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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Denver Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Denver Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Two rounds remain in the 2026 Supercross Championship, and it’s advantage Ken Roczen leading into Denver. He’s on a six-podium streak and tops the pre-event odds, ahead of his nearest rival, Hunter Lawrence. Despite falling behind Roczen in recent weeks, he’s still only four points back in the standings. Find the best bets for every betting market for this Saturday in our preview below.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Denver

The second last SX weekend of 2026 is upon us, which means the Championship moves to Denver. Riders take to the dirt at the Empower Field at Mile High on Saturday, May 2, with all eyes on Roczen and Lawrence for the title battle. Racers assemble for qualifying from 10:00 am MT and return for the main event at 5:00 pm. Catch round 16 racing live on Peacock TV, and catch the latest schedule, news, and results on the dedicated SX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live SMX Odds

Best Bets for SX Denver 2026

Odds for Main Race Holeshot

For most of the season, Jorge Prado has owned the holeshot contest, but there’s a new sheriff in town. Hunter Lawrence surpassed the Spaniard in the last round to collect his sixth holeshot of the campaign (including Triple Crown races). The Aussie has exited the first corner in front in 40% of his last 10 starts. Even better than his performance are his odds. He is favorably sitting at +475, offering serious value, given his current run. Ken Roczen enters as the second favorite in this market, but he only has two holeshots in the bag. Cooper Webb completes the list of holeshot hopefuls, carrying two with him into Denver.

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Athlete
Holeshot
Payout on $20
Jorge Prado
+243
$68.60
Ken Roczen
+460
$112.00
Hunter Lawrence
+475
$115.00
Cooper Webb
+687
$157.40
Chase Sexton
+835
$187.00
Justin Cooper
+984
$216.80
Shane Mcelrath
+1376
$295.20
Malcolm Stewart
+1497
$319.40
Joey Savatgy
+1682
$356.40
Justin Hill
+1845
$389.00
Vince Friese
+2022
$424.40
Justin Barcia
+2296
$479.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+3770
$774.00
Christian Craig
+5973
$1,214.60
Dean Wilson
+6134
$1,246.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+9170
$1,854.00
Jordon Smith
+9964
$2,012.80
Austin Forkner
+11264
$2,272.80
Colt Nichols
+12260
$2,472.00
Jeremy Hand
+21179
$4,255.80
Cade Clason
+21179
$4,255.80
Grant Harlan
+21179
$4,255.80
Kyle Chisholm
+21179
$4,255.80
Mitchell Harrison
+21179
$4,255.80
Cory Carsten
+21179
$4,255.80
Josh Cartwright
+21179
$4,255.80
Rider Fisher
+21179
$4,255.80
Tristan Lane
+21179
$4,255.80
Kevin Moranz
+21179
$4,255.80
Zack Williams
+21179
$4,255.80
Bobby Piazza
+21179
$4,255.80
Freddie Noren
+21179
$4,255.80
Cheyenne Harmon
+21179
$4,255.80
Josh Greco
+21179
$4,255.80
Logan Karnow
+21179
$4,255.80
Addison Emory Iv
+21179
$4,255.80
David Pulley
+21179
$4,255.80
Todd Bannister
+21179
$4,255.80
Tyler Gibbs
+21179
$4,255.80
John Short
+21179
$4,255.80
Preston Taylor
+21179
$4,255.80

Odds for Event Winner

What a roll Ken Roczen is on at the moment. He lines up in Colorado with an 80% win record in his last five appearances, which has propelled him to the head of the standings. The German-American is a consistent campaigner, evidenced by his 73.3% podium return across all rounds, including five wins. Roczen’s nearest challenge is set to come from Hunter Lawrence. The Australian has struggled to compete with the in-form leader, but has still clinched four checkered flags this season. Chase Sexton and Cooper Webb complete the winners in this weekend’s round, after grabbing one apiece earlier in the year.

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Athlete
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
+150
$50.00
Hunter Lawrence
+184
$56.80
Cooper Webb
+504
$120.80
Justin Cooper
+700
$160.00
Chase Sexton
+726
$165.20
Jorge Prado
+1301
$280.20
Malcolm Stewart
+1900
$400.00
Joey Savatgy
+2833
$586.60
Shane McElrath
+3998
$819.60
Justin Barcia
+4639
$947.80
Justin Hill
+9424
$1,904.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+11264
$2,272.80
Christian Craig
+22627
$4,545.40
Dean Wilson
+23710
$4,762.00
Austin Forkner
+23710
$4,762.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+23710
$4,762.00
Colt Nichols
+23710
$4,762.00
Addison Emory IV
+23710
$4,762.00
Mitchell Harrison
+24290
$4,878.00
Cade Clason
+24900
$5,000.00
Kevin Moranz
+24900
$5,000.00
Jordon Smith
+24900
$5,000.00
Kyle Chisholm
+24900
$5,000.00
Jeremy Hand
+24900
$5,000.00
Josh Cartwright
+24900
$5,000.00
Tristan Lane
+24900
$5,000.00
Cory Carsten
+24900
$5,000.00
Josh Greco
+24900
$5,000.00
Bobby Piazza
+24900
$5,000.00
Preston Taylor
+24900
$5,000.00
Tyler Gibbs
+24900
$5,000.00
John Short
+24900
$5,000.00
Vince Friese
+25541
$5,128.20
Grant Harlan
+25541
$5,128.20
Freddie Noren
+25541
$5,128.20
Zack Williams
+25541
$5,128.20
Rider Fisher
+25541
$5,128.20
Cheyenne Harmon
+25541
$5,128.20
David Pulley
+25541
$5,128.20
Todd Bannister
+25541
$5,128.20
Expert Pick

We’re sticking with a winning formula for the trip to Denver. Ken Roczen has served us well in recent weeks and continues to deliver. He starts round 16 with a 1.4 finishing average in the previous five rounds, and is the winningest rider in the Championship. Sportbooks have the table topper at +150 to enter Victory Lane, potentially paying out $50.00 on a $20.00 bet.

Odds for a Podium

After six consecutive top threes, Ken Roczen is heavily favored to rinse and repeat the process in Colorado. Cooper Webb’s odds in this market have shortened this week, after offering excellent bang for buck in previous rounds. That said, he’s still worth a look at -118, after coming off three consecutive runner-up finishes. Looking at the positive odds, Justin Cooper has posted two rostrums in his last four appearances, but he disappointed in the previous round, dropping back to 13th. Cooper is joined at +143 by Chase Sexton, who has two top threes in the trunk this term, but his last one came in Detroit.

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Athlete
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
-400
$25.00
Hunter Lawrence
-350
$25.71
Cooper Webb
-118
$36.95
Chase Sexton
+143
$48.60
Justin Cooper
+143
$48.60
Malcolm Stewart
+400
$100.00
Jorge Prado
+400
$100.00
Joey Savatgy
+500
$120.00
Shane Mcelrath
+700
$160.00
Justin Barcia
+907
$201.40
Justin Hill
+1200
$260.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+2312
$482.40
Dean Wilson
+5319
$1,083.80
Christian Craig
+7094
$1,438.80
Colt Nichols
+8138
$1,647.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+8138
$1,647.60
Austin Forkner
+8138
$1,647.60
Jordon Smith
+8138
$1,647.60
Vince Friese
+8138
$1,647.60
Kyle Chisholm
+8138
$1,647.60
Cade Clason
+8138
$1,647.60
Grant Harlan
+8138
$1,647.60
Mitchell Harrison
+8138
$1,647.60
Jeremy Hand
+8138
$1,647.60
Kevin Moranz
+8138
$1,647.60
Tristan Lane
+8138
$1,647.60
Zack Williams
+8138
$1,647.60
Josh Cartwright
+8138
$1,647.60
Freddie Noren
+8138
$1,647.60
Cory Carsten
+8138
$1,647.60
Rider Fisher
+8138
$1,647.60
Josh Greco
+8138
$1,647.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+8138
$1,647.60
Bobby Piazza
+8138
$1,647.60
Preston Taylor
+8138
$1,647.60
David Pulley
+8138
$1,647.60
Tyler Gibbs
+8138
$1,647.60
Todd Bannister
+8138
$1,647.60
John Short
+8138
$1,647.60
Addison Emory IV
+8138
$1,647.60

Top 5 Odds

Justin Hill found himself on our radar after Nashville when he collected his maiden top five of the campaign. Well, he did it again in Philadelphia and now has 66.7% top five record in the last three rounds. Consistency has proven challenging for him at times this year, but he’s showing what he’s capable of. Sticking with the theme of two top fives, Joey Savatgy arrives in Denver fresh off consecutive top-five returns. Although his odds are shorter than the first two contenders, Justin Cooper deserves attention. He’s notched up a 5.7 finishing average in the ultimate 10 rounds, including seven top 10 outings.

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Athlete
Top 5 Finish
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
-800
$22.50
Hunter Lawrence
-700
$22.86
Cooper Webb
-306
$26.54
Justin Cooper
-200
$30.00
Chase Sexton
-165
$32.12
Malcolm Stewart
+140
$48.00
Jorge Prado
+140
$48.00
Joey Savatgy
+200
$60.00
Justin Barcia
+400
$100.00
Justin Hill
+400
$100.00
Shane Mcelrath
+400
$100.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+679
$155.80
Dean Wilson
+990
$218.00
Christian Craig
+1569
$333.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+3085
$637.00
Colt Nichols
+3845
$789.00
Jordon Smith
+5305
$1,081.00
Austin Forkner
+5358
$1,091.60
Vince Friese
+5358
$1,091.60
Kyle Chisholm
+5358
$1,091.60
Jeremy Hand
+5358
$1,091.60
Grant Harlan
+5358
$1,091.60
Kevin Moranz
+5358
$1,091.60
Mitchell Harrison
+5358
$1,091.60
Cade Clason
+5358
$1,091.60
Tristan Lane
+5358
$1,091.60
Freddie Noren
+5358
$1,091.60
Zack Williams
+5358
$1,091.60
Rider Fisher
+5358
$1,091.60
Josh Cartwright
+5358
$1,091.60
Cory Carsten
+5358
$1,091.60
Josh Greco
+5358
$1,091.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+5358
$1,091.60
Bobby Piazza
+5358
$1,091.60
Preston Taylor
+5358
$1,091.60
David Pulley
+5358
$1,091.60
Tyler Gibbs
+5358
$1,091.60
Todd Bannister
+5358
$1,091.60
John Short
+5358
$1,091.60
Addison Emory Iv
+5358
$1,091.60

H2H Odds

Our pick of the matchups turns to the midfield, where Joey Savatgy meets Malcolm Stewart as the underdog. It’s surprising to see Savatgy with positive odds, considering that he’s outclassed Stewart in four of the last five rounds. For context, Savatgy averages 8.2 during that period, while Stewart sits on 9.2. A $20.00 wager on Savatgy to win might payout $41.00.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
-203
$29.85
Jorge Prado
+150
$50.00
Hunter Lawrence
-102
$39.61
Ken Roczen
-130
$35.38
Cooper Webb
-167
$31.98
Justin Cooper
+125
$45.00
Joey Savatgy
+105
$41.00
Malcolm Stewart
-140
$34.29
Justin Barcia
-115
$37.39
Shane McElrath
-115
$37.39

Winning Manufacturer

At +120, Honda starts round 16 as the team to beat, but Suzuki and Kawasaki look far more enticing. Honda has produced the victorious bike four times this season, but Suzuki has won four out of the last five races. On the opposite end of the form spectrum, Kawasaki has battled, registering a single victory. However, they have reason to be bullish, as Chase Sexton has prevailed at this venue twice in the last three years. KTM has fallen down the odds ladder to +2480, despite winning four times in 2026, but their “Golden Boy,” Eli Tomac, is nursing an injury, reducing the outfit’s competitive edge.

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Manufacturer
Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
+120
$44.00
Suzuki
+150
$50.00
Yamaha
+235
$67.00
Kawasaki
+659
$151.80
Husqvarna
+1900
$400.00
KTM
+2480
$516.00
Ducati
+3000
$620.00
Triumph
+25000
$5,020.00
GasGas
+25000
$5,020.00

Winning W.O Lawrence or Roczen

Since Nashville, Cooper Webb has collected top honors in the midfield race. He’s now consistently registered second-place in his last three appearances, making him the favorite in the midfield battle. Webb averages 3.4 in his past five races, better than any other rider in this market. Justin Cooper is next in line in the eyes of the punters after grabbing two rostrums in his past four races. One point to note is that Webb has crossed the line ahead of Cooper in 70% of their last 10 encounters. Finally, while his form this season isn’t at the level we’re used to seeing from him, Chase Sexton is in with a shot. He’s collected top honors in this stadium twice in three visits, and is out to defend his crown this weekend.

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Athlete
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Cooper Webb
+202
$60.40
Justin Cooper
+299
$79.80
Chase Sexton
+312
$82.40
Jorge Prado
+599
$139.80
Malcolm Stewart
+898
$199.60
Joey Savatgy
+1363
$292.60
Shane McElrath
+1945
$409.00
Justin Barcia
+2265
$473.00
Justin Hill
+4652
$950.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+5570
$1,134.00
Christian Craig
+11241
$2,268.20
Dean Wilson
+11781
$2,376.20
Austin Forkner
+11781
$2,376.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+11781
$2,376.20
Colt Nichols
+11781
$2,376.20
Addison Emory Iv
+11781
$2,376.20
Mitchell Harrison
+12071
$2,434.20
Cade Clason
+12375
$2,495.00
Kevin Moranz
+12375
$2,495.00
Jordon Smith
+12375
$2,495.00
Kyle Chisholm
+12375
$2,495.00
Jeremy Hand
+12375
$2,495.00
Josh Cartwright
+12375
$2,495.00
Tristan Lane
+12375
$2,495.00
Cory Carsten
+12375
$2,495.00
Josh Greco
+12375
$2,495.00
Bobby Piazza
+12375
$2,495.00
Preston Taylor
+12375
$2,495.00
Tyler Gibbs
+12375
$2,495.00
John Short
+12375
$2,495.00
Vince Friese
+12695
$2,559.00
Grant Harlan
+12695
$2,559.00
Freddie Noren
+12695
$2,559.00
Zack Williams
+12695
$2,559.00
Rider Fisher
+12695
$2,559.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+12695
$2,559.00
David Pulley
+12695
$2,559.00
Todd Bannister
+12695
$2,559.00

2026 SX Futures Odds

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Athlete
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
-423
$24.73
Hunter Lawrence
+247
$69.40
Cooper Webb
+35614
$7,142.80

SX Denver DFS

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Athlete
Finishing Position
Position Line
Hunter Lawrence
Position
2.5
Ken Roczen
Position
2.5
Cooper Webb
Position
3.5
Chase Sexton
Position
3.5
Justin Cooper
Position
3.5
Jorge Prado
Position
5.5
Joey Savatgy
Position
5.5
Malcolm Stewart
Position
5.5
Justin Barcia
Position
9.5
Justin Hill
Position
9.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Denver event of 2026 can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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