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Best Bets: 2024 MotoGP French Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2024 MotoGP French Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The Spanish Grand Prix delivered a race for the ages, with reigning world champion Francesco Bagnaia emerging victorious after a thrilling duel with Marc Márquez. The Ducati rider showcased his championship mettle, fending off a resurgent Márquez in the closing stages to claim his second win of the season. Bagnaia’s triumph, coupled with championship leader Jorge Martín’s costly crash, has blown the title race wide open heading into the French Grand Prix at Le Mans.

As the MotoGP paddock descends upon the legendary French circuit, the stage is set for another captivating chapter in this enthralling season. With just 17 points separating Martín and Bagnaia, and a host of riders finding form, the French GP promises to be a pivotal moment in the championship battle. Join us as we dive deep into the contenders and analyze the best bets for outright victory at Le Mans.

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Schedule and How to Watch the French Grand Prix

The French Grand Prix will be held at the iconic Circuit Bugatti in Le Mans from May 12-14. This 4.2 km track, known for its mix of fast straights and tight chicanes, has been a staple on the MotoGP calendar since 2000. For a detailed view of the weekend’s events, refer to the official schedule

For enthusiasts who can’t be at the venue in person, be sure to check the official MotoGP website for viewing options. (Note: While live broadcasts might be limited in certain regions, including the US, you can still catch comprehensive race highlights and updates on the website!) If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for the French Grand Prix

Top Picks and Bets


Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Francesco Bagnaia



Jorge Martin



Marc Marquez



Francesco Bagnaia (+200): The reigning champion roars into Le Mans with a point to prove after his hard-fought victory in Jerez. Bagnaia’s talent for maintaining blistering pace while under immense pressure was on full display as he fended off a charging Márquez, even breaking the race lap record in the process. This showcases not only his raw speed but also his mental fortitude – a potent combination that cements his status as the rider to beat. Pecco’s recent form at Le Mans has been nothing short of impressive, with two podiums in his last three visits. Notably, he topped the timesheets during the recent Le Mans test, proving that he has the pace to dominate once again. With the Ducati GP24 looking like a red rocket and the #1 plate proudly displayed on his machine, expect Bagnaia to set the benchmark this weekend and ruthlessly pursue another victory to tighten his grip on the championship lead.

Jorge Martín (+250): Despite a costly crash in Jerez, Martín remains the championship leader and a serious contender for victory in France. The Pramac Ducati rider has been a model of consistency this season, finishing on the podium in every race he’s completed. Martín’s raw speed is undeniable, and his ability to extract the maximum from the GP24 makes him a threat at every circuit. The Spaniard’s record at Le Mans is solid, with a pole position and fourth-place finish to his name. If Martín can bounce back from his Jerez disappointment and rediscover his early-season form, he could well be standing on the top step come Sunday.

Marc Márquez (+275): The eight-time world champion’s stunning performance in Jerez served notice that the old Márquez is back. Despite narrowly missing out on victory, the Spaniard’s race pace and aggression were reminiscent of his dominant years. Márquez’s record at Le Mans is exceptional, with three premier class wins and five podiums to his name. The Gresini Ducati rider’s ability to push the limits and make audacious overtakes could be a key factor on the tight and twisty French circuit. If Márquez can carry his Jerez form into Le Mans and keep his GP23 rubber side down, a 60th premier class victory could be on the cards.

Outsider Picks


Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Maverick Vinales



Pedro Acosta



Enea Bastianini



Maverick Viñales (+600): After a dominant victory in Austin, Viñales came back down to earth with a ninth-place finish in Jerez. However, the Aprilia rider’s pace throughout the weekend suggests he could be a dark horse in France. Viñales has a strong record at Le Mans, with a victory and four podiums to his name. The RS-GP24 has proven to be a competitive package this season, and if Viñales can find the sweet spot with his setup, he could well be in the mix for victory. At generous odds of +600, the mercurial Spaniard is a tempting outsider pick.

Pedro Acosta (+800): The rookie sensation continues to defy expectations in his debut MotoGP season. Acosta’s seventh-place finish in Jerez, after a difficult qualifying session, underscores his racing craft and ability to adapt. The Spaniard’s aggressive yet precise riding style could be well-suited to the demands of Le Mans, and his fearless approach could unsettle some of the more established names. While a victory might be a stretch for the 19-year-old, a podium finish is certainly within his grasp. At odds of +800, Acosta represents excellent value for a top-three finish.

Enea Bastianini (+1000): The Beast’s fifth-place finish in Jerez, after a difficult start to the season, suggests he is finding his feet on the factory Ducati. Bastianini’s record at Le Mans is solid, with a third-place finish in 2022 and a victory in the Moto2 class in 2020. The Italian’s late-race pace and tire management skills could be crucial factors on the abrasive French asphalt. If Bastianini can qualify well and avoid any early skirmishes, he could emerge as a surprise contender for victory. At generous odds of +1000, the #23 is an intriguing outsider pick.

Expert Pick for the French Grand Prix

In a field filled with potential winners, we’re siding with Francesco Bagnaia to make it back-to-back victories in France. The reigning champion’s form, coupled with his impressive record at Le Mans, makes him the man to beat this weekend. Bagnaia’s ability to extract the maximum from the Ducati GP24 and his mental resilience under pressure could prove decisive on the demanding French circuit. While Márquez and Martín will undoubtedly push him hard, we expect Pecco to prevail and take a significant step towards a third straight title.

Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP French Grand Prix

Gear up for the 2024 MotoGP – French Grand Prix! Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoGP Betting Guide for comprehensive insights and tips. 

The French Grand Prix promises to be a critical juncture in the 2024 MotoGP championship. With the top riders separated by the smallest of margins, a strong result in Le Mans could provide a springboard for a title challenge. Can Bagnaia double down on his Jerez triumph, or will Martín and Márquez strike back? Will the likes of Viñales, Acosta, and Bastianini spring a surprise? Tune in this weekend to find out, and remember, in the unpredictable world of MotoGP, fortune favors the brave.

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