The 2024 Pro Motocross Championship has been thrown into chaos on the eve of the RedBud National. Defending champion Jett Lawrence, who had been dominating the season with four overall victories in five rounds, has been sidelined due to a thumb injury sustained in a practice crash. This shocking development has completely reshuffled the championship picture, turning what was already a highly anticipated round into a potential season-defining event.
As we approach the RedBud National, the 450 class now stands wide open, with every rider sensing an opportunity to stake their claim in the title chase. The iconic Michigan track, known for its challenging layout and raucous atmosphere, is set to host what could be a pivotal moment in the season. Let’s dive deep into the data, analyze recent performances, and unpack the new championship landscape to decode the enigma that is RedBud 2024.
In addition to traditional sports betting, The 2024 AMA Pro Motocross Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively onUnderdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Motocross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to enhance your Motocross viewing experience – take advantage of a special first-timeDeposit Match Up to $250 when you sign up now!
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The RedBud National, round 6 of the 2024 Pro Motocross Championship, roars to life on Saturday, July 6, at the iconic RedBud MX track in Buchanan, Michigan. Gates drop for the first 450 moto at 1:00 PM Eastern Time.
Every second of the event can be seen live on Peacock. For a full breakdown of the event schedule, check out the official event page. For those interested in betting, keep your eye on NXTbets for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season.
Be sure to check out James Stewart’s The Inside Line betting podcast episode for strategic betting insights and opportunities on The Wick.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the RedBud National
Top Picks and Bets
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+105
$41.00
Hunter Lawrence
+162
$52.40
Aaron Plessinger
+1983
$416.60
Chase Sexton (+105) emerges as the new favorite in Jett Lawrence’s absence. His recent form, particularly his dominant second moto win at Southwick, positions him well to seize control of the championship. Sexton’s technical precision and late-moto strength could prove crucial at RedBud, where the demanding layout tends to separate the field as the day progresses. His seamless transition to KTM this season has been impressive, with podium finishes in all but one round. As an Illinois native, Sexton will enjoy strong home-state support at RedBud, potentially providing an extra psychological edge. Expect Sexton to attack from the gate drop, aiming to establish himself as the new man to beat.
Hunter Lawrence (+162) now finds himself in a precarious position. Currently leading the points standings, Hunter must now shoulder Honda’s hopes for the championship while also contending with the emotional impact of his brother’s injury. Hunter’s consistency has been his greatest asset this season – he remains the only rider to finish on the overall podium at every round. However, with Jett out of the picture, Hunter may need to find another gear to fend off a motivated Sexton. At RedBud, watch for Hunter to potentially take more calculated risks, balancing his usual measured approach with the need to make a statement in his brother’s absence.
Aaron Plessinger (+1983) represents an intriguing dark horse in this reshuffled field. While his odds are long compared to Sexton and Hunter, Plessinger’s strength in adapting to varying track conditions could play to his advantage at RedBud. His larger frame, often a disadvantage in tighter circuits, may actually benefit him on RedBud’s wide-open layout, allowing him to muscle the bike through rough sections where others might struggle. With the championship hierarchy disrupted, Plessinger may see this as his opportunity to stake a claim on the title chase.
Outsider Picks
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Justin Cooper
+2464
$512.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+3025
$625.00
Jason Anderson
+3025
$625.00
Justin Cooper (+2464) finds himself in a position to potentially upset the new order. Cooper’s season has been marked by consistent top-five finishes, but he’s yet to break through for a win. His cornering speed, particularly in flat turns, is among the best in the field. If Cooper can sort out his starting technique and put himself at the front early, he has the potential to lead and disrupt the strategies of the new championship frontrunners. Pay close attention to his first-lap positions – they could be a strong indicator of his overall performance.
Dylan Ferrandis and Jason Anderson (both at +3025) are seasoned veterans capable of capitalizing on this championship shake-up. Ferrandis, the 2021 450 Class Champion, has struggled to find consistency this season, but his aggressive style and experience could prove valuable in the high-pressure environment that Jett’s absence has created. Ferrandis excels in finding unconventional lines, often making passes where others see no opportunity. Anderson, known for his creative line choices and willingness to push the envelope, could thrive in the chaos that may ensue as riders adjust their strategies in light of the championship shake-up. Keep an eye on both these riders, especially if weather conditions add another variable to the mix.
Expert Pick for the RedBud National
Our Expert Pick for the RedBud National is Chase Sexton (+105). With Jett Lawrence’s unexpected withdrawal due to injury, Sexton emerges as the clear favorite. His dominant second moto performance at Southwick demonstrated his exceptional late-race speed and fitness, attributes that will be crucial on RedBud’s demanding layout. Sexton’s seamless adaptation to the KTM this season, combined with his strong track record at RedBud and the momentum from his recent success, positions him perfectly to capitalize on this opportunity. As an Illinois native, the home-state advantage could provide an extra edge in what promises to be an intensely competitive event. While the +105 odds don’t offer substantial returns, they reflect Sexton’s realistic probability of securing the overall win and potentially taking control of the championship narrative in Jett’s absence.
Head-to-Head Picks
Rider
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Justin Cooper
-102
$39.61
Jason Anderson
-115
$37.39
Aaron Plessinger
-130
$35.38
Dylan Ferrandis
-115
$37.39
The head-to-head matchups for RedBud offer intriguing betting opportunities. Justin Cooper‘s consistent top-five finishes make him a slight underdog against the more experienced Jason Anderson, whose creative line choices could be advantageous. Aaron Plessinger emerges as the favorite in his pairing, likely due to his recent form and adaptability to varying track conditions. The Ferrandis–Plessinger matchup is particularly compelling, pitting Ferrandis’ aggressive style against Plessinger’s smooth consistency.
Where to Bet on the RedBud National
Bets for the RedBud National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.
The injury to Jett Lawrence has transformed RedBud from a pivotal round to a potential season-defining event. With the championship now truly up for grabs, expect intense battles throughout the field as riders reevaluate their place in the title chase. The new odds reflect not just the absence of the reigning champion, but also the unpredictable nature of motocross and the potential for further shake-ups as the season progresses. As we head into RedBud, the stage is set for a thrilling and unpredictable day of racing that could reshape the entire complexion of the 2024 Pro Motocross Championship.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Best Bets: 2024 AMA 450MX RedBud National Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Table of Contents
The 2024 Pro Motocross Championship has been thrown into chaos on the eve of the RedBud National. Defending champion Jett Lawrence, who had been dominating the season with four overall victories in five rounds, has been sidelined due to a thumb injury sustained in a practice crash. This shocking development has completely reshuffled the championship picture, turning what was already a highly anticipated round into a potential season-defining event.
As we approach the RedBud National, the 450 class now stands wide open, with every rider sensing an opportunity to stake their claim in the title chase. The iconic Michigan track, known for its challenging layout and raucous atmosphere, is set to host what could be a pivotal moment in the season. Let’s dive deep into the data, analyze recent performances, and unpack the new championship landscape to decode the enigma that is RedBud 2024.
Bets for the RedBud National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks.
In addition to traditional sports betting, The 2024 AMA Pro Motocross Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Motocross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to enhance your Motocross viewing experience – take advantage of a special first-time Deposit Match Up to $250 when you sign up now!
New Player Sign Up Bonus
21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply
New Customer Sign Up Bonus
SuperMotocross may not be available in all gambling states. 21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply.
Schedule and How to Watch the RedBud National
The RedBud National, round 6 of the 2024 Pro Motocross Championship, roars to life on Saturday, July 6, at the iconic RedBud MX track in Buchanan, Michigan. Gates drop for the first 450 moto at 1:00 PM Eastern Time.
Every second of the event can be seen live on Peacock. For a full breakdown of the event schedule, check out the official event page. For those interested in betting, keep your eye on NXTbets for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season.
Be sure to check out James Stewart’s The Inside Line betting podcast episode for strategic betting insights and opportunities on The Wick.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the RedBud National
Top Picks and Bets
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+105
$41.00
Hunter Lawrence
+162
$52.40
Aaron Plessinger
+1983
$416.60
Chase Sexton (+105) emerges as the new favorite in Jett Lawrence’s absence. His recent form, particularly his dominant second moto win at Southwick, positions him well to seize control of the championship. Sexton’s technical precision and late-moto strength could prove crucial at RedBud, where the demanding layout tends to separate the field as the day progresses. His seamless transition to KTM this season has been impressive, with podium finishes in all but one round. As an Illinois native, Sexton will enjoy strong home-state support at RedBud, potentially providing an extra psychological edge. Expect Sexton to attack from the gate drop, aiming to establish himself as the new man to beat.
Hunter Lawrence (+162) now finds himself in a precarious position. Currently leading the points standings, Hunter must now shoulder Honda’s hopes for the championship while also contending with the emotional impact of his brother’s injury. Hunter’s consistency has been his greatest asset this season – he remains the only rider to finish on the overall podium at every round. However, with Jett out of the picture, Hunter may need to find another gear to fend off a motivated Sexton. At RedBud, watch for Hunter to potentially take more calculated risks, balancing his usual measured approach with the need to make a statement in his brother’s absence.
Aaron Plessinger (+1983) represents an intriguing dark horse in this reshuffled field. While his odds are long compared to Sexton and Hunter, Plessinger’s strength in adapting to varying track conditions could play to his advantage at RedBud. His larger frame, often a disadvantage in tighter circuits, may actually benefit him on RedBud’s wide-open layout, allowing him to muscle the bike through rough sections where others might struggle. With the championship hierarchy disrupted, Plessinger may see this as his opportunity to stake a claim on the title chase.
Outsider Picks
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Justin Cooper
+2464
$512.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+3025
$625.00
Jason Anderson
+3025
$625.00
Justin Cooper (+2464) finds himself in a position to potentially upset the new order. Cooper’s season has been marked by consistent top-five finishes, but he’s yet to break through for a win. His cornering speed, particularly in flat turns, is among the best in the field. If Cooper can sort out his starting technique and put himself at the front early, he has the potential to lead and disrupt the strategies of the new championship frontrunners. Pay close attention to his first-lap positions – they could be a strong indicator of his overall performance.
Dylan Ferrandis and Jason Anderson (both at +3025) are seasoned veterans capable of capitalizing on this championship shake-up. Ferrandis, the 2021 450 Class Champion, has struggled to find consistency this season, but his aggressive style and experience could prove valuable in the high-pressure environment that Jett’s absence has created. Ferrandis excels in finding unconventional lines, often making passes where others see no opportunity. Anderson, known for his creative line choices and willingness to push the envelope, could thrive in the chaos that may ensue as riders adjust their strategies in light of the championship shake-up. Keep an eye on both these riders, especially if weather conditions add another variable to the mix.
Expert Pick for the RedBud National
Our Expert Pick for the RedBud National is Chase Sexton (+105). With Jett Lawrence’s unexpected withdrawal due to injury, Sexton emerges as the clear favorite. His dominant second moto performance at Southwick demonstrated his exceptional late-race speed and fitness, attributes that will be crucial on RedBud’s demanding layout. Sexton’s seamless adaptation to the KTM this season, combined with his strong track record at RedBud and the momentum from his recent success, positions him perfectly to capitalize on this opportunity. As an Illinois native, the home-state advantage could provide an extra edge in what promises to be an intensely competitive event. While the +105 odds don’t offer substantial returns, they reflect Sexton’s realistic probability of securing the overall win and potentially taking control of the championship narrative in Jett’s absence.
Head-to-Head Picks
Rider
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Justin Cooper
-102
$39.61
Jason Anderson
-115
$37.39
Aaron Plessinger
-130
$35.38
Dylan Ferrandis
-115
$37.39
The head-to-head matchups for RedBud offer intriguing betting opportunities. Justin Cooper‘s consistent top-five finishes make him a slight underdog against the more experienced Jason Anderson, whose creative line choices could be advantageous. Aaron Plessinger emerges as the favorite in his pairing, likely due to his recent form and adaptability to varying track conditions. The Ferrandis–Plessinger matchup is particularly compelling, pitting Ferrandis’ aggressive style against Plessinger’s smooth consistency.
Where to Bet on the RedBud National
Bets for the RedBud National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.
The injury to Jett Lawrence has transformed RedBud from a pivotal round to a potential season-defining event. With the championship now truly up for grabs, expect intense battles throughout the field as riders reevaluate their place in the title chase. The new odds reflect not just the absence of the reigning champion, but also the unpredictable nature of motocross and the potential for further shake-ups as the season progresses. As we head into RedBud, the stage is set for a thrilling and unpredictable day of racing that could reshape the entire complexion of the 2024 Pro Motocross Championship.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
New Player Sign Up Bonus
21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply
New Customer Sign Up Bonus
SuperMotocross may not be available in all gambling states. 21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply.