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Best Bets: NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals Bristol Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals Bristol Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The NHRA New England Nationals delivered thrilling racing action, with Doug Kalitta finally breaking through to claim his first victory at New England Dragway, the only track on the circuit where he had yet to taste success. John Force continued to defy age with another impressive Funny Car victory, while Troy Coughlin Jr. scored a hard-fought win in Pro Stock. As the dust settles, the NHRA Mission Foods Drag Racing Series now turns its attention to the scenic hills of Tennessee for the highly anticipated Thunder Valley Nationals at Bristol Dragway.

In this comprehensive preview, we dive deep into the odds, analyzing the top contenders and potential dark horses in each professional category. Our data-driven approach, combined with insider insights, aims to provide fans and bettors with the edge they need to navigate the high-stakes world of NHRA drag racing. Buckle up and join us as we break down the key storylines and predict who will conquer Thunder Valley.

Place your wagers for Thunder Valley at our partner sportsbooks. 

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Schedule and How to Watch NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals 2024

The 23rd annual Super Grip NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals roars to life at Bristol Dragway in Bristol, Tennessee, from June 7-9, 2024. Event details and schedule can be found on the official event page. Check out NHRA.TV to catch every pulse-pounding moment live and from the comfort of home.

 

If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals 2024

Top Fuel

Top Picks and Bets – Top Fuel

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Justin Ashley

+451

+333

$110.20

$86.60

Doug Kalitta

+774

+529

$174.80

$125.80

Steve Torrence

+897

+956

$199.40

$211.20

Justin Ashley leads the Top Fuel points standings on the strength of his consistency and clutch performances. His ability to navigate high-pressure situations makes him a top pick to conquer Thunder Valley. Ashley’s team, led by crew chief Mike Green, has been making all the right calls, giving him a car that can compete for wins every weekend. If Ashley can maintain his composure and avoid mistakes, he could be tough to beat on race day.

Doug Kalitta, the reigning Top Fuel champion, comes into Bristol with momentum after his victory at the NHRA New England Nationals. Kalitta’s experience and renewed confidence make him a serious threat to go back-to-back. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his team’s ability to find the right setup could be the keys to success at Thunder Valley. Kalitta’s cool demeanor under pressure and his ability to rise to the occasion make him a top pick to watch closely.

Steve Torrence, a four-time Top Fuel champion, has a proven track record of success at Bristol Dragway, including two previous wins. Torrence’s ability to perform under pressure and his team’s knack for finding the right setup make him a top contender to watch. His experience and competitive drive could be the difference-maker in a highly competitive field. If Torrence can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he could be a threat to win on race day.

Outsider Picks – Top Fuel

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Tony Stewart

+900

+1135

$200.00

$247.00

Shawn Langdon

+907

+595

$201.40

$139.00

Antron Brown

+994

+806

$218.80

$181.20

Tony Stewart makes his highly anticipated Top Fuel debut at the Thunder Valley Nationals. While facing longer odds, Stewart’s racing pedigree and the resources of the Stewart-Haas Racing team make him an intriguing wildcard. His ability to adapt quickly to new challenges and his team’s technical expertise could be the keys to a surprise performance. If Stewart can find his rhythm early and avoid rookie mistakes, he has the potential to turn heads and challenge the established stars.

Shawn Langdon brings a wealth of experience to the table. As an outsider pick, Langdon’s potential to surprise and challenge the favorites makes him a compelling choice for bettors seeking value. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his team’s ability to find the right setup could be the keys to a breakthrough performance. If Langdon can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to go rounds and surprise the field.

Antron Brown, a three-time Top Fuel champion, has a history of success at Bristol Dragway. Despite being an outsider, Brown’s talent and competitive drive make him a potential spoiler in the loaded Top Fuel field. His ability to perform under pressure and his team’s technical expertise could be the keys to a surprise victory. If Brown can find his rhythm early and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to challenge the favorites and go deep on race day.

Expert Pick – Top Fuel

For our expert pick in Top Fuel, we’re going with Doug Kalitta (+774). His dominant performance in Epping, coupled with his experience and consistency, gives him the edge in our eyes. Kalitta’s hunger to defend his title and his ability to rise to the occasion make him a smart choice to conquer Thunder Valley.

Head-to-Head Picks – Top Fuel

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Justin Ashley 

-162

$32.35

Tony Stewart 

+121

$44.20

Doug Kalitta 

-126

$35.87

Tony Stewart 

-105

$39.05

Justin Ashley 

-149

$33.42

Doug Kalitta 

+112

$42.40

Justin Ashley 

-158

$32.66

Steve Torrence 

+119

$43.80

Doug Kalitta 

-118

$36.95

Steve Torrence 

-113

$37.70

Tony Stewart 

-114

$37.54

Steve Torrence 

-117

$37.09

Funny Car

Top Picks and Bets – Funny Car

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Austin Prock

+353

+453

$90.60

$110.60

John Force

+493

+433

$118.60

$106.60

Matt Hagan

+621

+680

$144.20

$156.00

Austin Prock has been a force to be reckoned with since transitioning from Top Fuel. His consistency and raw speed make him a top pick to take home the Wally at Thunder Valley. Prock’s impressive reaction times and ability to lay down quick, clean passes have been crucial to his success. His team’s ability to adapt to changing track conditions and make smart tuning decisions could give him the edge in a highly competitive field.

John Force continues to defy age with his recent resurgence. The 16-time champion’s wealth of experience and hunger for victory make him a serious threat to extend his legacy at Bristol Dragway. Force’s ability to rise to the occasion and perform under pressure has been a hallmark of his career. His team’s innovative strategies and Force’s unmatched feel for the car could propel him to another victory at a track where he has found success in the past.

Matt Hagan, the defending Funny Car champion, cannot be overlooked. His proven track record and ability to perform under pressure make him a strong contender to add another Thunder Valley win to his resume. Hagan’s consistency and technical expertise have been key factors in his success at this challenging venue. His crew chief, Dickie Venables, has a knack for making clutch calls and finding the right setup for Hagan’s Dodge Charger, which could be the difference-maker in a tight field.

Outsider Picks – Funny Car

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Ron Capps

+739

+707

$167.80

$161.40

Bob Tasca III

+857

+1250

$191.40

$270.00

JR Todd

+985

+687

$217.00

$157.40

 

Ron Capps boasts an impressive history at Bristol Dragway, with six previous victories at the facility. Despite being an outsider, Capps’ past success makes him a savvy choice for those seeking value. His experience and ability to navigate the unique challenges of Thunder Valley give him a competitive edge. Capps’ veteran presence and cool demeanor under pressure could be the key to a surprise victory, especially if the favorites falter.

Bob Tasca III has shown flashes of brilliance throughout his career. While facing longer odds, Tasca’s potential for a breakthrough performance makes him an intriguing dark horse pick. His ability to find consistency and put together clean runs could be the key to a surprise victory. Tasca’s team has been making steady progress, and if they can find the right combination during qualifying, he could be a force to be reckoned with on race day.

J.R. Todd, the 2018 Funny Car champion, possesses the talent and experience to challenge the favorites. His outsider status may provide an opportunity for bettors looking for a high-upside pick. Todd’s ability to get off the line quickly and his crew chief Jon Oberhofer’s tuning prowess could be the perfect combination for an upset victory. If Todd can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to go rounds and surprise the field.

Expert Pick – Funny Car

For our expert pick in Funny Car, we’re siding with Austin Prock (+353). His recent dominance, including a runner-up finish in Epping, showcases his ability to consistently perform at a high level. Prock’s combination of youth and raw talent gives him the edge in our eyes, and we expect him to be the last man standing in Thunder Valley.

Head-to-Head Picks – Funny Car

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

John Force 

-119

$36.81

Matt Hagan 

-111

$38.02

Ron Capps 

-103

$39.42

Matt Hagan 

-129

$35.50

John Force 

-101

$39.80

Austin Prock 

-131

$35.27

Matt Hagan 

+107

$41.40

Austin Prock 

-143

$33.99

Ron Capps 

+115

$43.00

Austin Prock 

-153

$33.07

Ron Capps 

-101

$39.80

John Force 

-131

$35.27

Pro Stock Car

Top Picks and Bets – Pro Stock Car

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Dallas Glenn

+676

+627

$155.20

$145.40

Erica Enders

+694

+541

$158.80

$128.20

Greg Anderson

+720

+541

$164.00

$128.20

Dallas Glenn has enjoyed a strong start to the 2024 season. Coupled with his impressive track record at Bristol, Glenn is a formidable contender to claim victory in Thunder Valley. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his growing confidence behind the wheel make him a threat to win every time he pulls up to the starting line. Glenn’s team, KB Racing, has a history of success at Bristol, which could give him an advantage over his competitors.

Erica Enders, the reigning Pro Stock champion, is always a threat on the starting line. As she looks to kickstart her title defense, expect Enders to come out swinging at a track where she has found success in the past. Her ability to perform under pressure and her team’s meticulous attention to detail have been the keys to her success. If Enders can find her rhythm early in the weekend, she could be tough to beat on race day.

Greg Anderson, a four-time Pro Stock champion, brings a wealth of experience and proven success at Bristol Dragway. Anderson’s expertise and competitive drive make him a top pick to watch closely. His ability to make clutch runs and his team’s knack for finding the right setup could be the difference-maker in a highly competitive field. Anderson’s experience and cool demeanor under pressure could give him the edge in close races.

Outsider Picks – Pro Stock Car

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Troy Coughlin Jr

+858

+1316

$191.60

$283.20

Aaron Stanfield

+934

+920

$206.80

$204.00

Matt Hartford

+1192

+1205

$258.40

$261.00

Troy Coughlin Jr. is riding high after his impressive victory at the NHRA New England Nationals. With momentum on his side, Coughlin Jr. has the potential to challenge the favorites and score back-to-back wins. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his growing confidence behind the wheel make him a threat to go deep on race day. If Coughlin Jr. can maintain his composure and avoid mistakes, he could be a surprise winner at Thunder Valley.

Aaron Stanfield has shown flashes of brilliance throughout his young career. As an outsider pick, Stanfield’s raw talent and potential to surprise make him an intriguing choice for bettors seeking value. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his team’s ability to find the right setup could be the keys to a breakthrough performance. If Stanfield can put together clean runs and avoid costly mistakes, he could be a dark horse contender for the win.

Matt Hartford may be facing longer odds, but his past successes at Bristol Dragway cannot be ignored. Hartford’s ability to rise to the occasion makes him a dark horse pick worth considering for risk-tolerant bettors. His team’s ability to make clutch decisions and Hartford’s ability to perform under pressure could be the keys to a surprise victory. If Hartford can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to go rounds and challenge the favorites.

Expert Pick – Pro Stock Car

Our expert pick for Pro Stock is Erica Enders (+694). Despite a relatively slow start to her title defense, Enders’ track record at Bristol is simply too impressive to ignore. With three wins in the last four years at Thunder Valley, including last season’s triumph, Enders has a proven formula for success at this venue. We expect her to find her groove and add another Bristol trophy to her already prolific collection.

Head-to-Head Picks – Pro Stock Car

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Greg Anderson 

-125

$36.00

Troy Coughlin Jr 

-106

$38.87

Greg Anderson 

-114

$37.54

Dallas Glenn 

-116

$37.24

Erica Enders 

-125

$36.00

Dallas Glenn 

-106

$38.87

Troy Coughlin Jr 

+113

$42.60

Dallas Glenn 

-150

$33.33

Greg Anderson 

-105

$39.05

Erica Enders 

-126

$35.87

Troy Coughlin Jr 

-101

$39.80

Erica Enders 

-131

$35.27

Pro Stock Motorcycle

Top Picks and Bets – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Gaige Herrera

-503

-511

$23.98

$23.91

Matt Smith

+1766

+1223

$373.20

$264.60

Chase Van Sant

+2321

+1438

$484.20

$307.60

Gaige Herrera has been the dominant force in Pro Stock Motorcycle since his breakout 2023 season. With an undefeated start to 2024, Herrera’s raw talent and consistency make him the clear favorite to continue his winning ways at Thunder Valley. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his team’s ability to find the right setup have been the keys to his success. If Herrera can maintain his focus and avoid mistakes, he could be tough to beat on race day.

Matt Smith, a five-time Pro Stock Motorcycle champion, brings a wealth of experience and technical expertise to the table. Smith’s ability to find success at Bristol in the past makes him a top contender to challenge Herrera’s dominance. His ability to make clutch runs and his team’s knack for finding the right setup could be the difference-maker in a highly competitive field. If Smith can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to go rounds and challenge for the win.

Chase Van Sant has shown steady improvement throughout his career. As a top pick, Van Sant’s breakout potential and growing confidence make him an intriguing choice for bettors looking for value. His ability to make quick, consistent runs and his team’s ability to find the right setup could be the keys to a breakthrough performance. If Van Sant can maintain his composure and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to surprise the field and challenge for the win.

Outsider Picks – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Rider

Event Winner

Quickest ET

Payout on $20

Payout on $20

Richard Gadson

+2717

+2504

$563.40

$520.80

Angie Smith

+2930

+3998

$606.00

$819.60

Steve Johnson

+2986

+5614

$617.20

$1,142.80

Richard Gadson has turned heads with his raw speed and improving consistency. As an outsider pick, Gadson’s potential to surprise and challenge the favorites makes him a compelling dark horse contender. His ability to make quick, powerful runs and his growing confidence behind the handlebars could be the keys to a breakthrough performance. If Gadson can find consistency and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to go rounds and surprise the field.

Angie Smith brings years of experience to the competitive Pro Stock Motorcycle field. While facing longer odds, Smith’s veteran savvy and ability to rise to the occasion make her a potential spoiler at Thunder Valley. Her ability to make clutch runs and her team’s technical expertise could be the keys to a surprise victory. If Smith can find her rhythm early and avoid mistakes, she has the potential to challenge the favorites and go deep on race day.

Steve Johnson, the defending Thunder Valley Nationals champion, finds himself as an outsider in this year’s event. Despite the odds, Johnson’s past success at Bristol and his competitive drive make him a risk-tolerant bettor’s choice to repeat. His ability to perform under pressure and his team’s ability to find the right setup could be the keys to another surprise victory. If Johnson can recapture his 2023 form and avoid mistakes, he has the potential to defy the odds and defend his title.

Expert Pick – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Our expert pick for Pro Stock Motorcycle is Gaige Herrera (-503). It’s hard to bet against the dominant force that is Herrera, who seems poised to continue his unbeaten streak. His rare combination of youth, talent, and consistency sets him apart from the field, and we expect him to add another Bristol win to his rapidly growing resume.

Head-to-Head Picks – Pro Stock Motorcycle

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Richard Gadson 

-109

$38.35

Angie Smith 

-122

$36.39

Matt Smith 

-155

$32.90

Chase Van Sant 

+116

$43.20

Richard Gadson 

-114

$37.54

Chase Van Sant 

-117

$37.09

Angie Smith 

-122

$36.39

Chase Van Sant 

-109

$38.35

Richard Gadson 

+117

$43.40

Matt Smith 

-156

$32.82

Angie Smith 

+110

$42.00

Matt Smith 

-147

$33.61

Where to Bet on NHRA Thunder Valley Nationals 2024

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Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. If you’re new to NHRA betting, our comprehensive NHRA Betting Guide is a must-read.

As the NHRA Mission Foods Drag Racing Series descends upon Thunder Valley, fans are in for a treat with intense racing action across all professional categories. With top contenders looking to solidify their championship aspirations and hungry outsiders aiming to disrupt the balance of power, the Thunder Valley Nationals promise to be a pivotal event in the 2024 season.

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