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Best Bets: 2025 SMX Playoff 2 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2025 SMX Playoff 2 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Missouri becomes the scene of the penultimate round of the 2025 SuperMotocross Championship on Saturday. Jett Lawrence lived up to bettors’ expectations last weekend, entering victory lane, and punters believe he’ll pull off the double in the Midwest. The Australian is the heavy favorite for success in the SMX Playoff 2 pre-event odds, ahead of Chase Sexton and the older Lawrence, Hunter. Discover the best bets and odds for top honors and the different matchups in round two in our preview below.

Bets for the SMX Playoff 2 can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

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Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
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Offer Score

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3
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Offer Score

9.9
4
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BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
WIN OR LOSE WHEN YOU BET$5
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Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
5
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On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
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Offer Score

9.7
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New Player Offer
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Offer Score

9.8

Schedule and How to Watch SMX Playoff 2

The second and penultimate leg of the 2025 SMX Championship takes shape in St. Louis on Saturday, September 13. Riders are desperate to stop another steamrolling by Jett Lawrence, but time is running out to prepare. Racers position themselves on the start hill at The Dome at America’s Center at 6:40 pm CDT for Moto #1, and return to the track for the final contest at 8:30 pm. Follow the two races and the earlier qualifying sessions on Peacock, and check the dedicated SMX event page to check any changes in the schedule.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SMX Playoff 2

Odds for the Event Winner

In his last 10 races across all formats, Jett Lawrence has prevailed 83.33% of the time. The Australian is tearing up the dirt on any track he touches, while simultaneously destroying the title ambitions of his peers. He’s hunting his third consecutive 450 class SMX Championship, and began his campaign in style with a victory in North Carolina a week ago.

Jett leads the combined SMX Championship standings by nine points ahead of Chase Sexton, the second favorite for the trip to St. Louis. Sexton took the second prize in Concord after enduring a spate of injuries in the Pro Motocross season. He only featured five times, but stood on the podium twice, once as a winner. However, he excelled on the SX scene earlier this year, entering Victory Lane five times in the last eight races.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-455
$24.40
Chase Sexton
+514
$122.80
Hunter Lawrence
+843
$188.60
Eli Tomac
+867
$193.40
R.j. Hampshire
+1752
$370.40
Ken Roczen
+2539
$527.80
Cooper Webb
+2693
$558.60
Justin Cooper
+2885
$597.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+13599
$2,739.80
Justin Barcia
+13599
$2,739.80
Malcolm Stewart
+13599
$2,739.80
Joey Savatgy
+13599
$2,739.80
Christian Craig
+13599
$2,739.80
Colt Nichols
+14186
$2,857.20
Dean Wilson
+14186
$2,857.20
Justin Hill
+14186
$2,857.20
Shane McElrath
+14186
$2,857.20
Benny Bloss
+15525
$3,125.00
Coty Schock
+15525
$3,125.00
Freddie Noren
+15525
$3,125.00
Grant Harlan
+15525
$3,125.00
Harri Kullas
+15525
$3,125.00
Jeremy Hand
+15525
$3,125.00
John Short Iv
+15525
$3,125.00
Kyle Chisholm
+15525
$3,125.00
Marshal Weltin
+15525
$3,125.00
Mitchell Harrison
+15525
$3,125.00
Mitchell Oldenburg
+15525
$3,125.00
Romain Pape
+15525
$3,125.00
Valentin Guillod
+15773
$3,174.60
Expert Pick

We’re taking the safe option for the second playoff because Jett Lawrence is currently in a class of his own. The double SMX World Champion lines up at -455, offering the potential of a $24.40 payout for a $20 stake.

H2H Odds

Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence present the juiciest matchup on paper. Tomac lines up after a podium last weekend, where he finished ahead of Hunter. But, the Aussie has crossed the line before Tomac in seven of the previous 12 races across all formats. Both riders have secured eight podiums in the same period.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-104
$39.23
Hunter Lawrence
-128
$35.63
Ken Roczen
-144
$33.89
R.J. Hampshire
+108
$41.60
Cooper Webb
-106
$38.87
Justin Cooper
-125
$36.00
Chase Sexton
+346
$89.20
Jett Lawrence
-548
$23.65
Dylan Ferrandis
-128
$35.63
Justin Barcia
-104
$39.23

2025 SMX Futures

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-1388
$21.44
Chase Sexton
+574
$134.80
Hunter Lawrence
+946
$209.20
Eli Tomac
+1285
$277.00
Cooper Webb
+5055
$1,031.00
Justin Cooper
+5335
$1,087.00
Rj Hampshire
+5714
$1,162.80
Ken Roczen
+7652
$1,550.40
Justin Barcia
+7652
$1,550.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+7652
$1,550.40
Malcolm Stewart
+7652
$1,550.40
Shane Mcelrath
+8750
$1,770.00
Joey Savatgy
+8750
$1,770.00
Valentin Guillod
+8750
$1,770.00
Benny Bloss
+8750
$1,770.00
Justin Hill
+8750
$1,770.00
Mitchell Harrison
+9515
$1,923.00
Coty Schock
+9515
$1,923.00
Colt Nichols
+9515
$1,923.00
Dean Wilson
+9515
$1,923.00
Mitchell Oldenburg
+9515
$1,923.00
Grant Harlan
+10317
$2,083.40
Kyle Chisholm
+10317
$2,083.40
Romain Pape
+10317
$2,083.40
Freddie Noren
+10317
$2,083.40
Marshal Weltin
+10317
$2,083.40
Harri Kullas
+10426
$2,105.20
Jeremy Hand
+10426
$2,105.20
Christian Craig
+10426
$2,105.20
John Short Iv
+10426
$2,105.20

DFS Finishing Positions

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Player
DFS Finishing Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Hunter Lawrence
4.5
Eli Tomac
5.5
Justin Cooper
6.5
Ken Roczen
7.5
Cooper Webb
7.5
R.J. Hampshire
8.5
Dylan Ferrandis
9.5
Justin Barcia
10.5
Malcolm Stewart
10.5

Where to Bet on SMX Championship

Bets for the SMX Championship Playoff 2 can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

1
Popular Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $200 IN BONUS BETS
+ OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET FROM YOUTUBE TV
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
3
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
4
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
WIN OR LOSE WHEN YOU BET$5
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
5
Fan Favorite
Use Code SUPERMOTO20X and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
6
Fan Favorite
Bet and Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bets
New Player Offer
4920 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
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