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Best Bets: PBR UTB Elimination Rounds Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: PBR UTB Elimination Rounds Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2024 PBR World Finals: Unleash The Beast is finally upon us, and after a grueling 23-event regular season that saw the world’s top bull riders battle it out across the country, it all comes down to this. Last weekend in Louisville, Kentucky, world No. 1 Cassio Dias served notice that he’s not content merely winning the Rookie of the Year title — he’s got his sights set on PBR immortality. The 22-year-old Brazilian phenom went 2-for-3 to capture his tour-leading seventh event win at the Cooper Tires PBR Louisville, presented by Pneu-Dart, extending his lead atop the world standings to a commanding 560.5 points.

But as the saying goes, the playoffs are a whole new season. And with the debut of an all-new World Finals format — featuring four Eliminations rounds, two Ride for Redemption rounds, and two Championship rounds spread across Fort Worth and Arlington, Texas — the 2024 crown is still very much up for grabs. In this article, we’ll break down the revamped structure, assess the Top 40 riders’ post-Louisville form and crunch the numbers to determine which title contenders are worth backing as the stakes skyrocket in the Lone Star State.

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Schedule and How to Watch PBR UTB Elimination Round

The road to PBR glory begins under the bright lights of Cowtown Coliseum in Fort Worth’s historic Stockyards District, where the Top 40 riders in the world standings and five Pendleton Whisky Velocity Tour invitees will compete in four Eliminations rounds from May 9-12. Each rider will attempt one bull per round, with the Top 20 in the aggregate advancing directly to AT&T Stadium for the Championship Rounds on May 18-19. The 25 eliminated contestants will get one final shot to stay alive at the two-round Ride for Redemption event, also at Cowtown Coliseum, on May 15-16, with five more spots in the Championship up for grabs.

Want to be part of the action? RidePass on Pluto TV has got you covered with live broadcasts. For those keeping an eye on the odds, NXTbets will have analysis and updates throughout the series. Join the excitement of PBR Unleash The Beast, whether you’re cheering from the arena seats or the comfort of your own home.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for PBR UTB Elimination Round

Top Picks

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Cassio Dias

+500

$120.00

Dalton Kasel

+675

$155.00

Alan de Souza

+1000

$220.00

Cassio Dias (+500): All Dias has done in his rookie season is rewrite the PBR record books. The Goiânia, Brazil, native leads the tour in event wins (seven), round wins (13), 90-point rides (eight), and riding percentage (53.62%), and he’s shown the poise of a grizzled veteran in bouncing back from the rare off-week, as he did in Louisville after a 1-for-4 hiccup in Washington. Dias’ nerves of steel and preternatural talent make him uniquely equipped for the World Finals marathon, and his 560.5-point lead atop the standings gives him a nice cushion to work with. Look for Dias to get off to a fast start in Fort Worth as he aims to join three-time champion Silvano Alves as the only Brazilians to capture a PBR world title.

Dalton Kasel (+675): The red-hot Kasel nearly played spoiler to Dias’ coronation in Louisville, going 2-for-3 with a massive 89.75-point ride to finish tied for second. The Texan has elevated his game down the stretch, riding at a scorching 59.2% clip since mid-February. Now up to No. 3 in the standings, just 571.33 points behind Dias, Kasel is peaking at the perfect time. While still a hefty longshot to overtake Dias, Kasel’s surge makes him a strong bet to reach the Championship rounds and potentially take the event title.

Alan de Souza (+1000): Fresh off back-to-back event wins in the Pacific Northwest, De Souza cooled off a bit in Louisville, finishing 8th after an 86-point ride. But the Nashville Stampede stalwart still occupies the No. 5 spot and sits 637.33 points behind Dias. The veteran Brazilian has been a model of consistency all season, logging seven Top 5 finishes. His experience and unflappable demeanor are huge assets in the pressure cooker of the World Finals. De Souza has the talent and tenacity to make some serious noise in Fort Worth.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Eduardo Aparecido

+1500

$320.00

Joao Ricardo Vieira

+1600

$340.00

Wingson Henrique da Silva

+1600

$340.00

Eduardo Aparecido (+1500): Don’t sleep on this grizzled warrior. Aparecido, 33, turned back the clock this season, rocketing up to No. 4 in the standings on the strength of five Top 5 finishes. He looked strong in Louisville before being carried out on a stretcher following a rough dismount. However, the veteran has earned a reputation as one of the toughest riders on tour. If fully recovered, Aparecido brings a wealth of experience and determination that could carry him on a deep run.

João Ricardo Vieira (+1600): The No. 8 ranked Vieira has been somewhat overshadowed by his record-shattering countryman Dias this season. But the 38-year-old is a proven winner, capturing the 2022 UTB World Championship. Vieira notched an event win and four Top 5s in his injury-shortened 2024 campaign. Now presumably healthy, look for the wily vet to regain his world-title form and make one last run at a second gold buckle before he hangs up his spurs.

Wingson Henrique da Silva (+1600): After spending much of the first half of the season on the sidelines with injury, Da Silva has come on strong of late. The 25-year-old Brazilian earned his first premier series victory of 2024 in Everett and boasts three Top 5 finishes overall. While his No. 22 ranking puts him in a precarious position, Da Silva is riding a hot streak at just the right time. If he can maintain momentum in Fort Worth, an epic rise up the standings isn’t out of the question.

Expert Pick

As tempting as it is to overthink things and try a long-shot pick, sometimes the obvious answer is the right one. And in the case of the 2024 PBR World Finals, the obvious answer is Cassio Dias (+500). The 22-year-old wunderkind has been a cut above the rest from wire to wire, and his unflappable poise and machine-like efficiency make him uniquely equipped to handle the heightened pressure and elongated format of bull riding’s crown jewel event. 

Look for Dias to silence any lingering doubters with a tone-setting performance in Eliminations before fending off Kasel, de Souza, and the rest of the field to etch his name in the record books as the first rider to win Rookie of the Year and the World Championship in the same season. We’re betting on the next bull riding superstar to complete his coronation in Cowtown.

Where to Bet on PBR UTB Elimination Round

Armed with these insights, prepare to place your bets on the PBR UTB Elimination Round. Secure the latest futures odds and special promotions at our affiliate sportsbooks to place your bets. Dive into our exclusive PBR Betting Primer for comprehensive analyses and betting tactics. Whether you’re backing the seasoned champions or rooting for the rookies, each ride promises a pulse-pounding experience. 

With a $1 million bonus and the most coveted title in bull riding on the line, the 2023 PBR UTB World Finals is shaping up to be an epic showdown. Can Cassio Dias finish off the greatest rookie season ever and make history? Will a red-hot Dalton Kasel or surging dark horse emerge to steal his thunder? The Elimination Rounds in Fort Worth will set the stage for must-see drama in Arlington. Buckle up PBR fans, this is gonna be a ride you won’t forget!

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