Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-250
$28.00
Alex Marquez
+450
$110.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+800
$180.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+900
$200.00
Pedro Acosta
+1900
$400.00
Fabio Quartararo
+2200
$460.00
Franco Morbidelli
+3400
$700.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+3400
$700.00
Brad Binder
+4900
$1,000.00
Luca Marini
+5900
$1,200.00
Enea Bastianini
+5900
$1,200.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+5900
$1,200.00
Jorge Martin
+6400
$1,300.00
Maverick Viñales
+6400
$1,300.00
Ai Ogura
+6400
$1,300.00
Johann Zarco
+7900
$1,600.00
Joan Mir
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+9900
$2,000.00
Raul Fernandez
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+14900
$3,000.00
Alex Rins
+24900
$5,000.00
Takaaki Nakagami
+99900
$20,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+99900
$20,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+99900
$20,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+99900
$20,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+99900
$20,000.00
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
MotoGP, in coordination with the FIM (Federation Internationale de Motocyclisme), the promoter and Qatari authorities, has postponed the Qatar Grand Prix from its original April slot and rescheduled the Lusail round for Nov 8. MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta said the move was made with “great care,” with rider and public safety and wellbeing the priority. The Qatar Motor & Motorcycle Federation (QMMF) and Lusail International Circuit backed staging the race during the Nov 6–8 weekend, FIM president Jorge Viegas voiced support, and ticket holders will be able to transfer or roll over their tickets to the new date.
The rescheduling followed a recent escalation of regional hostilities, including reported Iranian drone strikes on Hamad International Airport and other buildings in Doha, which prompted several weeks of contingency planning and a review of the April dates. Organizers explored alternatives, including moving the race to early December or relocating the round, but concluded a December slot was impractical because F1 is scheduled to race at Lusail on Nov 27–29 and the tight turnaround, plus significant curb and gravel-trap work needed for F1, would not allow adequate time for circuit modifications.
As part of the late-season reshuffle, the Portuguese Grand Prix in Portimão was moved to Nov 22 and the season finale in Valencia to Nov 29; MotoGP said all other 2026 rounds remain unchanged. MotoGP and partners said the calendar adjustments aim to preserve the integrity and quality of the championship while responding to regional security concerns.
The 2024 MotoGP season is off to a scintillating start, with the Americas GP delivering a race for the ages. Maverick Viñales etched his name in the history books, becoming the first rider to win premier class races with three different manufacturers in the MotoGP era. The Aprilia rider’s stunning recovery from 11th to victory …
Cal Crutchlow returned to MotoGP at short notice as LCR Honda’s stand‑in for the injured Johann Zarco, arriving while managing a shoulder injury and a large track‑mileage deficit. The 40‑year‑old, who had not raced in the premier class since 2023 and had not ridden for LCR since 2020, said he started races “half‑throttle everywhere” to protect the shoulder and that he gets faster as the race progresses. He acknowledged ongoing issues with change of direction, a need for greater physical strength, and expected to improve session‑to‑session rather than push for immediate results.
Crutchlow made a surprise comeback at Mugello and rode a current‑spec MotoGP bike for the first time, drawing praise from peers and team members for combining competitive pace with racing through injury. Some reports said he retired on lap 11 with a suspected muscle tear near his left scapula; other accounts said Johann Zarco had been forced out of the Mugello race by a suspected muscle tear, with MRI scans later showing Zarco did not require surgery. Observers still described Crutchlow’s Mugello outing as encouraging and noted he was roughly 2.5 seconds off the best lap times while coping with the physical issue.
He then stepped in again at the Hungarian Grand Prix at Balaton Park on very short notice and used Friday practice — FP1 and FP2 — to attempt a time‑attack, cutting his FP time from 1:42.0 to 1:39.734. That late effort aggravated the shoulder he had sustained at Mugello and left him sore; he planned to visit a clinic for an ultrasound. Crutchlow said he felt more comfortable on the Balaton Park bike than at Mugello but stressed his lack of mileage — roughly 350 kilometres of his own versus about 7,500 kilometres for rivals — and said he was using tyre marks as braking references while learning the new circuit.
He said he enjoyed returning to MotoGP competition, reported steady improvement, and expressed hopes of building momentum toward a win at Brno.
Trackhouse Aprilia revealed its 2026 MotoGP livery today in Milan, unveiling a revised blue-and-black color scheme with yellow accents and American flags on both sides of the satellite Aprilia RS-GP26. Riders Raúl Fernández and Ai Ogura attended the 3 pm CET (2 pm UK) launch. The team also confirmed a special Gulf livery that will be used at several Grands Prix, including Thailand, Brazil, Italy, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Trackhouse, which took over from CryptoDATA/RNF at the end of 2023, is based in North Carolina and had already run Gulf colors in 2025 without an official title sponsor.
The team retained Fernández and Ogura for 2026. Fernández was the team’s breakthrough rider in 2025, delivering Trackhouse’s first premier-class victory at Phillip Island, a Sprint podium at Mandalika, and a near-miss second in Valencia, and he finished the year 10th in the championship. Ogura debuted with a fifth place at Buriram, saw a rookie campaign curtailed by injuries, and ended 2025 16th. The team finished seventh in the teams’ championship, ahead of factory Honda and Tech3 KTM.
Trackhouse confirmed the RS-GP26 is set to make its first on-track appearance at the Sepang test, Feb 3–5, and that it will continue to receive factory-spec RS-GP machinery. The launch followed Aprilia’s disclosure of targeted 2026 updates to chassis, aerodynamics, and electronics, plus power-unit improvements carried out within engine-freeze limits. Coverage highlighted clear RS-GP development through 2025 and positioned established rivals — including Marc Marquez and factory Aprilia riders Marco Bezzecchi and Jorge Martin as key comparators for Trackhouse’s prospects. The Sepang test will give the team its first real chance to assess those updates as it heads into the final 1000cc/Michelin season with continuity in riders and equipment and a visible new livery.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Japan Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Japanese MotoGP
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Related Posts
MotoGP reschedules Qatar to Nov 8; Portimão, Valencia moved
MotoGP, in coordination with the FIM (Federation Internationale de Motocyclisme), the promoter and Qatari authorities, has postponed the Qatar Grand Prix from its original April slot and rescheduled the Lusail round for Nov 8. MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta said the move was made with “great care,” with rider and public safety and wellbeing the priority. The Qatar Motor & Motorcycle Federation (QMMF) and Lusail International Circuit backed staging the race during the Nov 6–8 weekend, FIM president Jorge Viegas voiced support, and ticket holders will be able to transfer or roll over their tickets to the new date.
The rescheduling followed a recent escalation of regional hostilities, including reported Iranian drone strikes on Hamad International Airport and other buildings in Doha, which prompted several weeks of contingency planning and a review of the April dates. Organizers explored alternatives, including moving the race to early December or relocating the round, but concluded a December slot was impractical because F1 is scheduled to race at Lusail on Nov 27–29 and the tight turnaround, plus significant curb and gravel-trap work needed for F1, would not allow adequate time for circuit modifications.
As part of the late-season reshuffle, the Portuguese Grand Prix in Portimão was moved to Nov 22 and the season finale in Valencia to Nov 29; MotoGP said all other 2026 rounds remain unchanged. MotoGP and partners said the calendar adjustments aim to preserve the integrity and quality of the championship while responding to regional security concerns.
Best Bets: 2024 MotoGP Spanish Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The 2024 MotoGP season is off to a scintillating start, with the Americas GP delivering a race for the ages. Maverick Viñales etched his name in the history books, becoming the first rider to win premier class races with three different manufacturers in the MotoGP era. The Aprilia rider’s stunning recovery from 11th to victory …
Crutchlow plots momentum to Brno after encouraging comeback rides
Cal Crutchlow returned to MotoGP at short notice as LCR Honda’s stand‑in for the injured Johann Zarco, arriving while managing a shoulder injury and a large track‑mileage deficit. The 40‑year‑old, who had not raced in the premier class since 2023 and had not ridden for LCR since 2020, said he started races “half‑throttle everywhere” to protect the shoulder and that he gets faster as the race progresses. He acknowledged ongoing issues with change of direction, a need for greater physical strength, and expected to improve session‑to‑session rather than push for immediate results.
Crutchlow made a surprise comeback at Mugello and rode a current‑spec MotoGP bike for the first time, drawing praise from peers and team members for combining competitive pace with racing through injury. Some reports said he retired on lap 11 with a suspected muscle tear near his left scapula; other accounts said Johann Zarco had been forced out of the Mugello race by a suspected muscle tear, with MRI scans later showing Zarco did not require surgery. Observers still described Crutchlow’s Mugello outing as encouraging and noted he was roughly 2.5 seconds off the best lap times while coping with the physical issue.
He then stepped in again at the Hungarian Grand Prix at Balaton Park on very short notice and used Friday practice — FP1 and FP2 — to attempt a time‑attack, cutting his FP time from 1:42.0 to 1:39.734. That late effort aggravated the shoulder he had sustained at Mugello and left him sore; he planned to visit a clinic for an ultrasound. Crutchlow said he felt more comfortable on the Balaton Park bike than at Mugello but stressed his lack of mileage — roughly 350 kilometres of his own versus about 7,500 kilometres for rivals — and said he was using tyre marks as braking references while learning the new circuit.
He said he enjoyed returning to MotoGP competition, reported steady improvement, and expressed hopes of building momentum toward a win at Brno.
Trackhouse Keeps Raúl Fernández and Ai Ogura for 2026
Trackhouse Aprilia revealed its 2026 MotoGP livery today in Milan, unveiling a revised blue-and-black color scheme with yellow accents and American flags on both sides of the satellite Aprilia RS-GP26. Riders Raúl Fernández and Ai Ogura attended the 3 pm CET (2 pm UK) launch. The team also confirmed a special Gulf livery that will be used at several Grands Prix, including Thailand, Brazil, Italy, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Trackhouse, which took over from CryptoDATA/RNF at the end of 2023, is based in North Carolina and had already run Gulf colors in 2025 without an official title sponsor.
The team retained Fernández and Ogura for 2026. Fernández was the team’s breakthrough rider in 2025, delivering Trackhouse’s first premier-class victory at Phillip Island, a Sprint podium at Mandalika, and a near-miss second in Valencia, and he finished the year 10th in the championship. Ogura debuted with a fifth place at Buriram, saw a rookie campaign curtailed by injuries, and ended 2025 16th. The team finished seventh in the teams’ championship, ahead of factory Honda and Tech3 KTM.
Trackhouse confirmed the RS-GP26 is set to make its first on-track appearance at the Sepang test, Feb 3–5, and that it will continue to receive factory-spec RS-GP machinery. The launch followed Aprilia’s disclosure of targeted 2026 updates to chassis, aerodynamics, and electronics, plus power-unit improvements carried out within engine-freeze limits. Coverage highlighted clear RS-GP development through 2025 and positioned established rivals — including Marc Marquez and factory Aprilia riders Marco Bezzecchi and Jorge Martin as key comparators for Trackhouse’s prospects. The Sepang test will give the team its first real chance to assess those updates as it heads into the final 1000cc/Michelin season with continuity in riders and equipment and a visible new livery.