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Best Bets: BKFC 63 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: BKFC 63 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

As the roar of motorcycles fills the air in Sturgis, South Dakota, another kind of thunder is about to erupt in the BKFC Squared Circle. BKFC 63 promises a night of bare-knuckle brutality, headlined by a women’s strawweight title clash between champion Britain Hart and challenger Taylor Starling. With a card stacked from top to bottom, bettors have ample opportunities to find value. Let’s break down the odds and analyze the key matchups for this anticipated event.

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Schedule and How To Watch BKFC 63

BKFC 63 takes place on Saturday, August 3, 2024, at the Sturgis Buffalo Chip in Sturgis, South Dakota. The action kicks off at 6pm CT, building towards the main events later in the night. To watch from the comfort of your home, find out where to watch live on BKFC’s site. Don’t forget to check out NXTbets for the latest odds updates and offers.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for BKFC 63

Class

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

SW

Britain Hart

-237

$28.44

Taylor Starling

+173

$54.60

HW

Sam Shewmaker

-149

$33.42

Josh Burns

+112

$42.40

LHW

Josh Dyer

-323

$26.19

William Albrecht

+226

$65.20

LHW

Bryant Acheson

-250

$28.00

Joseph Creer

+181

$56.20

BW

Robert Armas

-182

$30.99

Jack Grady

+136

$47.20

HW

Josh Watson

-166

$32.05

Ruben Roundstone

+124

$44.80

BW

Michael Larrimore

-223

$28.97

Derek Perez

+164

$52.80

HW

Zach Calmus

-326

$26.13

Paul Shough

+228

$65.60

CW

Donnie Tice Jr.

-157

$32.74

Brandon Conley

+118

$43.60

FW

Timmy Mason

-225

$28.89

Gabriel Freyre

+164

$52.80

Key Matchups

In our main event, Britain Hart (-237) puts her strawweight title on the line against Taylor Starling (+173). Hart’s experience edge is evident in the odds, with eight BKFC victories to her name. Her relentless pressure and high-volume striking make her a formidable favorite. However, Starling’s underdog status belies her potential. With a 4-2 record and notable wins over tough opponents, Starling has the power to upset. Hart’s chin has been tested before, and if Starling can land cleanly early, we could see a changing of the guard. The value play here might be on Starling, especially if you believe in her ability to weather Hart’s initial storm and capitalize in later rounds.

The co-main event sees heavyweight veterans Sam Shewmaker (-149) and Josh Burns (+112) collide in a rematch. Their first encounter ended with a quick KO victory for Burns, which makes these odds particularly intriguing. Shewmaker, known as the “Hillbilly Hammer,” has had mixed results in BKFC but possesses fight-ending power. Burns, despite being the underdog, has more BKFC experience and that crucial psychological edge from their previous meeting. The odds suggest oddsmakers expect Shewmaker to make adjustments, but Burns at plus money is tempting given his track record and previous success against Shewmaker.

Josh Dyer (-323) enters as a heavy favorite against William Albrecht (+226) in a light heavyweight bout. Dyer’s No. 2 ranking in the division is reflected in these odds, but Albrecht is no pushover. With just one BKFC fight under his belt, Albrecht is largely an unknown quantity in bare-knuckle, but his extensive MMA background (22-14) suggests he won’t be overwhelmed by the moment. Dyer’s aggressive style could lead to an early finish, justifying his favorite status, but Albrecht’s experience makes him an intriguing longshot if you believe he can weather the early storm and exploit Dyer’s aggression.

Bryant Acheson (-250) faces Joseph Creer (+181) in what could be a sleeper for Fight of the Night. Acheson’s perfect BKFC record and impressive amateur boxing background explain his favored status. However, Creer’s diverse combat sports experience, including an undefeated pro boxing record, makes him a dangerous underdog. This fight could come down to who implements their game plan more effectively – Acheson’s high-volume approach or Creer’s more measured counter-striking. The odds offer value on both sides, depending on your read of the stylistic matchup.

In bantamweight action, Robert Armas (-182) takes on Jack Grady (+136). Armas has shown flashes of brilliance in BKFC but has struggled with consistency. Grady, despite his losing record, has faced tough competition and shouldn’t be overlooked. The odds reflect Armas’ higher ceiling, but Grady’s toughness makes him a live underdog. This could be a fight where studying recent form is crucial for bettors.

Zach Calmus (-326) is heavily favored against Paul Shough (+228) in a heavyweight clash. Calmus’ recent three-fight win streak and fan-friendly style justify his odds. Shough, while less experienced in BKFC, brings a diverse combat sports background. The wide odds gap here suggests oddsmakers see this as a showcase for Calmus, but heavyweights always carry that one-punch knockout threat, making Shough an intriguing longshot for risk-tolerant bettors.

As we look at the card as a whole, there’s a mix of close matchups and seemingly lopsided contests. The main event and co-main offer the most intrigue from a betting perspective, with odds close enough to suggest competitive fights but wide enough to offer value on both sides. For those looking at underdogs, Taylor Starling and Josh Burns stand out as experienced fighters with the tools to potentially upset the odds.

Expert Pick for BKFC 63

While the main event is compelling, our focus is on the heavyweight co-main between Shewmaker and Burns. Given their history and the close odds, we’re leaning towards Josh Burns at +112. His previous quick victory over Shewmaker can’t be ignored, and his overall BKFC experience gives him an edge. Burns has shown he can hang with the division’s best, and at plus money, he offers the best value on the card. Look for Burns to weather an early storm and capitalize on Shewmaker’s aggression as the fight progresses.

Where to Bet on BKFC 63

Now that you’re armed with the latest odds and expert picks for BKFC 63, it’s time to place your bets. NXTbets has partnered with a number of reputable sportsbooks to ensure that you have a seamless betting experience. To bet on BKFC 63, check out partnered sportsbooks. Simply follow the links to register an account, deposit funds, and start betting. For those venturing into BKFC betting for the first time, we highly advise perusing our Official BKFC Betting Guide for valuable insights and tips.

BKFC 63 in Sturgis promises to be a night of thrilling action and potential betting opportunities. With a mix of established BKFC veterans and hungry newcomers, the card offers something for every type of bettor. As always, remember to bet responsibly and consider the unique factors of bare-knuckle fighting when making your picks. Whether you’re backing the favorites or hunting for underdog value, BKFC 63 is shaping up to be an event you won’t want to miss.

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