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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Nashville Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Nashville Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Five rounds remain in the 2026 Supercross season, and only five points separate the top three riders. Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence sit atop the standings on 245 points, and Ken Roczen is closing the gap off the back of consecutive visits to Victory Lane. It’s the foreigners, Lawrence and Roczen, who lead the pre-event odds for Nashville, with Tomac dropping down the list to +700. Beyond the favorites, we’re diving into the best bets and picks for all markets, ahead of round 13.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Nashville

SX racing returns to Nashville for the first time since 2024, when Jett Lawrence claimed top honors. The Australian isn’t on the start sheet this week, but his older brother will fly the family’s flag on Saturday, April 11. Teams will set up in the paddock of the Nissan Stadium for a full day of action, starting with mid-morning qualifying. The main event will close out proceedings in “Music City” and is scheduled for launch at 4:29 pm CDT. Join in the festivities from your couch, courtesy of Peacock TV, and check the latest schedule, news, and results on the dedicated SX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SX Nashville 2026

Odds for the Fastest Qualifier

The man of the hour, Ken Roczen, earned his maiden fastest qualification of the season last week in St. Louis. In the last three rounds, he’s qualified third, second, and first, respectively, proving that the momentum is on his side. While Roczen might have shone in recent attempts, Eli Tomac leads the competition in this department, stopping the clock fastest on five occasions. He last earned the honor in Birmingham. Chase Sexton is favored to qualify fastest this weekend, but he only managed to pull it off at Anaheim 1 and 2. However, Sexton did qualify second fastest last weekend. Wrapping up the contenders is Hunter Lawrence, who has topped qualifying twice in the past five rounds.

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Rider
Fastest Qualifier Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+200
$60.00
Ken Roczen
+300
$80.00
Hunter Lawrence
+300
$80.00
Eli Tomac
+700
$160.00
Justin Cooper
+800
$180.00
Jorge Prado
+1000
$220.00
Cooper Webb
+1000
$220.00
Malcolm Stewart
+2124
$444.80
Joey Savatgy
+5000
$1,020.00
Jordon Smith
+13227
$2,665.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+13227
$2,665.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+13227
$2,665.40
Shane Mcelrath
+13227
$2,665.40
Christian Craig
+14568
$2,933.60
Colt Nichols
+14568
$2,933.60
Cole Thompson
+14568
$2,933.60
Vince Friese
+14568
$2,933.60
Grant Harlan
+15908
$3,201.60
Cade Clason
+15908
$3,201.60
Mitchell Harrison
+15908
$3,201.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+15908
$3,201.60
Justin Starling
+15908
$3,201.60
Tristan Lane
+15908
$3,201.60
Freddie Noren
+15908
$3,201.60
Josh Cartwright
+15908
$3,201.60
Kevin Moranz
+15908
$3,201.60
Jared Lesher
+15908
$3,201.60
Zack Williams
+15908
$3,201.60
Kyle Bitterman
+15908
$3,201.60
Scott Meshey
+15908
$3,201.60
Joan Cros
+15908
$3,201.60
Logan Karnow
+15908
$3,201.60
Lane Shaw
+15908
$3,201.60
Bobby Piazza
+15908
$3,201.60
Vinny Luhovey
+15908
$3,201.60
Cory Carsten
+15908
$3,201.60
Logan Leitzel
+15908
$3,201.60
Josh Greco
+15908
$3,201.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+15908
$3,201.60
Charles Tolleson IV
+15908
$3,201.60
Brian Saunier
+15908
$3,201.60
Carter Stephenson
+15908
$3,201.60
Ronnie Orres
+15908
$3,201.60
Mason Morris
+15908
$3,201.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+15908
$3,201.60
Preston Taylor
+15908
$3,201.60
Addison Emory IV
+15908
$3,201.60

Odds for Final Race Holeshot

Hunter Lawrence ended a two-round holeshot streak by Jorge Prado in the Midwest last Saturday. Including Triple Crown races, Lawrence now has four holeshots to his name this campaign, one behind the leader. Despite his form, he offers value for money at +500. Prado has led the field through the first corner on five occasions this year, achieving three of them in his past six outings. Eli Tomac and Cooper Webb start round 13 with two holeshots apiece, while Roczen and Vince Friese complete the leaderboard with one under the belt.

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Rider
Holeshot Odds
Payout on $20
Jorge Prado
+210
$62.00
Ken Roczen
+500
$120.00
Hunter Lawrence
+500
$120.00
Chase Sexton
+704
$160.80
Eli Tomac
+750
$170.00
Cooper Webb
+888
$197.60
Justin Cooper
+1386
$297.20
Joey Savatgy
+1595
$339.00
Vince Friese
+1595
$339.00
Malcolm Stewart
+1782
$376.40
Dylan Ferrandis
+3599
$739.80
Shane Mcelrath
+3779
$775.80
Christian Craig
+5478
$1,115.60
Jordon Smith
+8013
$1,622.60
Colt Nichols
+8715
$1,763.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+8938
$1,807.60
Cole Thompson
+14776
$2,975.20
Grant Harlan
+18691
$3,758.20
Cade Clason
+21464
$4,312.80
Anthony Rodriguez
+21464
$4,312.80
Mitchell Harrison
+21464
$4,312.80
Tristan Lane
+21464
$4,312.80
Freddie Noren
+21464
$4,312.80
Kevin Moranz
+21464
$4,312.80
Kyle Bitterman
+21464
$4,312.80
Joan Cros
+21464
$4,312.80
Justin Starling
+21464
$4,312.80
Lane Shaw
+21464
$4,312.80
Josh Cartwright
+21464
$4,312.80
Scott Meshey
+21464
$4,312.80
Logan Karnow
+21464
$4,312.80
Cory Carsten
+21464
$4,312.80
Jared Lesher
+21464
$4,312.80
Zack Williams
+21464
$4,312.80
Vinny Luhovey
+21464
$4,312.80
Bobby Piazza
+21464
$4,312.80
Josh Greco
+21464
$4,312.80
Logan Leitzel
+21464
$4,312.80
Addison Emory IV
+21464
$4,312.80
Carter Stephenson
+21464
$4,312.80
Charles Tolleson IV
+21464
$4,312.80
Cheyenne Harmon
+21464
$4,312.80
Preston Taylor
+21464
$4,312.80
Brian Saunier
+21464
$4,312.80
Mason Morris
+21464
$4,312.80
Ronnie Orres
+21464
$4,312.80
Scotty Wennerstrom
+21464
$4,312.80

Odds for Event Winner

A tantalizing battle awaits at the head of the field on Saturday, with three riders looking to remain in the hunt for the Championship. Ken Roczen and Hunter Lawrence start as joint favorites, as the duo has contributed four out of the last five wins in the series. Roczen has entered Victory Lane three times in 2026 and averages 2.4 in his last five appearances. Lawrence also has three scalps in the trophy cabinet this year, and has featured on the podium in 75% of the rounds this campaign.

Chase Sexton finds himself as the third favorite, despite recently returning from injury and only winning one event this year. He did clinch the checkered flag at this venue in 2023, but has only one top-three finish in his previous five races. Eli Tomac offers bang for buck at +700, despite holding the winningest rider tag in the field. He’s tasted success four times so far and has the lowest finishing average in the competition at 3.42.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
+162
$52.40
Hunter Lawrence
+162
$52.40
Chase Sexton
+574
$134.80
Cooper Webb
+673
$154.60
Eli Tomac
+700
$160.00
Justin Cooper
+850
$190.00
Jorge Prado
+1500
$320.00
Joey Savatgy
+2497
$519.40
Malcolm Stewart
+2497
$519.40
Shane McElrath
+12400
$2,500.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+18082
$3,636.40
Christian Craig
+18082
$3,636.40
Colt Nichols
+18082
$3,636.40
Grant Harlan
+19131
$3,846.20
Mitchell Harrison
+19131
$3,846.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+19508
$3,921.60
Jordon Smith
+19508
$3,921.60
Carter Stephenson
+20308
$4,081.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+20308
$4,081.60
Scott Meshey
+20308
$4,081.60
Kyle Bitterman
+20733
$4,166.60
Vince Friese
+20733
$4,166.60
Cade Clason
+20733
$4,166.60
Kevin Moranz
+20733
$4,166.60
Tristan Lane
+20733
$4,166.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+20733
$4,166.60
Josh Cartwright
+20733
$4,166.60
Jared Lesher
+20733
$4,166.60
Zack Williams
+20733
$4,166.60
Lane Shaw
+20733
$4,166.60
Logan Karnow
+20733
$4,166.60
Joan Cros
+20733
$4,166.60
Vinny Luhovey
+20733
$4,166.60
Bobby Piazza
+20733
$4,166.60
Cory Carsten
+20733
$4,166.60
Cheyenne Harmon
+20733
$4,166.60
Brian Saunier
+20733
$4,166.60
Ronnie Orres
+20733
$4,166.60
Cole Thompson
+20733
$4,166.60
Justin Starling
+20733
$4,166.60
Logan Leitzel
+20733
$4,166.60
Charles Tolleson Iv
+20733
$4,166.60
Josh Greco
+21177
$4,255.40
Addison Emory Iv
+21177
$4,255.40
Preston Taylor
+21177
$4,255.40
Freddie Noren
+21177
$4,255.40
Mason Morris
+21177
$4,255.40
Expert Pick

Eli Tomac hasn’t produced his best in recent rounds, but he still deserves respect. He boasts a 66.7% podium record this year, and has finished inside the top three at this venue on his last two visits. Tomac is priced at +700 for the victory, potentially paying out $160.00 on a $20.00 wager.

Odds for a Podium

Naturally, Lawrence and Roczen are pricey for a podium place, but there are plenty of value bets in this department. Eli Tomac sits at +150 for a top three, a feat he’s managed in eight rounds this year. Chase Sexton suffered a crash in the last round and will look to redeem himself at +162 for a rostrum. Injury has plagued him this term, but he still has two top threes under the belt in nine starts.

We’ve been rooting for Justin Cooper to break into the first three spots again, and he delivered last time out. The result was his second podium of 2026 and his seventh top five. In his last four starts, he’s finished fourth in three races before his season’s best run seven days ago. Cooper Webb is another value option at +173, despite registering a 50% top three record in his past 10 appearances. However, he hasn’t stood on the rostrum since the Indianapolis Triple Crown leg.

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-400
$25.00
Ken Roczen
-400
$25.00
Eli Tomac
+150
$50.00
Chase Sexton
+162
$52.40
Cooper Webb
+173
$54.60
Justin Cooper
+200
$60.00
Jorge Prado
+300
$80.00
Malcolm Stewart
+500
$120.00
Joey Savatgy
+656
$151.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+1000
$220.00
Shane McElrath
+1500
$320.00
Christian Craig
+6523
$1,324.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+8447
$1,709.40
Cole Thompson
+8521
$1,724.20
Cory Carsten
+8521
$1,724.20
Josh Greco
+8521
$1,724.20
Charles Tolleson Iv
+8521
$1,724.20
Carter Stephenson
+8521
$1,724.20
Ronnie Orres
+8521
$1,724.20
Mason Morris
+8521
$1,724.20
Preston Taylor
+8521
$1,724.20
Addison Emory Iv
+8521
$1,724.20
Jordon Smith
+8596
$1,739.20
Colt Nichols
+8596
$1,739.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+8596
$1,739.20
Vince Friese
+8596
$1,739.20
Grant Harlan
+8596
$1,739.20
Cade Clason
+8596
$1,739.20
Kevin Moranz
+8596
$1,739.20
Mitchell Harrison
+8596
$1,739.20
Lane Shaw
+8596
$1,739.20
Anthony Rodriguez
+8596
$1,739.20
Tristan Lane
+8596
$1,739.20
Freddie Noren
+8596
$1,739.20
Josh Cartwright
+8596
$1,739.20
Jared Lesher
+8596
$1,739.20
Scott Meshey
+8596
$1,739.20
Joan Cros
+8596
$1,739.20
Logan Karnow
+8596
$1,739.20
Bobby Piazza
+8596
$1,739.20
Logan Leitzel
+8596
$1,739.20
Cheyenne Harmon
+8596
$1,739.20
Brian Saunier
+8596
$1,739.20
Vinny Luhovey
+8672
$1,754.40
Justin Starling
+8672
$1,754.40
Kyle Bitterman
+8672
$1,754.40
Zack Williams
+8672
$1,754.40

Top 5 Odds

The Spaniard, Jorge Prado, stands out as the star pick for a top-five performance. He earned his third accolade in this department last week, settling for fourth. He now holds two top fives in his previous five races. Malcolm Stewart joins Prado at +120 after breaking a two-race streak inside of the first five spots. He’s currently just outside of a consistent top-five pace, averaging 6.6 in his previous five runs.

Cooper Webb’s offer conservative punters an opportunity at -159. He’s racked up eight top fives in 2026, averaging 4.42 across the campaign. Justin Cooper’s odds in this market have shortened substantially since last weekend. He now starts with negative odds, but still fair enough to make him worth a look. He’s only fallen outside of the front five once in the past seven rounds, boasting a 5.2 finishing average in the previous five events.

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Rider
Top 5 Odds
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
-650
$23.08
Hunter Lawrence
-650
$23.08
Eli Tomac
-130
$35.38
Chase Sexton
-155
$32.90
Cooper Webb
-159
$32.58
Justin Cooper
-120
$36.67
Jorge Prado
+120
$44.00
Malcolm Stewart
+120
$44.00
Joey Savatgy
+140
$48.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+300
$80.00
Shane Mcelrath
+600
$140.00
Christian Craig
+1153
$250.60
Jordon Smith
+2662
$552.40
Colt Nichols
+3000
$620.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+4000
$820.00
Vince Friese
+5496
$1,119.20
Grant Harlan
+5496
$1,119.20
Cole Thompson
+5496
$1,119.20
Cade Clason
+5496
$1,119.20
Mitchell Harrison
+5496
$1,119.20
Kevin Moranz
+5496
$1,119.20
Justin Starling
+5496
$1,119.20
Tristan Lane
+5496
$1,119.20
Freddie Noren
+5496
$1,119.20
Kyle Bitterman
+5496
$1,119.20
Vinny Luhovey
+5496
$1,119.20
Lane Shaw
+5496
$1,119.20
Josh Cartwright
+5496
$1,119.20
Logan Karnow
+5496
$1,119.20
Anthony Rodriguez
+5496
$1,119.20
Scott Meshey
+5496
$1,119.20
Zack Williams
+5496
$1,119.20
Joan Cros
+5496
$1,119.20
Cory Carsten
+5496
$1,119.20
Jared Lesher
+5496
$1,119.20
Bobby Piazza
+5496
$1,119.20
Logan Leitzel
+5496
$1,119.20
Josh Greco
+5496
$1,119.20
Cheyenne Harmon
+5496
$1,119.20
Charles Tolleson Iv
+5496
$1,119.20
Brian Saunier
+5496
$1,119.20
Carter Stephenson
+5496
$1,119.20
Ronnie Orres
+5496
$1,119.20
Mason Morris
+5496
$1,119.20
Scotty Wennerstrom
+5496
$1,119.20
Preston Taylor
+5496
$1,119.20
Addison Emory Iv
+5496
$1,119.20

H2H Odds

A battle between two midfield riders has captured our attention. Joey Savatgy faces Malcolm Stewart as the underdog. However, Savatgy has crossed the line ahead of his rival in seven out of 11 meetings this year. In addition, Savatgy averages 8.09 in 2026, compared to Stewart’s 10.33. 

The other matchup that catches our eye is the heavyweight tussle between Hunter Lawrence and Ken Roczen. Lawrence has the upper hand across the campaign, beating the German-American on eight occasions. However, Roczen arrives as the in-form rider, averaging 2.4 compared to Lawrence’s 5.0, and a back-to-back winner.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-120
$36.67
Ken Roczen
-110
$38.18
Joey Savatgy
-102
$39.61
Malcolm Stewart
-130
$35.38
Jorge Prado
+121
$44.20
Justin Cooper
-161
$32.42
Chase Sexton
-119
$36.81
Cooper Webb
-111
$38.02

Winning Manufacturer

Suzuki is the big mover this week, starting SX Nashville as the second favorite. They arrived in St. Louis last week as the third favorites, priced at +270. This Saturday, they’ve shortened to +201. They’re hunting a hat trick of victories, courtesy of Ken Roczen, and are now tied with Honda for the second-most manufacturer wins this year. Speaking of Honda, they’re priced as the constructor to beat, after clinching 50% of the past six rounds. KTM retains the honor of the winningest team, but they’ve lengthened to +400. They last tasted glory at Daytona Beach, five rounds ago.

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Manufacturer
Winning Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
+166
$53.20
Suzuki
+201
$60.20
KTM
+400
$100.00
Yamaha
+519
$123.80
Kawasaki
+673
$154.60
Husqvarna
+4469
$913.80
Ducati
+21819
$4,383.80
Triumph
+21819
$4,383.80
GasGas
+21819
$4,383.80

Winning W.O Lawrence or Roczen

If we exclude the current form rider duo of Roczen and Lawrence, the battle is fierce. Chase Sexton tops the odds after winning at this venue three years ago. However, 2026 hasn’t gone according to plan. The Kawasaki rider entered Victory Lane at Anaheim 2 and ended runner-up in Detroit. Those are his only notable finishes this season. Cooper Webb enters the midfield contest at +307, despite averaging 4.42 across the Championship. But we’re surprised to see Eli Tomac offer so much value. We touched on his winning escapade,s and he has the lowest finishing average in the competition at 3.42.

After his performance in St. Louis, Justin Cooper deserves a mention. The result was his first rostrum since Seattle, and his fourth consecutive top five. Malcolm Stewart wasn’t at his best in round 12, but he showed in Detroit that he’s a podium placer on his day. The Husqvarna rider now averages 6.6 in the ultimate five races. Finally, Jorge Prado is more of a long shot in this area, but he has a top-three under the bike and crossed the line in fourth last weekend.

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Rider
Midfield Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Chase Sexton
+255
$71.00
Cooper Webb
+307
$81.40
Eli Tomac
+321
$84.20
Justin Cooper
+400
$100.00
Jorge Prado
+742
$168.40
Joey Savatgy
+1267
$273.40
Malcolm Stewart
+1267
$273.40
Shane McElrath
+6479
$1,315.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+9469
$1,913.80
Christian Craig
+9469
$1,913.80
Colt Nichols
+9469
$1,913.80
Grant Harlan
+10021
$2,024.20
Mitchell Harrison
+10021
$2,024.20
Garrett Marchbanks
+10220
$2,064.00
Jordon Smith
+10220
$2,064.00
Carter Stephenson
+10641
$2,148.20
Scotty Wennerstrom
+10641
$2,148.20
Scott Meshey
+10641
$2,148.20
Kyle Bitterman
+10865
$2,193.00
Vince Friese
+10865
$2,193.00
Cade Clason
+10865
$2,193.00
Kevin Moranz
+10865
$2,193.00
Tristan Lane
+10865
$2,193.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+10865
$2,193.00
Josh Cartwright
+10865
$2,193.00
Jared Lesher
+10865
$2,193.00
Zack Williams
+10865
$2,193.00
Lane Shaw
+10865
$2,193.00
Logan Karnow
+10865
$2,193.00
Joan Cros
+10865
$2,193.00
Vinny Luhovey
+10865
$2,193.00
Bobby Piazza
+10865
$2,193.00
Cory Carsten
+10865
$2,193.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+10865
$2,193.00
Brian Saunier
+10865
$2,193.00
Ronnie Orres
+10865
$2,193.00
Cole Thompson
+10865
$2,193.00
Justin Starling
+10865
$2,193.00
Logan Leitzel
+10865
$2,193.00
Charles Tolleson Iv
+10865
$2,193.00
Josh Greco
+11098
$2,239.60
Addison Emory Iv
+11098
$2,239.60
Preston Taylor
+11098
$2,239.60
Freddie Noren
+11098
$2,239.60
Mason Morris
+11098
$2,239.60

2026 SX Futures Odds

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+127
$45.40
Hunter Lawrence
+132
$46.40
Ken Roczen
+149
$49.80
Cooper Webb
+8672
$1,754.40
Justin Cooper
+28471
$5,714.20
Malcolm Stewart
+30203
$6,060.60
Chase Sexton
+30203
$6,060.60
Joey Savatgy
+30203
$6,060.60
Jorge Prado
+30203
$6,060.60

SX Nashville DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Ken Roczen
2.5
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Eli Tomac
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Cooper Webb
3.5
Justin Cooper
3.5
Jorge Prado
8.5
Malcolm Stewart
8.5
Joey Savatgy
9.5
Shane McElrath
12.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Nashville leg can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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FanDuel
Bet $5 Get $250 If Your Bet Wins!
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BetMGM
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
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Stake.us
250,000 Gold Coins and $25 Stake Cash + 5% instant lifetime rakeback
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Caesars
Use Code SUPERMOTODYW and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
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Fanatics
Bet $5 Get $200 Instantly
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