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Best Bets: 2024 Nashville Supercross Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2024 Nashville Supercross Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The battle for the 2024 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship took a dramatic turn at Gillette Stadium, as Cooper Webb’s dominant wire-to-wire victory in Foxborough propelled him into a tie with Jett Lawrence atop the standings. The Yamaha rider showcased blistering speed all day, topping qualifying and fending off a hard-charging Chase Sexton to secure his fourth win of the season. Meanwhile, Lawrence found himself mired in the pack after a poor start, battling through to salvage fifth. With the contrasting fortunes of the championship protagonists, Webb and Lawrence now sit deadlocked at 261 points apiece, setting the stage for a captivating showdown in Nashville with only four rounds remaining.

As the 2024 Monster Energy AMA Supercross season roars into its final stretch, the tension and intensity amongst title contenders and bettors alike has reached a fever pitch. Every pass, every mistake, every precious point carries momentous weight in this high-stakes championship chess match. All eyes now turn to Nissan Stadium in the heart of Music City, where the world’s elite riders will once again lay it all on the line in pursuit of Supercross glory. In this pressure-packed crucible, who will emerge with a winning gambit? Join us as we delve into the key storylines and betting picks for the 14th round of this enthralling title chase.

Bets for Supercross Nashville can be placed at our partner sportsbooks.

 

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Nashville 2024

Round 14 of the 2024 Supercross season will take place on Saturday, April 20th at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. The action gets underway at 5:30 PM CT, with doors opening to the public at 11:00 AM. If you can’t be there in person, you can catch all the action-packed races of the 2024 Supercross Championship tour live on Peacock, ensuring you don’t miss a moment of this exhilarating season.

For those interested in betting, keep your eye on NXT belts for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season.

Be sure to check out James Stewart’s The Inside Line betting podcast episode for strategic betting insights and opportunities on Nashville.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Supercross Nashville 2024

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

Cooper Webb

+119

$43.80

Jett Lawrence

+174

$54.80

Eli Tomac

+661

$152.20

Cooper Webb: The gritty two-time champion is hitting his stride at the perfect juncture, winning two of the last three rounds to erase an 8-point deficit and catch Jett Lawrence for a share of the championship lead. Webb’s tenacious riding style and unmatched racecraft make him a perennial threat, especially as tracks become increasingly technical and demanding late in the season. The Yamaha ace’s Foxborough triumph, leading every lap under immense pressure, showcased his mental toughness and ability to deliver in clutch moments. Expect Webb to come out swinging in Nashville as he looks to gain sole possession of the red plate.

Jett Lawrence: Despite a frustrating fifth in Foxborough, the Australian prodigy remains a top contender for victory every time he hits the track. Lawrence has already notched five wins in his rookie 450 SX campaign, showcasing the blistering speed and racecraft that have established him as a generational talent. The 19-year-old phenom demonstrated impressive resilience to charge from 16th to 5th last Saturday, and if he can nail his starts and minimize errors, Lawrence has the pace to retake control of the title chase. Don’t be surprised to see the #18 come out with a chip on his shoulder, determined to reassert his championship authority.

Eli Tomac: Although a seventh in Foxborough has dampened his title hopes, the 2020 champion cannot be overlooked in the Music City. Tomac’s four wins this season are a testament to his raw speed and wealth of experience, and the Yamaha veteran is more than capable of playing spoiler down the stretch. The long, sweeping layout in Nashville should play to ET3’s strengths, and if he can recapture the form that carried him to a dominant victory in St. Louis two weeks ago, the 52-time 450SX winner will be a serious podium threat. At these enticing odds, Tomac presents solid value – do not overlook the #3.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

Chase Sexton

+665

$153.00

Ken Roczen

+1253

$270.60

Aaron Plessinger

+3791

$778.20

Chase Sexton: The reigning champion has been somewhat overshadowed this season, but a recent string of runner-up finishes has thrust him back into the title conversation. Sexton has logged three consecutive P2’s, demonstrating the speed and consistency to run at the front and apply heavy pressure to the leaders. While wins have proved elusive for the KTM rider thus far, his steady improvement bodes well for his chances of finally breaking through in Nashville. If Sexton can put all the pieces together, he has the talent to play spoiler and shake up the championship chase.

Ken Roczen: The German veteran’s impressive third-place finish in Foxborough marked his sixth podium of the season, showcasing his consistency and technical prowess. Roczen’s effortless style and wealth of experience make him a constant threat, particularly on demanding circuits, as evidenced by his thrilling victory in Glendale earlier this year. While the Suzuki stalwart hasn’t quite matched the win totals of his championship rivals, he remains firmly in the title hunt, currently sitting fifth in the standings. At these attractive odds, Roczen is an intriguing sleeper pick to claim his second victory of the season and shake up the championship picture.

Aaron Plessinger: The affable Ohioan has been a consistent top-10 stalwart all season, but has yet to rediscover the sizzling form that carried him to a surprise victory in Tampa. Plessinger’s explosive speed and deft bike handling are tailor-made for a fast, flowing track like Nashville, and the Red Bull KTM rider could be poised for a big result if he can avoid the small mistakes that have plagued him in recent rounds. At these lofty odds, Plessinger is the ultimate high-risk, high-reward wildcard.

Head-To-Head Matchups

Rider

Money Line

Payout per $20

Cooper Webb

Jett Lawrence

-140

$34.29

+110

$42.00

Eli Tomac

Chase Sexton

-115

$37.39

-115

$37.39

Chase Sexton

Ken Roczen

-200

$30.00

+150

$50.00

Eli Tomac

Ken Roczen

-200

$30.00

+150

$50.00

Hunter Lawrence
Justin Cooper

+105

$41.00

-135

$34.81

The head-to-head odds for Nashville offer intriguing insights into the perceived dynamics between key rider pairings. In the battle of the championship leaders, Webb is favored at -140 over Lawrence (+110), reflecting the momentum shift following Foxborough. Tomac and Sexton are evenly matched at -115 apiece, a testament to their comparable speed and consistency. Sexton is a heavy -200 favorite over Roczen (+150), suggesting the reigning champion is expected to continue his podium streak. Similarly, Tomac is a -200 favorite to outpace Roczen. The most competitive matchup sees Justin Cooper as a slight -135 favorite over Hunter Lawrence (+105), indicating a closely fought duel between the rising stars.

Expert Pick for Supercross Nashville 2024

In a high-stakes showdown between the championship leaders, we’re backing Jett Lawrence (+174) to come up clutch and reassert his title authority. The emerging superstar has demonstrated the speed, racecraft, and mental toughness to bounce back from adversity, and we expect him to do just that in the Music City. If Lawrence can nail his starts and stay out of trouble, his blistering pace will be tough to match. Our Expert Pick is Lawrence to notch a statement victory and reclaim the top spot in the standings.

Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

Cooper Webb

-179

$31.17

Jett Lawrence

+108

$41.60

Chase Sexton

+6269

$1273.80

In the wake of his Foxborough masterclass and Lawrence’s last-lap misfortune, Webb has surged to a slim -179 championship favorite. Meanwhile, Lawrence has drifted to a tantalizing +108, eager to prove the doubters wrong. Sexton remains an intriguing longshot at +6269, but will need some help from the racing gods to reel in the deadlocked leaders.

Where to Bet on Supercross Nashville 2024

Bets for Supercross Nashville can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

As the championship winds to a breathtaking conclusion, the stage is set for a titanic clash between Webb and Lawrence under the bright lights of Nashville. With the red plate up for grabs and a pair of alpha dogs unwilling to yield an inch, expect fireworks from the first gate drop to the final checkered flag. The only certainty is edge-of-your-seat unpredictability – this is Supercross at its riveting, nerve-jangling best.

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