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Best Bets: USAC Midget Series Merced Speedway Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: USAC Midget Series Merced Speedway Pre-Event Odds Analysis

We are just over a week out from the final race on the calendar in the 2025 USAC National Midgets Championship, but the weather is wreaking havoc out west. The scheduled stop at the Thunderbowl on Friday night has moved to Merced Speedway, and we’ll now enjoy a double header at the “Gateway to Yosemite.” Cannon McIntosh holds the edge in the series and pre-event odds, but Justin Grant has his foot on the gas and is breathing down the neck of the leader. Let’s dive into the best bets and pricing for the drivers assembling in California on Friday night.

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Schedule and How to Watch the USAC National Midget Series Merced Speedway

The city of Merced steps in to save midget car racing by opening its 1/4 mile dirt oval to the series for an additional night this weekend. It takes the place of the Thunderbowl Racetrack, which is currently waterlogged. Drivers set up shop at the Merced Speedway for two days this weekend, starting on Friday, November 21. On opening night, the field rolls onto the track for hot laps at  6:00 pm PST, followed by the qualifying races and the feature. You can tune into the action from California live on  FloRacing, while maintaining a hold on the latest odds and analysis here on NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Odds for USAC Merced Speedway

Event Winner Odds

The battle for the title is heating up, with only three points separating the top two racers. Cannon McIntosh pulls into Merced at the head of the standings after registering ten podiums across the campaign. He’s undoubtedly the most consistent driver on the grid this year, averaging 5.63 in all starts and an 80% podium rate in his previous 10 outings. It hasn’t been smooth sailing in the last three races, where he’s dropped outside of the top five twice. Instead, Daison Pursley has taken center stage, lining up with back-to-back trips inside of Victory Lane.

USAC sprint car record holder Justin Grant continues to apply pressure on the leader, but he hasn’t looked like a winner in this class of late. He’s driven himself onto the podium six times this year, three of them inside Victory Lane. The last time he clinched silverware in a midget was in July in Indiana. We were impressed with Steven Snyder Jr. in the last race, who pushed his way into second place, despite carrying long odds. It was only his second podium of the year, so it remains to be seen if he can replicate the feat. Finally, Gavin Miller, another longshot, is worth a look at that price, considering that he’s snatched top honors in 50% of his previous six races.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Daison Pursley
+170
$54.00
Buddy Kofoid
+321
$84.20
Logan Seavey
+484
$116.80
Corey Day
+588
$137.60
Carson Macedo
+677
$155.40
Jacob Denney
+952
$210.40
Cannon Mcintosh
+1257
$271.40
Justin Grant
+1429
$305.80
Kevin Thomas Jr
+3617
$743.40
Gavin Miller
+3746
$769.20
Kale Drake
+4685
$957.00
Tanner Carrick
+10317
$2,083.40
Steven Snyder Jr
+10317
$2,083.40
Drake Edwards
+10653
$2,150.60
Jakeb Boxell
+10653
$2,150.60
Kyle Jones
+10653
$2,150.60
Michael Pickens
+10653
$2,150.60
Hayden Reinbold
+11948
$2,411.60
Jake Andreotti
+11948
$2,411.60
Brecken Reese
+11948
$2,411.60
Jake Swanson
+11948
$2,411.60
Landon Brooks
+11948
$2,411.60
Caden Sarale
+11948
$2,411.60
Dalten Gabbard
+11948
$2,411.60
Mathew Radisich
+11948
$2,411.60
TJ Smith
+11948
$2,411.60
Ty Gibbs
+11948
$2,411.60

Expert Pick

The in-form Daison Pursley enters Merced Speedway as the driver to beat. He’s raced midgets part-time this year but still has four podiums in the trunk, including his two triumphs in as many races. He starts the opening night in Merced at +170 for the checkered flag, potentially paying out $54.00 on a $20 wager.

H2H Odds

Justin Grant faces off with Cannon McIntosh in the pick of our matchups on Friday night. The series leader has crossed the line ahead of Grant three times in the last five races. However, Grant has gotten the upper hand in the previous two outings. He offers value to bettors at -102, and desperately needs to outclass McIntosh here to leapfrog him in the standings.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Daison Pursley
-186
$30.75
Buddy Kofoid
+138
$47.60
Logan Seavey
-156
$32.82
Carson Macedo
+117
$43.40
Justin Grant
-102
$39.61
Cannon Mcintosh
-130
$35.38

2025 USAC Midget Series Futures Odds

Realistically, the title race is now firmly between Cannon McIntosh and Justin Grant. Only three points separate the duo in the standings, but McIntosh has remained the pick of the drivers across the campaign. He averages 5.63 across all races compared to Grant’s 5.83. The leader has also found himself inside the top three in 52.6% of all outings in 2025.

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Driver
Series Winner
Payout on $20
Cannon McIntosh
-211
$29.48
Justin Grant
-104
$39.23
Kevin Thomas Jr
+6394
$1,298.80
Logan Seavey
+14606
$2,941.20
Jacob Denney
+14606
$2,941.20
Kale Drake
+14606
$2,941.20
Gavin Miller
+14606
$2,941.20
Hayden Reinbold
+14606
$2,941.20
Drake Edwards
+14606
$2,941.20
Steven Snyder Jr
+14606
$2,941.20

Underdog DFS Finishing Positions

Driver
Finishing Position
Daison Pursley
2.5
Buddy Kofoid
3.5
Logan Seavey
4.5
Corey Day
5.5
Carson Macedo
5.5
Jacob Denney
6.5
Cannon Mcintosh
7.5
Justin Grant
7.5
Kevin Thomas Jr
9.5

Where to Bet on USAC

Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets.

For bettors, the combination of a talent-laden field, a challenging track, and the long-distance format creates a landscape rich with potential value. As the green flag drops on this pivotal event, keep your eyes peeled for changing track conditions, evolving tire strategies, and those moments of brilliance that define USAC Midget Car racing.

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