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Best Bets: AMA Supercross Round 13 Philadelphia Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: AMA Supercross Round 13 Philadelphia Pre-Event Odds Analysis

“The Cowboy” Aaron Plessinger enjoyed his maiden ride down Victory Lane this season, winning a muddy, grueling race in Foxborough. Series leader Cooper Webb leads the Supercross Philadelphia pre-event odds after a valiant performance last weekend to claim his ninth podium of the year.

Be a part of the Philadelphia Supercross action by placing bets at our partner sportsbooks.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Philadelphia 2025

It looks like the Supercross fraternity will have to brave another Saturday of wet, muddy conditions as the green flag drops on the Philadelphia leg. Forecasts suggest 0.5 inches of rain on the eve and morning of round 13. 

Free Practice gets underway from the home of the Eagles early on Saturday, April 12th. The first group hits the dirt at 8:30 AM ET, and returns for the first qualifying session at 10:05 AM. Curtains close on the Philly leg after the main event, set for a 5:25 PM start. 

Enjoy Supercross Philadelphia from the warmth of your lounge on SuperMotocross TV, and keep informed on odds and rider analysis on NXTbets. Broadcasting starts at 9:30 AM ETfor qualifying.

Check out the official event page for more details on the track design, ticketing info, and the vibrant fan fest. 

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Supercross Philadelphia 2025

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Cooper Webb

+150

$50.00

Chase Sexton

+175

$55.00

Ken Roczen

+700

$160.00

Cooper Webb (+150)

Cooper Webb finished third last weekend, earning his eighth podium in the last nine rounds. The result aside, it’s the manner in which he achieved. He fell over, his wheels got stuck in the mud, his bike was smoking and still, he grinded it out for a podium. Webb extended his series lead over Chase Sexton to 15 points, with five rounds left in the series.

Chase Sexton (+175)

The mud got Chase Sexton at the finish jump last weekend, and he watched a podium slip away as rider after rider passed him. He settled for sixth, which was acceptable under the circumstances to remain within touching distance of the series lead at the business end of the campaign. Sexton starts on the East Coast with seven podiums under the bike in 2025, including three wins.

Ken Roczen (+700)

Ken Roczen has made the third-place ranking his own this season and holds a 33-point cushion over the next-ranked rider, Justin Cooper. The German navigated the tricky conditions in Foxborough to close out his 10th top five this season, which includes six podiums. Roczen last stood on the podium when he won in Daytona Beach, but he’s crossed the finish line inside the top five three times in four races since then.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Aaron Plessinger

+1000

$220.00

Malcolm Stewart

+2000

$420.00

Justin Barcia

+2000

$420.00

Aaron Plessinger (+1000)

After a torrid start to his campaign finishing outside the top 20 in two of his first three races, Aaron Plessinger almost lost faith. Fortunately, he persevered and earned himself his maiden victory of the year last weekend in Foxborough. As his rivals became stuck in the mud Aaron stood up and powered forward to victory. The result gives the KTM rider his fourth podium in five starts.

Malcolm Stewart (+2000)

Malcolm Stewart greeted the stewards outside the top 10 for the first time in 2025, but the race was an anomaly, and he can be forgiven for the result. The Husqvarna rider has stood on the podium after two Main Events this season, once as a winner, back in Tampa.

Justin Barcia (+2000)

Justin Barcia crossed the line in sixth on his last trip to Philadelphia, the same position he finds himself in the standings.  “Bam Bam” has regularly crossed the line inside the top 10 this year, only missing the cut at the Glendale Triple Crown. He starts with two top-fives behind him in his previous four starts.

Expert Pick for AMA Monster Energy Supercross Philadelphia 2025

Cooper Webb is our expert pick for Supercross Philadelphia, starting as the winningest rider in this edition of the Championship. Webb has only missed a podium spot in three rounds, publicizing his consistency. Pre-event odds have the series leader at +150, offering a potential return of $50 from a $20 wager.

H2H Odds

H2H 1


Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Chase Sexton

-110

$38.18

Cooper Webb

-120

$36.67


One takes on two in our first head-to-head of the weekend, with Cooper Webb favored to finish ahead of Sexton. Webb boasts podiums in his last five non-Triple Crown events compared to his rival’s three. Chase has crossed the line in an average position of 3.8 in those events versus Cooper’s 1.6.


H2H 2


Rider

Event Winner

Payout per $20

Aaron Plessinger

-110

$38.18

Ken Roczen

-120

$36.67


Consistency takes on form when round 12 winner Aaron Plessinger meets Ken Roczen. The odds suggest Roczen is the favorite and he starts with an average finishing position of 3.6 in the previous five non Triple Crown rounds. Plessinger picked up one more podium than the German in those events, but his average finish sits at 4.2.


H2H 3


Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Justin Barcia

+100

$40.00

Justin Cooper

-130

$35.38


Justin Cooper starts as the favorite against Justin Barcia, lining up with five top-five finishes to his name. Barcia is a consistent top-10 performer but has only broken into the top five twice this season.


H2H 4


Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Dylan Ferrandis

+100

$40.00

Malcolm Stewart

-130

$35.38


Supercross Tampa 2025 winner Malcolm Stewart is tipped to edge Dylan Ferrandis in the final matchup. Stewart is a consistent rider who has only missed the top 10 once this season. Ferrandis is on the opposite end of the spectrum, spending four rounds outside the top 10, and crossing the line inside the threshold six times.

DFS Finishing Positions

Rider

Finishing Position

Better

Payout on $20

Worse

Payout on $20

Cooper Webb

2.5

0.84x

$36.80

1.16x

$43.20

Chase Sexton

2.5

1.09x

$41.80

0.9x

$38.00

Malcolm Stewart

5.5

1.11x

$42.20

0.89x

$37.80

Justin Cooper

5.5

1.16x

$43.20

0.84x

$36.80

Where to Bet on Supercross Philadelphia 2025

Bets for Supercross Philadelphia can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

The forecast is predicting more rain as Supercross heads to Philly, but can it offer riders a reprieve and avoid a repeat of last weekend? Will Cooper Webb win his fifth event of the campaign at the Home of the Philadelphia Eagles? Or is Aaron Plessinger poised to steal the show and become only the second rider this year to win consecutive rounds?

1
Fan Favorite
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IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
2
Popular Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX GET $200
IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX GET $200
IN BONUS BETS WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES
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Offer Score

9.7
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