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Best Bets: 2026 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Fox Raceway National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Summer is fast approaching, which means the dirt bikers are swapping stadiums for the outdoor tracks of Pro Motocross. First on the calendar is Fox Raceway National, where Jett Lawrence arrives as the pre-event odds favorite after winning this event on his three previous visits. The markets believe his older brother Hunter will be his nearest challenger, after closing out the SX Championship in second. You can find all the betting markets for the season opener in our best bets analysis below.

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Schedule and How to Watch MX Fox Raceway National

The gate drops on the 2026 Pro Motocross Championship this weekend in Pala, California. Jett Lawrence begins his title defense out west on Saturday, May 30 at the Fox Raceway National. Riders take off for qualifying in the mid-morning, before saddling up for Moto #1 at 2:15 pm PDT. Racers in the 450 class return to the starting hill at 4:30 pm, for the second and final encounter. You can follow the 250 and 450 class action from out west, live on Peacock.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live SMX Odds

Best Bets & Odds for 450 Class Motocross Fox Raceway National

Main Race Holeshot Odds

Get used to seeing the name Jett Lawrence in this preview, as the Australian tops most markets. Starting with the holeshot. Lawrence is quick off the mark and is no stranger to leading from the front. This is his first competitive race of the year after missing out on the SX season due to an ankle injury. Justin Cooper enters as the second favorite at +447, after beating the field to the first corner in this year’s Supercross series. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Hunter Lawrence is worth a look at +636, after registering seven holeshots during the stadium part of the SMX Championship.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
+200
$60.00
Jorge Prado
+250
$70.00
Justin Cooper
+500
$120.00
Haiden Deegan
+600
$140.00
Hunter Lawrence
+600
$140.00
Chase Sexton
+1000
$220.00
Cooper Webb
+1500
$320.00
Aaron Plessinger
+2500
$520.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+2500
$520.00
Justin Barcia
+2500
$520.00
Cornelius Tøndel
+10000
$2,020.00
Benny Bloss
+10000
$2,020.00
Valentin Guillod
+10000
$2,020.00
Mitchell Harrison
+10000
$2,020.00
Colt Nichols
+10000
$2,020.00
Jordon Smith
+10000
$2,020.00
Freddie Noren
+10000
$2,020.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+10000
$2,020.00
Christian Craig
+10000
$2,020.00
Gavin Tilford
+22279
$4,475.80
Grant Hoffman
+22279
$4,475.80
Grant Harlan
+22279
$4,475.80
Gavin Brough
+22279
$4,475.80
Lorenzo Locurcio
+22279
$4,475.80
Vinny Luhovey
+22279
$4,475.80
Cory Carsten
+22279
$4,475.80
Dante Oliveira
+22279
$4,475.80
Dayton Briggs
+22279
$4,475.80
Mitchell Oldenburg
+22279
$4,475.80
Noah Miesen
+22279
$4,475.80
Cody Wingardner
+22279
$4,475.80
Bryce Hammond
+22279
$4,475.80
Konnor Visger
+22279
$4,475.80
Mikkel Haarup
+22279
$4,475.80
Ethan Day
+22279
$4,475.80
Hamden Hudson
+22279
$4,475.80
Ryan Surratt
+22279
$4,475.80
Brian Medeiros
+22279
$4,475.80
R.J. Warda
+22279
$4,475.80
Brett Stralo
+22279
$4,475.80
Clayton Tucker
+22279
$4,475.80
Blake Hoag
+22279
$4,475.80
Anton Nordstrom
+22279
$4,475.80

Odds for Event Winner

The younger Lawrence brother, Jett, leads the event winner odds market ahead of his older sibling, Hunter. Jett Lawrence has owned this circuit in recent years, taking the checkered flag in the last three editions. He also came out on top in 81.8% of all Pro Motocross rounds in 2025. The younger Australian was tough to beat last season, but one rider who accomplished the feat was Hunter Lawrence. Older bro won the Ironman National and closed out his duties at this venue in third last time out.

Haiden Deegan steps up to the 450 class after dominating the 250 category. We saw him on a 450 bike in Argentina last year in a stadium environment, where he finished third behind Roczen. He’s a long shot at +1000, but this kid can ride. Carrying shorter odds than the youth is Chase Sexton, the 2022 Champion on this dirt. He enters with his tail up after winning the final Supercross race of the year in Salt Lake City. Sexton joined Hunter Lawrence in 2025 as one of the only two riders, besides Jett, to enter Victory Lane. Last up, Eli Tomac starts the Motocross season after claiming four victories in this year’s Supercross campaign.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-250
$28.00
Hunter Lawrence
+487
$117.40
Eli Tomac
+600
$140.00
Justin Cooper
+1000
$220.00
Haiden Deegan
+1000
$220.00
Chase Sexton
+1074
$234.80
Cooper Webb
+1500
$320.00
Jorge Prado
+2497
$519.40
Aaron Plessinger
+2497
$519.40
Justin Barcia
+5335
$1,087.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+6992
$1,418.40
Jordon Smith
+15052
$3,030.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+19900
$4,000.00
Christian Craig
+19900
$4,000.00
Benny Bloss
+25541
$5,128.20
Mitchell Harrison
+25541
$5,128.20
Valentin Guillod
+25541
$5,128.20
Cornelius Tøndel
+26927
$5,405.40
Colt Nichols
+26927
$5,405.40
Lorenzo Locurcio
+26927
$5,405.40
Vinny Luhovey
+26927
$5,405.40
Freddie Noren
+26927
$5,405.40
Noah Miesen
+27678
$5,555.60
Grant Hoffman
+27678
$5,555.60
Cody Wingardner
+27678
$5,555.60
Gavin Tilford
+27678
$5,555.60
Dante Oliveira
+27678
$5,555.60
Gavin Brough
+27678
$5,555.60
Hamden Hudson
+27678
$5,555.60
Dayton Briggs
+27678
$5,555.60
Grant Harlan
+28471
$5,714.20
Clayton Tucker
+28471
$5,714.20
Mikkel Haarup
+28471
$5,714.20
Bryce Hammond
+28471
$5,714.20
Ethan Day
+28471
$5,714.20
Brett Stralo
+28471
$5,714.20
Brian Medeiros
+28471
$5,714.20
R.J. Warda
+28471
$5,714.20
Konnor Visger
+28471
$5,714.20
Mitchell Oldenburg
+29312
$5,882.40
Cory Carsten
+29312
$5,882.40
Blake Hoag
+29312
$5,882.40
Ryan Surratt
+29312
$5,882.40
Expert Pick

Jett Lawrence is an easy expert pick for the Pro Motocross opener, after winning this event since 2023. The Australian has conquered this track, justifying his short odds of -250. A $20.00 wager on Lawrence stands to payout $28.00.

Odds for a Podium

The Lawrence siblings sit at the head of the odds sheet for a top-three return in the season opener. Jett’s odds are incredibly short after he posted a 90.9% podium return in the 2025 MX season. Hunter offers a little more value at -158, off the back of 12 rostrums in the SX series. He also produced eight podiums in the previous Pro Motocross edition, one of which was a third-place finish at this very venue. Hunter sets off in search of his third consecutive top three on this track.

Eli Tomac enters the race at +120 for a triumph. He featured on the podium in seven out of 11 rounds last season, and backed it up with nine podiums in the 2026 SX Championship. It’s a massive ask for Haiden Deegan to feature on the podium, but he knows this track well and won both races in the 250 class on his previous visit to Fox Raceway. Capping off our podium contenders is Chase Sexton, who found himself in the top three twice last year. He suffered an injury at this circuit, which kept him out for most of the season.

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Rider
Podium Finish
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-1200
$21.67
Hunter Lawrence
-158
$32.66
Eli Tomac
+120
$44.00
Chase Sexton
+155
$51.00
Justin Cooper
+200
$60.00
Haiden Deegan
+200
$60.00
Cooper Webb
+328
$85.60
Aaron Plessinger
+500
$120.00
Jorge Prado
+500
$120.00
Justin Barcia
+611
$142.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+943
$208.60
Jordon Smith
+1200
$260.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+2497
$519.40
Colt Nichols
+2497
$519.40
Mitchell Harrison
+2497
$519.40
Christian Craig
+2497
$519.40
Freddie Noren
+3998
$819.60
Benny Bloss
+7713
$1,562.60
Valentin Guillod
+7900
$1,600.00
Brett Stralo
+8164
$1,652.80
Vinny Luhovey
+8164
$1,652.80
Mikkel Haarup
+8233
$1,666.60
Cornelius Tøndel
+8233
$1,666.60
Hamden Hudson
+8233
$1,666.60
Lorenzo Locurcio
+8233
$1,666.60
Noah Miesen
+8233
$1,666.60
Gavin Tilford
+8233
$1,666.60
Grant Harlan
+8233
$1,666.60
Cory Carsten
+8233
$1,666.60
Clayton Tucker
+8233
$1,666.60
Dante Oliveira
+8233
$1,666.60
Gavin Brough
+8233
$1,666.60
Bryce Hammond
+8303
$1,680.60
Grant Hoffman
+8303
$1,680.60
Dayton Briggs
+8303
$1,680.60
Mitchell Oldenburg
+8303
$1,680.60
Ethan Day
+8303
$1,680.60
Brian Medeiros
+8303
$1,680.60
Cody Wingardner
+8303
$1,680.60
Blake Hoag
+8303
$1,680.60
R.J. Warda
+8303
$1,680.60
Konnor Visger
+8303
$1,680.60
Ryan Surratt
+8375
$1,695.00

Top 5 Odds

In 2025, Justin Cooper was a consistent finisher in this category, registering top fives in 81.8% of the rounds. He fell outside the top five only twice, at Spring Creek and Washougal, but was otherwise a consistent performer. Newcomer, Haiden Deegan, carries positive odds for a top five. The 450 class is a massive step up, but he’s proven he’s comfortable with a bigger engine in the last 12 months. He’s priced at -110 for a top five, which is within his reach.

Chase Sexton only started five rounds last season, but returned top fives in three of them. While Motocross is a different animal from Supercross, his form suggests he’s one to keep an eye on. Sexton finished inside the top five in five of his last seven appearances, including two podiums. He even averaged 4.2 in the final five rounds.

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Rider
Top 5 Odds
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-2000
$21.00
Hunter Lawrence
-306
$26.54
Eli Tomac
-200
$30.00
Chase Sexton
-146
$33.70
Justin Cooper
-125
$36.00
Haiden Deegan
-110
$38.18
Cooper Webb
+109
$41.80
Aaron Plessinger
+265
$73.00
Jorge Prado
+265
$73.00
Justin Barcia
+300
$80.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+314
$82.80
Mitchell Harrison
+800
$180.00
Colt Nichols
+800
$180.00
Jordon Smith
+800
$180.00
Christian Craig
+1500
$320.00
Freddie Noren
+1500
$320.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+1500
$320.00
Lorenzo Locurcio
+2675
$555.00
Grant Harlan
+5390
$1,098.00
Valentin Guillod
+6093
$1,238.60
Benny Bloss
+6093
$1,238.60
Cornelius Tøndel
+6093
$1,238.60
Hamden Hudson
+6093
$1,238.60
Gavin Tilford
+6093
$1,238.60
Grant Hoffman
+6093
$1,238.60
Gavin Brough
+6093
$1,238.60
Cody Wingardner
+6093
$1,238.60
Vinny Luhovey
+6093
$1,238.60
Dayton Briggs
+6093
$1,238.60
Konnor Visger
+6093
$1,238.60
Ryan Surratt
+6093
$1,238.60
Cory Carsten
+6093
$1,238.60
Dante Oliveira
+6093
$1,238.60
Mitchell Oldenburg
+6093
$1,238.60
Noah Miesen
+6093
$1,238.60
Bryce Hammond
+6093
$1,238.60
Ethan Day
+6093
$1,238.60
Blake Hoag
+6093
$1,238.60
Mikkel Haarup
+6093
$1,238.60
R.J. Warda
+6093
$1,238.60
Clayton Tucker
+6093
$1,238.60
Brett Stralo
+6093
$1,238.60
Brian Medeiros
+6093
$1,238.60

Moto #1 Winner

Much like the predictions for the event winner, the Lawrence duo tops the odds sheet to prevail in Moto #1. We can’t ignore that Jett is returning from injury, but he was in the same boat 12 months ago, and returned with a bang to win seven rounds in a row. He also departed Pala last year with two starts and two race wins. Hunter is more attractively set at +500, after topping qualifying three times in this year’s SX rounds. Chase Sexton starts the weekend after winning heat #1 in the Supercross Salt Lake City contest three weeks ago.

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Rider
Moto 1 Winner
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
+100
$40.00
Hunter Lawrence
+500
$120.00
Eli Tomac
+700
$160.00
Chase Sexton
+700
$160.00
Justin Cooper
+1000
$220.00
Haiden Deegan
+1000
$220.00
Aaron Plessinger
+1290
$278.00
Cooper Webb
+1500
$320.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+3000
$620.00
Jorge Prado
+3000
$620.00
Justin Barcia
+3000
$620.00
Mitchell Harrison
+5000
$1,020.00
Colt Nichols
+5000
$1,020.00
Jordon Smith
+5000
$1,020.00
Freddie Noren
+5000
$1,020.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+5000
$1,020.00
Christian Craig
+5000
$1,020.00
Valentin Guillod
+9989
$2,017.80
Benny Bloss
+17923
$3,604.60
Grant Harlan
+17923
$3,604.60
Cornelius Tøndel
+17923
$3,604.60
Lorenzo Locurcio
+19466
$3,913.20
Gavin Tilford
+19466
$3,913.20
Grant Hoffman
+19466
$3,913.20
Gavin Brough
+19466
$3,913.20
Hamden Hudson
+19466
$3,913.20
Cory Carsten
+19466
$3,913.20
Cody Wingardner
+19466
$3,913.20
Vinny Luhovey
+19466
$3,913.20
Dayton Briggs
+19466
$3,913.20
Konnor Visger
+19466
$3,913.20
Ryan Surratt
+19466
$3,913.20
Dante Oliveira
+19466
$3,913.20
Mitchell Oldenburg
+19466
$3,913.20
Noah Miesen
+19466
$3,913.20
Bryce Hammond
+19466
$3,913.20
Ethan Day
+19466
$3,913.20
Blake Hoag
+19466
$3,913.20
Mikkel Haarup
+19466
$3,913.20
R.J. Warda
+19466
$3,913.20
Clayton Tucker
+19466
$3,913.20
Brett Stralo
+19466
$3,913.20
Brian Medeiros
+19466
$3,913.20

H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Cooper Webb
-175
$31.43
Jorge Prado
+131
$46.20
Aaron Plessinger
-193
$30.36
Justin Barcia
+143
$48.60
Chase Sexton
-104
$39.23
Justin Cooper
-128
$35.63
Haiden Deegan
+607
$141.40
Jett Lawrence
-1301
$21.54
Eli Tomac
+113
$42.60
Hunter Lawrence
-150
$33.33

Winning Manufacturer

After four consecutive victories at Fox Raceway National, Honda enters the season opener as the manufacturer to beat. Chase Sexton captured the checkered flag in 2022, but since then, it’s been all Lawrence for the Japanese brand. Yamaha lines up as the second favorite, with much hype surrounding their wunderkind Haiden Deegan. Away from the noise, Kawasaki are well placed at +890, with Sexton leading their efforts. His odds are long for top honors, but he is still one of Jett Lawrence’s biggest challengers entering the weekend.

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Manufacturer
Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
-669
$22.99
Yamaha
+640
$148.00
Kawasaki
+890
$198.00
Beta
+13112
$2,642.40
Suzuki
+18985
$3,817.00
Gasgas
+18985
$3,817.00
Husqvarna
+20416
$4,103.20
KTM
+20416
$4,103.20
Triumph
+20416
$4,103.20
Ducati
+3626
$745.20

2026 Pro Motocross Championship Futures

Once again, the name Jett Lawrence tops the odds sheet, this time in the futures market. The Aussie is looking to go back-to-back in the Pro Motocross Championship. Another title here will take his tally to three in the 450 category. Lawrence bagged 10 podiums, including nine victories en route to his 2025 silverware. Starting the season as the third favorite is Chase Sexton, the 2024 Champion. He enters the opener in form, but he’ll have to produce his best every round to stop Lawrence from steamrolling the competition.

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Rider
Futures
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
-400
$25.00
Hunter Lawrence
+205
$61.00
Chase Sexton
+765
$173.00
Eli Tomac
+765
$173.00
Justin Cooper
+1558
$331.60
Dylan Ferrandis
+9074
$1,834.80
Aaron Plessinger
+20733
$4,166.60
Cooper Webb
+23156
$4,651.20
R.J. Hampshire
+26216
$5,263.20
Benny Bloss
+26216
$5,263.20
Justin Barcia
+26216
$5,263.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+26216
$5,263.20
Haiden Deegan
+27678
$5,555.60
Jo Shimoda
+27678
$5,555.60
Jorge Prado
+27678
$5,555.60
Colt Nichols
+27678
$5,555.60
Dean Wilson
+27678
$5,555.60
Freddie Noren
+28471
$5,714.20
Jason Anderson
+28471
$5,714.20
Joey Savatgy
+28471
$5,714.20
Jordon Smith
+28471
$5,714.20
Shane McElrath
+28471
$5,714.20
Mitchell Harrison
+29312
$5,882.40
Mitchell Oldenburg
+29312
$5,882.40
Vince Friese
+29312
$5,882.40
Austin Forkner
+29312
$5,882.40
Christian Craig
+29312
$5,882.40
Justin Hill
+29312
$5,882.40
Malcolm Stewart
+29312
$5,882.40

DFS Finishing Positions

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Player
Finishing Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Hunter Lawrence
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Eli Tomac
3.5
Justin Cooper
5.5
Justin Barcia
5.5
Dylan Ferrandis
5.5
Cooper Webb
5.5
Jorge Prado
5.5
Haiden Deegan
5.5
Aaron Plessinger
5.5

Where to Bet on MX Fox Raceway National

Bets for the Pro Motocross Championship at Pala can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
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