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Best Bets: 2025 SuperMotocross Playoff 1 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2025 SuperMotocross Playoff 1 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

After an arduous Supercross and Pro Motocross campaign, the business end of the season has arrived. Cooper Webb took the Supercross Championship, while Jett Lawrence obliterated the Pro Motocross contingent. Now we find out who is the best on a hybrid track. Lawrence lines up as the favorite in the 2025 SuperMotocross Playoff 1 pre-event odds, ahead of Chase Sexton. Discover the futures, head-to-head and event winner odds in our race preview below.

Bets for the SMX Playoff 1 can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX World Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Motocross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to enhance your Motocross viewing experience – take advantage of a special first-time Deposit Match Up to $1,000 when you sign up now!

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6369 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.9
2
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $150 IN BONUS BETS
WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES + 50 BONUS SPINS
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
3
The Social Betwork
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3349 other players have claimed this offer
21+ Terms & Conditions Apply
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Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
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FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.9
5
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4920 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.8
6
Popular Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
+ OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET FROM YOUTUBE TV
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
7
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On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7

Schedule and How to Watch SMX Playoff 1

Playoff season begins on Saturday, September 6 when riders report for duty at the zMax Dragway. Two races are on the roster for the trip to Concord, starting with the first 450 class race at 3:40 pm EDT. Riders return to the dirt a little under two hours later for Moto #2, which brings the curtain down on round 1 of the main event of the season. Find out if Jett Lawrence can start his title defense off on a winning note, live on Peacock. For qualifying times and ticketing information, visit the dedicated SMX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SuperMotocross Playoff 1

Odds for the Event Winner

Jett Lawrence rides into North Carolina as the short odds favorite, off the back of a dominant MX season. The Australian entered Victory Lane in every round except for two, averaging 1.55 across the campaign. He might’ve been at the head of the standings in the Supercross Championship, had he not torn his ACL at Glendale. He spent the rest of the SX series on the sidelines, paving the way for Cooper Webb to clinch the title. Webb makes his maiden appearance since copping a knee injury at the RedBud National during the MX season, a real shame after averaging 2.53 across the SX term.

Chase Sexton starts as the second favorite on Saturday, after entering Victory Lane eight times between SX and MX this year. He returns to the dirt for the first time since injuring his shoulder at the Ironman National. The older Lawrence brother is also one to keep an eye on after a stellar Pro Motocross season. Hunter accumulated eight podiums, winning once, a strong recovery for a rider who spent most of the Supercross campaign on the sidelines with his sibling.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-285
$27.02
Chase Sexton
+385
$97.00
Eli Tomac
+673
$154.60
Hunter Lawrence
+697
$159.40
Ken Roczen
+2588
$537.60
Cooper Webb
+2733
$566.60
R.j. Hampshire
+2876
$595.20
Justin Cooper
+3313
$682.60
Dylan Ferrandis
+10770
$2,174.00
Justin Barcia
+12246
$2,469.20
Malcolm Stewart
+12246
$2,469.20
Joey Savatgy
+12246
$2,469.20
Christian Craig
+13414
$2,702.80
Benny Bloss
+13414
$2,702.80
Colt Nichols
+13414
$2,702.80
Coty Schock
+13414
$2,702.80
Dean Wilson
+15052
$3,030.40
Freddie Noren
+15052
$3,030.40
Grant Harlan
+15052
$3,030.40
Harri Kullas
+15052
$3,030.40
Jeremy Hand
+15052
$3,030.40
John Short Iv
+15052
$3,030.40
Justin Hill
+15052
$3,030.40
Shane Mcelrath
+15052
$3,030.40
Valentin Guillod
+15052
$3,030.40
Mitchell Harrison
+15052
$3,030.40
Mitchell Oldenburg
+15052
$3,030.40
Kyle Chisholm
+15052
$3,030.40
Romain Pape
+15052
$3,030.40
Marshal Weltin
+15052
$3,030.40
Expert Pick

Jett Lawrence is the only rider to ever win the 450 class SuperMotocross World Championship. The Aussie is hunting his third consecutive triumph off the back of 10 victories between SX and MX. The younger Lawrence brother lines up on the start hill at -285, potentially paying out $27.02 for a $20 wager.

H2H Odds

It looks like the favorites are in a class of their own in the Playoff 1 matchups, but one rider catches the eye. Malcolm Stewart  has remained reliable this year, averaging 9.00 in the Pro Motocross season and 6.18 in the SX campaign. He stood on the rostrum three times this year, once on the top step, but he failed to replicate the success in the MX series. His opponent Dylan Ferrandis failed to enter the top three in the regular season, averaging 10.71 in Supercross.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+281
$76.20
Jett Lawrence
-420
$24.76
Eli Tomac
-107
$38.69
Hunter Lawrence
-124
$36.13
Cooper Webb
-113
$37.70
Ken Roczen
-118
$36.95
Justin Cooper
-104
$39.23
R.J. Hampshire
-128
$35.63
Dylan Ferrandis
-161
$32.42
Malcolm Stewart
+121
$44.20

2025 SMX Futures

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-561
$23.56
Chase Sexton
+419
$103.80
Hunter Lawrence
+505
$121.00
Eli Tomac
+755
$171.00
Justin Cooper
+1676
$355.20
Cooper Webb
+2394
$498.80
Rj Hampshire
+4530
$926.00
Ken Roczen
+5028
$1,025.60
Justin Barcia
+9801
$1,980.20
Malcolm Stewart
+9801
$1,980.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+9801
$1,980.20
Joey Savatgy
+11136
$2,247.20
Colt Nichols
+11136
$2,247.20
Valentin Guillod
+11136
$2,247.20
Coty Schock
+11136
$2,247.20
Mitchell Harrison
+12246
$2,469.20
Benny Bloss
+12246
$2,469.20
Christian Craig
+12246
$2,469.20
Dean Wilson
+12246
$2,469.20
Grant Harlan
+12246
$2,469.20
Romain Pape
+13414
$2,702.80
Harri Kullas
+13414
$2,702.80
Jeremy Hand
+13414
$2,702.80
John Short Iv
+13414
$2,702.80
Marshal Weltin
+13414
$2,702.80
Kyle Chisholm
+13414
$2,702.80
Mitchell Oldenburg
+13414
$2,702.80
Shane Mcelrath
+13414
$2,702.80
Justin Hill
+13414
$2,702.80
Freddie Noren
+13414
$2,702.80

DFS Finishing Positions

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Player
DFS Finishing Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Eli Tomac
4.5
Hunter Lawrence
4.5
Ken Roczen
6.5
Cooper Webb
6.5
R.J. Hampshire
7.5
Justin Cooper
6.5
Dylan Ferrandis
9.5

Where to Bet on SMX Championship

 

Bets for the SMX Championship Playoff 1 can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

1
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
2
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $150 IN BONUS BETS
WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES + 50 BONUS SPINS
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
3
The Social Betwork
Win Cash & SMX Merch
Make Picks, Climb The Leaderboard To Win!
3349 other players have claimed this offer
21+ Terms & Conditions Apply
logo

Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
5
Fan Favorite
Bet and Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bets
New Player Offer
4920 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
6
Popular Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
+ OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET FROM YOUTUBE TV
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
7
Fan Favorite
Use Code SUPERMOTO20X and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
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