Best Bets: WSL Fiji Pro Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2026

Best Bets: WSL Fiji Pro Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2026

The WSL wraps up its duties in the South Pacific over the next 10 days, as surfers gather in Tavarua for the Fiji Pro. Yago Dora and Gabriel Medina paddle out at Cloudbreak as the men’s pre-event odds-favorite, while double victor this term, Carissa Moore, holds the upper hand in the women’s bracket. Dive into the betting markets ahead of round eight of the championship.

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Schedule and How to Watch WSL Fiji Pro 2026

Round eight action takes the 2026 WSL Championship Tour to the islands of Fiji. Surfers drop in to Cloudbreak on Tuesday, August 25, and festivities are set to flow until September 4. The program kicks off daily at 7:30 am FJT (12:30 pm PDT the previous day). Catch every heat and bracket round live from Tavarua on WSL.com and track the results on the dedicated Fiji Pro page.

Live WSL Odds

2026 WSL Tahiti Pro Odds

Event Winner - Men's

The Brazilians top the odds sheet ahead of the Fiji Pro, with Yago Dora and Gabriel Medina joint favorites for top honors, and Italo Ferreira trailing at +550. Ferreira and Dora have notched up a win apiece in 2026, while Medina is yet to lift any silverware. However, the latter has featured in one final this season but fell short to George Pittar at Margaret River. In addition to past results, the left-breaking Cloudbreak waves favor goofy-stance surfers, which the three above Brazilians all are. Since 2000, the goofy surfers have captured 60% of the heats.

Miguel Pupo starts the event offering exceptional value for money, but he’s battled to replicate the success at Bells Beach earlier in the year. Pupo took top honors in the season opener, but has since battled to progress beyond the third round. Like his compatriots, he operates with a goofy setup, ideal for this round. Ethan Ewing, George Pittar and Seth Moniz are the other three victors this term, but they all surf with a regular stance. That increases the difficulty for them to progress deep into the contest.

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Surfer
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Yago Dora
+500
$120.00
Gabriel Medina
+500
$120.00
Italo Ferreira
+550
$130.00
Griffin Colapinto
+697
$159.40
Jack Robinson
+950
$210.00
Leonardo Fioravanti
+1000
$220.00
Ethan Ewing
+1076
$235.20
Filipe Toledo
+1500
$320.00
Miguel Pupo
+1865
$393.00
Seth Moniz
+1988
$417.60
Kauli Vaast
+2199
$459.80
Barron Mamiya
+2432
$506.40
Connor O'Leary
+2504
$520.80
Cole Houshmand
+2617
$543.40
Samuel Pupo
+3025
$625.00
Rio Waida
+3136
$647.20
Joao Chianca
+3301
$680.20
Marco Mignot
+3484
$716.80
Ramzi Boukhiam
+3998
$819.60
Kanoa Igarashi
+4466
$913.20
Jake Marshall
+4573
$934.60
Crosby Colapinto
+5395
$1,099.00
Joel Vaughan
+5998
$1,219.60
Alan Cleland
+6229
$1,265.80
Liam O'Brien
+7199
$1,459.80
George Pittar
+7476
$1,515.20
Morgan Cibilic
+7534
$1,526.80
Callum Robson
+11264
$2,272.80
Alejo Muniz
+11528
$2,325.60
Luke Thompson
+11528
$2,325.60
Matthew McGillivray
+11528
$2,325.60
Eli Hanneman
+11528
$2,325.60
Oscar Berry
+11528
$2,325.60
Mateus Herdy
+11528
$2,325.60
Jarvis Earle
+11805
$2,381.00

Expert Pick

The men’s CT leader, Italo Ferreira, earns our vote for the expert pick in round eight, given his suitability on left-hand waves. Ferreira prevailed in New Zealand on a wave that broke the same way and drops this week at +550. A $20.00 bet could earn you a $130.00 payout and would see the Brazilian extend his lead at the top.

Round 1 Heats - Men's

Mateus Herdy meets Jarvis Earle in the pick of our round 1 heats. Earle is debuting on the Championship Tour after a semifinal appearance at the Ballito Pro in July. His goofy setup makes him favored to topple Mateus Herdy, who is well-versed in CT action this term. The Brazilian has progressed into the bracket stage of all but one competition this year. His best run arrived at the Gold Coast Pro, where he entered the quarterfinal.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Luke Thompson
-115
$37.39
Matthew McGillivray
-115
$37.39
Jarvis Earle
-160
$32.50
Mateus Herdy
+120
$44.00
Ramzi Boukhiam
-235
$28.51
Oscar Berry
+171
$54.20

Round 2 Heats - Men's

The second round heats in Fiji see Ethan Ewing favored to overcome the challenge of Cole Houshmand. That said, the latter has battled to find his rhythm in 2026, but this wave suits his setup as a goofy surfer. Houshmand drops in at +112, offering a $42.40 payout on a $20.00 wager. While we think Houshmand can get the job done against his regular opponent, he has only finished ahead of Ewing once in the opening seven rounds of the year.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Seth Moniz
-175
$31.43
Marco Mignot
+131
$46.20
Ethan Ewing
-149
$33.42
Cole Houshmand
+112
$42.40
Kanoa Igarashi
-130
$35.38
Alan Cleland
-102
$39.61
Joao Chianca
-209
$29.57
Morgan Cibilic
+154
$50.80
Liam O'Brien
-157
$32.74
Callum Robson
+118
$43.60
Jake Marshall
-130
$35.38
George Pittar
-102
$39.61
Filipe Toledo
-118
$36.95
Connor O'Leary
-112
$37.86
Samuel Pupo
-329
$26.08
Alejo Muniz
+230
$66.00
Griffin Colapinto
-386
$25.18
Rio Waida
+263
$72.60
Kauli Vaast
-300
$26.67
Crosby Colapinto
+213
$62.60
Jack Robinson
-210
$29.52
Barron Mamiya
+155
$51.00
Gabriel Medina
-535
$23.74
Joel Vaughan
+340
$88.00

H2H - Men's

The standout matchup in the men’s Fiji Pro sees the joint favorites battling it out for glory. Yago Dora has the upper hand at -135, but three-time WSL Champion Gabriel Medina is always a threat. After seven events, both surfers have prevailed in three apiece, but struggled in Tahiti, where they fell short in the second round. Medina is the slight underdog at +102, but worth a look after winning the Fiji Pro on two occasions.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Miguel Pupo
-121
$36.53
Seth Moniz
-109
$38.35
Yago Dora
-135
$34.81
Gabriel Medina
+102
$40.40
Italo Ferreira
-147
$33.61
Griffin Colapinto
+110
$42.00
Leonardo Fioravanti
-102
$39.61
Jack Robinson
-130
$35.38
Filipe Toledo
-106
$38.87
Ethan Ewing
-125
$36.00

Event Winner - Women's

The winningest women’s surfer on tour in 2026, Carissa Moore paddles out in Fiji as the one to beat. She’s priced at +550, despite her second-round defeat in Tahiti. While the markets are bullish on a Moore triumph, she has never topped the bracket at Cloudbreak. Erin Brooks is fresh off her maiden victory of the year and is well suited to this break, as she proved on the extremely challenging left-handed break in the previous event.

Sawyer Lindblad provides the optimal bang for buck at +1801, despite featuring in two finals in the past four events. She is also a goofy-footed surfer, which, as we’ve established, provides an advantage in Fiji. Stephanie Gilmore, Lakey Peterson and Gabriela Bryan each have one win under the board in 2026, but they are down the odds sheet due to their regular setup. Anat Lelior is a long shot for top honors at Cloudbreak, but the goofy-stanced Israeli proved her worth last time out, finishing second behind Brooks in round seven of the CT.

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Surfer
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Carissa Moore
+550
$130.00
Erin Brooks
+600
$140.00
Molly Picklum
+738
$167.60
Caroline Marks
+750
$170.00
Gabriela Bryan
+1075
$235.00
Sawyer Lindblad
+1801
$380.20
Luana Silva
+1816
$383.20
Stephanie Gilmore
+2560
$532.00
Lakey Peterson
+2725
$565.00
Tyler Wright
+3157
$651.40
Anat Lelior
+3998
$819.60
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
+5002
$1,020.40
Isabella Nichols
+5002
$1,020.40
Brisa Hennessy
+5136
$1,047.20
Vahine Fierro
+5364
$1,092.80
Sally Fitzgibbons
+7199
$1,459.80
Yolanda Hopkins
+8030
$1,626.00
Sophie McCulloch
+9159
$1,851.80
Bella Kenworthy
+10104
$2,040.80
Te'a Kurop
+15525
$3,125.00
Alyssa Spencer
+15773
$3,174.60
Francisca Veselko
+16029
$3,225.80
Nadia Erostarbe
+16029
$3,225.80

Expert Pick

Sawyer Lindblad bags our expert pick tip leading into Fiji after a stellar run in recent rounds. Beyond past performances, she also possesses the optimal setup to ride these waves and score big. She’s progressed to the semifinal or better in four of her previous six events, claiming a win and a runner-up finish. The Californian is priced at +1801, paying out a possible $380.20 for a $20.00 stake.

Round 1 Heats - Women's

Two regular stance surfers pique our interest in the opening round heats of the women’s contest. Sally Fitzgibbons is a long shot to down Stephanie Gilmore, but we think the former has what it takes. Fitzgibbons has outperformed Gilmore in four of the seven events on tour in 2026. However, Stephanie has one event victory to her name, while Sally is yet to pass round two in any contest.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Stephanie Gilmore
-139
$34.39
Sally Fitzgibbons
+105
$41.00
Vahine Fierro
-241
$28.30
Alyssa Spencer
+175
$55.00
Anat Lelior
-160
$32.50
Brisa Hennessy
+120
$44.00
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
-342
$25.85
Bella Kenworthy
+237
$67.40
Tyler Wright
-280
$27.14
Francisca Veselko
+200
$60.00
Erin Brooks
-406
$24.93
Sophie McCulloch
+274
$74.80
Isabella Nichols
-272
$27.35
Te'a Kurop
+195
$59.00

H2H - Women's

Sawyer Lindblad meets Luana Silva in the pick of the women’s matchups in Fiji. Lindblad drops in as the underdog against the regular-stanced Brazilian. Silva has finished ahead of Lindblad in four events this year. However, Lindblad has featured in a semifinal or better in 66.7% of the past four events, while Silva has exited in round three or worse since the New Zealand Pro. In addition, the Californian is a goofy surfer, which suits Cloudbreak.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Caroline Marks
-120
$36.67
Gabriela Bryan
-110
$38.18
Stephanie Gilmore
-123
$36.26
Lakey Peterson
-108
$38.52
Molly Picklum
-106
$38.87
Carissa Moore
-125
$36.00
Luana Silva
-130
$35.38
Sawyer Lindblad
-102
$39.61

Where to Bet on WSL

Italo Ferreira and Gabriela Bryan arrive in Fiji at the top of the men’s and women’s standings, respectively, but neither is tipped for glory in round eight. Cloudbreak is the third left-hand break on the calendar, and the markets expect the goofy stance to prevail over their regular rivals.

Place your bets with our partner sportsbooks and check out our WSL Betting Guide if you’re new to the tour.

And remember, bet smart, have fun, and enjoy every wave.

Odds subject to change by sportsbook.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Refer to your sportsbook’s eligibility requirements, terms, and conditions, or contact your state’s gaming commission to verify your state’s WSL betting legality. Most licensed betting platforms restrict access in prohibited states, saving you from the long confirmation process. 

For the best WSL betting experience, select reputable, regulated sportsbooks like FanduelDraftKingsCaesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM. Check event schedules and relevant offers ahead of every WSL competition. Use Underdog Fantasy for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) gaming. 

The legal status of WSL betting differs from state to state. The lifting of the federal sports betting ban in 2018 (by the Supreme Court) gave states the independence to legalize sports betting. WSL betting is mostly legal in states with regulated sports betting and licensed sportsbooks like Colorado and New Jersey. Check your sportsbooks and state-specific regulations to confirm availability. 

Common WSL betting options include outright winner bets, head-to-head matchups, and futures bets (predicting season champions). Most platforms also allow prop bets—for example, you can predict the highest wave score in a competition. 

Yes. Betting platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have live betting options. Their users can place bets during the WSL competition. For example, bettors can predict the next wave score, who will win the ongoing heat, or whether a competitor will achieve a given aggregate. Note that not all events may qualify for live betting. Check out your sportsbook live betting section for more. 

Consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) if your state does not allow sports betting. Unlike traditional betting, DFS falls under a different regulatory framework, making it legal in several jurisdictions. DFS platforms like Underground Fantasy and DraftKings DFS are common in states where sports betting is illegal.

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