Barcelona unceremoniously hosted the world’s premier motorbike racing contingent twice in 2024. Organizers moved the ultimate race of the season from Valencia due to the catastrophic floods. Francesco Bagnaia triumphed on both occasions last year, but this time, his teammate Marc Marquez is stealing the show. The “Ant of Cervera” lines up in his homeland as the favorite in the 2025 MotoGP Catalan pre-event odds, fresh off seven consecutive victories.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
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Round 15 of the MotoGP season accelerates onto the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya for the first practice sessions on Friday, September 5. The intensity rises on Saturday as riders set out to claim the first points of the weekend in the Tissot sprint and secure a competitive place on the grid for the Grand Prix. Sunday, September 7, delivers the main event of the spectacle when riders line up at 8:00 am EDT for the 24-lap race. Find out if the older Marquez brother can keep his winning streak alive on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Catalonia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The odds paint a picture of a one-sided affair, and if the last seven rounds are anything to go by, that should be the case. Marc Marquez arrives after entering Victory Lane in 71.43% of all starts this campaign. He failed to cross the line in Austin and finished 12th in Spain, but otherwise has participated in the podium celebrations in every round. His younger brother, Alex, was his closest challenger up until five races ago, but has since finished outside of the top 10 twice and failed to finish as many times.
Francesco Bagnaia is looking for a hat-trick of victories on this asphalt, but has found himself outside of the top five in consecutive starts. Then we turn to Marco Bezzecchi, who is stringing together a positive run of four podiums in five starts. It’s a lucky number for the Italian, who is also one of only five riders to take top honors this campaign. Finally, Pedro Acosta is starting to find his rhythm on the KTM Factory bike, registering his second podium in three starts last time out.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-278
$27.19
Francesco Bagnaia
+800
$180.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+900
$200.00
Alex Marquez
+1400
$300.00
Pedro Acosta
+1400
$300.00
Jorge Martin
+1900
$400.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+2400
$500.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+2900
$600.00
Franco Morbidelli
+2900
$600.00
Enea Bastianini
+3400
$700.00
Luca Marini
+3900
$800.00
Joan Mir
+5900
$1,200.00
Brad Binder
+5900
$1,200.00
Johann Zarco
+6900
$1,400.00
Fabio Quartararo
+6900
$1,400.00
Maverick Vinales
+6900
$1,400.00
Raul Fernandez
+7900
$1,600.00
Pol Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+19900
$4,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+29900
$6,000.00
Alex Rins
+29900
$6,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+99900
$20,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+99900
$20,000.00
Ai Ogura
+99900
$20,000.00
Expert Pick
Anything can happen in motor racing, but right now, the only thing happening is Marc Marquez standing on the top of the podium. We can’t bring ourselves to go against him at this stage, especially given his average of 2.4 across the last 10 rounds. His odds are short at -278, but it’s the smart bet, which potentially pays out $27.19 for a $20 stake.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Can anyone stop Marc Marquez in his homeland? He hasn’t beaten the field in Barcelona since 2019, but nobody seems to be able to topple him in 2025. Is he on track for an eighth consecutive victory this weekend, or will Marco Bezzecchi be rewarded for his consistent podium form of late?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Monster Energy Grand Prix of Catalonia. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Polymarket
Use code MOTOGP to Deposit $10, Get $25 Trading Bonus
It’s the final days of Spring 2025 are upon us, and we have the perfect way to say goodbye to it. Our NXTbets expert pick round: Weekend of June 13th introduces us to a healthy balance of motorsport, softball, combat sport, and disc golf. The Canadian Grand Prix steals the show as the world’s premier …
Multiple reports say Pramac and Yamaha are preparing to promote Moto2 rider Izan Guevara to MotoGP for 2027. The move is described as provisional but close to being signed and is expected to be finalized before the summer break. Federico Zamagni reported Guevara’s Blu Cru contract contains a clause that could allow or compel a move to Pramac if he delivers “the right result” at the Catalan Grand Prix, a threshold Zamagni describes as securing the points needed to take the Moto2 championship lead. If activated, that scenario would likely displace Jack Miller at Pramac and leave Miller’s immediate future uncertain.
Reports give Guevara’s age as either 21, turning 22 next month, or 22. He extended his Yamaha contract through the end of 2027 and has built momentum on track: he won the 2025 Valencia Moto2 Grand Prix, and this season he has taken three podiums in the opening five rounds including a victory at Le Mans, leaving him second in the Moto2 riders’ standings. An impressive private test on a Yamaha M1, earlier Yamaha YZR-M1 testing and his involvement in Yamaha’s Moto2 project, backed by Pramac manager Gino Borsoi, are cited as factors behind the planned promotion.
Coverage of Yamaha’s intended 2027 reshuffle, reportedly overseen by managing director Paolo Pavesio, says Guevara would join Pramac alongside Toprak Razgatlioglu, with Jorge Martin and Ai Ogura in factory Yamaha seats. Some reports add that Alex Rins could leave and former factory rider Fabio Quartararo might move to Honda. That coverage also notes Jack Miller’s dip in competitiveness, no wins since 2022, currently last among full-time riders and outscored 5-0 by rookie teammate Toprak, though Miller posted one of his strongest Friday practice sessions at Catalonia and said, “I’m sick and f**king tired of being at the back.”
Fabio Quartararo stepped up his criticism of Yamaha’s V4 after the Spanish Grand Prix in Jerez, saying “I’m not stupid; I know how to ride a bike” and that he has lost his “love for riding.” He said he was no longer having “fun” as the Yamaha M1 struggled in cornering, and he described persistent problems with grip and power that left him uncomfortable braking, entering corners, cornering and accelerating. Quartararo qualified 17th, was eliminated in Q1 for the third time in four races, and finished 14th, nearly 30 seconds behind race winner Alex Márquez. He was the only Yamaha full-time rider to score points at Jerez; teammates Alex Rins finished 16th, Jack Miller 18th, and new signing Toprak Razgatlioglu 19th.
Quartararo warned that fixing one issue often seemed to expose another, and he and Razgatlioglu both singled out a “huge” engine-braking problem that undermines performance and confidence. Yamaha brought new items to Jerez but made little measurable progress according to reports, and team representative Massimo Meregalli said the factory used a slightly modified engine at the weekend while the overall design remained unchanged. Razgatlioglu said he did not enjoy riding the M1 at Jerez, crashed out of the Sprint and received a long-lap penalty after an incident, but he said he was “giving everything” and expected a bigger step when new bikes arrive in 2027.
Yamaha used Monday’s post-race test in Jerez to evaluate chassis, aerodynamic and electronic developments for the V4, and Quartararo said he “finds something” in the work. He emerged seventh fastest in the session, 0.495 seconds off the top time, and reported improved front-end feeling and a positive effect from a new aerodynamic element. Quartararo described the gains as incremental rather than a major breakthrough and said more development will be needed to return to podium contention. Yamaha sits fifth in the constructors’ championship on 14 points, 25 points behind Honda, and Quartararo’s outspoken comments increased pressure on the factory to deliver clearer solutions rather than incremental changes that do not address riders’ core complaints.
Francesco Bagnaia begins the season under heavy scrutiny after a difficult 2025, when he struggled to adapt to Ducati’s GP25 and dropped to fifth in the championship. He finished 257 points behind teammate Marc Márquez, who recorded 11 wins and eight pole positions. Bagnaia’s contract runs through the end of 2026, and pundit Carlo Pernat warned that a repeat of 2025‑level results next season would be “unthinkable.”
Inside the factory garage, team boss Davide Tardozzi said Márquez “helped and protected” Bagnaia during the toughest moments of 2025, describing protective interventions on at least two occasions. Ducati engineers pointed to recurring GP25 issues briefly solved at the Japanese Grand Prix but later resurfacing as part of the explanation for Bagnaia’s dip in form.
At Ducati’s 2026 bike launch in the Dolomites, Bagnaia pushed back against what he called excessive criticism, saying roughly “90%” of the negative commentary was unnecessary. He rejected suggestions that the factory favoured Márquez and emphasised that riders can choose equipment and that the bikes are largely similar.
Off-track, Ducati says it is not yet negotiating a contract extension with Bagnaia. At the launch, he said he felt “extremely relaxed” about his future; some observers interpreted that as openness to leaving after 2026.
Reports conflict over Márquez’s situation. Some outlets report he has agreed a new deal with Ducati, others say Honda remains interested, and some articles reference an in‑principle agreement for 2027–28. Transfer speculation also names Pedro Acosta among possible future Ducati candidates. Potential destinations mentioned, should Bagnaia depart, include VR46, Aprilia (whose CEO Massimo Rivola called Bagnaia a “tempting” candidate), Honda, and Yamaha.
How Bagnaia performs on the GP26 in 2026, the timing and outcome of any contract decisions, and continuing rider‑market activity, including developments around Márquez and Acosta, will shape his standing at Ducati beyond 2026.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Catalan Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Barcelona unceremoniously hosted the world’s premier motorbike racing contingent twice in 2024. Organizers moved the ultimate race of the season from Valencia due to the catastrophic floods. Francesco Bagnaia triumphed on both occasions last year, but this time, his teammate Marc Marquez is stealing the show. The “Ant of Cervera” lines up in his homeland as the favorite in the 2025 MotoGP Catalan pre-event odds, fresh off seven consecutive victories.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Catalunya MotoGP
Round 15 of the MotoGP season accelerates onto the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya for the first practice sessions on Friday, September 5. The intensity rises on Saturday as riders set out to claim the first points of the weekend in the Tissot sprint and secure a competitive place on the grid for the Grand Prix. Sunday, September 7, delivers the main event of the spectacle when riders line up at 8:00 am EDT for the 24-lap race. Find out if the older Marquez brother can keep his winning streak alive on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Catalonia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
The odds paint a picture of a one-sided affair, and if the last seven rounds are anything to go by, that should be the case. Marc Marquez arrives after entering Victory Lane in 71.43% of all starts this campaign. He failed to cross the line in Austin and finished 12th in Spain, but otherwise has participated in the podium celebrations in every round. His younger brother, Alex, was his closest challenger up until five races ago, but has since finished outside of the top 10 twice and failed to finish as many times.
Francesco Bagnaia is looking for a hat-trick of victories on this asphalt, but has found himself outside of the top five in consecutive starts. Then we turn to Marco Bezzecchi, who is stringing together a positive run of four podiums in five starts. It’s a lucky number for the Italian, who is also one of only five riders to take top honors this campaign. Finally, Pedro Acosta is starting to find his rhythm on the KTM Factory bike, registering his second podium in three starts last time out.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
Anything can happen in motor racing, but right now, the only thing happening is Marc Marquez standing on the top of the podium. We can’t bring ourselves to go against him at this stage, especially given his average of 2.4 across the last 10 rounds. His odds are short at -278, but it’s the smart bet, which potentially pays out $27.19 for a $20 stake.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Can anyone stop Marc Marquez in his homeland? He hasn’t beaten the field in Barcelona since 2019, but nobody seems to be able to topple him in 2025. Is he on track for an eighth consecutive victory this weekend, or will Marco Bezzecchi be rewarded for his consistent podium form of late?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Monster Energy Grand Prix of Catalonia. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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It’s the final days of Spring 2025 are upon us, and we have the perfect way to say goodbye to it. Our NXTbets expert pick round: Weekend of June 13th introduces us to a healthy balance of motorsport, softball, combat sport, and disc golf. The Canadian Grand Prix steals the show as the world’s premier …
Guevara poised to join Pramac as Yamaha maps 2027 lineup
Multiple reports say Pramac and Yamaha are preparing to promote Moto2 rider Izan Guevara to MotoGP for 2027. The move is described as provisional but close to being signed and is expected to be finalized before the summer break. Federico Zamagni reported Guevara’s Blu Cru contract contains a clause that could allow or compel a move to Pramac if he delivers “the right result” at the Catalan Grand Prix, a threshold Zamagni describes as securing the points needed to take the Moto2 championship lead. If activated, that scenario would likely displace Jack Miller at Pramac and leave Miller’s immediate future uncertain.
Reports give Guevara’s age as either 21, turning 22 next month, or 22. He extended his Yamaha contract through the end of 2027 and has built momentum on track: he won the 2025 Valencia Moto2 Grand Prix, and this season he has taken three podiums in the opening five rounds including a victory at Le Mans, leaving him second in the Moto2 riders’ standings. An impressive private test on a Yamaha M1, earlier Yamaha YZR-M1 testing and his involvement in Yamaha’s Moto2 project, backed by Pramac manager Gino Borsoi, are cited as factors behind the planned promotion.
Coverage of Yamaha’s intended 2027 reshuffle, reportedly overseen by managing director Paolo Pavesio, says Guevara would join Pramac alongside Toprak Razgatlioglu, with Jorge Martin and Ai Ogura in factory Yamaha seats. Some reports add that Alex Rins could leave and former factory rider Fabio Quartararo might move to Honda. That coverage also notes Jack Miller’s dip in competitiveness, no wins since 2022, currently last among full-time riders and outscored 5-0 by rookie teammate Toprak, though Miller posted one of his strongest Friday practice sessions at Catalonia and said, “I’m sick and f**king tired of being at the back.”
Quartararo Criticizes Yamaha V4 After Jerez
Fabio Quartararo stepped up his criticism of Yamaha’s V4 after the Spanish Grand Prix in Jerez, saying “I’m not stupid; I know how to ride a bike” and that he has lost his “love for riding.” He said he was no longer having “fun” as the Yamaha M1 struggled in cornering, and he described persistent problems with grip and power that left him uncomfortable braking, entering corners, cornering and accelerating. Quartararo qualified 17th, was eliminated in Q1 for the third time in four races, and finished 14th, nearly 30 seconds behind race winner Alex Márquez. He was the only Yamaha full-time rider to score points at Jerez; teammates Alex Rins finished 16th, Jack Miller 18th, and new signing Toprak Razgatlioglu 19th.
Quartararo warned that fixing one issue often seemed to expose another, and he and Razgatlioglu both singled out a “huge” engine-braking problem that undermines performance and confidence. Yamaha brought new items to Jerez but made little measurable progress according to reports, and team representative Massimo Meregalli said the factory used a slightly modified engine at the weekend while the overall design remained unchanged. Razgatlioglu said he did not enjoy riding the M1 at Jerez, crashed out of the Sprint and received a long-lap penalty after an incident, but he said he was “giving everything” and expected a bigger step when new bikes arrive in 2027.
Yamaha used Monday’s post-race test in Jerez to evaluate chassis, aerodynamic and electronic developments for the V4, and Quartararo said he “finds something” in the work. He emerged seventh fastest in the session, 0.495 seconds off the top time, and reported improved front-end feeling and a positive effect from a new aerodynamic element. Quartararo described the gains as incremental rather than a major breakthrough and said more development will be needed to return to podium contention. Yamaha sits fifth in the constructors’ championship on 14 points, 25 points behind Honda, and Quartararo’s outspoken comments increased pressure on the factory to deliver clearer solutions rather than incremental changes that do not address riders’ core complaints.
Bagnaia’s Job at Ducati Uncertain After GP25 Struggles
Francesco Bagnaia begins the season under heavy scrutiny after a difficult 2025, when he struggled to adapt to Ducati’s GP25 and dropped to fifth in the championship. He finished 257 points behind teammate Marc Márquez, who recorded 11 wins and eight pole positions. Bagnaia’s contract runs through the end of 2026, and pundit Carlo Pernat warned that a repeat of 2025‑level results next season would be “unthinkable.”
Inside the factory garage, team boss Davide Tardozzi said Márquez “helped and protected” Bagnaia during the toughest moments of 2025, describing protective interventions on at least two occasions. Ducati engineers pointed to recurring GP25 issues briefly solved at the Japanese Grand Prix but later resurfacing as part of the explanation for Bagnaia’s dip in form.
At Ducati’s 2026 bike launch in the Dolomites, Bagnaia pushed back against what he called excessive criticism, saying roughly “90%” of the negative commentary was unnecessary. He rejected suggestions that the factory favoured Márquez and emphasised that riders can choose equipment and that the bikes are largely similar.
Off-track, Ducati says it is not yet negotiating a contract extension with Bagnaia. At the launch, he said he felt “extremely relaxed” about his future; some observers interpreted that as openness to leaving after 2026.
Reports conflict over Márquez’s situation. Some outlets report he has agreed a new deal with Ducati, others say Honda remains interested, and some articles reference an in‑principle agreement for 2027–28. Transfer speculation also names Pedro Acosta among possible future Ducati candidates. Potential destinations mentioned, should Bagnaia depart, include VR46, Aprilia (whose CEO Massimo Rivola called Bagnaia a “tempting” candidate), Honda, and Yamaha.
How Bagnaia performs on the GP26 in 2026, the timing and outcome of any contract decisions, and continuing rider‑market activity, including developments around Márquez and Acosta, will shape his standing at Ducati beyond 2026.