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Best Bets: 2024 Philadelphia Supercross Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2024 Philadelphia Supercross Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The tension was palpable in Nashville as the 2024 Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship reached a critical juncture. Jett Lawrence, the young Australian phenom and our Expert Pick for the event, delivered a statement performance, reclaiming sole possession of the red plate with a wire-to-wire victory. As the series heads to Philadelphia for Round 15, the question on everyone’s mind is whether Lawrence can extend his lead and take a stranglehold on the title chase.

The stage is set for another explosive showdown at Lincoln Financial Field, a track known for its technical layout and unforgiving nature. With just three rounds remaining and precious points up for grabs, the pressure is on for the championship contenders to rise to the occasion. Will Lawrence continue his scorching form, or can rivals Cooper Webb and Eli Tomac find an answer to the Honda rider’s blistering pace? Let’s dive into the key storylines and betting prospects for what promises to be a pivotal night in the City of Brotherly Love.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Philadelphia 2024

Round 15 of the 2024 Supercross season will take place on Saturday, April 27th at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. The action gets underway at 7:00 PM ET, with live coverage available on Peacock. For a full breakdown of the event schedule, check out the official event page.

For those interested in betting, keep your eye on NXTbets for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season. Also be sure to check out James Stewart’s The Inside Line betting podcast episode for strategic betting insights and opportunities for every race.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

 

Best Bets and Picks for Supercross Philadelphia 2024

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Jett Lawrence

-147

$33.61

Cooper Webb

+221

$64.20

Eli Tomac

+743

$168.60

Jett Lawrence reasserted his dominance in Nashville with a statement victory, his sixth win of the season. The 18-year-old Aussie phenom led 15 of 25 laps and showcased his unmatched blend of speed, racecraft, and poise under pressure. The triumphant performance marked a return to form for Lawrence, who had uncharacteristically finished off the podium in the previous two rounds. Despite that brief stumble, the Honda rider remains firmly in control of the championship chase, boasting an impressive eight podiums in 14 rounds. With the red plate back in his sole possession and a five-point lead in hand, Lawrence heads to Philly as the clear favorite to notch the win. The -147 price tag is still an attractive value for a rider who has consistently proven to be the class of the field in 2024.

Cooper Webb saw his brief red plate run end after a distant third in Nashville, but that result was critical damage control with Sexton and Roczen failing to finish. Now trailing Lawrence by just five points and still very much alive in this title fight, look for Webb to come out swinging in Philly, one of his favorite tracks. With cooler Northeast conditions on tap, Webb is primed for a bounce back performance. At +221 for the win, Webb is a high value pick to get back on top of the box.

Eli Tomac, in the midst of his self-described “comeback tour”, reminded everyone he’s still a threat to win anytime, anywhere with a brilliant holeshot and early race pace in Nashville. ET3 led nine laps and eventually brought it home second, his 6th podium finish of the 2024 season. That bumped him to third in the standings and suddenly Tomac has a puncher’s chance at this title with a strong finishing kick. At a tempting +743, we love Tomac as an underdog pick in Philly given his experience, tenacity and unmatched ability to find speed on any layout. Never count out this future Hall of Famer.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Chase Sexton

+842

$188.40

Jason Anderson

+3884

$796.80

Justin Cooper

+4900

$1000.00

Before a freak mechanical issue ended his night, Chase Sexton was poised for another podium run in Nashville. A rock cracked his throttle body while leading, sending him hurtling through the air in a scary tumble. Thankfully, Sexton emerged relatively unscathed and is cleared to race Philly. Prior to the spill, Sexton had been on an impressive run of consistency and one of the only riders able to consistently challenge Lawrence. If he’s fully fit, Sexton will be a popular pick at nearly 9-1 odds to pull the upset.

Jason Anderson, the 2018 champion, has been a model of consistency in 2024. The 29-year-old’s experience and race craft have kept him in contention, with four podiums and regular top-five finishes to his name. Anderson’s recent string of strong results suggests he’s hitting his stride at the perfect time. While his +3884 odds might seem daunting, his ability to capitalize on others’ misfortunes makes him an intriguing choice for risk-tolerant bettors.

Justin Cooper has been steadily improving in his sophomore 450SX campaign. The 25-year-old Yamaha rider has consistently finished inside the top ten, with a best result of sixth, showcasing his growing skill and speed. As the season enters its final stretch, Cooper looks poised for a breakthrough performance. At +4900 odds, he’s an enticing longshot pick for those willing to bet on his potential and hunger for success.

Head-To-Head Matchups

Rider

Money Line

Payout per $20

Cooper Webb

Jett Lawrence

+163

$52.60

-233

$28.58

Eli Tomac

Chase Sexton

-128

$35.63

-104

$39.23

Hunter Lawrence
Justin Cooper

+139

$47.80

-187

$30.70

In the head-to-head matchups, Jett Lawrence is a strong favorite over Cooper Webb, reflecting his recent dominance and momentum. However, Webb’s consistency and mental toughness make him a viable underdog pick. The battle between Eli Tomac and Chase Sexton is a toss-up, with Tomac’s raw speed slightly edging out Sexton’s potential. Finally, Justin Cooper is a solid favorite over Hunter Lawrence, thanks to his impressive speed and growing confidence.

Expert Pick for Supercross Philadelphia 2024

It’s hard to pick against Jett Lawrence right now. The 18-year-old Aussie prodigy has been in complete control throughout the second half of the season and has the look of a rider fully expecting to win every time he hits the track. With a five point cushion in the standings and supreme confidence flowing, barring an uncharacteristic mistake Lawrence is an appropriate clear favorite in Philly. -136 to notch his fourth victory in five rounds is the most probable outcome.

Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

Jett Lawrence

-468

$24.27

Cooper Webb

+184

$56.80

Chase Sexton

+16,567

$3,333.40

Unsurprisingly, Lawrence has strengthened his position as the odds-on championship favorite. After starting the weekend at +108, his Nashville triumph shortened his futures price to a commanding -468. Webb‘s second place standing is reflected in his +184 price after being favored at -179 just a week ago. Following his costly crash, Sexton‘s implosion continued in the betting market, freefalling to a distant +16567. For all intents and purposes, this is now a two rider title fight.

Where to Bet on Supercross Philadelphia 2024

Bets for Supercross Philadelphia can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

The 2024 Supercross season approaches a tipping point under the bright lights of Lincoln Financial Field this Saturday night. Will Jett Lawrence deliver another decisive blow and tighten his championship stranglehold? Or will Cooper Webb and company find a way to shift the momentum? The tension is palpable with invaluable points on the line in front of a passionate Philly crowd. Expect 20 minutes plus one lap of pure, unbridled intensity. Drop the gates!

 

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