Three weeks ago, Marc Marquez was celebrating his seventh MotoGP World Championship. Fast forward to today, and he’s still in the headlines, but this time for the unfortunate fact that the Spaniard won’t be on the starting grid in Melbourne on Sunday. Marquez’s absence has opened the door to a new favorite in the pre-event odds for Australia. Fermin Aldeguer heads the lineup after becoming the second-youngest rider in MotoGP history to win a Grand Prix two weeks ago. Discover who else is in the hunt for the checkered flag Down Under in our event preview.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
MotoGP takes over the Phillip Island Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne this weekend, with a sprint and a Grand Prix on the cards. Riders will line up for the short race on Saturday, October 18, at midnight for those on the East Coast. Prepare for another late night on Saturday, as the grid assembles for the main event at 11:00 pm EDT. Follow the robust program this weekend from Australia live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Australia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The absence of Marc Marquez has opened up the betting field for the first race this campaign. Bettors have their eye on the youngster, Fermin Aldeguer, who is fresh off his triumph in Southeast Asia. He’s a talented rider and a future star, but we’re not sure how he’ll handle the pressure of the favorite tag. The rookie showed what he’s capable of, but his consistency also worries us, as he averages 9.6 in his last five races, despite the victory a fortnight ago.
Alex Marquez will be licking his lips at the thought of a third MotoGP victory this season. He is one of the few riders who offered any resistance to Marc this year, and his recent form is impressive, with three podiums in four races. Another rider who challenged the older Marquez this campaign is Marco Bezzecchi, who secured five rostrums in his last 10 races. There is the small matter of his two DNFs in the previous four meetings, but the Italian is one of only six riders to claim a checkered flag this year. Bezzecchi also started the weekend strong in Melbourne, topping the Practice Session on Friday afternoon.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Fermín Aldeguer
+225
$65.00
Álex Márquez
+275
$75.00
Pedro Acosta
+333
$86.60
Francesco Bagnaia
+335
$87.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+900
$200.00
Franco Morbidelli
+1700
$360.00
Fabio Quartararo
+1700
$360.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+1700
$360.00
Joan Mir
+2900
$600.00
Luca Marini
+2900
$600.00
Jack Miller
+3400
$700.00
Raul Fernandez
+3400
$700.00
Johann Zarco
+4900
$1,000.00
Brad Binder
+5400
$1,100.00
Enea Bastianini
+5400
$1,100.00
Ai Ogura
+6400
$1,300.00
Alex Rins
+9900
$2,000.00
Pol Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+9900
$2,000.00
Michele Pirro
+14900
$3,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+49900
$10,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+49900
$10,000.00
Expert Pick
We are sticking with the Marquez name for our expert pick to prevail in Australia. However, this time we’re handing the reins over to Alex Marquez, who starts as the most in-form rider on the grid, averaging 5.4 in his last five races. He’s collected three podiums in that period, including a trip inside Victory Lane in Catalonia. Alex lines up at +275 for the Grand Prix, potentially paying out $75.00 for a $20 wager.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
With the 2025 MotoGP Champion Marc Marquez out of the equation who will prevail Down Under? Can his younger brother pickup from where he left off, or will we see another strong showing from the Spanish rookie Fermin Aldeguer?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Liqui Moly Australian Motorcycle Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
As the heat of summer approaches, the World Surf League Championship Tour is set to make its 6th stop at the Surf Ranch Pro on May 27th – 28th. The event, taking place in Lemoore, California, is the first following the Mid-season Cut and promises high stakes competition among the world’s top surfers. With a …
Dynamite comes in small packages, and after seven weeks in the garage, the pocket rockets are ready to blast onto the dirt for the second half of the 2025 season. Cannon McIntosh leads the series into Indiana and tops the USAC Midget Series Bloomington Speedway pre-event odds. His biggest threat on the grid on Friday …
Pedro Acosta demanded answers from KTM after repeated technical failures at the Czech Grand Prix in Brno left him with nothing to show for a weekend that began with promising pace. Acosta said the team needed to send the bike back to the factory to find out why the same problem kept happening, and the run of issues ended his streak of scoring in every race so far this season.
The trouble started in Friday practice, when his KTM broke down. On Saturday, a problem with the rear holeshot device on his bike distracted him through the Sprint, and Acosta said he crashed on lap 6 while trying to free it. He started the race from eighth and said his pace was still good enough to fight for a top-five finish, before apologizing to the team and calling the problem a mechanical-sport issue that needed analysis.
Acosta said the Sunday failure was the same as the Friday issue. He was running in fifth place and managing front tire pressure by dropping behind Fabio Di Giannantonio and then Joan Mir before his KTM RC16 cut out on the final lap at Turn 1. Acosta said the race lasted one lap too long and insisted KTM should provide answers. Earlier on Friday, after finishing sixth as the top KTM rider, he had also criticized the team’s one-bike setup as a safety concern if a crash or mechanical problem happened during practice.
Toprak Razgatlıoğlu blamed his poor showing in Saturday’s Brazilian MotoGP Sprint on a loss of front-end grip and multiple technical and electronic problems with the Pramac Yamaha V4, calling the race “frustrating, a step back” and describing the bike as “impossible” to ride. He reported a clutch/power problem at the start that dropped him back, a mysterious loss of power on throttle release, and severe front-end instability under braking that left him “afraid to brake” and feeling the tires “like they were five years old.” Razgatlıoğlu and teammate Jack Miller were the only riders to experience the same issues, and he said the bike “wasn’t the same” compared with Friday’s running.
Those problems produced a heavy on-track toll: Razgatlıoğlu, who had qualified 12th after a strong Friday that included a surprise P3 and his first Q2 appearance, finished 18th in the 15‑lap Sprint, beating only Miller, with both Pramac Yamahas ending at the back of the field. Marc Márquez won the Sprint, finishing roughly 23 seconds ahead, while the Pramac duo were about 15 seconds behind Fabio Quartararo and nearly eight seconds behind Alex Rins; Quartararo ran a soft rear tire to sixth while the Pramac riders had chosen medium rears. Miller, who briefly led after starting 18th, battled strong understeer and a lack of front-end confidence, and both Pramac bikes were passed late by Franco Morbidelli and Enea Bastianini. The whole grid struggled with the hard front tire over the Sprint.
Pramac said it would investigate setup and electronic systems to address the clutch/power and handling problems, and team boss Campinoti’s crew planned comprehensive checks ahead of Sunday’s Grand Prix. Razgatlıoğlu’s preparation had already been disrupted by an FP2 crash he attributed to a technical fault, an incident that, with an earlier retirement in Thailand, brought his crash tally to two. He expressed hope the team’s checks and the full race would uncover the issue and deliver a better result, and Miller suggested a wet forecast for Sunday might improve their prospects.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Australia Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Three weeks ago, Marc Marquez was celebrating his seventh MotoGP World Championship. Fast forward to today, and he’s still in the headlines, but this time for the unfortunate fact that the Spaniard won’t be on the starting grid in Melbourne on Sunday. Marquez’s absence has opened the door to a new favorite in the pre-event odds for Australia. Fermin Aldeguer heads the lineup after becoming the second-youngest rider in MotoGP history to win a Grand Prix two weeks ago. Discover who else is in the hunt for the checkered flag Down Under in our event preview.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Australian MotoGP
MotoGP takes over the Phillip Island Grand Prix Circuit in Melbourne this weekend, with a sprint and a Grand Prix on the cards. Riders will line up for the short race on Saturday, October 18, at midnight for those on the East Coast. Prepare for another late night on Saturday, as the grid assembles for the main event at 11:00 pm EDT. Follow the robust program this weekend from Australia live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Australia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The absence of Marc Marquez has opened up the betting field for the first race this campaign. Bettors have their eye on the youngster, Fermin Aldeguer, who is fresh off his triumph in Southeast Asia. He’s a talented rider and a future star, but we’re not sure how he’ll handle the pressure of the favorite tag. The rookie showed what he’s capable of, but his consistency also worries us, as he averages 9.6 in his last five races, despite the victory a fortnight ago.
Alex Marquez will be licking his lips at the thought of a third MotoGP victory this season. He is one of the few riders who offered any resistance to Marc this year, and his recent form is impressive, with three podiums in four races. Another rider who challenged the older Marquez this campaign is Marco Bezzecchi, who secured five rostrums in his last 10 races. There is the small matter of his two DNFs in the previous four meetings, but the Italian is one of only six riders to claim a checkered flag this year. Bezzecchi also started the weekend strong in Melbourne, topping the Practice Session on Friday afternoon.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
We are sticking with the Marquez name for our expert pick to prevail in Australia. However, this time we’re handing the reins over to Alex Marquez, who starts as the most in-form rider on the grid, averaging 5.4 in his last five races. He’s collected three podiums in that period, including a trip inside Victory Lane in Catalonia. Alex lines up at +275 for the Grand Prix, potentially paying out $75.00 for a $20 wager.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
With the 2025 MotoGP Champion Marc Marquez out of the equation who will prevail Down Under? Can his younger brother pickup from where he left off, or will we see another strong showing from the Spanish rookie Fermin Aldeguer?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Liqui Moly Australian Motorcycle Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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As the heat of summer approaches, the World Surf League Championship Tour is set to make its 6th stop at the Surf Ranch Pro on May 27th – 28th. The event, taking place in Lemoore, California, is the first following the Mid-season Cut and promises high stakes competition among the world’s top surfers. With a …
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Acosta says KTM must send bike back after repeated failures
Pedro Acosta demanded answers from KTM after repeated technical failures at the Czech Grand Prix in Brno left him with nothing to show for a weekend that began with promising pace. Acosta said the team needed to send the bike back to the factory to find out why the same problem kept happening, and the run of issues ended his streak of scoring in every race so far this season.
The trouble started in Friday practice, when his KTM broke down. On Saturday, a problem with the rear holeshot device on his bike distracted him through the Sprint, and Acosta said he crashed on lap 6 while trying to free it. He started the race from eighth and said his pace was still good enough to fight for a top-five finish, before apologizing to the team and calling the problem a mechanical-sport issue that needed analysis.
Acosta said the Sunday failure was the same as the Friday issue. He was running in fifth place and managing front tire pressure by dropping behind Fabio Di Giannantonio and then Joan Mir before his KTM RC16 cut out on the final lap at Turn 1. Acosta said the race lasted one lap too long and insisted KTM should provide answers. Earlier on Friday, after finishing sixth as the top KTM rider, he had also criticized the team’s one-bike setup as a safety concern if a crash or mechanical problem happened during practice.
Razgatlıoğlu calls Pramac Yamaha ‘impossible’ after Sprint
Toprak Razgatlıoğlu blamed his poor showing in Saturday’s Brazilian MotoGP Sprint on a loss of front-end grip and multiple technical and electronic problems with the Pramac Yamaha V4, calling the race “frustrating, a step back” and describing the bike as “impossible” to ride. He reported a clutch/power problem at the start that dropped him back, a mysterious loss of power on throttle release, and severe front-end instability under braking that left him “afraid to brake” and feeling the tires “like they were five years old.” Razgatlıoğlu and teammate Jack Miller were the only riders to experience the same issues, and he said the bike “wasn’t the same” compared with Friday’s running.
Those problems produced a heavy on-track toll: Razgatlıoğlu, who had qualified 12th after a strong Friday that included a surprise P3 and his first Q2 appearance, finished 18th in the 15‑lap Sprint, beating only Miller, with both Pramac Yamahas ending at the back of the field. Marc Márquez won the Sprint, finishing roughly 23 seconds ahead, while the Pramac duo were about 15 seconds behind Fabio Quartararo and nearly eight seconds behind Alex Rins; Quartararo ran a soft rear tire to sixth while the Pramac riders had chosen medium rears. Miller, who briefly led after starting 18th, battled strong understeer and a lack of front-end confidence, and both Pramac bikes were passed late by Franco Morbidelli and Enea Bastianini. The whole grid struggled with the hard front tire over the Sprint.
Pramac said it would investigate setup and electronic systems to address the clutch/power and handling problems, and team boss Campinoti’s crew planned comprehensive checks ahead of Sunday’s Grand Prix. Razgatlıoğlu’s preparation had already been disrupted by an FP2 crash he attributed to a technical fault, an incident that, with an earlier retirement in Thailand, brought his crash tally to two. He expressed hope the team’s checks and the full race would uncover the issue and deliver a better result, and Miller suggested a wet forecast for Sunday might improve their prospects.