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Best Bets: X Games Osaka 2025 Pre Events Odds Analysis

Best Bets: X Games Osaka 2025 Pre Events Odds Analysis

Summer has arrived, and we are celebrating its arrival with the best BMXers, skaters, and MotoX tricksters on the planet. The X Games Osaka 2025 pre-event odds suggest two days of tight matchups in the Kyocera Dome, including an appearance from home crowd favorite Sora Shirai in the men’s street skating competition. Japan and the United States enter the weekend with the most gold medal hopefuls in the betting events, with two each out of five events.

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Schedule and How to Watch X Games Osaka 2025

Chiba hosted the previous three X Games stops in the “Land of the Rising Sun,” but the growth of the event demanded a bigger stadium, and Osaka now takes on the responsibility. The inaugural spectacle in Osaka runs from Saturday, June 21, to Sunday, June 22, but the time difference means it starts on Friday night, stateside. Competitors in the women’s vert competition open proceedings on Friday, June 20 at 8:30 pm ET, while the men’s skateboarding park contest brings the curtain down on the Japanese leg, starting at 3:15 am ET on Sunday.

The Games are available to fans across the globe on Roku and the X Games YouTube channel, making it easier than ever to access coverage. You can also keep abreast of the latest odds and analysis during the event on NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available when publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.

For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets

X Games Osaka 2025 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

BMX Park

Local boy Rim Nakamura takes on his home Games as the favorite in the BMX Park, kicking off at 10:05 pm ET on Thursday, June 19. The favorite bagged a silver medal in the 2024 Chiba Games in this discipline, his best return at an X Games. Five of the participants have stood on top of the podium in an X Games, none more so than Logan Martin. The Aussie carries a 50% win record into the event in the previous six games. He starts as the best value for money in the field. Second favorite Marcus Christopher enters the Kyocera Dome as the joint-second favorite with Martin, boasting one X Games gold and two bronze medals in the park.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Rim Nakamura
+273
$74.60
Marcus Christopher
+320
$84.00
Logan Martin
+320
$84.00
Anthony Jeanjean
+425
$105.00
Kevin Peraza
+740
$168.00
Jose Torres
+1021
$224.20
Daniel Sandoval
+1578
$335.60
Bryce Tryon
+2001
$420.20
Expert Pick

Logan Martin is vying to collect the most X Games medals in BMX Park history, and he’s favorably priced to achieve the feat. The Australian starts at +320, paying out a potential $84.00 for a $20 stake.

BMX Street

Kevin Peraza is hunting three gold medals in Osaka, a feat only accomplished previously by three athletes (Dave Mirra, Rodil de Araujo, and Travis Pastrana). He stands a strong chance of winning one in the BMX street contest, but he faces an uphill battle against a world-class Garrett Reynolds. Reynolds touches down in Japan as the favorite for this discipline after medalling 23 times in 24 X Games events, including 14 golds in street events. Keep your eye on Courage Adams, who is priced at +406, and has a knack for medalling in Japan, with two in his last two visits.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Garrett Reynolds
+195
$59.00
Kevin Peraza
+222
$64.40
Courage Adams
+406
$101.20
Jordan Godwin
+564
$132.80
Boyd Hilder
+1007
$221.40
Devon Smillie
+1166
$253.20
Lewis Mills
+2117
$443.40
Felix Prangenberg
+2560
$532.00
Expert Pick

It’s difficult to see anything other than a Garrett Reynolds victory in the BMX Street, given his sensational X Games record. The favorite enters the Kyocera Dome at +195, potentially paying out $59.00 on a $20 wager.

Skateboard Park

Men's Odds

The United States puts their faith in Tom Schaar in the skateboard park showdown, who starts as the favorite with an 87.5% medal success rate in 16 X Games appearances. Schaar triumphed in Chiba last year and picked up a bronze medal in California in 2023, leaving him on the podium twice in his previous three X Games appearances. Punters feel the biggest challenge will come from Keegan Palmer, who has medalled in three of his previous four appearances at the Games, winning twice. Kieran Wooley enters with favorable odds, despite winning the skateboard park gold medal in the 2023 Japanese X Games and backing it up with a silver in Chiba a year ago. 

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Tom Schaar
+138
$47.60
Keegan Palmer
+208
$61.60
Yuro Nagahara
+731
$166.20
Kieran Woolley
+825
$185.00
Gavin Bottger
+941
$208.20
Tate Carew
+1089
$237.80
Pedro Barros
+1285
$277.00
Trey Wood
+4067
$833.40
Expert Pick

Tom Schaar earns our support as the expert pick heading into Osaka. Sportsbooks have the Chiba Champion at +138, potentially paying out $47.60 for a $20 stake.

Skateboard Street Odds

Expect the home crowd to churn out the support in the skateboard street where three local athletes are tipped to dominate the podium. The Japanese contingent is led by the legendary Sora Shirai, who has three medals in four X Games appearances, including a victory in Chiba last year. Runner-up to Shirai in 2024 was Kairi Netsuke, who starts as the second favorite. His silver in Chiba 12 months ago was his first X Games silverware in four attempts. The Brazilian Kelvin Hoefler is worth a look, with two silvers under the board in his last four X Games skateboard street appearances.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Sora Shirai
+139
$47.80
Kairi Netsuke
+392
$98.40
Daiki Ikeda
+506
$121.20
Kelvin Hoefler
+617
$143.40
Braden Hoban
+689
$157.80
Toa Sasaki
+1214
$262.80
Cordano Russell
+1477
$315.40
Keyaki Ike
+3045
$629.00
Jake Ilardi
+3837
$787.40
Expert Pick

The class of Sora Shirai can’t be overlooked, which is why he earns our confidence as the expert pick for the skateboard street contest. Shirai starts the event at +139, with a payout potential of $47.80 on a $20 bet.

BMX Flatland

BMX flatland is back on the program this year, and Yu Katagiri is the overwhelming favorite to take the title, after maneuvering his way to a gold medal in Chiba two years back. Jean William Prevost is out to exact revenge on the homegrown favorite after settling for second place in Chiba 2024. Kio Hayakawa, the victor in Chiba three years ago, starts with long odds and is the joint third favorite with Moto Sasak, who held on for the bronze medal behind Hayakawa.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Yu Katagiri
-159
$32.58
Jean William Prevost
+308
$81.60
Moto Sasaki
+1262
$272.40
Kio Hayakawa
+1262
$272.40
Matthias Dandois
+1537
$327.40
Uchino Yohei
+1787
$377.40
Alex Jumelin
+1945
$409.00
Terry Adams
+2357
$491.40
Viki Gomez
+2357
$491.40
Expert Pick

Yu Katagiri takes the honorary expert pick tag in the BMX Flatland event, after his sensational victory in Chiba back in 2023. He starts with short odds of -159, possibly paying $32.58 for a $20 stake.

BMX Park Best Trick​

Kevin Peraza starts as the man to beat in the BMX park best trick contest. The Mexican owns two golds and a silver in this event at the X Games, forming part of his tally of 11 medals in all events. He marries technical tricks with amplitude and consistency, making him a smooth and creative rider who is tough to beat.

Peraza will remain cautious of the challenge from Daniel Sandoval, who bagged gold in this event in Chiba in 2024 and silver at X Games Japan a year prior.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Kevin Peraza
+134
$46.80
Daniel Sandoval
+148
$49.60
Logan Martin
+323
$84.60
Mike Varga
+453
$110.60
Jeremy Malott
+512
$122.40
Bryce Tryon
+780
$176.00
Ryan Williams
+1107
$241.40
Expert Pick

We think the odds are stacked against Kevin Peraza to do the triple in a single Games, but we do fancy him to take top honors in the park best trick at +134, paying a potential $46.80 on a $20 wager.

Moto X Best Trick

Australia is the dominant nation in Moto X best trick, securing 13 of the last 16 golds offered out. On paper, Osaka should deliver the same fortune for the men from Down Under, courtesy of the Adelberg-Strong duo. Rob Adelberg enters the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the overwhelming favorite at -222, with nine medals in his last ten best trick appearances, including two victories in his previous five outings.

Jackson Strong is a decorated campaigner in this sport, racking up eight golds. The 2023 X Games Japan Champion is the second favorite and boasts a 50% win rate in his last four best trick events, last prevailing in Ventura back in 2024. The fate of the host nation rests in Taka Higashino’s hands, a three-time medalist in the best trick, taking bronze in Chiba twelve months ago.

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Athlete
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Rob Adelberg
-222
$29.01
Jackson Strong
-112
$37.86
Taka Higashino
+249
$69.80
Genki Watanabe
+609
$141.80
Ben Richards
+811
$182.20
Expert Pick

It’s a tough decision to leave one of the Australians out, but we think last year’s Chiba Champion, Rob Adelberg, is the man to beat in Japan, given his sensational record of medals in X Games Moto X best trick events. Adelberg starts at -222, offering a possible payday of $29.01 on a $20 wager.

X Games Osaka UDF

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Athlete
Event
Finishing Position
Yu Katagiri
Men's BMX Flatland
1.5
Jean William Prevost
Men's BMX Flatland
2.5
Rim Nakamura
Men's BMX Park
2.5
Logan Martin
Men's BMX Park
2.5
Marcus Christopher
Men's BMX Park
3.0
Garrett Reynolds
Men's BMX Street
2.0
Kevin Peraza
Men's BMX Street
2.0
Tom Schaar
Men's Skateboard Park
2.0
Keegan Palmer
Men's Skateboard Park
2.5
Sora Shirai
Men's Skateboard Street
2.5
Kairi Netsuke
Men's Skateboard Street
4.0
Daiki Ikeda
Men's Skateboard Street
4.5
Kelvin Hoefler
Men's Skateboard Street
4.5

How to Bet on X Games Osaka 2025

Follow NXTbets for updated odds, insights, and analysis on events and athletes competing in the X Games Osaka 2025 edition.

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