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Best Bets: 2025 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Thunder Valley National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2025 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Thunder Valley National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Two rounds have been completed in this series, and if the results are anything to go by, the field is going to struggle to catch Jett Lawrence. The Australian leads the series and takes top honors in the 2025 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Thunder Valley pre-event odds. He is followed by Aaron Plessinger, who is a top-five finisher in the first four races of the season.

Bets for the MX Thunder Valley National can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, The Motocross Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Motocross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to enhance your Motocross viewing experience – take advantage of a special first-time Deposit Match Up to $1,000 when you sign up now!

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Schedule and How to Watch MX Thunder Valley National

The motocross fraternity drops into Colorado on Saturday, June 7th, for a full day of racing at Thunder Valley Motocross Park. Qualifying hits dirt early on Saturday, with the first group lining up on the start hill at 8:00 am MDT. Moto #1 ups the ante after lunch, starting at 1:15 pm, with the second race on the cards for 4:15 pm.

You can catch all the qualifying and race action on Super Motocross Video Pass this weekend, while NBC is scheduled to broadcast the Moto #2 showdown that closes out the event. Check in with NXTbets to discover the latest odds and analysis on Motocross competitors.

Best Bets & Odds for Motocross Thunder Valley National

Odds for the Event Winner

There is one rider to beat as the AMA Motocross contingent pulls into Lakewood, and his name is Jett Lawrence. The Aussie leads the 2025 series after winning two rounds and three out of four races. Jett returns to the track where he’s prevailed since 2023, leaving him one shy of a hat-trick of Thunder Valley National titles.

Aaron Plessinger lines up this weekend as the second-best rider in the series on points after three podiums in four races this year. “The Cowboy” averages 3.25 per race and is back on the dirt where he took second place, behind Lawrence, in 2023. Eli Tomac is the only other rider to win an MX race this season, averaging 4.00 and starting this weekend in third in the standings. Although a longshot in the odds, Justin Cooper has kept his portfolio tidy this season, posting three top fives, including two podiums in four races this campaign.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-253
$27.91
Eli Tomac
+273
$74.60
Hunter Lawrence
+848
$189.60
Aaron Plessinger
+2504
$520.80
Justin Cooper
+4445
$909.00
Cooper Webb
+8233
$1,666.60
Jorge Prado
+14606
$2,941.20
Jason Anderson
+15773
$3,174.60
R.j. Hampshire
+15773
$3,174.60
Joey Savatgy
+15773
$3,174.60
Malcolm Stewart
+15773
$3,174.60
Harri Kullas
+15773
$3,174.60
Benny Bloss
+15773
$3,174.60
Grant Harlan
+15773
$3,174.60
Derek Drake
+15773
$3,174.60
Romain Pape
+15773
$3,174.60
Lorenzo Locurcio
+15773
$3,174.60
Derek Kelley
+15773
$3,174.60
Colt Nichols
+15773
$3,174.60
Dante Oliveira
+15773
$3,174.60

Expert Pick

Series leader Jett Lawrence is our obvious expert pick this weekend after a dominant start to the term. He starts with short odds of -253, potentially paying $27.91 on a $20 wager, but it’s hard to see anyone getting passed him at Thunder Valley.

Odds for a Podium

At -2500, punters see very few scenarios where Jett wouldn’t find himself on the podium this weekend, and we agree. Aaron Plessinger carries favorable podium odds with him into Thunder Valley National despite earning three podiums in four MX races this far, and sitting second in the Championship.

Eli Tomac lines up as the second favorite to secure a podium finish, after doing the deed twice this year in four races. The four-time MX Champion has only greeted the stewards outside of the top five once in this MX season, highlighting his consistency. Hunter Lawrence claimed a podium in Moto #1 on opening day, but has kept his run tidy, averaging 4.00 across the first two rounds and four races.

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Rider
Podium Finish
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-2500
$20.80
Eli Tomac
-233
$28.58
Hunter Lawrence
-150
$33.33
Aaron Plessinger
-122
$36.39
Justin Cooper
+104
$40.80
Cooper Webb
+162
$52.40
Jason Anderson
+194
$58.80
Jorge Prado
+660
$152.00
R.J. Hampshire
+864
$192.80
Joey Savatgy
+895
$199.00
Malcolm Stewart
+1151
$250.20
Harri Kullas
+4190
$858.00
Benny Bloss
+4190
$858.00
Grant Harlan
+4190
$858.00
Derek Drake
+4190
$858.00
Lorenzo Locurcio
+4190
$858.00
Derek Kelley
+4190
$858.00
Romain Pape
+4190
$858.00
Dante Oliveira
+4190
$858.00
Colt Nichols
+4190
$858.00

H2H Odds

Aaron Plessinger and Justin Cooper is where the value sits in the MX Thunder Valley National spectacle. Plessinger starts as the underdog against Hunter, despite boasting three podiums and a superior finishing average of 3.25. Justin Cooper is averaging 4.00 per race this season with two podiums to his name. However, he enters as the underdog against Cooper Webb, who has zero podiums behind him and a finishing average of 14.50.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-160
$32.50
Aaron Plessinger
+120
$44.00
Eli Tomac
+215
$63.00
Jett Lawrence
-304
$26.58
Justin Cooper
-148
$33.51
Cooper Webb
+111
$42.20
Jason Anderson
-110
$38.18
Jorge Prado
-120
$36.67

2025 Pro Motocross Futures Odds

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Rider
Podium Finish
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-308
$26.49
Eli Tomac
+381
$96.20
Hunter Lawrence
+797
$179.40
Aaron Plessinger
+884
$196.80
Justin Cooper
+1424
$304.80
Cooper Webb
+13414
$2,702.80
Jason Anderson
+13414
$2,702.80
Jorge Prado
+13414
$2,702.80
Joey Savatgy
+13414
$2,702.80
R.j. Hampshire
+13414
$2,702.80
Colt Nichols
+14186
$2,857.20
Malcolm Stewart
+14186
$2,857.20
Coty Schock
+14186
$2,857.20

DFS Finishing Positions

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Player
Finishing Position
Eli Tomac
2.5
Hunter Lawrence
3.5
Aaron Plessinger
4.5
Justin Cooper
4.5
Jason Anderson
6.5
Cooper Webb
6.5

Where to Bet on MX Thunder Valley National

Bets for Pro Motocross Championship Thunder Valley National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
IF YOUR BET WINS WITH MIN. -500 ODDS REQUIREMENT
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
BET $5, GET $200
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX GET $150 IN BONUS BETS
WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES + 50 BONUS SPINS
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
BET $10, GET $150
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8690 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.9
5
Fan Favorite
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Offer Score

9.7
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