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Best Bets: 2026 PBR World Finals Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 PBR World Finals Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The bulls are bucking hard in Texas, but riders must hold on if they want to challenge for the crown jewel of bull riding. Stage 1 of the finals is complete, with Luciano De Castro topping the standings, but the pre-event odds fro Championship weekend still favor Brady Fielder and John Crimber. Can the duo bounce back after a difficult opening phase of the finals and contain the Brazilian threat? You’ll have a much clearer picture after studying our preview for the Championship Weekend.

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Schedule and How to Watch PBR World Finals Championship Weekend

Stage one of the 2026 PBR World Finals is complete in Fort Worth, which means only the Championship Weekend remains before we crown the UTB king. Riders move on to Dickies Arena, where they’re set to enter the bucking chute from Thursday, May 14th, to Sunday, May 17. Riding is scheduled for 7:45 pm CDT on the first three days, followed by a 1:45 pm start on Sunday. Tune into Paramount Plus throughout the four-day event to see if John Crimber can hold off the field for the grand prize.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available when publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.

For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for PBR World Finals

Event Winner

Three-time victor in 2026, Brady Fielder enters Championship Weekend as the rider to beat. However, the opening stage of the finals proved challenging for the Australian. He only managed to complete one ride in round three, conjuring up a best of 89.55. While the going was tough for Fielder, he endured a better time at Cowtown Coliseum compared to the standings leader, John Crimber. The Texan failed to complete any rides across four rounds, reducing his lead in the series. Crimber has entered the winners’ circle twice in 2026, with his last one arriving in Sioux Falls a month ago.

Sage Kimzey starts the ultimate event on the calendar as the third favorite. His record in stage one of the finals surpassed Fielder and Crimber. Kimzey nailed two 90+ rounds out of his four rides last weekend and departed the Coliseum with 118 event points, more than any other rider. The three-time winner this campaign delivered the ride of the finals so far in round two a week ago. He held on to score 92.60 in the second round at Cowtown Coliseum. Finally, Luciano De Castro topped the first phase of the finals, posting an agg score of 355.40 in his four attempts.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Brady Fielder
+458
$111.60
John Crimber
+466
$113.20
Sage Steele Kimzey
+539
$127.80
Leandro Zampollo
+798
$179.60
Clay Guiton
+802
$180.40
Dalton Kasel
+819
$183.80
Luciano De Castro
+1026
$225.20
Paulo Eduardo Rossetto
+1083
$236.60
Hudson Bolton
+1311
$282.20
Alex Cerqueira
+1343
$288.60
Julio Cesar Marques
+1350
$290.00
Cassio Dias
+1392
$298.40
Kaique Pacheco
+1436
$307.20
Marco Rizzo
+1500
$320.00
Keyshawn Whitehorse
+1663
$352.60
Cort McFadden
+1887
$397.40
Kaiden Loud
+2137
$447.40
Bob Mitchell
+2252
$470.40
Claudio Montanha Jr.
+2280
$476.00
Eduardo Aparecido
+2460
$512.00
Alan de Souza
+2474
$514.80
Maverick Smith
+2613
$542.60
Thiago Salgado
+3414
$702.80
Daniel Keeping
+3446
$709.20
Daylon Swearingen
+3458
$711.60
Jess Lockwood
+4110
$842.00
Remaining Riders
+4450
$910.00

Expert Pick

Sage Steele Kimzey has ridden high in 2026, capturing three titles and elevating him to third in the standings. It’s all to ride for this weekend, but if the first stage of the finals is anything to go by, he’s the guy to beat. Kimzey scored over 90 in two rounds last weekend to leave Cowtown Coliseum with more event points than his peers. Sportsbooks have the Oklahoman at +539 for top honors, potentially paying out $127.80 on a $20.00 wager.

Top 3

For a rider with six top threes in 2026, John Crimber arrives at the Dickies Arena as a value pick in this market. He’s priced at +271 to finish on the podium. The Texan is followed by his perennial rival Brady Fielder at +268. The Australian has registered four top threes this term, but will have to up his game after a disappointing run at Cowtown Coliseum. Next up, Clay Guiton missed a large portion of the second half of the UTB season, but his record is exemplary. He’s registered top threes in 60% of his last five appearances.

One of the numerous Brazilian contenders on Championship Weekend is Leandro Zampollo. He’s pieced together a tidy campaign, registering five top-three returns. Three of those results ended in runner-upp returns, hihglighting his ever-present threat this year. “Mr. 90 Points,” Dalton Kasel features in his home state at +401 for a top five. This year has proven challenging for the 27-year-old, managing only three top threes across the entire campaign. His last achievement in this category arrived in late January in Sacramento. Last up is the rookie, Hudson Bolton at +587. He’s earned top three returns in his last four outings.

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Rider
Top 3
Payout on $20
John Crimber
+271
$74.20
Brady Fielder
+268
$73.60
Sage Steele Kimzey
+304
$80.80
Clay Guiton
+392
$98.40
Leandro Zampollo
+400
$100.00
Dalton Kasel
+401
$100.20
Luciano De Castro
+482
$116.40
Paulo Eduardo Rossetto
+508
$121.60
Hudson Bolton
+587
$137.40
Alex Cerqueira
+592
$138.40
Kaique Pacheco
+614
$142.80
Julio Cesar Marques
+626
$145.20
Cassio Dias
+630
$146.00
Marco Rizzo
+665
$153.00
Keyshawn Whitehorse
+688
$157.60
Cort McFadden
+756
$171.20
Claudio Montanha Jr.
+864
$192.80
Bob Mitchell
+876
$195.20
Kaiden Loud
+888
$197.60
Eduardo Aparecido
+927
$205.40
Alan de Souza
+949
$209.80
Maverick Smith
+1033
$226.60
Daylon Swearingen
+1183
$256.60
Daniel Keeping
+1197
$259.40
Thiago Salgado
+1215
$263.00
Jess Lockwood
+1419
$303.80
Dener Barbosa
+1479
$315.80
Gustavo Luiz da Silva
+1642
$348.40
Lucas Divino
+2016
$423.20
Felipe Furlan
+2132
$446.40
Andrew Alvidrez
+2507
$521.40
Field (J. Vieira to W. Rogers)
+2787
$577.40

Top 5

Value hunters will find what they need in the PBR World Finals top 5 odds market. Another Brazilian garners our attention, in the form of Paulo Eduardo Rossetto. He starts the weekend in fifth on the standings, after registering six top five finishes in 2026. Rosetto just fell outside of the top five in stage one of the finals, registering the sixth best aggregate score of the week. Sticking with the South American contingent, Julio Cesar Marques starts at +374, after earning three top fives this term.However, we must acknowledge that the Brazilian’s ultimate top five arrived in Milwaukee in round four.

We can’t shake the Brazilians in the top five betting market, with Alex Cerqueira next on the list. He’s collected three top fives in 2026, with his last one in Jacksonville. Luciano De Castro enters at +294, which are fair odds, considering his sensational form Finally, we have a United States citizen to discuss. Marco Rizzo, the New York Mavericks rider is a three-time top five finisher. It’s interesting to note that he produced two of those finishes in his first three appearances this year. 

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Rider
Top 5
Payout on $20
Brady Fielder
+161
$52.20
John Crimber
+167
$53.40
Sage Steele Kimzey
+187
$57.40
Clay Guiton
+234
$66.80
Dalton Kasel
+246
$69.20
Leandro Zampollo
+247
$69.40
Luciano De Castro
+294
$78.80
Paulo Eduardo Rossetto
+308
$81.60
Hudson Bolton
+339
$87.80
Alex Cerqueira
+343
$88.60
Kaique Pacheco
+362
$92.40
Julio Cesar Marques
+374
$94.80
Cassio Dias
+380
$96.00
Marco Rizzo
+391
$98.20
Keyshawn Whitehorse
+395
$99.00
Cort McFadden
+430
$106.00
Bob Mitchell
+486
$117.20
Claudio Montanha Jr.
+495
$119.00
Kaiden Loud
+511
$122.20
Eduardo Aparecido
+521
$124.20
Alan de Souza
+522
$124.40
Maverick Smith
+579
$135.80
Daylon Swearingen
+668
$153.60
Thiago Salgado
+685
$157.00
Daniel Keeping
+699
$159.80
Jess Lockwood
+806
$181.20
Dener Barbosa
+814
$182.80
Gustavo Luiz da Silva
+903
$200.60
Lucas Divino
+1117
$243.40
Felipe Furlan
+1171
$254.20
Andrew Alvidrez
+1382
$296.40
Field (J. Vieira to W. Rogers)
+1483
$316.60

H2H

The pick of our Championship Weekend matchups pits event favorite Brady Fielder against the series leader John Crimber. Fielder has outclassed the Texan in 11 rounds this season, but the sportsbooks have him favorably priced at -116 for the battle. The Australian has entered the winners circle three times in 2026, one more than his rival Crimber. It’s also improtant to note that Crimber failed to get going in the opening phase of the finals, while Fielder returned home in 17th.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Brady Fielder
-116
$37.24
John Crimber
-114
$37.54
Sage Steele Kimzey
-167
$31.98
Leandro Zampollo
+125
$45.00
Clay Guiton
-117
$37.09
Dalton Kasel
-113
$37.70
Luciano De Castro
-121
$36.53
Paulo Eduardo Rossetto
-110
$38.18

Winner Midfield

Crimber, Fielder and Kimzey have dominated the headlines this season, capturing eight victories between them. That’s why we’re removing them from the equation and opening betting lines for a midfield winner. This market is opening to any rider that isn’t one of the three mentioned above. Five time top three performer this season, Leandro Zampollo leads the odds, after a consistent campaign. However, his lack of victories, give more weight to the in-form Luciano De Castro at +747.

Beyond the Brazilian favorites, Dalton Kasel can never be written off. The two-time victor this term starts the midfield battle at +596, but the last time he troubed the leaders was back in January. On that occassion he finished third in Sacramento. Our final candidate to top this contest is the rookie Hudson Bolton. He enters the weekend with a 100% top three return in his past four events, making him worth a look at +975. 

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Rider
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Leandro Zampollo
+580
$136.00
Clay Guiton
+588
$137.60
Dalton Kasel
+596
$139.20
Luciano De Castro
+747
$169.40
Paulo Eduardo Rossetto
+807
$181.40
Hudson Bolton
+975
$215.00
Alex Cerqueira
+977
$215.40
Julio Cesar Marques
+1014
$222.80
Cassio Dias
+1039
$227.80
Kaique Pacheco
+1053
$230.60
Marco Rizzo
+1102
$240.40
Keyshawn Whitehorse
+1178
$255.60
Cort McFadden
+1357
$291.40
Kaiden Loud
+1576
$335.20
Claudio Montanha Jr.
+1592
$338.40
Bob Mitchell
+1619
$343.80
Eduardo Aparecido
+1776
$375.20
Alan de Souza
+1779
$375.80
Maverick Smith
+1976
$415.20
Daylon Swearingen
+2396
$499.20
Daniel Keeping
+2444
$508.80
Thiago Salgado
+2474
$514.80
Jess Lockwood
+2930
$606.00
Dener Barbosa
+3458
$711.60
Gustavo Luiz da Silva
+3484
$716.80
Remaining Riders
+4150
$850.00

Where to Bet on PBR UTB World Finals

John Crimber leads the Unleash the Beast standings as we head into the Championship Weekend. Can the young Texan hold off the challenge of a world class field to preval? Or will we see another Brazilian deliver when it matters most to claim the biggest prize in bull riding?

Armed with these insights, prepare to place your bets on the UTB PBR World Finals. Secure the latest futures odds and special promotions at our affiliate sportsbooks to place your bets. Dive into our exclusive PBR Ultimate Guide for comprehensive analyses and betting tactics. Whether you’re backing the seasoned champions or rooting for the rookies, each ride promises a pulse-pounding experience.

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