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Best Bets: F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Formula 1 makes its final stop in the United States in 2025, when drivers line up in Las Vegas this weekend. Only three races remain on the calendar, and Lando Norris is picking up speed, leading into the F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix, with consecutive victories under his belt. He leads the pre-event odds, while Max Verstappen continues his unbroken podium run. On the other hand, Oscar Piastri’s hopes of a Driver’s Championship title continue to slip away. Outside of the title race, there is a healthy selection of betting markets for the spectacle on the strip. Let’s dive into it.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix

A unique weekend lies ahead in Las Vegas, bucking the trends of a typical Formula 1 weekend. Drivers depart the pits for the first two practice sessions on Thursday, November 20, under the lights of “Sin City.” The abnormalities continue as the grid assembles for the Grand Prix on Saturday, November 22, at 8:00 pm PST. Follow the third last race weekend of 2025, live on ESPN, and catch the latest odds and analysis here in NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix Odds

Event Winner Odds

The Drivers’ Championship leader, Lando Norris, has upped his game in recent rounds to win back-to-back races convincingly. In Mexico, he crossed the line 30.324 seconds ahead of the runner-up, Charles Leclerc, and in Brazil, he was 10.388 seconds better than Kimi Antonelli. The McLaren driver is also developing a reputation for winning from pole, having prevailed five times in six starts from the front row this term. 

Recent races would suggest that Norris’ biggest threat will come from the RB21 of Max Verstappen. The Dutchman touches down in Nevada with seven consecutive rostrums to his name, including three victories in the same period. However, minor placings won’t help his cause in the title fight, as he needs to recover 49 points on the leader. Despite the mountain ahead, he holds fond memories of this circuit, taking top honors in 2023. On the value end of the scale, George Russell is a worthy selection, given his success on street circuits this campaign. The Mercedes pilot prevailed on the streets of Montreal and Singapore, racking up five podiums in seven races on similar circuits. He’s also arrives in Nevada as the defending champion.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
+142
$48.40
Max Verstappen
+236
$67.20
George Russell
+586
$137.20
Oscar Piastri
+694
$158.80
Kimi Antonelli
+1142
$248.40
Charles Leclerc
+2487
$517.40
Lewis Hamilton
+3306
$681.20
Alexander Albon
+17830
$3,586.00
Carlos Sainz
+17830
$3,586.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17830
$3,586.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+17830
$3,586.00
Esteban Ocon
+17830
$3,586.00
Fernando Alonso
+17830
$3,586.00
Franco Colapinto
+17830
$3,586.00
Isack Hadjar
+17830
$3,586.00
Lance Stroll
+17830
$3,586.00
Liam Lawson
+17830
$3,586.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+17830
$3,586.00
Oliver Bearman
+17830
$3,586.00
Pierre Gasly
+17830
$3,586.00

Expert Pick

In recent weeks, we’ve witnessed a classy Lando Norris, obliterating his opponents, but we think this circuit might hamper the McLarens. Therefore, we’re seeking value ahead of the Las Vegas Grand Prix, in the form of George Russell. He averages 1.33 in his last three races on Street Circuits, with two victories in the portfolio.

Lando Norris

Lando Norris lines up in Las Vegas with back-to-back trips inside Victory Lane, and is heading towards a maiden Drivers’ Championship title.

Podium Odds

After the start that Oscar Piastri had to the season, you wouldn’t expect us to be looking at him for the minor podium places. Alas, here we are. The Australian registered 14 top threes in the first 16 rounds, but hasn’t joined in the post-race festivities since his third place at Monza. Piastri arrives in the States with three consecutive fifth-place returns to his name, but he knows how to win on the streets, collecting first prize in Jeddah and Miami earlier this year.

Ferrari enters the fray under immense pressure. The Maranello outfit failed to collect any points in São Paulo, the third such occurrence this year. However, they managed to put a driver on the podium in Las Vegas in 2023 and 2024. As it stands, Charles Leclerc is their best chance of that, arriving with two in his past three outings. Credit is due to the rookie, Kimi Antonelli, who snatched his second career top-three down in South America, and his best finish, a runner-up behind Norris. It’s good to see the young Italian back with the top dogs, but can he replicate the feat and block out all the noise in the “Entertainment Capital of the World.”

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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
-355
$25.63
Max Verstappen
-195
$30.26
George Russell
-105
$39.05
Oscar Piastri
+131
$46.20
Kimi Antonelli
+170
$54.00
Charles Leclerc
+364
$92.80
Lewis Hamilton
+427
$105.40
Yuki Tsunoda
+6011
$1,222.20
Alexander Albon
+9470
$1,914.00
Carlos Sainz
+9470
$1,914.00
Isack Hadjar
+9470
$1,914.00
Liam Lawson
+9470
$1,914.00
Fernando Alonso
+9470
$1,914.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+9470
$1,914.00
Esteban Ocon
+9470
$1,914.00
Oliver Bearman
+9470
$1,914.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9470
$1,914.00
Lance Stroll
+9470
$1,914.00
Pierre Gasly
+9470
$1,914.00
Franco Colapinto
+9470
$1,914.00
Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri last stood on the podium in Monza, and needs a win here to keep his title hopes alive.

Odds for the Top 6

We need to dedicate some space to young Ollie Bearman, who has been nothing short of sensational in the latter part of the calendar. The Haas driver tackles the final street circuit of the year with four straight top tens under the belt and consecutive top sixes. He carries the lowest midfield finishing average in the previous five Grands Prix at 8.00. One factor that counts against the rookie is his performance on street tracks this year, where his best return was ninth in Singapore.

Seven-time World Champion Lewis Hamilton continues his tough maiden season at Ferrari. He failed to cross the line in Brazil for his second DNF of the season, but has captured nine top sixes across the year, making him a serious contender in Nevada. He also enjoyed a successful visit here in 2024, finishing second behind his then-teammate George Russell. Then we get the Williams duo of Carlos Sainz and Alex Albon, who are more than capable of a top-six finish. The issue for them is consistency, both from a driver’s standpoint and car performance. If they show up in Las Vegas, you can expect them to challenge for points, but we’ll find out which Williams arrives in the USA.

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Driver
Event Top 6
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
-731
$22.74
Max Verstappen
-540
$23.70
George Russell
-359
$25.57
Oscar Piastri
-293
$26.83
Kimi Antonelli
-251
$27.97
Charles Leclerc
-145
$33.79
Lewis Hamilton
-139
$34.39
Yuki Tsunoda
+392
$98.40
Alexander Albon
+621
$144.20
Carlos Sainz
+776
$175.20
Isack Hadjar
+784
$176.80
Fernando Alonso
+1155
$251.00
Liam Lawson
+1177
$255.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+3175
$655.00
Oliver Bearman
+4008
$821.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+4642
$948.40
Esteban Ocon
+5601
$1,140.20
Lance Stroll
+6848
$1,389.60
Pierre Gasly
+8135
$1,647.00
Franco Colapinto
+10106
$2,041.20

Odds for a Top 10 Finish

Alexander Albon leads the midfield in top 10s this season, racking up 11, but he hasn’t finished inside the cut since Monza. The next cab off the rank in this division is rookie Isack Hadjar, who captured his ninth top 10 in São Paulo. Despite his impressive collection, he’s struggled at the backend of the campaign, falling outside of the threshold in 60% of his past five races. Moving away from youngsters, we settle on Fernando Alonso, who has driven himself into this category eight times this year, twice in the last five Grands Prix.

Sticking with the veterans, Nico Hulkenberg produced his seventh top 10 performance of 2025 last time out.  It was the second such result in three races, and still, he offers value for money. Liam Lawson continues to show grit, despite an uncertain future in the sport’s top flight. The Kiwi took off from Brazil after finishing inside the first 10 spots for the sixth time in his rookie season. Finally, Pierre Gasly collected welcome points for Alpine down in South America for his fifth units of the campaign. However, he’s struggled with street layouts this year, and will likely endure another tough weekend in Las Vegas.

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Driver
Event Top 10
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
-1217
$21.64
Lando Norris
-1132
$21.77
Oscar Piastri
-965
$22.07
George Russell
-628
$23.18
Charles Leclerc
-534
$23.75
Lewis Hamilton
-527
$23.79
Kimi Antonelli
-353
$25.68
Yuki Tsunoda
-124
$36.13
Alexander Albon
+102
$40.40
Isack Hadjar
+106
$41.20
Carlos Sainz
+119
$43.80
Fernando Alonso
+141
$48.20
Liam Lawson
+166
$53.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+338
$87.60
Lance Stroll
+394
$98.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+427
$105.40
Oliver Bearman
+474
$114.80
Esteban Ocon
+556
$131.20
Pierre Gasly
+629
$145.80
Franco Colapinto
+1602
$340.40
Charles Leclerc

Charles Leclerc ended on the podium in Las Vegas in 2023 and arrives with two from his past three races.

H2H of Interest

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Lando Norris
-131
$35.27
Max Verstappen
+131
$46.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+162
$52.40
Fernando Alonso
-162
$32.25
Oliver Bearman
+188
$57.60
Isack Hadjar
-188
$30.64
Charles Leclerc
+152
$50.40
Kimi Antonelli
-152
$33.16
Pierre Gasly
+109
$41.80
Esteban Ocon
-109
$38.35

Fastest Qualifier Odds

Lando Norris has usurped the power in the past two qualifying rounds, taking pole position in the subsequent Grand Prix. The McLaren enters Las Vegas with six starts from the front of the grid this season, but only two coming on street circuits. He now trails Max Verstappen by one in the Pirelli Pole Position Award. Speaking of the four-time Champion, he’s stopped the clock fastest on Saturday in three out of the seven street races this year, making him the most successful on these setups. He is closely followed by Norris, and last year’s Grand Prix victor, George Russell.

Mercedes’ British top dog, Russell, has found himself at the head of the grid this year. Both of them are on street circuits, in Canada and Singapore, respectively. When Russell hits the front, he doesn’t look back, as he entered Victory Lane on Sunday afternoon on those weekends. While many have started to write Oscar Piastri off, we can’t ignore that he’s qualified fastest on five occasions this term, the last one arriving in the Netherlands.

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Driver
Fastest Qualifier
Payout on $20
Max Verstappen
+227
$65.40
Lando Norris
+295
$79.00
George Russell
+623
$144.60
Oscar Piastri
+897
$199.40
Kimi Antonelli
+1256
$271.20
Charles Leclerc
+2010
$422.00
Lewis Hamilton
+4469
$913.80
Carlos Sainz
+21409
$4,301.80
Alexander Albon
+21409
$4,301.80
Esteban Ocon
+21409
$4,301.80
Fernando Alonso
+21409
$4,301.80
Franco Colapinto
+21409
$4,301.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21409
$4,301.80
Isack Hadjar
+21409
$4,301.80
Lance Stroll
+21409
$4,301.80
Liam Lawson
+21409
$4,301.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+21409
$4,301.80
Oliver Bearman
+21409
$4,301.80
Pierre Gasly
+21409
$4,301.80
Yuki Tsunoda
+21409
$4,301.80

Odds for the Constructors' Winner

McLaren finds itself back in the constructors’ driver’s seat, after handing over the reins to Red Bull for a few races. The Woking garage touches down in Vegas after consecutive victories. They’ve produced the winning vehicle in 66.67% of Sunday races this year, but they’ll find it challenging in Las Vegas. While the papayas have snatched three street showdowns this year, the last one was in Monaco, courtesy of Norris.

Red Bull has found their groove late in the season, and is still in with a long shot of producing the Driver’s Champion. The Austrian-owned team has collected five triumphs this campaign, courtesy of Verstappen, and provided the victorious car at this event in 2023. Mercedes is the value for money offer in the constructors’ fight, arriving as the defending champions. They’ve also enjoyed themselves on the road circuits this year, winning two of the last three.

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Team
Constructor Winner Odds
$20 Payout
McLaren
+122
$44.40
Red Bull
+302
$80.40
Mercedes
+427
$105.40
Ferrari
+1655
$351.00
Williams
+10705
$2,161.00
Sauber
+10705
$2,161.00
Alpine
+10705
$2,161.00
Aston Martin
+10705
$2,161.00
Haas
+10705
$2,161.00
Racing Bulls
+10705
$2,161.00

Odds for the Midfield Winner Race

The midfield battle has entertained us across the season, with nine different drivers winning the 21 rounds. Oliver Bearman is the standout in recent rounds,  prevailing in consecutive Grands Prix thanks to top-six returns. While the young Brit has excelled at the backend of the campaign, Alex Albon is the winningest driver in this contest with five successes behind him. However, the Williams’ competitor has fought for consistency and come up short, falling outside of the top ten in his last five outings.

Aston Martin’s veteran, Fernando Alonso, sits second in the midfield contest with four triumphs. The last two rounds have proven challenging with a DNF and 14th, but he prevailed in the midfield fight in Canada and Singapore this year. Staying with experienced pilots, we hone in on Nico Hulkenberg, who has beaten his midfield rivals to the punch in three races this year., but never on a street layout. Finally, Liam Lawson missed out on midfield glory by one place in São Paulo, but did beat his peers to the checkered flag in Austria.

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Driver
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Alexander Albon
+404
$100.80
Isack Hadjar
+490
$118.00
Carlos Sainz
+493
$118.60
Fernando Alonso
+682
$156.40
Liam Lawson
+714
$162.80
Nico Hulkenberg
+1999
$419.80
Oliver Bearman
+2279
$475.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+2564
$532.80
Lance Stroll
+3404
$700.80
Esteban Ocon
+3423
$704.60
Pierre Gasly
+4121
$844.20
Franco Colapinto
+18428
$3,705.60

Where to Bet on the Las Vegas Grand Prix

Lando Norris is flying high into Las Vegas, where a win will all but secure a maiden Driver’s Championship. Can he hold his nerves and get the job done, or will Max Verstappen snatch a vital 25 points as he hopes to keep the title chase alive?

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Heineken Las Vegas Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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