Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
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Schedule and How to Watch the Japanese MotoGP
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-250
$28.00
Alex Marquez
+450
$110.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+800
$180.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+900
$200.00
Pedro Acosta
+1900
$400.00
Fabio Quartararo
+2200
$460.00
Franco Morbidelli
+3400
$700.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+3400
$700.00
Brad Binder
+4900
$1,000.00
Luca Marini
+5900
$1,200.00
Enea Bastianini
+5900
$1,200.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+5900
$1,200.00
Jorge Martin
+6400
$1,300.00
Maverick Viñales
+6400
$1,300.00
Ai Ogura
+6400
$1,300.00
Johann Zarco
+7900
$1,600.00
Joan Mir
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+9900
$2,000.00
Raul Fernandez
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+14900
$3,000.00
Alex Rins
+24900
$5,000.00
Takaaki Nakagami
+99900
$20,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+99900
$20,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+99900
$20,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+99900
$20,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+99900
$20,000.00
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The final Friday of summer is here, but the prospects look bright on the sporting front over the next three days. SMX steals the spotlight with the World Championship Finals on Saturday, where Jett Lawrence is tipped for a third title. Oscar Piastri hits the streets of Baku to defend his title, while USAC and …
Marco Bezzecchi set the early benchmark in Friday’s opening Free Practice (FP1) at the Thai Grand Prix at the Chang International Circuit in Buriram, topping the MotoGP timesheets with a 1:29.346 on a medium rear tire and holding the fastest lap for the entire 45-minute session. His FP1 time was slower than the 1:28.668 he set on a soft tire during last weekend’s test.
Fabio Di Giannantonio was the quickest Ducati in second with a 1:29.456, while Jorge Martin recovered from a crash at the final corner to record third with a 1:29.551; Martin reportedly kept his engine running by grabbing the clutch to avoid a service-road restart penalty. The timesheet was tight, with less than a second covering the top 13 and all five manufacturers represented inside that group. Pedro Acosta was the top KTM in fifth, reigning champion Marc Marquez was sixth as he continued to recover from last weekend’s illness, and Francesco Bagnaia was seventh, just 0.019 seconds adrift of Marquez; Franco Morbidelli, Alex Marquez and Luca Marini completed the top 10.
FP1 action in the support classes set early benchmarks as well: in Moto2, David Alonso topped the session with a 1:35.148 on his Pirelli-shod CFMOTO Inde Aspar Kalex, edging Izan Guevara by 0.012 seconds, with Filip Salac third and Collin Veijer, Manuel Gonzalez and Dani Holgado fourth to sixth and Tony Arbolino tenth. In Moto3, Adrian Fernandez led FP1 with a 1:41.302 for Leopard Racing, ahead of Joel Kelso and David Almansa, establishing the early order ahead of later practice that will help decide direct Q2 access.
The Formula 1 circus heads Stateside this weekend for the United States Grand Prix at the famed Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. In the aftermath of a dominant display by McLaren’s Lando Norris in Singapore, who cruised to a 20-second victory over reigning champion Max Verstappen, the championship battle resumes on American soil. …
Chris Camozzi prepares to duel for the vacant cruiserweight title as bare-knuckle fighting descends on the “cradle of the Renaissance.” BKFC 73 Italy pre-event odds shine a spotlight on Camozzi, who is tipped to overcome the challenge of Andrea Bicchi. Debutant Jimmy Sweeney starts in the Co-Main Event as the favorite against Rico Franco. To …
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Japan Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Japanese MotoGP
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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Bezzecchi posts 1:29.346 FP1 best at Buriram
Marco Bezzecchi set the early benchmark in Friday’s opening Free Practice (FP1) at the Thai Grand Prix at the Chang International Circuit in Buriram, topping the MotoGP timesheets with a 1:29.346 on a medium rear tire and holding the fastest lap for the entire 45-minute session. His FP1 time was slower than the 1:28.668 he set on a soft tire during last weekend’s test.
Fabio Di Giannantonio was the quickest Ducati in second with a 1:29.456, while Jorge Martin recovered from a crash at the final corner to record third with a 1:29.551; Martin reportedly kept his engine running by grabbing the clutch to avoid a service-road restart penalty. The timesheet was tight, with less than a second covering the top 13 and all five manufacturers represented inside that group. Pedro Acosta was the top KTM in fifth, reigning champion Marc Marquez was sixth as he continued to recover from last weekend’s illness, and Francesco Bagnaia was seventh, just 0.019 seconds adrift of Marquez; Franco Morbidelli, Alex Marquez and Luca Marini completed the top 10.
FP1 action in the support classes set early benchmarks as well: in Moto2, David Alonso topped the session with a 1:35.148 on his Pirelli-shod CFMOTO Inde Aspar Kalex, edging Izan Guevara by 0.012 seconds, with Filip Salac third and Collin Veijer, Manuel Gonzalez and Dani Holgado fourth to sixth and Tony Arbolino tenth. In Moto3, Adrian Fernandez led FP1 with a 1:41.302 for Leopard Racing, ahead of Joel Kelso and David Almansa, establishing the early order ahead of later practice that will help decide direct Q2 access.
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