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Best Bets: WSL Bells Beach Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2026

Almost seven months have passed since we last saw the best surfers tearing it up in the WSL Championship Tour, and the wait is officially over.  Surfing royalty, Gabriel Medina, starts the season opener as the men’s pre-event odds favorite, while Caitlin Simmers takes the honors in the women’s division. Local fans will no doubt be rooting for the Aussie duo of Jack Robinson and Isabella Nichols, who return to defend the crowns they captured in 2025.

Go beyond just supporting the WSL Bells Beach season opener – check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your WSL bets. Whether you are backing your favorite surfer or looking for an underdog, our partners offer competitive odds, special playing boosts, and promos designed for surfing fans.

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Schedule and How to Watch WSL Bells Beach 2026

The world’s best surfers paddle out at Bells Beach from April 1 to April 11 to kick off the 50th anniversary of the WSL Championship Tour. Competitors are set to drop in for the round one heats on Wednesday, April 1, starting from 7:30 am AEDT. Catch the season-opening surf live from Down Under on ESPN+ or WSL.com and follow the latest results on the dedicated event page.

2026 WSL Bells Beach Odds

Event Winner - Men's

The biggest headline of the season opener is the return of Gabriel Medina. He sat out most of 2025 courtesy of a pectoral injury, but is back in 2026, and enters as the surfer to beat. Medina is followed in the odds table by his compatriot, Filipe Toledo, who last triumphed at Bells Beach in 2022. Toledo endured a quieter campaign last year, but still notched up one victory and a semi-final appearance along the way.

The reigning men’s Champion on this break is the Western Australian, Jack Robinson. He registered two victories last season and progressed to the Fiji Finals before losing out in the opening match to Italo. Ferreira started the 2025 term stronger than he finished. The Brazilian racked up two finals appearances in the first three events, winning once. Moving down the odds sheet, we see Griffin Colapinto, who finished last year on a high, entering four finals in the ultimate six events. However, the American closed out the year winless.

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Surfer
Odds
Payout on $20
Gabriel Medina
+482
$116.40
Filipe Toledo
+492
$118.40
Jack Robinson
+799
$179.80
Ethan Ewing
+832
$186.40
Italo Ferreira
+834
$186.80
Yago Dora
+863
$192.60
Griffin Colapinto
+893
$198.60
Jordy Smith
+1005
$221.00
Cole Houshmand
+1780
$376.00
Barron Mamiya
+2321
$484.20
Leonardo Fioravanti
+2363
$492.60
Joao Chianca
+2655
$551.00
Crosby Colapinto
+2850
$590.00
Joel Vaughan
+3179
$655.80
Rio Waida
+3244
$668.80
Kanoa Igarashi
+3384
$696.80
Jake Marshall
+3659
$751.80
Alan Cleland
+3776
$775.20
George Pittar
+3868
$793.60
Morgan Cibilic
+4639
$947.80
Seth Moniz
+4685
$957.00
Connor O'Leary
+6479
$1,315.80
Ramzi Boukhiam
+8672
$1,754.40
Samuel Pupo
+8909
$1,801.80
Alejo Muniz
+10001
$2,020.20
Miguel Pupo
+11394
$2,298.80
Mateus Herdy
+11394
$2,298.80
Liam O'Brien
+11394
$2,298.80
Callum Robson
+11394
$2,298.80

Expert Pick

Mick Fanning was the last male surfer to successfully defend his Bells Beach title, but we think Jack Robinson can replicate the feat, 11 years later. Four of the last five Champions have surfed with a regular setup, which Robinson has, and his odds are favorable at +799 for the title. Wagering $20.00 on the Aussie stands to payout $179.80.

Event Winner - Women's

The 2024 Bells Beach women’s Champion, Caitlin Simmers, arrives in Victoria as the favorite for top honors. She featured in four finals in 2025, only prevailing in the Surf Abu Dhabi Pro. Despite only one victory across all rounds, Simmers drops in as the lady to beat in the season opener, although the second favorite has momentum on her side. Molly Picklum enters at +377, despite featuring in the last five finals of 2025, and winning three of them, including the WSL Finals Fiji.

One-time winner in 2025, Caroline Marks paddles out in Victoria as the fifth favorite in the pre-event odds. She endured a mellow season last year, but still fought hard to enter the Title Match against Picklum in Fiji. Isabella Nichols returns to the venue that showered her in glory 12 months ago, but she’s priced as a medium-to-long shot at +1482. Outside of her success at this beach and a finals appearance in El Salvador, Nichols struggled to trouble the favorites last year.  

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Surfer
Odds
Payout on $20
Caitlin Simmers
+326
$85.20
Molly Picklum
+377
$95.40
Gabriela Bryan
+544
$128.80
Tyler Wright
+809
$181.80
Caroline Marks
+840
$188.00
Erin Brooks
+1093
$238.60
Isabella Nichols
+1482
$316.40
Carissa Moore
+1542
$328.40
Stephanie Gilmore
+1721
$364.20
Brisa Hennessy
+1958
$411.60
Luana Silva
+2678
$555.60
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
+2693
$558.60
Sawyer Lindblad
+3965
$813.00
Francisca Veselko
+4508
$921.60
Lakey Peterson
+4617
$943.40
Sally Fitzgibbons
+8233
$1,666.60
Yolanda Hopkins
+8233
$1,666.60
Bella Kenworthy
+8303
$1,680.60
Alyssa Spencer
+8303
$1,680.60
Anat Lelior
+8303
$1,680.60
Vahine Fierro
+8303
$1,680.60
Nadia Erostarbe
+8303
$1,680.60

Expert Pick

Molly Picklum earns our confidence as the women’s expert pick leading into Bells Beach. The Australian knows these waters well and has a 60% win rate in her last five events. Picklum enters the season opener at +377, possibly paying out $95.40 on a $20.00 bet.

2026 WSL Futures Odds

Men's

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Surfer
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Gabriel Medina
+315
$83.00
Griffin Colapinto
+395
$99.00
Yago Dora
+529
$125.80
Jack Robinson
+599
$139.80
Ethan Ewing
+619
$143.80
Italo Ferreira
+835
$187.00
Filipe Toledo
+943
$208.60
Jordy Smith
+1526
$325.20
Leonardo Fioravanti
+1787
$377.40
Joao Chianca
+2275
$475.00
Kanoa Igarashi
+2553
$530.60
Cole Houshmand
+2996
$619.20
Crosby Colapinto
+4032
$826.40
Barron Mamiya
+4174
$854.80
Jake Marshall
+4530
$926.00
Eli Hanneman
+8233
$1,666.60
Connor O'leary
+8233
$1,666.60
Seth Moniz
+8233
$1,666.60
Miguel Pupo
+8233
$1,666.60
Rio Waida
+8303
$1,680.60
Marco Mignot
+8375
$1,695.00
Ramzi Boukhiam
+8375
$1,695.00
Alan Cleland
+8375
$1,695.00
Alejo Muniz
+8447
$1,709.40
Joel Vaughan
+8521
$1,724.20

Women's

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Surfer
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Caitlin Simmers
+286
$77.20
Molly Picklum
+329
$85.80
Erin Brooks
+492
$118.40
Caroline Marks
+699
$159.80
Gabriela Bryan
+817
$183.40
Carissa Moore
+953
$210.60
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
+1200
$260.00
Brisa Hennessy
+1819
$383.80
Tyler Wright
+1941
$408.20
Lakey Peterson
+2264
$472.80
Stephanie Gilmore
+2321
$484.20
Sawyer Lindblad
+3147
$649.40
Isabella Nichols
+3702
$760.40
Bella Kenworthy
+3932
$806.40
Yolanda Hopkins
+7419
$1,503.80
Francisca Veselko
+7419
$1,503.80
Sally Fitzgibbons
+7419
$1,503.80
Luana Silva
+7476
$1,515.20
Vahine Fierro
+7476
$1,515.20

Where to Bet on WSL

The 2026 WSL season is ready for action, and the best surfers on the planet are taking over Bells Beach for the next 11 days. Can Gabriel Medina live up to his favorite status and deliver for the fans? Or will Molly Picklum pick up from where she left off in 2025 and snatch the opener in Victoria?

Place your bets with our partner sportsbooks and check out our WSL Betting Guide if you’re new to the tour.

And remember, bet smart, have fun, and enjoy every wave.

Odds subject to change by sportsbook.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Refer to your sportsbook’s eligibility requirements, terms, and conditions, or contact your state’s gaming commission to verify your state’s WSL betting legality. Most licensed betting platforms restrict access in prohibited states, saving you from the long confirmation process. 

For the best WSL betting experience, select reputable, regulated sportsbooks like FanduelDraftKingsCaesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM. Check event schedules and relevant offers ahead of every WSL competition. Use Underdog Fantasy for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) gaming. 

The legal status of WSL betting differs from state to state. The lifting of the federal sports betting ban in 2018 (by the Supreme Court) gave states the independence to legalize sports betting. WSL betting is mostly legal in states with regulated sports betting and licensed sportsbooks like Colorado and New Jersey. Check your sportsbooks and state-specific regulations to confirm availability. 

Common WSL betting options include outright winner bets, head-to-head matchups, and futures bets (predicting season champions). Most platforms also allow prop bets—for example, you can predict the highest wave score in a competition. 

Yes. Betting platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have live betting options. Their users can place bets during the WSL competition. For example, bettors can predict the next wave score, who will win the ongoing heat, or whether a competitor will achieve a given aggregate. Note that not all events may qualify for live betting. Check out your sportsbook live betting section for more. 

Consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) if your state does not allow sports betting. Unlike traditional betting, DFS falls under a different regulatory framework, making it legal in several jurisdictions. DFS platforms like Underground Fantasy and DraftKings DFS are common in states where sports betting is illegal.

Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER