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Best Bets: 2025 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Spring Creek National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2025 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Spring Creek National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The Jett Lawrence show moves to Minnesota for Round 7 of the 2025 campaign this weekend, and the Australian is the man to beat. Lawrence is the firm favorite in the Pro Motocross Championship Spring Creek National pre-event odds after prevailing in all of the previous six rounds. The Aussie’s older brother, Hunter, arrives off the back of three consecutive podiums and lines up as the second favorite on Saturday.

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Schedule and How to Watch MX Spring Creek National

The Motocross series rolls into Millville, Minnesota on Saturday, July 12 for a full day of racing at the Spring Creek MX Park. Practice and qualifying sessions are scheduled for the first thing in the morning, before we shift gears to race mode for Moto #1 just after lunchtime. Proceedings draw to a close after the Moto #2 race, scheduled for a late afternoon start. If you can’t make it to the Spring Creek National, you can watch the spectacle on Super Motocross Video Pass, and find the latest odds and analysis here on NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for Motocross Spring Creek National

Odds for the Event Winner

Jett Lawrence continues his bulldozing run in 2025 and enters on Saturday with six wins in six rounds. The Honda star took top honors at Spring Creek on his 2023 visit, but missed his title defense in 2024 due to injury. But he’s back and the favorite to enter Victory Lane. Lawrence’s absence last year opened the door for a determined Chase Sexton to power to the top of the podium, and he’s back to fight for his crown. The KTM rider returned from injury last week to finish fifth in the RedBud National and should be better conditioned for Minnesota.

Hunter Lawrence is the closest challenger to his brother this season, finishing on the podium in four out of six events. He starts after three consecutive runner-ups, raising him to second in the standings. 

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-800
$22.50
Hunter Lawrence
+475
$115.00
Chase Sexton
+763
$172.60
Eli Tomac
+1569
$333.80
Justin Cooper
+3290
$678.00
Aaron Plessinger
+3576
$735.20
R.j. Hampshire
+5888
$1,197.60
Tony Cairoli
+6436
$1,307.20
Cooper Webb
+11805
$2,381.00
Jason Anderson
+11805
$2,381.00
Justin Barcia
+13058
$2,631.60
Malcolm Stewart
+13058
$2,631.60
Jorge Prado
+13058
$2,631.60
Harri Kullas
+13985
$2,817.00
Coty Schock
+13985
$2,817.00
Joey Savatgy
+14606
$2,941.20
Benoit Paturel
+14606
$2,941.20
Marshal Weltin
+15052
$3,030.40
Valentin Guillod
+15052
$3,030.40
Lorenzo Locurcio
+15285
$3,077.00
Grant Harlan
+15285
$3,077.00
Romain Pape
+15285
$3,077.00
Colt Nichols
+15285
$3,077.00
Derek Kelley
+15285
$3,077.00
Expert Pick

Championship leader Jett Lawrence is the obvious expert pick for the Spring Creek National. He averages 1.00 after six rounds and has proven unbeatable so far. The Australian carries short odds of -800, potentially paying out $22.50 for a $20 wager.

Odds for a Podium

The older Lawrence brother, Hunter, is a reasonable option to stand on the rostrum on Saturday, after doing so in 66.7% of events so far. He averages 3.17 this season, which is the second-best on the start hill, after his younger brother. Eli Tomac matches Hunter in podiums but posted his worst result in the last round, ending outside of the first 10 places.

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Rider
Podium Finish
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-2400
$20.83
Hunter Lawrence
-163
$32.27
Chase Sexton
-108
$38.52
Eli Tomac
-259
$27.72
Aaron Plessinger
-126
$35.87
Justin Cooper
-109
$38.35
R.J. Hampshire
+280
$76.00
Cooper Webb
+773
$174.60
Jason Anderson
+834
$186.80
Justin Barcia
+1247
$269.40
Jorge Prado
+1483
$316.60
Tony Cairoli
+3437
$707.40
Malcolm Stewart
+4230
$866.00
Joey Savatgy
+4230
$866.00
Harri Kullas
+4230
$866.00
Benoit Paturel
+4230
$866.00
Coty Schock
+4230
$866.00
Grant Harlan
+4230
$866.00
Valentin Guillod
+4230
$866.00
Marshal Weltin
+4230
$866.00
Lorenzo Locurcio
+4230
$866.00
Colt Nichols
+4230
$866.00
Romain Pape
+4230
$866.00
Derek Kelley
+4230
$866.00

H2H Odds

Eli Tomac stands out as the best value for money in the head-to-head battles, but his opponent, Chase Sexton, is the defending Champion on this dirt. However, the KTM rider is just returning from injury, and Tomac is a four-time podium finisher this season with an average of 4.50.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+488
$117.60
Jett Lawrence
-900
$22.22
Chase Sexton
-173
$31.56
Eli Tomac
+129
$45.80
R.J. Hampshire
-121
$36.53
Tony Cairoli
-109
$38.35
Cooper Webb
-116
$37.24
Jason Anderson
-114
$37.54
Aaron Plessinger
-105
$39.05
Justin Cooper
-126
$35.87

2025 Pro Motocross Futures Odds

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Rider
Futures
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-99900
$20.02
Hunter Lawrence
+2617
$543.40
R.j. Hampshire
+4267
$873.40
Aaron Plessinger
+4267
$873.40
Eli Tomac
+4267
$873.40
Justin Cooper
+4267
$873.40
Cooper Webb
+4850
$990.00
Jason Anderson
+4850
$990.00
Malcolm Stewart
+4850
$990.00
Jorge Prado
+4850
$990.00
Joey Savatgy
+4850
$990.00
Colt Nichols
+5425
$1,105.00
Justin Barcia
+5487
$1,117.40
Chase Sexton
+5487
$1,117.40
Coty Schock
+5487
$1,117.40

DFS Finishing Positions

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Player
Finishing Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Eli Tomac
4.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Aaron Plessinger
5.5
Justin Cooper
5.5
R.J. Hampshire
7.5

Where to Bet on MX Spring Creek National

Bets for the Pro Motocross Championship Spring Creek National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

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