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Best Bets: PBR UTB Billings Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: PBR UTB Billings Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The PBR Unleash The Beast rolls into Billings, Montana this weekend for the Wrangler PBR Billings, presented by Cooper Tires. The tour is coming off an electrifying stop in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, where world No. 1 Cassio Dias notched his tour-leading sixth event win of the season. The 22-year-old phenom went 3-for-4, capped by a monstrous 90.5-point ride on rank bovine Ricky Vaughn in the championship round, to further extend his lead atop the standings.

With just four regular season events remaining before the 2024 PBR World Finals kick off in Fort Worth on May 9, the stakes are higher than ever in Billings. The talent-laden field will be going all out to gain crucial points and improve their positioning for the season’s final stretch. In this article, we’ll break down the top contenders and longshots to keep an eye on as you make your picks for what promises to be an action-packed weekend of bull riding.

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Schedule and How to Watch PBR UTB Billings

The Wrangler PBR Billings, presented by Cooper Tires, invades First Interstate Arena at MetraPark in Billings, Montana from April 12-14. The event gets underway with Round 1 on Friday, April 12 at 7:45 p.m. MDT. The action continues with Round 2 on Saturday, April 13 at 6:45 p.m. MDT. Championship Sunday begins at 1:45 p.m. MDT with Round 3, followed by the championship round.

Want to be part of the action? RidePass on Pluto TV has got you covered with live broadcasts. For those keeping an eye on the odds, NXTbets will have analysis and updates throughout the series. Join the excitement of PBR Unleash The Beast, whether you’re cheering from the arena seats or the comfort of your own home.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for PBR UTB Billings

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Cassio Dias

+180

$56.00

Kaique Pacheco

+180

$56.00

Eduardo Aparecido

+850

$190.00

 

Topping the odds board in Billings is Cassio Dias at +180. The 22-year-old Brazilian rookie has been on a real heater this season, racking up a tour-leading six event wins. His 33 qualified rides on the premier series are also a tour-best, as is his 56.9% riding percentage. Dias has also been absolutely clutch in championship rounds, going 10-for-14. He’s coming off a dominant 3-for-4 showing in Sioux Falls and hasn’t shown any signs of slowing down. Until he does, he remains the favorite every time he settles into the chutes. Simply put, Dias is the most likely rider to leave Billings with the event title. The only real knock on him is his short +180 odds, which offer a relatively modest payout compared to other riders. But if you’re looking for the safest bet to win, Dias is your guy.

Next up at +180 is 2018 PBR World Champion Kaique Pacheco. The 28-year-old Brazilian is enjoying another solid campaign, highlighted by an event win in St. Louis and three top 10 finishes overall. Pacheco boasts an impressive 57.69% riding percentage (15-for-26), second only to Dias among those with at least 15 outs. The main concern with Pacheco is his 2-for-8 record in championship rounds – he’s been uncharacteristically mediocre in the crucial short go. He’s also been a bit feast-or-famine, following up his win in St. Louis by going 0-for-3 in both Little Rock and Sacramento. When Pacheco is on, he’s capable of winning any event he enters. But his inconsistency, coupled with his equal odds to Dias, makes him a bit of a riskier play.

Rounding out the top picks is Eduardo Aparecido at +850. The veteran Brazilian has been a model of consistency, tallying four top 5s, including a win in Little Rock. His 50% riding percentage is tied for third among qualifiers. However, Aparecido is coming off an 0-for-3 dud in Sioux Falls, marking his first rideless event of the season. At 32 years old, there may be some concern about the grind of the season catching up with him. Aparecido also hasn’t been at his sharpest in championship rounds, going just 5-for-13 (38.46%). But the savvy vet has bounced back from every sluggish performance this year, notching a top 5 finish in the very next event each time. Don’t be surprised if he does it again in Billings. If Aparecido can rediscover his championship round form, his +850 odds suddenly look quite enticing.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Alan de Souza

+1200

$260.00

John Crimber

+1300

$280.00

Koltin Hevalow

+1400

$300.00

If you’re looking for a high upside pick at longer odds, Alan de Souza is an intriguing option at +1200. The 30-year-old Brazilian has come on strong lately, notching back-to-back second place finishes in Nampa and Sioux Falls. Those runner-ups have propelled de Souza to No. 5 in the world, and he now has five top 5s on the season. He also just recorded a season-high 88.75 points on Flyin Wired in the Sioux Falls championship round. De Souza has serious momentum and could be poised for a breakthrough.

Another solid outsider pick is John Crimber at +1300. The second-ranked rider in the world has been overshadowed by Dias but is putting together an excellent season in his own right. The 22-year-old Texan has tallied one event win and seven top 5s, showcasing impressive consistency for a rider of his age and experience level. He’s coming off a very rare buckoff-filled weekend in Sioux Falls, going 0-for-3, but that feels more like an anomaly than any cause for concern. Expect a strong bounce back showing from the talented youngster.

Rounding out the outsider picks is Koltin Hevalow at +1400. The 20-year-old Canadian has been one of the biggest breakout stories this season and enters Billings ranked a career-high No. 6 in the world. Hevalow already has one event win under his belt to go along with six top 5s. The one knock on him has been a lack of consistency – his 20 event outs are tied for the most on tour. But the sky-high upside is undeniable, and if he can put it all together in Billings, Hevalow has the talent to pick up a second victory.

Expert Pick for PBR UTB Billings

Our expert pick for the Wrangler PBR Billings is Alan de Souza at +1200. As we mentioned earlier, the 30-year-old Brazilian has been building some impressive momentum lately and appears primed for a breakthrough victory. But it’s not just de Souza’s back-to-back second-place finishes in Nampa and Sioux Falls that catch our eye. Dive a little deeper, and you’ll see a rider who’s been a model of consistency all season.

De Souza has recorded a qualified ride in 14 of his 17 events this season, giving him an impressive 82.35% qualification percentage. That’s the highest mark among riders with at least 15 outs. He’s also gone 26-for-49 (53.06%) on the premier series, second only to Dias. We believe this consistency is the key to de Souza’s success and sets him up perfectly to finally break through and claim his first premier series win of 2024. At +1200 odds, the value is simply too good to pass up. Trust the steady veteran to put it all together in Billings and deliver a big payday.

Round 1 Head-to-Head Bets

As the competition intensifies in Montana, several intriguing head-to-head matchups in Round 1 offer exciting betting opportunities.

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Kaique Pacheco

+110

$42.00

Cassio Dias

-145

$33.79

Keyshawn Whitehorse

-110

$38.18

Koltin Hevalow

-120

$36.67

Alan de Souza

-125

$36.00

Vitor Losnake

-105

$39.05

In the marquee matchup, we’re siding with Cassio Dias (-145) over Kaique Pacheco (+110). Dias has simply been too dominant to bet against, even at steeper odds. The rookie phenom has been near-automatic this season and should have the edge over the streaky veteran.

Next, we’re backing Koltin Hevalow (-120) over Keyshawn Whitehorse (-110). Both young riders have shown lots of promise, but Hevalow gets the slight nod for his higher upside and consistency.

Finally, we like Alan de Souza (-125) to take down Vitor Losnake (-105). De Souza’s vast experience and strong recent form give him a clear edge over his fellow Brazilian Losnake, who has been much harder to trust this season.

Where to Bet on PBR UTB Billings

Armed with these insights, prepare to place your bets on PBR UTB Billings. Secure the latest futures odds and special promotions at our affiliate sportsbooks to place your bets. Dive into our exclusive PBR Betting Primer for comprehensive analyses and betting tactics. Whether you’re backing the seasoned champions or rooting for the rookies, each ride promises a pulse-pounding experience. With the world’s top riders vying for supremacy, every buck and spin presents a chance to win big. Engage in the spectacle where raw rodeo action meets the strategic play of betting!

 

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