Three weeks ago, Marc Marquez was celebrating his seventh MotoGP World Championship. Fast forward to today, and he’s still in the headlines, but this time for the unfortunate fact that the Spaniard won’t be on the starting grid in Melbourne on Sunday. Marquez’s absence has opened the door to a new favorite in the pre-event odds for Australia. Fermin Aldeguer heads the lineup after becoming the second-youngest rider in MotoGP history to win a Grand Prix two weeks ago. Discover who else is in the hunt for the checkered flag Down Under in our event preview.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
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Schedule and How to Watch the Australian MotoGP
MotoGP takes over the Phillip Island Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne this weekend, with a sprint and a Grand Prix on the cards. Riders will line up for the short race on Saturday, October 18, at midnight for those on the East Coast. Prepare for another late night on Saturday, as the grid assembles for the main event at 11:00 pm EDT. Follow the robust program this weekend from Australia live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Australia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The absence of Marc Marquez has opened up the betting field for the first race this campaign. Bettors have their eye on the youngster, Fermin Aldeguer, who is fresh off his triumph in Southeast Asia. He’s a talented rider and a future star, but we’re not sure how he’ll handle the pressure of the favorite tag. The rookie showed what he’s capable of, but his consistency also worries us, as he averages 9.6 in his last five races, despite the victory a fortnight ago.
Alex Marquez will be licking his lips at the thought of a third MotoGP victory this season. He is one of the few riders who offered any resistance to Marc this year, and his recent form is impressive, with three podiums in four races. Another rider who challenged the older Marquez this campaign is Marco Bezzecchi, who secured five rostrums in his last 10 races. There is the small matter of his two DNFs in the previous four meetings, but the Italian is one of only six riders to claim a checkered flag this year. Bezzecchi also started the weekend strong in Melbourne, topping the Practice Session on Friday afternoon.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Fermín Aldeguer
+225
$65.00
Álex Márquez
+275
$75.00
Pedro Acosta
+333
$86.60
Francesco Bagnaia
+335
$87.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+900
$200.00
Franco Morbidelli
+1700
$360.00
Fabio Quartararo
+1700
$360.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+1700
$360.00
Joan Mir
+2900
$600.00
Luca Marini
+2900
$600.00
Jack Miller
+3400
$700.00
Raul Fernandez
+3400
$700.00
Johann Zarco
+4900
$1,000.00
Brad Binder
+5400
$1,100.00
Enea Bastianini
+5400
$1,100.00
Ai Ogura
+6400
$1,300.00
Alex Rins
+9900
$2,000.00
Pol Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+9900
$2,000.00
Michele Pirro
+14900
$3,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+49900
$10,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+49900
$10,000.00
Expert Pick
We are sticking with the Marquez name for our expert pick to prevail in Australia. However, this time we’re handing the reins over to Alex Marquez, who starts as the most in-form rider on the grid, averaging 5.4 in his last five races. He’s collected three podiums in that period, including a trip inside Victory Lane in Catalonia. Alex lines up at +275 for the Grand Prix, potentially paying out $75.00 for a $20 wager.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
With the 2025 MotoGP Champion Marc Marquez out of the equation who will prevail Down Under? Can his younger brother pickup from where he left off, or will we see another strong showing from the Spanish rookie Fermin Aldeguer?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Liqui Moly Australian Motorcycle Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The 2023 MotoGP season finale at the Grand Prix Valencia will be remembered as a defining moment in the annals of motorcycle racing. Francesco Bagnaia’s triumphant defense of his title was nothing short of a motorsport masterpiece, an exemplar of skill and nerve under pressure. The riveting twist came with Jorge Martin’s crash on Lap …
Somkiat Chantra was called up by Honda to replace the injured Joan Mir for this weekend’s Japanese Grand Prix at Motegi, with Honda Racing Corporation confirming the rider change. Mir has been under recovery and observation after fatigue forced him out of the San Marino race and the Austrian round, and Honda said he was medically unfit for both the Japanese and Indonesian grands prix. Honda said it would provide another update on Mir after the Indonesian Grand Prix.
Chantra returned to MotoGP with Honda as a stand-in for the Japanese round only, because the Mandalika race in Indonesia clashes with the World Superbike schedule. Honda had not decided who would replace Mir in Indonesia, with Aleix Espargaro and Takaaki Nakagami listed as possible options. Nakagami could not ride in Japan because he was already entered as a wildcard on a fifth RCV for his home event, and Espargaro was sidelined by back injuries.
Chantra raced in MotoGP for LCR in 2025 before moving to Honda’s WorldSBK project this season. He became Thailand’s first premier-class rider in 2025, scored seven points in MotoGP last year and finished 26th in the standings. He also has recent success at Motegi, winning there in Moto2 in 2023 and finishing 15th at the circuit in his 2025 MotoGP appearance on the Honda RC213V.
The 2024 World Surf League Championship Tour is heating up as the world’s best surfers prepare to do battle at Punta Roca for the Surf City El Salvador Pro presented by Corona. Coming off an electric showdown at the SHISEIDO Tahiti Pro, where local wildcard Vahine Fierro made history by becoming the first Tahitian to …
MotoGP heads to the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli for Round 14, with the San Marino Grand Prix set to shape a tightly packed title fight. Jorge Martín leads the standings on 256 points, Marc Márquez is 19 points behind him, and Marco Bezzecchi is also in the mix as the front-runners arrive at one of the sport’s key home races. The 4.23-kilometer track has 16 corners, including the fast Curvone at Turn 11, and its clockwise layout is expected to test Aprilia on home soil.
Aprilia arrives with Martín and Bezzecchi looking to build on their Aragón form. Martín said Misano is special for Aprilia and its fans, and he wants to keep improving and fight for podiums on the RS-GP26 after a strong showing at Aragón, where he finished fifth in both races. Martín also won both the Sprint and the Grand Prix at Misano in 2023. Bezzecchi returns to his home circuit after taking two third-place finishes in Aragón, and he is still recovering from the injury he suffered at Sachsenring. He is aiming for another strong result in front of Italian supporters.
Márquez comes in after scoring maximum points at Aragón and said Misano will be tougher, though the track still suits him and Ducati’s home crowd can give him an extra boost. He has won at Misano five times, including the 2024 and 2025 San Marino Grands Prix. On the Ducati side, Francesco Bagnaia will make his 142nd MotoGP start for Ducati Corse on Sunday and move past Andrea Dovizioso’s 141 starts to become Ducati’s all-time leader in MotoGP starts. Bagnaia said he is not giving up after recent crashes and that the support of the Ducatisti can help him and the team rebound, with this weekend also set to be his final home race with Ducati.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Australia Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Three weeks ago, Marc Marquez was celebrating his seventh MotoGP World Championship. Fast forward to today, and he’s still in the headlines, but this time for the unfortunate fact that the Spaniard won’t be on the starting grid in Melbourne on Sunday. Marquez’s absence has opened the door to a new favorite in the pre-event odds for Australia. Fermin Aldeguer heads the lineup after becoming the second-youngest rider in MotoGP history to win a Grand Prix two weeks ago. Discover who else is in the hunt for the checkered flag Down Under in our event preview.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Australian MotoGP
MotoGP takes over the Phillip Island Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne this weekend, with a sprint and a Grand Prix on the cards. Riders will line up for the short race on Saturday, October 18, at midnight for those on the East Coast. Prepare for another late night on Saturday, as the grid assembles for the main event at 11:00 pm EDT. Follow the robust program this weekend from Australia live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Australia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The absence of Marc Marquez has opened up the betting field for the first race this campaign. Bettors have their eye on the youngster, Fermin Aldeguer, who is fresh off his triumph in Southeast Asia. He’s a talented rider and a future star, but we’re not sure how he’ll handle the pressure of the favorite tag. The rookie showed what he’s capable of, but his consistency also worries us, as he averages 9.6 in his last five races, despite the victory a fortnight ago.
Alex Marquez will be licking his lips at the thought of a third MotoGP victory this season. He is one of the few riders who offered any resistance to Marc this year, and his recent form is impressive, with three podiums in four races. Another rider who challenged the older Marquez this campaign is Marco Bezzecchi, who secured five rostrums in his last 10 races. There is the small matter of his two DNFs in the previous four meetings, but the Italian is one of only six riders to claim a checkered flag this year. Bezzecchi also started the weekend strong in Melbourne, topping the Practice Session on Friday afternoon.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
We are sticking with the Marquez name for our expert pick to prevail in Australia. However, this time we’re handing the reins over to Alex Marquez, who starts as the most in-form rider on the grid, averaging 5.4 in his last five races. He’s collected three podiums in that period, including a trip inside Victory Lane in Catalonia. Alex lines up at +275 for the Grand Prix, potentially paying out $75.00 for a $20 wager.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
With the 2025 MotoGP Champion Marc Marquez out of the equation who will prevail Down Under? Can his younger brother pickup from where he left off, or will we see another strong showing from the Spanish rookie Fermin Aldeguer?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Liqui Moly Australian Motorcycle Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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The 2023 MotoGP season finale at the Grand Prix Valencia will be remembered as a defining moment in the annals of motorcycle racing. Francesco Bagnaia’s triumphant defense of his title was nothing short of a motorsport masterpiece, an exemplar of skill and nerve under pressure. The riveting twist came with Jorge Martin’s crash on Lap …
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Chantra returned to MotoGP with Honda as a stand-in for the Japanese round only, because the Mandalika race in Indonesia clashes with the World Superbike schedule. Honda had not decided who would replace Mir in Indonesia, with Aleix Espargaro and Takaaki Nakagami listed as possible options. Nakagami could not ride in Japan because he was already entered as a wildcard on a fifth RCV for his home event, and Espargaro was sidelined by back injuries.
Chantra raced in MotoGP for LCR in 2025 before moving to Honda’s WorldSBK project this season. He became Thailand’s first premier-class rider in 2025, scored seven points in MotoGP last year and finished 26th in the standings. He also has recent success at Motegi, winning there in Moto2 in 2023 and finishing 15th at the circuit in his 2025 MotoGP appearance on the Honda RC213V.
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Misano hosts tight MotoGP title fight as Bagnaia sets Ducati mark
MotoGP heads to the Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli for Round 14, with the San Marino Grand Prix set to shape a tightly packed title fight. Jorge Martín leads the standings on 256 points, Marc Márquez is 19 points behind him, and Marco Bezzecchi is also in the mix as the front-runners arrive at one of the sport’s key home races. The 4.23-kilometer track has 16 corners, including the fast Curvone at Turn 11, and its clockwise layout is expected to test Aprilia on home soil.
Aprilia arrives with Martín and Bezzecchi looking to build on their Aragón form. Martín said Misano is special for Aprilia and its fans, and he wants to keep improving and fight for podiums on the RS-GP26 after a strong showing at Aragón, where he finished fifth in both races. Martín also won both the Sprint and the Grand Prix at Misano in 2023. Bezzecchi returns to his home circuit after taking two third-place finishes in Aragón, and he is still recovering from the injury he suffered at Sachsenring. He is aiming for another strong result in front of Italian supporters.
Márquez comes in after scoring maximum points at Aragón and said Misano will be tougher, though the track still suits him and Ducati’s home crowd can give him an extra boost. He has won at Misano five times, including the 2024 and 2025 San Marino Grands Prix. On the Ducati side, Francesco Bagnaia will make his 142nd MotoGP start for Ducati Corse on Sunday and move past Andrea Dovizioso’s 141 starts to become Ducati’s all-time leader in MotoGP starts. Bagnaia said he is not giving up after recent crashes and that the support of the Ducatisti can help him and the team rebound, with this weekend also set to be his final home race with Ducati.