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Best Bets: 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Mercedes has dominated the headlines in 2026 after winning the opening six races, but as we head into round eight, Ferrari has also spent time in Victory Lane. Five-time victor this term, Kimi Antonelli tops the Austrian Grand Prix pre-event odds, despite failing to finish in Barcelona. The youngster is trailed by his partner George Russell and Lewis Hamilton, who line up at +426 for top honors. Discover the Polymarket betting markets and top picks for the trip to Spielberg in our preview below.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Austrian Grand Prix

Formula 1 takes the show to Austria this weekend for the eighth round of the 2026 Championship. Drivers will call the town of Spielberg home from Friday, June 26 to Sunday, June 28. There is no F1 sprint at the Red Bull Ring this weekend, which means Friday is reserved for practice, and qualifying takes center stage on Saturday at 4:00 pm CEST. The only points on offer are in the Grand Prix on Sunday, scheduled for a 3:00 pm start, which you can enjoy on Apple TV.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live Formula 1 Odds

F1 Austrian Grand Prix 2026 Odds

Event Winner Odds

We start our preview with an homage to Lewis Hamilton, who turned back the clock in round seven, obliterating the field to cross the line 19 seconds ahead of the runner-up. The seven-time Drivers’ Champion has his tail up, leading into Austria, averaging 1.66 in his last three races. Hamilton’s replacement at Mercedes, Kimi Antonelli, ended a five-race winning streak in Barcelona after a power unit issue forced him to retire with four laps remaining. Despite the hiccup, the wunderkind is still the winningest navigator on the grid, entering Victory Lane five times in the opening seven rounds.

Sticking with the theme of Mercedes, George Russell arrives in Spielberg as the third favorite, off the back of his third podium last time out. The Briton prevailed in the season-opener, but has since played second-fiddle to his junior colleague. Russell showed his class in Barcelona to finish second, but hasn’t looked as comfortable since Melbourne. Lando Norris joined Hamilton and Russell on the rostrum in Spain, one of his better performances of the year. He returns to the Red Bull Ring to defend his title, and is still hunting his maiden success of the campaign.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+178
$55.60
Lewis Hamilton
+426
$105.20
George Russell
+456
$111.20
Charles Leclerc
+641
$148.20
Max Verstappen
+1150
$250.00
Lando Norris
+1438
$307.60
Oscar Piastri
+2717
$563.40
Isack Hadjar
+14186
$2,857.20
Arvid Lindblad
+66567
$13,333.40
Liam Lawson
+66567
$13,333.40
Carlos Sainz
+66567
$13,333.40
Esteban Ocon
+66567
$13,333.40
Sergio Perez
+66567
$13,333.40
Valtteri Bottas
+66567
$13,333.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+99900
$20,000.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+99900
$20,000.00
Alex Albon
+99900
$20,000.00
Oliver Bearman
+99900
$20,000.00
Lance Stroll
+99900
$20,000.00
Franco Colapinto
+199900
$40,000.00
Pierre Gasly
+199900
$40,000.00
Fernando Alonso
+199900
$40,000.00

Expert Pick

After his recent form, we’re tempted to hand the expert pick to Lewis Hamilton, but we think this track is better suited to Mercedes. Therefore, we’re putting our faith in the Italian teenager, Kimi Antonelli. Sportsbooks have him at +178 to bag the checkered flag, possibly paying out $55.60 on a $20.00 bet.

Podium Odds

It is no surprise to see the Mercedes duo and Lewis Hamilton carrying negative odds in the podium market. The trio boasts a combined 12 rostrums this year, with Antonelli ruling the roost with six, followed by Hamilton on four. Oscar Piastri hits the asphalt with two top threes in the trunk this season, but his last one came in Miami. The Aussie has enjoyed his last two visits to this venue, grabbing consecutive podiums. He enters at +102 for a top three, but has work to do after finishing fifth in his previous two appearances.

Charles Leclerc has battled to get going in recent weeks, copping DNF’s in Monaco and Barcelona. The Monegasque started the term promisingly with two podiums in the opening three weekends. However, he hasn’t stood on the podium since Japan. Four-time World Champion Max Verstappen has found the going tough in 2026 with a car that has struggled to match Mercedes and Ferrari, but he keeps fighting. The Dutchman crossed the line in fourth in Catalonia and earned his maiden podium of the year in Montreal. His record reads far better at the Red Bull Ring, where he’s driven to victory in 40% of his last 10 starts.

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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
-170
$35.04
George Russell
-133
$36.39
Lewis Hamilton
-122
$36.39
Oscar Piastri
+102
$40.40
Charles Leclerc
+130
$46.00
Max Verstappen
+130
$46.00
Lando Norris
+147
$49.40
Isack Hadjar
+733
$166.60
Pierre Gasly
+1329
$285.80
Liam Lawson
+1567
$333.40
Arvid Lindblad
+1567
$333.40
Franco Colapinto
+1567
$333.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+1567
$333.40
Esteban Ocon
+1567
$333.40
Carlos Sainz
+1567
$333.40
Oliver Bearman
+1567
$333.40
Valtteri Bottas
+1581
$336.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+1686
$357.20
Lance Stroll
+2339
$487.80
Alex Albon
+2369
$493.80
Fernando Alonso
+3025
$625.00
Sergio Perez
+4662
$952.40

Fastest Lap

Andrea Kimi Antonelli continues to steal the show as we look ahead to the Fastest Lap market. The teenager has stopped the clock quickest in four of the seven Grands Prix in 2026. He was on a two-race streak until Barcelona, when Lewis Hamilton entered the fray to register his maiden DHL Fastest Lap Award of the season. The Ferrari navigator is joined by fellow World Champions Max Verstappen and Lando Norris, who also have one award apiece. Norris’ colleague, Oscar Piastri, finished runner-up at this venue in 2025, but he did set the fastest lap.

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Driver
Fastest Lap
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+190
$58.00
Lewis Hamilton
+239
$67.80
Charles Leclerc
+264
$72.80
Lando Norris
+264
$72.00
Max Verstappen
+264
$72.80
Lance Stroll
+264
$72.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+292
$78.40
Isack Hadjar
+297
$79.40
Alex Albon
+300
$80.00
Arvid Lindblad
+308
$81.60
Esteban Ocon
+308
$81.60
Carlos Sainz
+308
$81.60
Oliver Bearman
+308
$81.60
Pierre Gasly
+308
$81.60
Valtteri Bottas
+308
$81.60
Fernando Alonso
+317
$83.40
Liam Lawson
+317
$83.40
Sergio Perez
+317
$83.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+326
$85.20
Oscar Piastri
+335
$87.00
George Russell
+456
$111.20
Franco Colapinto
+1941
$408.20

Pole Position Odds

Seven rounds into the season, and Mercedes are yet to relinquish the first spot on the grid. They’ve snatched pole position in every Grand Prix this term, with Kimi Antonelli contributing four to the cause. George Russell has found his way to the front of the grid three times, and he’s done so in 66.7% of the past three rounds.

The third favorite, Lewis Hamilton, produced his best qualifying effort in Barcelona, finishing in second, but is yet to surge ahead of the Mercedes on Saturday. While a year is a long time in Formula 1 and this season is a far cry from 2025, it’s worth noting that Lando Norris started on pole last year, followed by Charles Leclerc.

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Driver
Pole Position
Payout on $20
George Russell
+308
$81.60
Kimi Antonelli
+335
$87.00
Lewis Hamilton
+344
$88.80
Charles Leclerc
+441
$108.20
Lando Norris
+1076
$235.20
Max Verstappen
+1150
$250.00
Isack Hadjar
+1686
$357.20
Esteban Ocon
+2122
$444.40
Fernando Alonso
+2122
$444.40
Carlos Sainz
+2122
$444.40
Franco Colapinto
+2122
$444.40
Oliver Bearman
+2122
$444.40
Oscar Piastri
+2226
$465.20
Alex Albon
+5961
$1,212.20
Arvid Lindblad
+6567
$1,333.40
Lance Stroll
+6567
$1,333.40
Liam Lawson
+6567
$1,333.40
Valtteri Bottas
+12400
$2,500.00
Pierre Gasly
+16567
$3,333.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+33233
$6,666.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+39900
$8,000.00
Sergio Perez
+39900
$8,000.00

Where to Bet on the Lenovo Austrian Grand Prix

It’s a contrast of generations as we lead into round eight of the 2026 Championship. The teenager, Kimi Antonelli, leads the Drivers’ Standings, but the veteran, Lewis Hamilton, is in the best form of his Ferrari career, following a tough campaign in 2025. Can Antonelli return to winning form, or will Hamilton kick on from where he left off in Spain a fortnight ago?

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 MSC Cruises Gran Premio de Barcelona-Catalunya. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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