman

+887

$197.40

+1063

$232.60

Ron Capps (+756 Event Winner, +1190 Quickest ET)

Don’t let Capps’ outsider status fool you – the two-time Funny Car world champion is always a threat. His runner-up finish at the U.S. Nationals shows he’s finding form at the right time. Capps has a strong history at Maple Grove, including a track record run of 3.837 seconds set in 2019. If his NAPA Auto Parts Toyota GR Supra can recapture that magic, Capps could play spoiler to the championship favorites.

J.R. Todd (+870 Event Winner, +895 Quickest ET)

Todd’s 2024 campaign has been a rollercoaster, but he’s shown flashes of brilliance. His DHL Toyota GR Supra is capable of quick runs when dialed in, and Todd’s lightning-fast reaction times make him a threat in any round. A former world champion, Todd knows how to perform under playoff pressure and could surprise at The Grove.

Jack Beckman (+887 Event Winner, +1063 Quickest ET)

Stepping in for the injured John Force, Beckman brings a wealth of experience to the Countdown. The former world champion has adapted quickly to the Chevrolet Camaro, reaching the semifinals at Indy. Beckman’s smooth driving style and ability to perform under pressure could make him a dark horse contender as he races for points on behalf of the 16-time champ.

Expert Pick – Funny Car

While Austin Prock’s dominance can’t be ignored, Matt Hagan‘s combination of championship experience, recent consistency, and proven success at Maple Grove make him the smart choice. Hagan’s team has shown the ability to adapt quickly to changing conditions, a crucial skill at The Grove. His aggressive driving style could be the difference-maker in closely contested elimination rounds, and the pressure of the Countdown often favors those with championship pedigrees.

Head-to-Head Picks – Funny Car

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Austin Prock

-138

$34.49

Matt Hagan

+104

$40.80

Bob Tasca III

-130

$35.38

Ron Capps

-102

$39.61

Jack Beckman

-106

$38.87

JR Todd

-125

$36.00

Cruz Pedregon

+109

$41.80

Chad Green

-145

$33.79

Daniel Wilkerson

-139

$34.39

Alexis DeJoria

+105

$41.00

Pro Stock Car

Top Picks and Bets – Pro Stock Car

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Greg Anderson

+509

$121.80

+292

$78.40

Erica Enders

+547

$129.40

+377

$95.40

Dallas Glenn

+672

$154.40

+501

$120.20

Greg Anderson (+509 Event Winner, +292 Quickest ET)

The five-time world champion enters the Countdown as a serious threat to claim his sixth title. Anderson’s HendrickCars.com Chevrolet Camaro has been a model of consistency this season, regularly clocking runs in the 6.5-second range. His recent No. 1 qualifier performance at the U.S. Nationals demonstrates that he’s peaking at the right time. Anderson’s meticulous approach to tuning and driving, combined with his team’s ability to adapt to changing track conditions, make him a favorite at Maple Grove. With four career victories at this track, including wins in 2021 and 2022, Anderson clearly knows how to navigate The Grove’s unique challenges.

Erica Enders (+547 Event Winner, +377 Quickest ET)

The reigning world champion brings a combination of raw speed and clutch performance to the Countdown. Enders’ Elite Motorsports Chevrolet Camaro has been one of the quickest cars in the Pro Stock field this season, consistently challenging for low ET honors. Her lightning-quick reaction times and ability to perform under pressure make her a constant threat in elimination rounds. Enders has tasted victory at Maple Grove before, winning in 2015, and her team has shown the ability to adapt to changing track conditions throughout a long weekend. As the pressure mounts in the Countdown, Enders’ championship experience could prove invaluable.

Dallas Glenn (+672 Event Winner, +501 Quickest ET)

The current points leader enters the Countdown with momentum on his side. Glenn’s three victories this season demonstrate his ability to close the deal on race day, a crucial skill as the championship battle intensifies. His RAD Torque Systems Chevrolet Camaro has shown impressive consistency throughout the year, regularly running in the low 6.6-second range. Glenn’s stellar reaction times and growing confidence behind the wheel make him a serious contender. While he hasn’t claimed victory at Maple Grove yet, Glenn’s performances in pressure situations this season suggest he’s ready to challenge for the win at The Grove.

Outsider Picks – Pro Stock Car

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Aaron Stanfield

+898

$199.60

+1078

$235.60

Jeg Coughlin Jr

+925

$205.00

+1769

$373.80

Troy Coughlin Jr

+1274

$274.80

+1218

$263.60

Aaron Stanfield (+898 Event Winner, +1078 Quickest ET)

Fresh off his historic double-up victory at the U.S. Nationals, Stanfield enters the Countdown with serious momentum. His Janac Brothers Chevrolet Camaro has found its stride late in the regular season, consistently running in the low 6.6-second range. Stanfield’s clutch driving and quick reaction times make him a dangerous opponent in elimination rounds. If he can carry his Indy magic to Maple Grove, Stanfield could play spoiler to the top contenders.

Jeg Coughlin Jr (+925 Event Winner, +1769 Quickest ET)

The five-time world champion’s experience and big-race temperament make him a perennial threat. Coughlin’s JEGS.com Chevrolet Camaro has shown flashes of brilliance this season, and his smooth driving style could be an advantage on Maple Grove’s sometimes tricky surface. With four career victories at this track, Coughlin knows how to get it done at The Grove. If his team can dial in the right setup, Coughlin could surprise the favorites.

Troy Coughlin Jr (+1274 Event Winner, +1218 Quickest ET)

The younger Coughlin has shown flashes of brilliance this season, including a victory earlier in the year. His JEGS.com Chevrolet Camaro has potential for quick runs, and Coughlin Jr’s driving has improved throughout the season. While he lacks the Maple Grove experience of some competitors, his fearless attitude and family pedigree make him an intriguing dark horse for the Pep Boys Nationals.

Expert Pick – Pro Stock Car

While Greg Anderson’s Maple Grove success is impressive, Erica Enders‘ combination of championship experience, recent consistency, and clutch performance makes her the smart choice. Enders’ Elite Motorsports team has a proven track record of delivering when it matters most, and her ability to rise to the occasion in high-pressure situations gives her an edge as the Countdown begins. Look for Enders to lean on her experience and mental toughness to navigate the challenging Maple Grove surface and claim a crucial early playoff victory.

Head-to-Head Picks – Pro Stock Car

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Troy Coughlin Jr

-103

$39.42

Jeg Coughlin Jr

-129

$35.50

Jerry Tucker

-115

$37.39

Cristian Cuadra

-115

$37.39

Aaron Stanfield

-102

$39.61

Dallas Glenn

-130

$35.38

Erica Enders

-109

$38.35

Greg Anderson

-121

$36.53

Cory Reed

-120

$36.67

Matt Hartford

-110

$38.18

Pro Stock Motorcycle

 

Top Picks and Bets – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Gaige Herrera

-202

$29.90

-275

$27.27

Matt Smith

+421

$104.20

+467

$113.40

Chase Van Sant

+1197

$259.40

+1240

$268.00

Gaige Herrera (-202 Event Winner, -275 Quickest ET)

The defending champion enters the Countdown as the overwhelming favorite, and for good reason. Herrera’s dominant regular season, featuring seven wins in eight final-round appearances, has set a new standard in Pro Stock Motorcycle. His Vance & Hines Suzuki has consistently been the quickest bike in the field, often by a significant margin. Herrera’s ability to lay down jaw-dropping runs in qualifying and back it up on race day has left his competitors scrambling. At Maple Grove last year, Herrera set both ends of the track record with a blistering 6.672-second pass at 203.00 mph. With that level of performance and his growing confidence, Herrera is poised to start the Countdown with a statement victory.

Matt Smith (+421 Event Winner, +467 Quickest ET)

The six-time world champion is never one to be counted out, especially as the pressure mounts in the Countdown. Smith’s Denso Auto Parts Suzuki has shown flashes of brilliance this season, including a win at Sonoma and four No. 1 qualifiers. As the defending event champion at Maple Grove, Smith knows how to navigate the unique challenges of this track. His experience and ability to tune his bike for varying conditions could be crucial in challenging Herrera’s dominance. Smith’s championship pedigree and history of performing in clutch situations make him a serious threat to kick off the Countdown with a victory.

Chase Van Sant (+1197 Event Winner, +1240 Quickest ET)

The reigning Rookie of the Year has made significant strides in his sophomore season, including claiming his first career victory in Seattle. Van Sant’s White Alligator Racing Suzuki has shown improved consistency and speed throughout the year, regularly running in the 6.7-second range. While he lacks the Maple Grove experience of his rivals, Van Sant’s fearless riding style and ability to perform under pressure make him a dark horse candidate for the win. As the Countdown intensifies the pressure, Van Sant’s nothing-to-lose attitude could be an advantage against the seasoned veterans.

Outsider Picks – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Driver

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Richard Gadson

+1865

$393.00

+2741

$568.20

John Hall

+2310

$482.00

+3916

$803.20

Jianna Evaristo

+2310

$482.00

+3965

$813.00

Richard Gadson (+1865 Event Winner, +2741 Quickest ET)

Gadson has shown flashes of brilliance on the Reed Motorsports Suzuki, including a semifinal appearance at the U.S. Nationals. His aggressive riding style and ability to pull off upset wins make him an intriguing longshot. If Gadson can find consistency in qualifying and carry it through eliminations, he could play spoiler to the championship favorites.

John Hall (+2310 Event Winner, +3916 Quickest ET)

A veteran rider with a U.S. Nationals victory on his resume, Hall knows how to perform on drag racing’s biggest stages. While his 2024 season has been up and down, Hall’s experience and calm demeanor under pressure make him a potential spoiler. His ability to tune for varying conditions could be an advantage at the often-tricky Maple Grove surface.

Jianna Evaristo (+2310 Event Winner, +3965 Quickest ET)

One of the rising stars in Pro Stock Motorcycle, Evaristo has shown steady improvement throughout the season on her Evaristo Racing Suzuki. Her improving reaction times and growing confidence make her a rider to watch for potential upset victories in early rounds. As the pressure of the Countdown mounts, Evaristo’s relative lack of expectations could allow her to ride freely and surprise the favorites.

Expert Pick – Pro Stock Motorcycle

While Gaige Herrera’s dominance can’t be ignored, Matt Smith‘s combination of championship pedigree, recent strong performances, and success at Maple Grove make him the smart choice to kick off the Countdown. Smith’s ability to elevate his game when the stakes are highest, coupled with his extensive knowledge of tuning for varying conditions, gives him an edge in the pressure-cooker environment of the playoffs. Look for Smith to leverage his vast experience to find an advantage and claim a crucial early victory in the championship chase.

Championship Futures Update

Top Fuel

Driver

Futures

Payout on $20

Doug Kalitta

+175

$55.00

Justin Ashley

+351

$90.20

Steve Torrence

+506

$121.20

Shawn Langdon

+561

$132.20

Antron Brown

+838

$187.60

The Top Fuel championship race remains fiercely competitive, with Doug Kalitta maintaining his position as the favorite. Justin Ashley’s odds have improved significantly, reflecting his strong recent performances. Steve Torrence and Shawn Langdon are still in the hunt, while Antron Brown’s odds have lengthened, suggesting a tougher path to the title. With the margins so tight, every round win in the Countdown could dramatically shift these odds. Kalitta’s experience and consistency make him the frontrunner, but Ashley’s momentum could lead to a thrilling championship battle.

Funny Car

Driver

Futures

Payout on $20

Austin Prock

-117

$37.09

Matt Hagan

+398

$99.60

Bob Tasca Iii

+406

$101.20

John Force

+700

$160.00

Ron Capps

+1308

$281.60

Austin Prock’s dominance has solidified his position as the clear favorite, now boasting negative odds. Matt Hagan and Bob Tasca III remain closely matched as the primary challengers. The most notable shift is John Force’s inclusion in the top contenders, likely due to Jack Beckman’s strong performances in his stead. Ron Capps has seen his odds lengthen significantly, reflecting a tougher road to the championship. Prock’s commanding lead suggests he’s the driver to beat, but the experienced field behind him ensures an intense Countdown battle.

Pro Stock

Driver

Futures

Payout on $20

Dallas Glenn

+194

$58.80

Greg Anderson

+211

$62.20

Erica Enders

+358

$91.60

Aaron Stanfield

+565

$133.00

Jeg Coughlin Jr

+1166

$253.20

The Pro Stock championship picture has tightened considerably. Dallas Glenn has emerged as the favorite, with Greg Anderson close behind. Erica Enders remains a strong contender, while Aaron Stanfield’s odds have improved following his U.S. Nationals victory. Jeg Coughlin Jr. has seen his odds lengthen, now sitting as a long shot. This shift suggests a three-way battle between Glenn, Anderson, and Enders, with Stanfield as a potential dark horse. The narrow margins between the top contenders point to an intensely competitive Pro Stock title fight in the Countdown.

Pro Stock Moto

Driver

Futures

Payout on $20

Gaige Herrera

-2560

$20.78

Matt Smith

+1218

$263.60

Chase Van Sant

+3822

$784.40

Jianna Evaristo

+5487

$1,117.40

Angie Smith

+5487

$1,117.40

Gaige Herrera’s utter dominance in Pro Stock Motorcycle is reflected in his astronomically negative odds, suggesting bookmakers see him as an almost insurmountable favorite. Matt Smith, while a distant second, remains the most likely challenger. Chase Van Sant, Jianna Evaristo, and Angie Smith are considered extreme long shots, highlighting the perceived gap between Herrera and the field. Barring a significant turn of events, the odds suggest Herrera is on course for another championship. However, Matt Smith’s experience in title fights could make the Countdown more interesting than these odds indicate.

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