The season finale has arrived, and it brings with it the news that Jorge Martin is fit and healthy and ready to board his Aprilia again. Despite the former champ’s presence, Alex Marquez leads the grid in the 2025 MotoGP Valencia pre-event odds, carrying the best finishing average on the grid in the past five races. Marco Bezzecchi arrives in Spain after bagging his second win of the year in Portugal last weekend. Find out who is in the hunt to close out the year on a high note in our best bets preview below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Three days remain in the 2025 MotoGP season, and it all starts on Friday, November 14, at the Circuit Ricardo Tormo. Riders tackle the Valencian track for practice on opening day, before moving out for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. The curtain falls on the campaign on Sunday, November 16, at 8:00 am EST when the riders line up for the 27-lap Grand Prix. Soak up the final sessions of the year live from Valencia, on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Valencia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
We warned our community about the Marco Bezzecchi threat leading into Portugal, but we erred on the side of caution, given his inconsistent performances this year. The Italian is closing out his campaign strongly and should secure third place in the championship at the close of this round. Francesco Bagnaia is the only rider who can still catch him, but the Ducati racer will have to win both races this weekend.
Alex Marquez starts as the rightful favorite, given his reliability since his older brother took sick leave. He’s registered five podiums in his previous seven outings, entering Victory Lane twice. Sticking with local riders, Pedro Acosta has impressed in his last four races, racking up three podiums, including two runner-ups. Sticking with KTM Factory riders, Brad Binder delivered an exceptional ride last weekend, starting in 14th and moving through the field to finish fifth. He returns to a track where he’s stood on the podium on his last two trips.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Alex Marquez
+135
$47.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+185
$57.00
Pedro Acosta
+400
$100.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+650
$150.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+1400
$300.00
Fabio Quartararo
+3400
$700.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+3400
$700.00
Joan Mir
+4400
$900.00
Jorge Martin
+4400
$900.00
Johann Zarco
+5400
$1,100.00
Franco Morbidelli
+5400
$1,100.00
Brad Binder
+6400
$1,300.00
Luca Marini
+6400
$1,300.00
Raul Fernandez
+6400
$1,300.00
Maverick Viñales
+8400
$1,700.00
Enea Bastianini
+8400
$1,700.00
Pol Espargaro
+11900
$2,400.00
Jack Miller
+11900
$2,400.00
Alex Rins
+29900
$6,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+29900
$6,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+74900
$15,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+74900
$15,000.00
Expert Pick
We considered Marco Bezzecchi for the expert pick heading into Valencia, given his recent dangerous form. However, we’re sticking with Alex Marquez here as he has the advantage of racing on home soil this weekend. His odds are short at +135, but he’s averaged 3.2 in his past five starts. Wagering $20.00 on the Spaniards has the potential of paying out $47.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Jorge Martin returns to action in the season finale, and we’re glad is fit and healthy, but we don’t see the former Champion threatening the leaders this weekend. Can Marc Marquez collect a third Grand Prix triumph in 2025, or will Marco Bezzecchi continue his strong run at the back end of the campaign?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of the Valencian Community. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Gresini Ducati has confirmed a major 2027 rider reset, naming rookie Dani Holgado and Joan Mir for its MotoGP lineup ahead of the championship’s switch to 850cc engines and Pirelli tires. Holgado, a 21-year-old Spaniard, will step up from Aspar in Moto2 on a two-year deal and becomes the first rookie confirmed for the 2027 grid. Mir will leave Honda and bring nine seasons of premier-class experience to the all-Spanish pairing.
Holgado arrives after a rapid rise through the junior classes. He has won seven grand prix races across Moto3 and Moto2, finished second in Moto3 in 2024, was named 2025 Moto2 Rookie of the Year and sits sixth in the 2026 Moto2 standings in his second season. Gresini announced his signing on July 2.
The lineup change is part of a wider overhaul for Gresini ahead of the new technical era. Alex Marquez is expected to depart for KTM after 2026 and Fermin Aldeguer is linked with a move to VR46 Ducati. The all-Spanish Gresini pairing also comes as Dorna has said it wants more non-Spanish riders on the MotoGP grid.
Pedro Acosta left Buriram having narrowed a clear development gap but still chasing the outright pace of Aprilia and Ducati. The 2026 RC16 was “doing no strange things,” he said, feeling more natural with reduced vibration and improved front-end feel. Acosta completed trouble-free 24–25-lap race simulations showing strong tire preservation and finished the two-day test as the fastest KTM in sixth, roughly 0.3s off Marco Bezzecchi’s benchmark. KTM’s factory and Tech3 teams said they had finalized their 2026 package and felt prepared for the Thai season opener.
Aprilia and Ducati underlined their status as the yardsticks at Buriram. Bezzecchi topped the test with a record 1’28.668 lap and strong long-run form (a 20-lap average around 1’30.4). Four Aprilias featured high on the timesheets, and Trackhouse-backed Ai Ogura was second, just 0.097s adrift. Ducati also showed competitive pace, with Marc Márquez, Francesco Bagnaia, and Álex Márquez filling the next positions. The older Márquez brother continued to post leading Sunday qualifying-simulation times despite crashes and illness.
Acosta and KTM framed the progress as tangible but incomplete, and praised Aprilia and Ducati’s race simulations as “awesome.” They warned that rivals’ exceptional simulations make preparation and starting position decisive, and suggested KTM could realistically start the season as the third-best manufacturer. With pre-season testing wrapped at Buriram, teams now turn to the Thai GP next weekend, where the first pole, Tissot Sprint, and race win of the season will be decided.
Yamaha has been among the manufacturers most actively linked with Luca Marini for 2027, and AS reported Yamaha made a ‘great offer,’ though no move has been confirmed. Marini — contracted to Honda for this season after signing an extension in 2025 — told reporters he was unaware of any concrete offer, dismissed the transfer talk as ‘background noise’ and said, “I don’t know, but it’s true that I’m the best at developing.”
The Marini speculation sits inside a wider reshuffle of the 2027 MotoGP market that has gained momentum ahead of the Thailand round. Reports name a string of potential moves: Marc Márquez and Pedro Acosta to Ducati; Francesco Bagnaia to Aprilia alongside Marco Bezzecchi; Jorge Martín linked with Yamaha; and Fabio Quartararo widely expected to move to Honda. Yamaha itself suffered a difficult pre-season with its new V4 package. Reports that Honda is interested in signing Quartararo for 2027 have increased pressure on the seats currently occupied by Marini and Joan Mir, and some inside Honda are reported to expect Marini to leave. Honda’s options are constrained by LCR riders Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira being contracted through 2027 (Moreira on a three-year Honda deal).
Marini’s profile helps explain the interest. He moved from VR46 Ducati to Honda in 2024 and has been credited with playing a role in Honda’s competitive rebound. He praised meaningful progress after a new group of engineers arrived in 2025, citing engine improvements, fewer vibration issues and a more organized working approach, and said Buriram testing produced better results than Sepang. Marini warned Honda still needs work on one-lap speed and rear grip. He found the new soft rear tire difficult in practice, with a medium rear proving more competitive in simulations. He set realistic targets for the season: regular Top-7 starts, pushing into the Top-5 and contesting for podiums. His 2025 campaign included a P7 at Valencia that helped push Honda into C-rank concessions, a 13th-place finish in the 2025 standings overall, and a Suzuka training crash that sidelined him for three races.
Alex Marquez beat pole-sitter Pedro Acosta to win the Catalan MotoGP sprint at Barcelona. Marquez took the lead on lap four and used the extra power of his Gresini Ducati GP26 to open a gap of roughly six tenths of a second at one stage.
Acosta mounted a late charge and steadily reduced the deficit in the closing laps, finishing extremely close to Marquez. Secondary reports give conflicting final margins: some outlets list 0.041 seconds, with one describing that as the closest sprint finish on record, while others list 0.118 seconds. One account appears to contain a likely typo calling the gap “four-thousandths.”
Because the secondary figures disagree, verify the final margin against the official MotoGP timing sheet for the authoritative result.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Valencia Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The season finale has arrived, and it brings with it the news that Jorge Martin is fit and healthy and ready to board his Aprilia again. Despite the former champ’s presence, Alex Marquez leads the grid in the 2025 MotoGP Valencia pre-event odds, carrying the best finishing average on the grid in the past five races. Marco Bezzecchi arrives in Spain after bagging his second win of the year in Portugal last weekend. Find out who is in the hunt to close out the year on a high note in our best bets preview below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Schedule and How to Watch the Valencia MotoGP
Three days remain in the 2025 MotoGP season, and it all starts on Friday, November 14, at the Circuit Ricardo Tormo. Riders tackle the Valencian track for practice on opening day, before moving out for qualifying and the sprint on Saturday. The curtain falls on the campaign on Sunday, November 16, at 8:00 am EST when the riders line up for the 27-lap Grand Prix. Soak up the final sessions of the year live from Valencia, on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Valencia
Grand Prix Winner Odds
We warned our community about the Marco Bezzecchi threat leading into Portugal, but we erred on the side of caution, given his inconsistent performances this year. The Italian is closing out his campaign strongly and should secure third place in the championship at the close of this round. Francesco Bagnaia is the only rider who can still catch him, but the Ducati racer will have to win both races this weekend.
Alex Marquez starts as the rightful favorite, given his reliability since his older brother took sick leave. He’s registered five podiums in his previous seven outings, entering Victory Lane twice. Sticking with local riders, Pedro Acosta has impressed in his last four races, racking up three podiums, including two runner-ups. Sticking with KTM Factory riders, Brad Binder delivered an exceptional ride last weekend, starting in 14th and moving through the field to finish fifth. He returns to a track where he’s stood on the podium on his last two trips.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
We considered Marco Bezzecchi for the expert pick heading into Valencia, given his recent dangerous form. However, we’re sticking with Alex Marquez here as he has the advantage of racing on home soil this weekend. His odds are short at +135, but he’s averaged 3.2 in his past five starts. Wagering $20.00 on the Spaniards has the potential of paying out $47.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Jorge Martin returns to action in the season finale, and we’re glad is fit and healthy, but we don’t see the former Champion threatening the leaders this weekend. Can Marc Marquez collect a third Grand Prix triumph in 2025, or will Marco Bezzecchi continue his strong run at the back end of the campaign?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of the Valencian Community. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Related Posts
Gresini Ducati names Holgado, Mir for 2027 MotoGP reset
Gresini Ducati has confirmed a major 2027 rider reset, naming rookie Dani Holgado and Joan Mir for its MotoGP lineup ahead of the championship’s switch to 850cc engines and Pirelli tires. Holgado, a 21-year-old Spaniard, will step up from Aspar in Moto2 on a two-year deal and becomes the first rookie confirmed for the 2027 grid. Mir will leave Honda and bring nine seasons of premier-class experience to the all-Spanish pairing.
Holgado arrives after a rapid rise through the junior classes. He has won seven grand prix races across Moto3 and Moto2, finished second in Moto3 in 2024, was named 2025 Moto2 Rookie of the Year and sits sixth in the 2026 Moto2 standings in his second season. Gresini announced his signing on July 2.
The lineup change is part of a wider overhaul for Gresini ahead of the new technical era. Alex Marquez is expected to depart for KTM after 2026 and Fermin Aldeguer is linked with a move to VR46 Ducati. The all-Spanish Gresini pairing also comes as Dorna has said it wants more non-Spanish riders on the MotoGP grid.
Bezzecchi Sets Buriram Record as Aprilia, Ogura Lead Pace
Pedro Acosta left Buriram having narrowed a clear development gap but still chasing the outright pace of Aprilia and Ducati. The 2026 RC16 was “doing no strange things,” he said, feeling more natural with reduced vibration and improved front-end feel. Acosta completed trouble-free 24–25-lap race simulations showing strong tire preservation and finished the two-day test as the fastest KTM in sixth, roughly 0.3s off Marco Bezzecchi’s benchmark. KTM’s factory and Tech3 teams said they had finalized their 2026 package and felt prepared for the Thai season opener.
Aprilia and Ducati underlined their status as the yardsticks at Buriram. Bezzecchi topped the test with a record 1’28.668 lap and strong long-run form (a 20-lap average around 1’30.4). Four Aprilias featured high on the timesheets, and Trackhouse-backed Ai Ogura was second, just 0.097s adrift. Ducati also showed competitive pace, with Marc Márquez, Francesco Bagnaia, and Álex Márquez filling the next positions. The older Márquez brother continued to post leading Sunday qualifying-simulation times despite crashes and illness.
Acosta and KTM framed the progress as tangible but incomplete, and praised Aprilia and Ducati’s race simulations as “awesome.” They warned that rivals’ exceptional simulations make preparation and starting position decisive, and suggested KTM could realistically start the season as the third-best manufacturer. With pre-season testing wrapped at Buriram, teams now turn to the Thai GP next weekend, where the first pole, Tissot Sprint, and race win of the season will be decided.
Marini targets Top-5 results as Honda seat uncertainty grows
Yamaha has been among the manufacturers most actively linked with Luca Marini for 2027, and AS reported Yamaha made a ‘great offer,’ though no move has been confirmed. Marini — contracted to Honda for this season after signing an extension in 2025 — told reporters he was unaware of any concrete offer, dismissed the transfer talk as ‘background noise’ and said, “I don’t know, but it’s true that I’m the best at developing.”
The Marini speculation sits inside a wider reshuffle of the 2027 MotoGP market that has gained momentum ahead of the Thailand round. Reports name a string of potential moves: Marc Márquez and Pedro Acosta to Ducati; Francesco Bagnaia to Aprilia alongside Marco Bezzecchi; Jorge Martín linked with Yamaha; and Fabio Quartararo widely expected to move to Honda. Yamaha itself suffered a difficult pre-season with its new V4 package. Reports that Honda is interested in signing Quartararo for 2027 have increased pressure on the seats currently occupied by Marini and Joan Mir, and some inside Honda are reported to expect Marini to leave. Honda’s options are constrained by LCR riders Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira being contracted through 2027 (Moreira on a three-year Honda deal).
Marini’s profile helps explain the interest. He moved from VR46 Ducati to Honda in 2024 and has been credited with playing a role in Honda’s competitive rebound. He praised meaningful progress after a new group of engineers arrived in 2025, citing engine improvements, fewer vibration issues and a more organized working approach, and said Buriram testing produced better results than Sepang. Marini warned Honda still needs work on one-lap speed and rear grip. He found the new soft rear tire difficult in practice, with a medium rear proving more competitive in simulations. He set realistic targets for the season: regular Top-7 starts, pushing into the Top-5 and contesting for podiums. His 2025 campaign included a P7 at Valencia that helped push Honda into C-rank concessions, a 13th-place finish in the 2025 standings overall, and a Suzuka training crash that sidelined him for three races.
Marquez beats Acosta in Barcelona sprint, margin disputed
Alex Marquez beat pole-sitter Pedro Acosta to win the Catalan MotoGP sprint at Barcelona. Marquez took the lead on lap four and used the extra power of his Gresini Ducati GP26 to open a gap of roughly six tenths of a second at one stage.
Acosta mounted a late charge and steadily reduced the deficit in the closing laps, finishing extremely close to Marquez. Secondary reports give conflicting final margins: some outlets list 0.041 seconds, with one describing that as the closest sprint finish on record, while others list 0.118 seconds. One account appears to contain a likely typo calling the gap “four-thousandths.”
Because the secondary figures disagree, verify the final margin against the official MotoGP timing sheet for the authoritative result.