The 2026 Formula 1 Championship moves east this weekend for the first race of a triple-header. Italian prodigy Kimi Antonelli enters the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix as the Polymarket pre-event odds favorite after claiming the last two races. His Mercedes W17 possesses the perfect balance of strong downforce and low drag, which will be tough to beat on the streets of Baku. The youngster tops the odds sheets in most betting markets this week, but numerous best bets are on offer, and we reveal all in our analysis.
In other news, Isack Hadjar returns to action following a fractured wrist, relegating Liam Lawson to Racing Bulls. We have all you need to know regarding the bes
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026 offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and real-money gaming in a Pick’Em style onUnderdog.
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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Round 15 of the 2026 F1 Championship takes us east to Azerbaijan this weekend, where the schedule is different from a typical race weekend. Drivers set off for the first two practice sessions on Thursday, September 24th, and qualifying will take place on Friday. Once the grid is decided, racers will line up for the Baku Grand Prix on Saturday, September 25th at 3:00 pm AZT, bringing the round to a close. Catch the first of the triple-header out east, live on Apple TV.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Live Formula 1 Odds
2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Odds
Race Winner Odds
The Drivers’ Championship leader, Kimi Antonelli touches down in the Azerbaijani capital as the favorite to win round 15. There are no surprises there, as the wunderkind has won eight of the 14 Grands Prix so far this year. In addition, he enters off the back of consecutive triumphs in Italy and Spain, and his vehicle carries the right mix of downforce and low drag to zip through the streets of Baku. Lando Norris lines up as the second favorite with two triumphs in the last four rounds, but his McLaren MCL40 may struggle with downforce around the 20-corner circuit.
George Russell is the only other driver on the grid to have entered Victory Lane on multiple occasions and has the right car for this track, but he hasn’t looked like a winner since capturing the Austrian Grand Prix. However, he finished runner-up here last time out, his best return in Baku. Defending Champion, Max Verstappen ended second in Spain, continuing a consistent run, and has claimed this Grand Prix twice in the previous four editions.
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Driver
Race Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+147
$49.40
Lando Norris
+413
$102.60
George Russell
+770
$174.00
Max Verstappen
+953
$210.60
Lewis Hamilton
+1076
$235.20
Charles Leclerc
+1427
$305.40
Oscar Piastri
+2799
$579.80
Isack Hadjar
+9424
$1,904.80
Fernando Alonso
+22122
$4,444.40
Alex Albon
+39900
$8,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+49900
$10,000.00
Liam Lawson
+49900
$10,000.00
Pierre Gasly
+49900
$10,000.00
Carlos Sainz
+66567
$13,333.40
Esteban Ocon
+66567
$13,333.40
Franco Colapinto
+66567
$13,333.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+66567
$13,333.40
Lance Stroll
+66567
$13,333.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+66567
$13,333.40
Oliver Bearman
+66567
$13,333.40
Sergio Perez
+66567
$13,333.40
Valtteri Bottas
+66567
$13,333.40
Expert Pick
Race favorite Kimi Antonelli earns our confidence as the expert pick for round 15, boasting a 1.60 finishing average in the last five rounds, which includes three victories. Polymarket has him at +147 in the pre-event odds, potentially paying out $49.40 on a $20.00 wager.
Podium Odds
Kimi Antonelli has only missed the podium twice in 2026, justifying his short odds, but there is plenty of value in the top three market. Max Verstappen starts at +133 for a rostrum, despite racking up six podiums this term. He has achieved five of those results in his last seven starts. In addition, the Red Bull star has joined the champagne celebrations in three of the previous four Azerbaijan Grands Prix.
George Russell has battled for consistency this campaign, but has still notched up seven top-three finishes. The Briton has secured a 62.5% success rate in this battle in the past eight rounds. Lando Norris enters this market with negative odds, after registering three of his five rostrums in the past four race weekends. However, this circuit does not appear to suit his driving, as he only has a best return of fourth, back in 2024. The Ferrari duo enter the fray with positive odds, but both Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc will find the layout challenging, given their higher baseline drag. That said, they have conjured up nine top threes between them in 2026.
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Driver
Podium Finish Odds
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
-277
$27.22
Lando Norris
-127
$35.75
Nico Hulkenberg
+100
$40.00
George Russell
+106
$41.20
Oliver Bearman
+121
$44.20
Max Verstappen
+133
$46.60
Arvid Lindblad
+150
$50.00
Valtteri Bottas
+195
$59.00
Alex Albon
+199
$59.80
Lewis Hamilton
+199
$59.80
Charles Leclerc
+317
$83.40
Oscar Piastri
+525
$125.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+703
$160.60
Isack Hadjar
+2400
$500.00
Pierre Gasly
+2640
$548.00
Franco Colapinto
+6797
$1,379.40
Liam Lawson
+7307
$1,481.40
Esteban Ocon
+7900
$1,600.00
Sergio Perez
+8991
$1,818.20
Lance Stroll
+9424
$1,904.80
Carlos Sainz
+14186
$2,857.20
Fernando Alonso
+33233
$6,666.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+33233
$6,666.60
Pole Position Odds
With six poles to his name this season, Kimi Antonelli tops the odds in this market. The Italian last started in the front slot back before the summer recess, but leads the competition with more fastest qualifiers than his peers this term. Lando Norris has thrived in qualifying since Hungary, racking up three in four rounds. However, the McLaren top dog has never started on pole position in Baku. Another Brit, George Russell, deserves a mention after producing four fastest qualifying sessions. He has started fifth here in three of the last four editions.
Charles Leclerc knows how to beat the clock in Azerbaijan, with four poles here since 2021. His best start this campaign is second, which he has managed on three occasions, and we do not feel that his Ferrari SF-26 is best suited to this track. Max Verstappen started at the front of the grid here on his last visit, but like Leclerc, has only managed a season’s best of second in qualifying. He does have the advantage of low drag in his favor to help him on the 1.37-mile straight, the longest on the F1 calendar.
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Driver
Pole Position Odds
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+239
$67.80
Franco Colapinto
+318
$83.60
Charles Leclerc
+326
$85.20
Lando Norris
+388
$97.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+700
$160.00
Oliver Bearman
+700
$160.00
Carlos Sainz
+710
$162.00
Arvid Lindblad
+733
$166.60
Liam Lawson
+733
$166.60
Pierre Gasly
+733
$166.60
George Russell
+900
$200.00
Max Verstappen
+1076
$235.20
Valtteri Bottas
+1166
$253.20
Lewis Hamilton
+1438
$307.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+1880
$396.00
Oscar Piastri
+2400
$500.00
Isack Hadjar
+6352
$1,290.40
Lance Stroll
+6352
$1,290.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+6352
$1,290.40
Esteban Ocon
+9424
$1,904.80
Fernando Alonso
+9424
$1,904.80
Sergio Perez
+9424
$1,904.80
Alex Albon
+16567
$3,333.40
Fastest Lap
George Russell joined the DHL Fastest Lap honors roll in Spain, with his first of the season, in a contest dominated by his junior teammate. The Mercedes senior has fond memories of flooring it in Azerbaijan, when he stopped the clock fastest in 2023. Kimi Antonelli has a 50% success rate in the opening 14 rounds and is the favorite at +277. The Polymarket odds list the midfield drivers ahead of him in the pre-event pricing, but that is because no money has been wagered on them in this market.
Charles Leclerc is a worthy candidate to beat the clock as he holds the lap record in Baku of 1:43.009, which he set in 2019. In addition, the Monegasque has claimed the award twice in the past four rounds. Lando Norris joins Leclerc with two fastest lap prizes in 2026, and he collected the award on this circuit in 2024. Max Verstappen is the incumbent holder of the award in Azerbaijan a feat he he has managed twice since 2021. The Dutchman has one success in this contest this year, which he achieved in the season opener in Melbourne.
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Driver
Fastest Lap Odds
Payout on $20
Alex Albon
+174
$54.80
Liam Lawson
+186
$57.20
Lance Stroll
+186
$57.20
Franco Colapinto
+190
$58.00
Esteban Ocon
+199
$59.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+203
$60.60
Valtteri Bottas
+208
$61.60
Sergio Perez
+217
$63.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+223
$64.60
Carlos Sainz
+223
$64.60
Oliver Bearman
+223
$64.60
Arvid Lindblad
+228
$65.60
Isack Hadjar
+239
$67.80
Fernando Alonso
+239
$67.80
Pierre Gasly
+251
$70.20
Yuki Tsunoda
+251
$70.20
Kimi Antonelli
+277
$75.40
Lando Norris
+388
$97.60
George Russell
+525
$125.00
Lewis Hamilton
+641
$148.20
Oscar Piastri
+641
$148.20
Charles Leclerc
+733
$166.60
Max Verstappen
+900
$200.00
Where to Bet on the Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026
Kimi Antonelli is the driver to beat as the series starts its tour of the East. The young Italian looks unstoppable at the moment, holding an 82-point lead in the title race leading into round 15. His car has all the features to help around the streets of Baku, but can he leverage that advantage to stand on the top step of the podium on Saturday afternoon?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
FanDuel
Get $250 in Bonus Bets when you wager $5 for 5 days
Who is the favorite to win the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
The Drivers' Championship leader, Kimi Antonelli, starts as the favorite to win in Baku. He starts round 15 at +147 to enter Victory Lane.
Who is favored to take Pole Position at Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli is the firm favorite at +239 to qualify on pole position in Azerbaijan. The Italian has qualified fastest in six out of 14 rounds this year.
Who are the top favorites for a podium finish at the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Kimi Antonelli, Lando Norris, and George Russell are the three favorites to finish on the podium in the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix.
Kimi Antonelli: -277 for a podium after claiming 12 in the first 14 rounds of 2026.
Lando Norris: Has earned three podiums in the last four events and starts at -127 for a rostrum in Baku.
George Russell: The Mercedes driver has claimed seven podiums this season and is priced at +106 to earn number eight in Azerbaijan.
Who is the favorite for the fastest lap at the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
The young Italian, Kimi Antonelli is the +277 pre-event odds favorite to claim his eighth DHL Fastest Lap award of 2026 in the Azerbaijan Grand Prix.
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Best Bets: 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The 2026 Formula 1 Championship moves east this weekend for the first race of a triple-header. Italian prodigy Kimi Antonelli enters the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix as the Polymarket pre-event odds favorite after claiming the last two races. His Mercedes W17 possesses the perfect balance of strong downforce and low drag, which will be tough to beat on the streets of Baku. The youngster tops the odds sheets in most betting markets this week, but numerous best bets are on offer, and we reveal all in our analysis.
In other news, Isack Hadjar returns to action following a fractured wrist, relegating Liam Lawson to Racing Bulls. We have all you need to know regarding the bes
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026 offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and real-money gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.
Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Round 15 of the 2026 F1 Championship takes us east to Azerbaijan this weekend, where the schedule is different from a typical race weekend. Drivers set off for the first two practice sessions on Thursday, September 24th, and qualifying will take place on Friday. Once the grid is decided, racers will line up for the Baku Grand Prix on Saturday, September 25th at 3:00 pm AZT, bringing the round to a close. Catch the first of the triple-header out east, live on Apple TV.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Live Formula 1 Odds
2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Odds
Race Winner Odds
The Drivers’ Championship leader, Kimi Antonelli touches down in the Azerbaijani capital as the favorite to win round 15. There are no surprises there, as the wunderkind has won eight of the 14 Grands Prix so far this year. In addition, he enters off the back of consecutive triumphs in Italy and Spain, and his vehicle carries the right mix of downforce and low drag to zip through the streets of Baku. Lando Norris lines up as the second favorite with two triumphs in the last four rounds, but his McLaren MCL40 may struggle with downforce around the 20-corner circuit.
George Russell is the only other driver on the grid to have entered Victory Lane on multiple occasions and has the right car for this track, but he hasn’t looked like a winner since capturing the Austrian Grand Prix. However, he finished runner-up here last time out, his best return in Baku. Defending Champion, Max Verstappen ended second in Spain, continuing a consistent run, and has claimed this Grand Prix twice in the previous four editions.
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Expert Pick
Race favorite Kimi Antonelli earns our confidence as the expert pick for round 15, boasting a 1.60 finishing average in the last five rounds, which includes three victories. Polymarket has him at +147 in the pre-event odds, potentially paying out $49.40 on a $20.00 wager.
Podium Odds
Kimi Antonelli has only missed the podium twice in 2026, justifying his short odds, but there is plenty of value in the top three market. Max Verstappen starts at +133 for a rostrum, despite racking up six podiums this term. He has achieved five of those results in his last seven starts. In addition, the Red Bull star has joined the champagne celebrations in three of the previous four Azerbaijan Grands Prix.
George Russell has battled for consistency this campaign, but has still notched up seven top-three finishes. The Briton has secured a 62.5% success rate in this battle in the past eight rounds. Lando Norris enters this market with negative odds, after registering three of his five rostrums in the past four race weekends. However, this circuit does not appear to suit his driving, as he only has a best return of fourth, back in 2024. The Ferrari duo enter the fray with positive odds, but both Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc will find the layout challenging, given their higher baseline drag. That said, they have conjured up nine top threes between them in 2026.
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Pole Position Odds
With six poles to his name this season, Kimi Antonelli tops the odds in this market. The Italian last started in the front slot back before the summer recess, but leads the competition with more fastest qualifiers than his peers this term. Lando Norris has thrived in qualifying since Hungary, racking up three in four rounds. However, the McLaren top dog has never started on pole position in Baku. Another Brit, George Russell, deserves a mention after producing four fastest qualifying sessions. He has started fifth here in three of the last four editions.
Charles Leclerc knows how to beat the clock in Azerbaijan, with four poles here since 2021. His best start this campaign is second, which he has managed on three occasions, and we do not feel that his Ferrari SF-26 is best suited to this track. Max Verstappen started at the front of the grid here on his last visit, but like Leclerc, has only managed a season’s best of second in qualifying. He does have the advantage of low drag in his favor to help him on the 1.37-mile straight, the longest on the F1 calendar.
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Fastest Lap
George Russell joined the DHL Fastest Lap honors roll in Spain, with his first of the season, in a contest dominated by his junior teammate. The Mercedes senior has fond memories of flooring it in Azerbaijan, when he stopped the clock fastest in 2023. Kimi Antonelli has a 50% success rate in the opening 14 rounds and is the favorite at +277. The Polymarket odds list the midfield drivers ahead of him in the pre-event pricing, but that is because no money has been wagered on them in this market.
Charles Leclerc is a worthy candidate to beat the clock as he holds the lap record in Baku of 1:43.009, which he set in 2019. In addition, the Monegasque has claimed the award twice in the past four rounds. Lando Norris joins Leclerc with two fastest lap prizes in 2026, and he collected the award on this circuit in 2024. Max Verstappen is the incumbent holder of the award in Azerbaijan a feat he he has managed twice since 2021. The Dutchman has one success in this contest this year, which he achieved in the season opener in Melbourne.
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Where to Bet on the Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026
Kimi Antonelli is the driver to beat as the series starts its tour of the East. The young Italian looks unstoppable at the moment, holding an 82-point lead in the title race leading into round 15. His car has all the features to help around the streets of Baku, but can he leverage that advantage to stand on the top step of the podium on Saturday afternoon?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Qatar Airways Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2026. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
FAQ: 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds
The Drivers' Championship leader, Kimi Antonelli, starts as the favorite to win in Baku. He starts round 15 at +147 to enter Victory Lane.
Mercedes' Kimi Antonelli is the firm favorite at +239 to qualify on pole position in Azerbaijan. The Italian has qualified fastest in six out of 14 rounds this year.
Kimi Antonelli, Lando Norris, and George Russell are the three favorites to finish on the podium in the F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix.
Kimi Antonelli: -277 for a podium after claiming 12 in the first 14 rounds of 2026.
Lando Norris: Has earned three podiums in the last four events and starts at -127 for a rostrum in Baku.
George Russell: The Mercedes driver has claimed seven podiums this season and is priced at +106 to earn number eight in Azerbaijan.
The young Italian, Kimi Antonelli is the +277 pre-event odds favorite to claim his eighth DHL Fastest Lap award of 2026 in the Azerbaijan Grand Prix.
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