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Best Bets: 2026 AMA Pro Motocross Washougal National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 AMA Pro Motocross Washougal National Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2026 Pro Motocross Championship journeys west this weekend to take on Washougal National. This was one of two venues where Jett Lawrence failed to win last season, and this year his competition is even stiffer. His brother, Hunter Lawrence, is the in-form rider heading to Washington, searching for his fifth triumph of the campaign. Dive into the betting markets for round eight, as the Championship enters the business end of proceedings.

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In addition to traditional sports betting, the Motocross Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Motocross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.

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Schedule and How to Watch MX Washougal National

Round eight of the 2026 Pro Motocross series takes riders to the Washington-Oregon state line on Saturday, July 25. Riders line up at Washougal MX Park for a full day of activity, starting with qualifying in the morning, before returning to the dirt for racing in the afternoon. Moto #1 is scheduled for a 2:15 pm PDT start, and competitors will close out proceedings with Moto #2 from 4:30 pm to 5:05 pm. Follow the competition from out west live on Peacock and catch the latest schedule and results on the Washougal National event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live SMX Odds

Best Bets & Odds for 450 Class Motocross Washougal National

Moto #1 Holeshot Odds

What a year Hunter Lawrence is having across all formats of the SMX competition, but especially in the holeshot department. The Australian tops the Pro Motocross series with six holeshots across 14 races, two more than his brother, Jettson. Hunter’s return adds to his dominant performance in SX, where he registered seven across the campaign. He also lines up in Washougal off the back of three consecutive holeshots across Moto #1 and Moto #2.

The third favorite to reach the opening corner first is the quick-on-draw Spaniard, Jorge Prado. He’s collected two holeshots in the 2026 MX series, adding to the six he earned during the Supercross season. Mikkel Haarup and Cooper Webb wrap up the list of holeshot contenders, after collecting one apiece in the earlier stages of the term.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Jett Lawrence
+241
$68.20
Hunter Lawrence
+250
$70.00
Jorge Prado
+302
$80.40
Haiden Deegan
+500
$120.00
Justin Cooper
+656
$151.20
Eli Tomac
+880
$196.00
RJ Hampshire
+1463
$312.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+1742
$368.40
Mikkel Haarup
+4267
$873.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+4900
$1,000.00
Aaron Plessinger
+4900
$1,000.00
Cooper Webb
+7253
$1,470.60
Justin Barcia
+10538
$2,127.60
Jordon Smith
+11528
$2,325.60
Mitchell Harrison
+12721
$2,564.20
Benny Bloss
+12721
$2,564.20
Freddie Noren
+12721
$2,564.20
Mark Fineis
+12721
$2,564.20
Cody Wingardner
+13233
$2,666.60
Stephen Rubini
+13233
$2,666.60
Tyler Hansen
+13233
$2,666.60
Jeffrey Gorman
+13233
$2,666.60
Sage Powers
+13233
$2,666.60
Noah Miesen
+13233
$2,666.60
Ashton Bloxom
+13233
$2,666.60
Ryan Peters
+13233
$2,666.60
Conner Lords
+13233
$2,666.60
Zack Williams
+13599
$2,739.80
Bryton Carroll
+13599
$2,739.80
Mitchell Oldenburg
+13599
$2,739.80
Gary Sutherlin
+13789
$2,777.80
Justin Hill
+13789
$2,777.80
Ayden Shive
+13789
$2,777.80
Lorenzo Locurcio
+13789
$2,777.80
Clayton Tucker
+13789
$2,777.80
Whispern Smith
+13789
$2,777.80
Grant Harlan
+13789
$2,777.80
Collin Hinrichs
+13789
$2,777.80

Moto #1 Winner

Seven rounds into the campaign, the Aussie siblings remain the only riders to have entered Victory Lane in Moto #1. Hunter Lawrence leads the count with four wins, while Jett has captured the remaining 42.86% of the checkered flags. The series leader, Hunter, boasts the best record in recent opening races, beating the field to the line in three of the last five.

The rookie, Haiden Deegan, has really shown up in recent weeks, recording four top threes in his last five races. Two of those podium finishes were runner-ups, his two best results of the term. There was much talk about the return of Eli Tomac at Spring Creek, but the hype was doused as he finished ninth in the first showdown of the day. He needs some time in the saddle to regain his composure, but he can always threaten the leaders.

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Rider
Moto #1 Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+140
$48.00
Jett Lawrence
+165
$53.00
Haiden Deegan
+400
$100.00
Jorge Prado
+700
$160.00
Eli Tomac
+1500
$320.00
RJ Hampshire
+2001
$420.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+2108
$441.60
Justin Cooper
+2497
$519.40
Cooper Webb
+3949
$809.80
Justin Barcia
+7534
$1,526.80
Aaron Plessinger
+7534
$1,526.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+9334
$1,886.80
Mark Fineis
+9334
$1,886.80
Mikkel Haarup
+9334
$1,886.80
Mitchell Harrison
+9801
$1,980.20
Jordon Smith
+9900
$2,000.00
Benny Bloss
+9900
$2,000.00
Freddie Noren
+10317
$2,083.40
Lorenzo Locurcio
+10538
$2,127.60
Mason Wharton
+10653
$2,150.60
Clayton Tucker
+10653
$2,150.60
Tyler Hansen
+10770
$2,174.00
Conner Lords
+10889
$2,197.80
Ayden Shive
+10889
$2,197.80
Sage Powers
+11011
$2,222.20
Noah Miesen
+11136
$2,247.20
Stephen Rubini
+11264
$2,272.80
Cody Walker
+11264
$2,272.80
Cody Wingardner
+11264
$2,272.80
Zack Williams
+11394
$2,298.80
Jack Chambers
+11394
$2,298.80
Ryan Peters
+11394
$2,298.80
Grant Harlan
+11394
$2,298.80
Justin Hill
+11394
$2,298.80
Bryton Carroll
+11394
$2,298.80
Jeffrey Gorman
+11528
$2,325.60
Mitchell Oldenburg
+11528
$2,325.60
Gary Sutherlin
+11528
$2,325.60

Odds for Event Winner

Everywhere we look, we see Lawrences. Hunter Lawrence rises to the top of the event winner odds market after prevailing in four of the opening seven events. He’s only skipped Victory Lane once in the past four rounds and averages 1.57 across the series. Jett Lawrence is the logical second favorite, boasting three triumphs in seven rounds. His last visit to Washougal ended in a second-place finish, behind Eli Tomac. It was one of only two events in which he didn’t prevail in 2025.

Only two riders in the field have come close to dethroning the Lawrences. Haiden Deegan arrives in Washington after delivering his best round of the year. He finished second at Spring Creek for his fourth top three of the series. Jorge Prado fell out of the top five in round seven, but he’s finished second in two rounds this year. The last time was back at RedBud in early July.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+100
$40.00
Jett Lawrence
+125
$45.00
Haiden Deegan
+515
$123.00
Jorge Prado
+900
$200.00
Eli Tomac
+1000
$220.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+2310
$482.00
RJ Hampshire
+2451
$510.20
Justin Cooper
+2996
$619.20
Cooper Webb
+3998
$819.60
Justin Barcia
+5998
$1,219.60
Aaron Plessinger
+7500
$1,520.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+10001
$2,020.20
Mark Fineis
+16293
$3,278.60
Mikkel Haarup
+16293
$3,278.60
Mitchell Harrison
+17141
$3,448.20
Justin Hill
+17141
$3,448.20
Benny Bloss
+17141
$3,448.20
Jordon Smith
+17444
$3,508.80
Stephen Rubini
+17757
$3,571.40
Noah Miesen
+17757
$3,571.40
Daniel Bortolin
+18000
$3,620.00
Lorenzo Locurcio
+18082
$3,636.40
mason Wharton
+18082
$3,636.40
Cody Wingardner
+18082
$3,636.40
Zack Williams
+19131
$3,846.20
Sage Powers
+19131
$3,846.20
Ayden Shive
+19131
$3,846.20
Clayton Tucker
+19131
$3,846.20
Freddie Noren
+19508
$3,921.60
Ryan Peters
+19508
$3,921.60
Conner Lords
+19508
$3,921.60
Tyler Hansen
+19508
$3,921.60
Bryton Carroll
+19508
$3,921.60
Mitchell Oldenburg
+19508
$3,921.60
Jeffrey Gorman
+19900
$4,000.00
Gary Sutherlin
+20308
$4,081.60
Jack Chambers
+20733
$4,166.60
Cody Walker
+20733
$4,166.60
Grant Harlan
+20733
$4,166.60
Expert Pick

After excelling in both the Supercross and Motocross series this year, Hunter Lawrence has crept out of his brother’s shadow, and we’ve taken note. That leaves us with the easy decision to select him as our expert pick for Washougal National. The sportsbooks price Lawrence as the pre-event odds favorite at +100, offering a prospective payout of $40.00 for a $20.00 wager.

Odds for a Podium

Haiden Deegan leads our podium hopefuls, following an impressive run in the opening rounds. The Californian rookie has racked up four top threes at an average of 57.14%. Sixth place is his worst return, something that has only occurred twice this year. That highlights the reliability of the wunderkind in his debut term on a 450.

Jorge Prado is a less-likely podium finisher come Saturday afternoon at Washougal. However, the KTM rider has done it twice this season. On both occasions, Prado crossed the line in second behind Hunter. RJ Hampshire is yet to finish inside the top three, but has come close twice in the previous three weekends. The Floridian closed out his duties at RedBud Nation and Spring Creek in fourth place, but has otherwise found himself outside of the top five.

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-600
$23.33
Jett Lawrence
-600
$23.33
Haiden Deegan
-178
$31.24
Jorge Prado
+197
$59.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+211
$62.20
Eli Tomac
+251
$70.20
RJ Hampshire
+326
$85.20
Justin Cooper
+651
$150.20
Cooper Webb
+666
$153.20
Justin Barcia
+995
$219.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+2055
$431.00
Mikkel Haarup
+4778
$975.60
Zack Williams
+6352
$1,290.40
Jeffrey Gorman
+6352
$1,290.40
Sage Powers
+6352
$1,290.40
Ryan Peters
+6352
$1,290.40
Ayden Shive
+6352
$1,290.40
Mason Wharton
+6394
$1,298.80
Mitchell Oldenburg
+6394
$1,298.80
Mark Fineis
+6436
$1,307.20
Mitchell Harrison
+6436
$1,307.20
Justin Hill
+6436
$1,307.20
Jordon Smith
+6436
$1,307.20
Benny Bloss
+6436
$1,307.20
Freddie Noren
+6436
$1,307.20
Lorenzo Locurcio
+6436
$1,307.20
Gary Sutherlin
+6436
$1,307.20
Stephen Rubini
+6436
$1,307.20
Noah Miesen
+6436
$1,307.20
Jack Chambers
+6436
$1,307.20
Clayton Tucker
+6436
$1,307.20
Cody Walker
+6479
$1,315.80
Grant Harlan
+6567
$1,333.40
Bryton Carroll
+6567
$1,333.40
Conner Lords
+6611
$1,342.20
Tyler Hansen
+6611
$1,342.20
Cody Wingardner
+6611
$1,342.20
Aaron Plessinger
+1100
$240.00
Daniel Bortolin
+6352
$1,290.40

Top 5 Odds

We have mentioned the threat of Jorge Prado in most of our betting markets this week, but his real value is for a top five. Despite registering podiums in 71.4% of all events, he’s priced at +104 for a top five in the opening round. He’s averaged 4.2 in the previous five rounds, falling outside of the top five once in that period.

RJ Hampshire stands out as the best bang for buck, fresh off his second top five of the year. While he has struggled for consistency at times this year, he is threatening the top five, carrying a 6.43 season average. Garrett Marchbanks lines up in Washington with four top fives in the bag. The Utah native has registered a 60% top five return in the previous five rounds, at an average of 5.8 across those events.

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Rider
Top 5 Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-1000
$22.00
Jett Lawrence
-1000
$22.00
Haiden Deegan
-325
$26.15
Garrett Marchbanks
-101
$39.80
Jorge Prado
+104
$40.80
Eli Tomac
+129
$45.80
RJ Hampshire
+151
$50.20
Justin Cooper
+200
$60.00
Cooper Webb
+250
$70.00
Justin Barcia
+300
$80.00
Aaron Plessinger
+450
$110.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+500
$120.00
Mikkel Haarup
+962
$212.40
Jordon Smith
+1257
$271.40
Mark Fineis
+1837
$387.40
Mitchell Harrison
+2967
$613.40
Benny Bloss
+3578
$735.60
Justin Hill
+5656
$1,151.20
Lorenzo Locurcio
+5656
$1,151.20
Freddie Noren
+5656
$1,151.20
Grant Harlan
+5656
$1,151.20
Stephen Rubini
+5656
$1,151.20
Gary Sutherlin
+5656
$1,151.20
Zack Williams
+5656
$1,151.20
Noah Miesen
+5656
$1,151.20
Jeffrey Gorman
+5656
$1,151.20
Ryan Peters
+5656
$1,151.20
Jack Chambers
+5656
$1,151.20
Sage Powers
+5656
$1,151.20
Cody Walker
+5656
$1,151.20
Conner Lords
+5656
$1,151.20
Ayden Shive
+5656
$1,151.20
Tyler Hansen
+5656
$1,151.20
Daniel Bortolin
+5656
$1,151.20
Mason Wharton
+5656
$1,151.20
Bryton Carroll
+5656
$1,151.20
Cody Wingardner
+5656
$1,151.20
Clayton Tucker
+5656
$1,151.20
Mitchell Oldenburg
+5656
$1,151.20

H2H Odds

Jorge Prado and Haiden Deegan meet in the pick of our matchups at Washougal National. After seven rounds, Deegan has crossed the line ahead of Prado on four occasions, but the duo is jostling for third place in the Championship. Prado is the underdog after failing to podium in the previous two events, but he averages 4.2 in the past five spectacles, only 0.2 off Deegan’s average.

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Rider
Matchup Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-123
$36.26
Jett Lawrence
-108
$38.52
Dylan Ferrandis
+118
$43.60
Justin Barcia
-157
$32.74
Eli Tomac
+103
$40.60
Garrett Marchbanks
-136
$34.71
Cooper Webb
+129
$45.80
RJ Hampshire
-173
$31.56
Haiden Deegan
-280
$27.14
Jorge Prado
+200
$60.00

2026 Pro Motocross Championship Futures

Only two riders  can still capture the 2025 Pro Motocross Championship, and it’s the usual Australian suspects. With three wins under the bike in the last four race  weekends, Hunter Lawrence holds a 10 point lead in the standings over his Jett Lawrence. Only four rounds remain for the younger family member to uproot his brother, but the markets are quietly confident that this is Hunter’s year, after winning four rounds and ending second in two.

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-234
$28.55
Jett Lawrence
+143
$48.60

DFS Finishing Positions

Moto #1

Rider
Projected Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Haiden Deegan
3.5
Jorge Prado
3.5
Garrett Marchbanks
5.5
RJ Hampshire
5.5
Tony Cairoli
7.5
Cooper Webb
7.5
Dylan Ferrandis
9.5
Mikkel Haarup
9.5

Overall

Rider
Projected Position
Jett Lawrence
1.5
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Haiden Deegan
3.5
Jorge Prado
3.5
Garrett Marchbanks
5.5
RJ Hampshire
5.5
Tony Cairoli
7.5
Cooper Webb
7.5
Dylan Ferrandis
9.5
Mikkel Haarup
9.5

Where to Bet on MX Washougal National

Bets for the Pro Motocross Washougal National can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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