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NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of July 4th

NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of July 4th

As the nation winds down for the long weekend, the world of motorsport and cycling revs to life for an action-packed weekend. The F1 British Grand Prix headlines the weekend, as McLaren looks for their first constructor victory on home soil since 2008. Across the English Channel, Tadej Pogačar and Jonas Vingegaard line up for another duel in the 112th Tour de France. That’s just a teaser of what’s to come in our NXTbets expert pick roundup: weekend of July 4th ,2025.

Our Expert's Parlay

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Event
Expert Pick
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Formula 1: British Grand Prix
Oscar Piastri
+159
$51.80
Tour de France
Tadej Pogačar
-250
$28.00
AMA Pro Motocross: Southwick National
Jett Lawrence
-307
$26.51
DGPT: PCS Open - MPO
Gannon Buhr
+227
$65.40
WSL Challenger Series: Ballito Pro - Women
Sally Fitzgibbons
+368
$93.60
Super DIRTcar Series: Stars and Stripes Spectacular
Mat Williamson
+237
$67.40
WoO Late Models: Gopher 50
Nick Hoffman
+189
$57.80
USAC Sprint Cars: Honest Abe Roofing Lincoln Park Speedway
Kyle Cummins
+229
$65.80
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Formula 1: British Grand Prix

When: July 4 – July 6, 2025
Where: Silverstone Circuit, Northamptonshire, United Kingdom
Where to Watch: Live on ESPN and F1 TV Pro
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Four British drivers return home this weekend, but can any of them stand on the top of the podium at the end of Sunday? Lando Norris and George Russell have the best chance, with a win apiece to their names in their previous two outings. Norris has driven inside Victory Lane three times this year, missing the podium in only two attempts. Despite his form, we think his teammate, Oscar Piastri, is the driver to beat. He hasn’t taken the checkered flag since Barcelona, but he’s stood on the podium in 90% of his last 10 appearances.

Key Times (BST):

Friday, July 4:
Practice #1: 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.
Practice #2: 4:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.

Saturday, July 5:
Practice #3: 11:30 a.m. – 12:30 p.m.
Qualifying: 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m.

Sunday, July 6:
Race: 3:00 p.m.

Expert Pick:

Expert Pick

Oscar Piastri touches down in England with a 15-point lead in the Driver Championship after registering his ninth podium of the season last weekend. The Aussie is an easy expert pick for the showdown at Silverstone, priced at +159, and offering a possible payday of $51.80 when you wager $20.

Tour de France: 2025

When: July 5 – July 27, 2025
Where: Lille – Paris, France
Where to Watch: Live on Peacock
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The best road cyclists on the planet descend on the city of Lille on Saturday, July 5th, to start the three-week journey to Paris. Tadej Pogačar is ready to defend his title and is confident of adding a fourth yellow jersey to his trophy cabinet. The Slovenian is in scintillating form and just keeps getting better with age. He won the Critérium Dauphiné a month ago, ahead of his perennial rival Jonas Vingegaard, who is hunting a third title. Tim Merlier heads out on opening day as the preferred rider to take the first stage ahead of Jonathan Milan.

Key Times (EDT):

Daily Coverage: 6:00 a.m.

Expert Pick

Three-time Champion Tadej Pogačar is looking like the rider to beat coming into the Grand Tour. He’s fresh off a win in South-Eastern France, where he toppled his closest challenger, Vingegaard. Pogi carries short odds into this edition at -250, offering a potential payout of $28.00 if you wager $20.

AMA Pro Motocross Championship: RedBud National

When: Saturday, July 5, 2025
Where: RedBud MX, North RedBud, Buchanan, MI
Where to Watch: Live on Super MotoCross Video Pass
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Jett Lawrence is unbeaten in the 2025 Motocross Championship, and we have a feeling it’ll continue at RedBud National. The Australian didn’t take his place on the start hill in Buchanan 12 months back, allowing Chase Sexton a chance to top the podium. Sexton returns from injury this weekend and is fancied to challenge the younger Lawrence brother, but he’ll have to be close to his best to topple an indomitable Honda rider.

Key Times (ET):

Saturday, July 5:
450 Class Moto #1: 1:15 p.m.
450 Class Moto #2: 4:15 p.m.

Expert Pick

Championship leader, Jett Lawrence, is the easiest expert pick we’ll make this weekend. He arrives in Buchanan with a 100% success rate this season in five rounds, which justifies his short odds at -307. Sportsbooks are offering a potential payout of $26.51 on a $20 wager.

DGPT: PCS Open

When: July 4 – July 6, 2025
Where: Øverås Diskgolfpark, Øverås, Norway
Where to Watch: Live on Disc Golf Network
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The eyes of the disc golf world are on Norway this weekend, as a robust MPO and FPO contingent take on the Øverås Diskgolfpark. Kristin Lätt and Paul McBeth are back in the Norwegian Fjords to retain the titles they won in 2023, but Gannon Buhr sticks out as the player to watch. The Iowan touches down in Europe with three titles to his name in his last six tournaments, better than any of his rivals in the field this weekend. Antony Barela is a value for money pick at +1235, despite accumulating four top threes in his last four outings.

Key Times (CEST):

Friday, July 4:
FPO:
9:30 a.m.
MPO: 3:30 p.m.

Saturday, July 5:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 3:30 p.m.

Sunday, July 6:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 3:30 p.m.

Expert Pick

Series leader Gannon Buhr struggled in his last event, tying for 13th. However, he tees off this weekend with a 50% success rate in his previous six tournaments, only finishing outside of the top five once in that period. Buhr hits the course at +227, offering a possible payout of $65.40 when you bet $20.

WSL Challenger Series: Ballito Pro

When: June 30 – July 6, 2025
Where: Willards Beach, Ballito, South Africa
Where to Watch: Live on World Surf League
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Round two of the 2025 WSL Challenger Series continues this weekend on the KwaZulu-Natal North Coast. Local favorite Matthew McGillivray is surfer to topple in the men’s bracket, but Sally Fitzgibbons is our top pick for the event. She hasn’t let her mid-season axing from the Championship Tour affect her, instead entering two finals in her previous three events. Both McGillivray and Fitzgibbons easily navigated the round of 32 and now prepare for their round of 16 encounters to book a place in the quarterfinals.

Key Times (SAST):

Next Call:
Saturday, July 5: 7:15 a.m.

Expert Pick

Sally Fitzgibbons endured a tough start to the season, failing to progress beyond the round of 16 in five of her first seven events. Her luck is changing if her last three events are anything to judge by, making the final twice in that period. The Australian starts at +368 possible paying $93.60 on a $20 bet.

Super DIRTcar Series: Stars and Stripes Spectacular

When: Thursday, July 3, 2025
Where: Land of Legends Raceway, Canandaigua, NY
Where to Watch: Live on DIRTVision
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The Super DIRTcar Series welcomes the July 4th weekend in style with the Stars and Stripes Spectacular at Land of Legends Raceway. Mat Williamson is the overwhelming favorite as he lines up to defend his title. The Canadian arrives in Canandaigua in form, fresh from three consecutive podium finishes. He is yet to enter Victory Lane in 2025, but he knows how to get the job done on this circuit. Alex Yankowski enters as the series leader, finishing 11 out of 12 races inside the top five this year.

Key Times (EDT):

Hot Laps: 5:30 p.m.

Expert Pick

It’s a close tussle between Mat Williamson and Alex Yankowski to win the Stars and Stripes Spectacular, but we like the defending champion. The Canadian knows how to get the job done here, and he enters in sublime form. He starts at +237, offering a prospective payday of $67.40 when you wager $20.

World of Outlaws Late Models: Gopher 50

When: July 3 – July 5, 2025
Where: Deer Creek Speedway, Spring Valley, MN
Where to Watch: Live on DIRTVision
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Late model drivers assemble at Deer Creek Speedway this weekend, hunting the $50,000 grand prize on offer on Saturday. Racing starts on Thursday night, and a tight battle is forecast between series leader Bobby Pierce and the in-form driver Nick Hoffman. The latter has excelled in recent rounds, prevailing twice in his last three races, averaging 1.67 in that period. The series leader Pierce, can’t be discounted after registering 12 podiums in 21 appearances, only ending outside of the top 10 twice.

Key Times (CT):

Thursday, July 3:
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m.

Friday, July 4:
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m.

Saturday, July 5:
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m.

Expert Pick

Nick Hoffman has proved in his last three outings, and we’re rewarding his work with the expert pick tag. Hoffman enters with two wins and a third-place finish in his last three starts, a better return than any of his peers. The North Carolina resident lines up at +399, potentially paying out $99.80 for a $20 wager.

USAC Sprint Cars: Honest Abe Roofing Lincoln Park Speedway

When: July 4 – July 5, 2025
Where: Lincoln Park Speedway, Putnamville, IN
Where to Watch: Live on FloRacing
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Justin Grant can’t seem to get enough of the record books this season, and a victory in Putnamville will tie him with Brady Bacon for second second-winningest driver in USAC Sprint Car history. He enters off the back of three wins in four starts, and is second in the Championship behind Kyle Cummins. The series leader took the checkered flag in the last race, raising his tally to seven this campaign. He also enters with the best season finishing average at 2.76.

Key Times (EDT):

Friday, July 4:
Cars on Track: 6:15 p.m.

Saturday, July 5:
Hot Laps: 6:15 p.m..

Expert Pick

While Grant would be a great story, Kyle Cummins is just too consistent to ignore. The oddsmakers agree that he will have some competition, but the points leader is the pick to win his eighth race of the season.

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Offer Score

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Offer Score

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Offer Score

9.7